₦airaland Forum

The election is finally here and it is looking like a three horse race. Let me analyse the three senatorial districts.

Edo north zone:

The APC has the edge here especially in the Etsako axis and Owan east.Lp and PDP seems strong and poised to get votes in Owan west and Akoko Edo.Lp seems strong in Agenebode and Auchi...


Edo Central zone:
It is a traditional pdp zone until 2012 when oshiomhole swept here and last year when Lp and APC got good votes here. APC and pdp will likely get the majority of votes here. With Obi campaigning hard in Ekpoma and Auchi, lp may get up to 25%. Pdp should win here followed closely by APC

Edo south zone:
It is clearly a battle ground area with Lp and pdp having the upper mind especially in Benin. APC seems strong in the rural side especially Ovia South West where Denco hails from and orhiomnwon...
Pdp or Lp to win here with APC behind...

In summary, pdp and apc has 40% chance each of winning and Lp 20%

Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Seun
Famology
Seunmsg
Omenlon
Kedeojo

APC Okpebelo is winning mark this down

The entire Auchi is about 650k registered voters..

Only Ikpoba Okha LGA in Benin has 405k registered voters..

I don't see APC path to victory, even with rigging they will lose.

LP is not an option!

Akpata has used the campaign to raise money,...

Mumu prediction..
Okpebholo is the next governor of Edo state

Hope u are from edo state

vowiski:
The entire Auchi is about 650k registered voters..

Only Ikpoba Okha LGA in Benin has 405k registered local government..

I don't see APC path to victory, even with rigging they will lose.

LP is not an option!

Akpata has used the campaign to raise money,...

Ikpoba okha and other places in Benin will divide,Edo north wont

senatordave1:
The election is finally here and it is looking like a three horse race. Let me analyse the three senatorial districts.

Edo north zone:

The APC has the edge here especially in the Etsako axis and Owan east.Lp and PDP seems strong and poised to get votes in Owan west and Akoko Edo.Lp seems strong in Agenebode and Auchi...


Edo Central zone:
It is a traditional pdp zone until 2012 when oshiomhole swept here and last year when Lp and APC got good votes here. APC and pdp will likely get the majority of votes here. With Obi campaigning hard in Ekpoma and Auchi, lp may get up to 25%. Pdp should win here followed closely by APC

Edo south zone:
It is clearly a battle ground area with Lp and pdp having the upper mind especially in Benin. APC seems strong in the rural side especially Ovia South West where Denco hails from and orhiomnwon...
Pdp or Lp to win here with APC behind...

In summary, pdp and apc has 40% chance each of winning and Lp 20%

Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Seun
Famology
Seunmsg
Omenlon
Kedeojo

You from Edo State?

Eteka1:
You from Edo State?

Yes

Eteka1:
You from Edo State?

APC candidate has this already in his bag.
The only battle ground is Edo south, but for Edo central, PDP nor LP can beat the current senator which happens to be the APC candidate.
Edo north the Oshiomole factor will heavily favour APC through and through.

If feelers are anything to go by, APC has this locked down!

senatordave1:
Ikpoba okha and other places in Benin will divide,Edo north wont

Edo North won’t divide? You must be a Commendian

PDP will get at least 30% in Edo North.. that’s the importance of structure that Obi didn’t have.

Then you flip it for Edo central and south .

Senatordave the numbers you gave LP is too much.Reporting live from uromi,I can assure you LP will not have up to 500 votes in my local government

senatordave1:
The election is finally here and it is looking like a three horse race. Let me analyse the three senatorial districts.

Edo north zone:

The APC has the edge here especially in the Etsako axis and Owan east.Lp and PDP seems strong and poised to get votes in Owan west and Akoko Edo.Lp seems strong in Agenebode and Auchi...


Edo Central zone:
It is a traditional pdp zone until 2012 when oshiomhole swept here and last year when Lp and APC got good votes here. APC and pdp will likely get the majority of votes here. With Obi campaigning hard in Ekpoma and Auchi, lp may get up to 25%. Pdp should win here followed closely by APC

Edo south zone:
It is clearly a battle ground area with Lp and pdp having the upper mind especially in Benin. APC seems strong in the rural side especially Ovia South West where Denco hails from and orhiomnwon...
Pdp or Lp to win here with APC behind...

