₦airaland Forum

Kyase:
Where that guy wey bet with me during the presidential election sef

Workch where my 20k na

Me ke? I hope u are not mistaking me for another person. We haven't argued about presidential election, let alone staking a bet.

vicdom:
Me ke? I hope u are not mistaking me for another person. We haven't argued about presidential election, let alone staking a bet.

Not you, "Workch" was the one we bet with

Shey you were the one that was supporting atiku during the presidential elections

Kyase:
Not you, "Workch" was the one we bet with

Shey you were the one that was supporting atiku during the presidential elections

Me support atiku, when my brother was running? Am I mad? I'm not a bastard ooo

vicdom:
Me support atiku, when my brother was running? Am I mad? I'm not a bastard ooo

Lol
So why were you against those yorubas that supported Tinubu

Floky215:
Win you you mean or say inec would write result for them as usual in these state you mentioned...?

Except for Bayelsa which I don't really know...APC can never win a free and fair election in Kogi and Imo state...!!! Infact in kogi except for their late governor who died that actually won the election, the boy they selected to inherit the governship position never won a single election in that state...all result for elections were written for him by inec, even in primary result had to be written for him...for imo, hope which is number 4 on the list and was never liked by imo people became Governor by abracadabra mean under apc via the court cos they want in-road into the southeast and instead of him to do well, he started off by killing imo people and continue till this day....tell me if these 2 dunce have any chance except of course inec yakubu decides to yakubu them same way he did at the Presidential election...!!!

Which party will win Kogi State? SDP or PDP?

vicdom:
No need to debate much. Let's stake 50k each, and let us pay to Kyase. If Ododo wins at the end of the day, you win. But if Muri wins, I take the whole stake.

From the last polls kogi east had 180,000 voters,kogi central 135,000.by the time bello suppresses votes in igala,it will be at par.then apc defeats sdp in kogi west and it's over

MyMouth:
I did not vote for anyone in that election, believe it or not.

You were here bitterly campaigning against bello.apc will win using kogi west votes

Kyase:
Lol
So why were you against those yorubas that supported Tinubu

Lol... show me where I was attacking them because they were supporting Tinubu?

garfield1:
From the last polls kogi east had 180,000 voters,kogi central 135,000.by the time bello suppresses votes in igala,it will be at par.then apc defeats sdp in kogi west and it's over

Lol... You don't know what you are saying. Which Kogi central had 135k? Lol... Check again please

vicdom:
Lol... You don't know what you are saying. Which Kogi central had 135k? Lol... Check again please

Yes I just calculated

garfield1:
Yes I just calculated

Ohere had 52k, Natasha had 51k, so how come it was 150k? While in Kogi east, Echocho had 108k, while victor had 81k. So you can see that east produced 200k votes, while central produced just 100k

vicdom:
Ohere had 52k, Natasha had 51k, so how come it was 150k? While in Kogi east, Echocho had 108k, while victor had 81k. So you can see that east produced 200k votes, while central produced just 100k

Am talking of presidential which had more votes

garfield1:
Orlu zone has 12 lgas.apart from nkwerre where onyereri is from and ideato north where ugochinyere hails from,he has no issue.funny enough,apc dominates okigwe zone.this same athan achonu lost woefully to the late sen uwajumogu.the strongman of okigwe is chief tony chukwu supporting hope.ohakim is also with hope.even strong araraume couldn't dislodge APC.

For owerri,anyanwu is only sure of his ikeduru lga and maybe owerri.ihedioha is tactically supporting hope so nothing from mbaise.hope has ngor okpala
In terms of rigging,no one is competing with hope.the rec Sylvia AGU is with him.you saw how he cleared the state during the nass and assembly polls.

Your analysis of possible votes/support for Hope Uzodinma next governorship election in Orlu zone of Imo state is like analysis from one who smokes weeds in Oshogbo.
Hope Uzodinma destroyed Orlu and other LGAs in the zone, cause the unknown gunmen murder of hundreds of young people in Orlu zone in 4 years. Uzodinma will not win 0.5% of votes in Orlu senatorial zone if the election is conducted here in free and fair terms.

