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IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow - Politics - Nairaland

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IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by 4Play(m): 5:53pm On Jul 26, 2023
The International Monetary Fund has projected that Nigeria’s economic growth will decline in 2023 and 2024 due to security issues in the oil sector.

It stated that the country’s economy would grow at 3.2 per cent in 2023, before declining to 3.0 per cent in 2024.

The IMF disclosed this in its latest ‘World Economic Outlook Update: Near-Term Resilience, Persistent Challenges (July 2023)’ report.

Nigeria’s growth is below projections for the Sub-Saharan African region which is expected to grow by 3.5 per cent in 2023 and 4.1 per cent in 2024, according to the report.

https://punchng.com/insecurity-will-slow-nigerias-growth-says-imf/

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Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by TheBillyonaire: 5:55pm On Jul 26, 2023
IMF does not have any other job than to be monitoring Nigeria.

What a spy network.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by inoki247: 5:56pm On Jul 26, 2023
Is like IMF are on drugs after telling us to remove Subsidy remove this and that we don remove now they're still yarning jargons...

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Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by 4Play(m): 6:09pm On Jul 26, 2023
inoki247:
Is like IMF are on drugs after telling us to remove Subsidy remove this and that we don remove now they're still yarning jargons...

Removing subsidy should have long-term positive impacts but will be painful in the short-term. Personally, I would have preferred a gradual phasing out of subsidy but it's better to remove it than to leave it in place.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by helinues: 6:11pm On Jul 26, 2023
Thank you IMF, we are aware that's why the new government has already taken some measures to grow the economy.

Reduce in cost of governance and generating new income locally without borrowing from you IMF

Again , thanks for your concern

1 Like

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by ClearFlair: 6:11pm On Jul 26, 2023
No growth only suffering
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by helinues: 6:12pm On Jul 26, 2023
inoki247:
Is like IMF are on drugs after telling us to remove Subsidy remove this and that we don remove now they're still yarning jargons...

Them advising us wasn't for good intentions. They thought that would make us to come and borrow another loans from them as interest is what they live for

2 Likes

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by brotherAremu1(m): 6:15pm On Jul 26, 2023
Pained IMF 😂😂

New Government will generate money locally. Tinubu is not going to borrow from you.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by SmartPolician: 6:58pm On Jul 26, 2023
TheBillyonaire:
IMF does not have any other job than to be monitoring Nigeria.

What a spy network.

IMF monitors the economy of all countries that come to it to borrow money.

If na you, you no go monitor am? undecided

1 Like

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by Nightwolf1: 7:04pm On Jul 26, 2023
grin It won't even grow by that projection with a confirmed criminal and drug baron as president.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by BoldBrainz(m): 7:05pm On Jul 26, 2023
helinues:
Thank you IMF, we are aware that's why the new government has already taken some measures to grow the economy.

Reduce in cost of governance and generating new income locally without borrowing from you IMF

Again , thanks for your concern

Where have you seen any move that bears resemblance to reduction in cost of governance with your balablu crooner? Or is this you just being mischievous?!

1 Like

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by Cassandraloius: 7:11pm On Jul 26, 2023
IMF well-done!
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by TheBillyonaire: 7:13pm On Jul 26, 2023
SmartPolician:


IMF monitors the economy of all countries that come to it to borrow money.

If na you, you no go monitor am? undecided

They monitor every economy now, not just those that seek lending, boy.

Spying for the highest bidder.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by Racoon(m): 7:13pm On Jul 26, 2023
After deceiving emulokan to take their slaverish and disastrous SAP-like economic policies including the economic disaster of a 8k palliative handout peanuts, they are not turning around to condemn it. The impulsive things is to remove subsidy with economic wisdom and not as a media frenzy propaganda.

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Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by Ola9ja23: 7:54pm On Jul 26, 2023
This is a good news

At least the projection is lower economist expectations while the reality will shock them ...


I trust our city boy in terms of outperforming expectations
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by festacman(m): 8:02pm On Jul 26, 2023
Apart from taxes imposed and subsidies removed to free up money for his government's use, President Tinubu, so far, has done nothing in terms of program to improve the real growth of the economy. Nothing!