Nchenches:
Your analysis of possible votes/support for Hope Uzodinma next governorship election in Orlu zone of Imo state is like analysis from one who smokes weeds in Oshogbo.
Hope Uzodinma destroyed Orlu and other LGAs in the zone, cause the unknown gunmen murder of hundreds of young people in Orlu zone in 4 years. Uzodinma will not win 0.5% of votes in Orlu senatorial zone if the election is conducted here in free and fair terms.

It will not be free and fair,you know this

Muri can't win. He needs the other tribe n right now he only has igalas.

omotoniwa:
Look at this day dreamer, APC can not win any LGA as far as igala is concern. SDP has completely took over igala land, why dino will take kabba Bunu and jumu LGA, leke will take yagba West , Yagba East and Mopa Amuro. Lokoja and koto will go the way of SDP. Last last muri will be declared winner.

Kyase:
I know little about Kogi's politics but I know one thing, Ebira are determine people, they always give their own 100%, that being said, don't you think Dino will be an hindrance to him, just as Obi was to pdp

Dino will use Muri to break APC votes in the east because muri is actually a division in APC camp, while PDP in the east remain intact. PDP will win this election in Kogi State because Dino is the only candidate with possibility of votes or spread of votes in the 3 senatorial district.

Can only one tribe win the Guber election in kogi state according to the constitution

IamANigerianMan:
Nonsense, Ajaka would win 9 local government in IGALA land, you don't know anything , see someone analyzing politics without knowing who is contesting , Isaac Alfa is not contesting , my friend Adejo Okeme is one contesting on the platform of LP not Isaac .... Adejo is not only my friend we are from the same place, his polinig unit is in front of Late EKULE's house , he would not get 2 votes there ,all his brothers Emma, Afraid even his father Okeme are SDP, don't deceive yourself he cannot win a polling unit talkless of dividing the vote, Jibrin a.k.a Akpabana retd is wasting his resources he cannot win half of a polling unit, you are funny when you said Dinno and Bello would win Entire local government , you must Joseph the dreamer.... Go and sleep .... The next election would be won by SDP.

vicdom:
Leave Garfield1 nah, e go boom am for eyes come Nov 11. Imagine him saying Igala will still vote Ebira man again, after Bello brazenly refused power shift. If Muri no get over 80% of Igala votes, then it would be a really big shame on Igala community.

he'd suppress votes in the east and churn out 80-90% from his zones like he did in 2019. But it won't be easy this time around.

garfield1:
I am not arguing about that but ebiras turnout more in local elections than igalas just like in 2019.in 2023,there was nothing much at stake.ebiras hate igalas more than igalas hate ebiras.almost all ebiras are with ododo.he is the only ebira contesting.ebira will cooperate and bring 50k from okene,30k from ajaokuta,adavi,20k from okehi and 10,000 from ogori.but many igalas are not too keen in the election.you can see the several igala candidates to show you that they are not united.a lot of igala people will collect money and betray ajaka.rhey are many fifth columnists in igala land.they are far more liberal than the radical and hardened ebiras
The largest lgas in igala is ankpa,Idaho and dekina and yahaya will suppress their votes as usual,you know this.this will make igala votes equal to ebira votes.pdp is still strong in kogi east so many will vote pdp alongside apc.tjeres no way anaka will get bloc
The decider will be kogi west.abejide is pro apc and might collapse his campaign for apc at the dying minutes and even if he doesn't,apc will beat sdp in all the 7 lgas of Kogi west massively which will give apc victory.by the way,ebiras are also indigenous to koton karfe and lokoja.

Ododo? Even ebiras from other LGs are angry that Yahaya didn't choose from their LG, but chose someone from his ward - his cousin.

See, in a free and fair election, by 12pm, Muri would have been done with Ododo. I'm sure you know Muri is an APC man in a different party. They know if he wins, he's a better material than Ododo and with Ododo there, it's a ground for Yahaya to contest against Tinubu in 2027.

No need wasting your votes, the results have already been written.

BALLOSKI:
he'd suppress votes in the east and churn out 80-90% from his zones like he did in 2019. But it won't be easy this time around.

Yes but it's very possible.if pdp and wada can't win him,sdp wont

garfield1:
Yes but it's very possible.if pdp and wada can't win him,sdp wont

It's a different reality right now. You know people are more angry at APC now more than they were in 2019.

There's an ethnic dimension to the whole election right now. Everyone was okay that the zone of the governor should complete their term and hoping it'd move to another zone, but Yahaya thought differently. So, it was easy for Okun to vote him then cos they felt it'd be their turn next and no notable son of theirs was contesting - now you have them feeling cheated by what Yahaya did, they have Abejide and Dino in the race and they have Sam with Muri. So, it's a different reality from 2019.

BALLOSKI:
It's a different reality right now. You know people are more angry at APC now more than they were in 2019.

There's an ethnic dimension to the whole election right now. Everyone was okay that the zone of the governor should complete their term and hoping it'd move to another zone, but Yahaya thought differently. So, it was easy for Okun to vote him then cos they felt it'd be their turn next and no notable son of theirs was contesting - now you have them feeling cheated by what Yahaya did, they have Abejide and Dino in the race and they have Sam with Muri. So, it's a different reality from 2019.

I agree but muri won't have votes outside igala while ododo will have everywhere

garfield1:
I agree but muri won't have votes outside igala while ododo will have everywhere

Muri is hugely followed in Koton Karfe and Lokoja. I saw one of his campaign trips in Okene and he had his crowd. The important thing is, he has his stronghold and that's where the majority of voting strength in numbers. It's not going to be an easy election.

dbestuncle:
Can only one tribe win the Guber election in kogi state according to the constitution

constitution allows every tribe to win as long as it's winning. Of the 21 LGs of the state, he only needs to win in 13, if he wins in 9, based on how Okun land might tilt towards their sons(though he has one as a running-matel, Muri can take Ajaokuta and Koton Karfe and make it 11 or the 9 would be enough.

vicdom:
Not at all! zoning cost PDP the presidency. Why Obi lost is that the voting population of the igbos are not much to shift the tides. But here, Igala people have closed to 50% of the state population, which is enough to win them the majority votes. The only problem Muri will have is the spread, because he needs to win25% in 14 LGA. APC would have stood a chance if Ebira and Okuns are teaming up, but as it is today, Okun has two strong candidates.
Ebiras will do APC, Okuns will do PDP/ADC while Igala will do SDP. So it's going to be a full tribal politics this time, the first time in the history of te state. An average Igala man doesn't want to hear APC now, same as an average Okun man. If Bello had given ticket to Okun man, then they would have stood a chance of winning. But now, it's going to be tribal politics.

Muri just need to win 13 LGs and if he wins in 9, he's OK. The latest supreme court judgement put that to rest.

Kyase:
Well, we'll see, but pdp messed up still, giving Dino that ticket was suicide, an igala candidate would have won the election for them

That was where PDP lost.

vicdom:
I'm not Igala. I'm from Anambra, but I have been working in Kogi state for the past 10yrs, so I understand Kogi politics very well.

You know much about the place. You know there are indigenous igbo in kogi, too.

MyMouth:
Guy, the situation then is quite different from the situation now. Then, yahaha Bello had many igalas with him with the hope that he will serve his second ternue and hand over to am igala. The election then was rigged by Edward and co in the East, but u see this time, hmmmm, most of us that are strong supporters of apc would vote SDP. Mistake bello did was to go and pick his cousin to take over from him in a state where his ebira tribe are not even majority and a state where he performed woefully. Even some top guys in the apc are supporting Muri who was the immediate past deputy publicity secretary knowly fully well he is coming back to apc wether win or lose. Winter is coming in Kogi!

Maybe Bello would import his ebira people to come and run the election in Kogi east. We understand why it was easy for him in 2019 to rig. Not similar situation anymore.

garfield1:
Hmmm.i still wonder why bello behaved foolishly.he should have given sen echocho or prince shuaibu the ticket

Echocho that embarrassed his people by kneeling to thank Bello and also said he's done enough for the Igalas? Ododo would have more support than that sick Echocho.

garfield1:
I know what bello is doing.if he gives back power to igala,it might never return to ebira again.so now that he has the opportunity,let ebiras rule for 16 years and equal the igalas so that eveb if you people monopolize it,ebiras already did 16 years.if he gives okun,no bloc votes and only his ebira can give bloc votes.you igalas have dominated too much,why not allow others

You don't ask Tiv to give to Idoma, Jikun to give to others, or people of plateau to give to others, etc, why?

BALLOSKI:
You don't ask Tiv to give to Idoma, Jikun to give to others, or people of plateau to give to others, etc, why?

Because it's in ebira hands already