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Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by nedu666: 8:31pm On Jul 26, 2023
4Play:


Removing subsidy should have long-term positive impacts but will be painful in the short-term. Personally, I would have preferred a gradual phasing out of subsidy but it's better to remove it than to leave it in place.

Define short and long term using number of years
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by CodeTemplar: 9:03pm On Jul 26, 2023
They should fertilize it with $2Bn now.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by CodeTemplar: 9:06pm On Jul 26, 2023
Racoon:
After deceiving emulokan to take their slaverish and disastrous SAP-like economic policies including the economic disaster of a 8k palliative handout peanuts, they are not turning around to condemn it. The impulsive things is to remove subsidy with economic wisdom and not as a media frenzy propaganda.
we should thank God for the negligible economic growth. Have you seen any activity that can reverse our fortune around you? The highest is hoe and cutlass supplementary hustle.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by 4Play(m): 7:49am On Jul 27, 2023
nedu666:


Define short and long term using number of years

I will say around 10 years.

After the initial shock of a change in the price level of petrol, future changes will happen at a slower rate so living standards will adjust better. In the meantime, the money used in subsidizing petrol will be put to better use even if some of it is embezzled which happens with subsidy money anyway.

I would have preferred that the removal is done gradually to mitigate the impact on Nigerians but better it be removed than not all.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by debeginin(m): 7:50am On Jul 27, 2023
TheBillyonaire:
IMF does not have any other job than to be monitoring Nigeria.

What a spy network.
Na monitoring spirits.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by 4Play(m): 8:06am On Jul 27, 2023
TheBillyonaire:


They monitor every economy now, not just those that seek lending, boy.

Spying for the highest bidder.

It's the IMF's role to monitor and give advice to all countries. They give advice to the US, UK, Germany, China, etc.

No country needs to take their advice but analysing economic policies and providing recommendations is part and parcel of their function.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by a4cube: 8:07am On Jul 27, 2023
4Play:


I will say around 10 years.

After the initial shock of a change in the price level of petrol, future changes will happen at a slower rate so living standards will adjust better. In the meantime, the money used in subsidizing petrol will be put to better use even if some of it is embezzled which happens with subsidy money anyway.

I would have preferred that the removal is done gradually to mitigate the impact on Nigerians but better it be removed than not all.
You mean this hardship will go on for 10 good years before Nigerians will breathe?
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by seunmsg(m): 8:13am On Jul 27, 2023
4Play:


Removing subsidy should have long-term positive impacts but will be painful in the short-term. Personally, I would have preferred a gradual phasing out of subsidy but it's better to remove it than to leave it in place.

We’ve been doing phase removal of subsidy since 1999 and we never got to remove it fully until Tinubu came in. The problem with removing subsidy is not whether it should be gradual or at once but our willingness to allow market forces determine the price.

Labour fully accepted the removal of subsidy when price was moved to N537. Now that market forces have pushed the price above N600, they want to go on strike. Do we need anybody to explain to Labour leader that forcing government to bring down the price is a return to subsidy?

7 Likes

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by seunmsg(m): 8:18am On Jul 27, 2023
festacman:
Apart from taxes imposed and subsidies removed to free up money for his government's use, President Tinubu, so far, has done nothing in terms of program to improve the real growth of the economy. Nothing!


You want him to perform a miracle in 2 months? Tinubu is not a magicians who will wave a magic wand and all our problems will disappear. He’s just about to constitute his cabinet. After that, he will constitute his economic management team.

The president is just one man who doesn’t know it all. He will come up with policies in consultation with his cabinet and economic team. For now, he’s still busy putting his team together. Let him breath.

7 Likes

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by 00FFT00(m): 8:20am On Jul 27, 2023
TheBillyonaire:
IMF does not have any other job than to be monitoring Nigeria.

What a spy network.

They are your creditors, therefore should keep steady eyes on you and your shenanigans.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by adebayo987: 8:42am On Jul 27, 2023
4Play:


https://punchng.com/insecurity-will-slow-nigerias-growth-says-imf/
Tinubu you dey hear am?

I no understand this patient patient you dey tell us.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by 4Play(m): 8:45am On Jul 27, 2023
seunmsg:


We’ve been doing phase removal of subsidy since 1999 and we never got to remove it fully until Tinubu came in. The problem with removing subsidy is not whether it should be gradual or at once but our willingness to allow market forces determine the price.

Labour fully accepted the removal of subsidy when price was moved to N537. Now that market forces have pushed the price above N600, they want to go on strike. Do we need anybody to explain to Labour leader that forcing government to bring down the price is a return to subsidy?

But now the government is considering costly palliatives and there is even talk of increasing public sector wages. If you are going to spend N500bn on palliatives, you might as well commit to spending only N500bn on subsidy.

You have to remember that the ultimate objective of economic policy is promoting economic prosperity. Market-determined prices are a means to an end, not the end in itself.

I suspect most African countries have market-determined fuel prices. But they have no prosperity.

The increase in inflation, at the same time that the currency is under pressure, will mean that most people will experience worsening poverty amplifying social instability and it will make it less likely that the government can follow through with more needed reforms because it's spent so much political capital for little apparent (to the average Nigerian) benefit.

1 Like

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by Essenza01: 8:47am On Jul 27, 2023
4Play:


Removing subsidy should have long-term positive impacts but will be painful in the short-term. Personally, I would have preferred a gradual phasing out of subsidy but it's better to remove it than to leave it in place.

Its not better to remove it without reasoning, it's better to deal with corruption, protect your borders and build modular refineries before removal... all these can be achieved in 6mths with proper monitoring on the refineries already on ground.
Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by fineboynl(m): 8:55am On Jul 27, 2023
NNPC investment massively in dangote refinery.hence the continue increase of PMS. Also became the spoke person for dangote refinery.

You can't compare Nigeria with countries where PM's is high because the countries are not the same.

Nigeria has it dinamics which IMF do not understand, the economy of Nigeria is not wide spread only few people controls it. IMF can now see that no palliative can replace Subsidy.

90% of Nigerians in Nigeria cannot afford to watch YouTube videos. As disgraceful as it sounds. The economy only thrive on transportation sector, food and commodity because of it large populations.

And that's why cheap fuel is everything to this country.

2 Likes

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by seunmsg(m): 9:16am On Jul 27, 2023
4Play:


But now the government is considering costly palliatives and there is even talk of increasing public sector wages. If you are going to spend N500bn on palliatives, you might as well commit to spending only N500bn on subsidy.

You have to remember that the ultimate objective of economic policy is promoting economic prosperity. Market-determined prices are a means to an end, not the end in itself.

I suspect most African countries have market-determined fuel prices. But they have no prosperity.

The increase in inflation, at the same time that the currency is under pressure, will mean that most people will experience worsening poverty amplifying social instability and it will make it less likely that the government can follow through with more needed reforms because it's spent so much political capital for little apparent (to the average Nigerian) benefit.


Well, the cost of subsidizing petrol is not static. If it is just the N500b you suggested, I don’t think anybody would be complaining. Let’s assume subsidy was partially removed last month and the price was fixed at around N350, subsidy payment per liter would be around N187. Fast forward to this month, it would have moved to N267. Only God knows how much it will be by December.

Personally, I would have preferred we fix Port Harcourt refinery and allow Dangote to come on board before removing subsidy. That’s the only way to ensure a relatively stable petroleum price.

In as much as we keep importing refined petroleum products, the price will be unstable as it will be affected by exchange rate movement. That is why Buhari had to fix the exchange rate at around N445 for a very long time. Now that we are floating the exchange rate, every other thing that is dependent on exchange rate will keep floating.

6 Likes

Re: IMF: Nigeria’s Economic Growth To Slow by seunmsg(m): 9:18am On Jul 27, 2023
Essenza01:


Its not better to remove it without reasoning, it's better to deal with corruption, protect your borders and build modular refineries before removal... all these can be achieved in 6mths..

We can build modular refineries that will serve over 200m Nigerians in 6 months? Just dey play you hear 🤣🤣🤣

5 Likes

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