In summary, pdp and apc has 40% chance each of winning and Lp 20%

Mynd44
Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Seun
Famology
Seunmsg
Omenlon
Kedeojo

I don't see how APC will lose in Edo Central,it's not going happen.Asue is not popular in Edo Central.Even the Akoko Edo,i strongly doubt APC will lose there.the only place in Edo north APC may not win is owan west because of the speaker and ihonvbere lackluster performance in the campaign so far.Edo south is going to shared by both APC and PDP.Ovia north east that I am even afraid,the information coming from there this evening is APC will win there.The Egor where I am on ground,APC won't get below 30%,I don't know if we can win here.its only Oredo and ikpoba okha that i give to PDP.Uhunmwonde may go to PDP also.ikpoba okha and oredo have the largest votes in Edo State,i pray for the safety of those who are going vote there because I see massive violence and attempted rigging by both parties tomorrow.

Isokiscool:
Senatordave the numbers you gave LP is too much.Reporting live from uromi,I can assure you LP will not have up to 500 votes in my local government

I just tire for the guy,LP wont get 15% votes in esan land.I pick APC to win esan.

PDP will win but APC will try to do the Adamawa style

This election is a walk over for Asue Ighodalo.

Senator nkita is this analysis coming from you of all people, i thought you said obaseki have killed pdp, i pity edo people , nothing good will come from Apc , doing philanthropy doesn't make a person a good or an effective leader, ask Imo people about Rochas

Shawarmagirl:
To the amazement of y'all, LP might just shock everybody tomorrow. Don't say it's not possible. You are not in the mind of the voters.

Where will the shock come from?

An Akpata from the same Benin Zone as Obaseki?
No way.

Jorussia:
I don't see how APC will lose in Edo Central,it's not going happen.Asue is not popular in Edo Central.Even the Akoko Edo,i strongly doubt APC will lose there.the only place in Edo north APC may not win is owan west because of the speaker and ihonvbere lackluster performance in the campaign so far.Edo south is going to shared by both APC and PDP.Ovia north east that I am even afraid,the information coming from there this evening is APC will win there.The Egor where I am on ground,APC won't get below 30%,I don't know if we can win here.its only Oredo and ikpoba okha that i give to PDP.Uhunmwonde may go to PDP also.ikpoba okha and oredo have the largest votes in Edo State,i pray for the safety of those who are going vote there because I see massive violence and attempted rigging by both parties tomorrow.

APC may win that Uhumnwonde with the defection of Charlie Temple and the massive campaign by the APC here especially the propaganda that Obaseki abandoned them. Again, obaseki grabbed their lands..
What makes you think APC will win Ovia north East? What info did you ?
APC boys have started following the materials in Benin

Friend22:
APC candidate has this already in his bag.
The only battle ground is Edo south, but for Edo central, PDP nor LP can beat the current senator which happens to be the APC candidate.
Edo north the Oshiomole factor will heavily favour APC through and through.

If feelers are anything to go by, APC has this locked down!

Where are the feelers

vowiski:
Edo North won’t divide? You must be a Commendian

PDP will get at least 30% in Edo North.. that’s the importance of structure that Obi didn’t have.

Then you flip it for Edo central and south .

If you have 30% and Lp have 5-10%, APC has 60-65% which is a massive win for APC.. it is not a division...
Pdp structure in the north has almost totally collapsed except for Owan west. You may likely not see that 30% but APC has the structure to get 30% in south

Isokiscool:
Senatordave the numbers you gave LP is too much.Reporting live from uromi,I can assure you LP will not have up to 500 votes in my local government

Uromi is not the whole LGA

Jorussia:
I just tire for the guy,LP wont get 15% votes in esan land.I pick APC to win esan.

I know what I am doing... Lp highest votes in esan will be from Uromi and Ekpoma

Chinjo2:
This election is a walk over for Asue Ighodalo.

This is a 50 50 poll

fergie001:
Where will the shock come from?

An Akpata from the same Benin Zone as Obaseki?
No way.

If Peter that is a stranger can get 210,000 from Edo south, what stops Akpata from winning narrowly..Obaseki is not that electorally strong

senatordave1:
Yes

which part of Edo are you from?

senatordave1:
If Peter that is a stranger can get 210,000 from Edo south, what stops Akpata from winning narrowly..Obaseki is not that electorally strong

There were three factors for Obi
1. A Muslim shouldn't hand over to another Muslim, Obi is Christian.
2. Obi is from the South and from the East, equity, Justice & fairness.
3. He is seen as different from the old bloc.

Quelme:
which part of Edo are you from?

senatordave1:
And those factors didn't play in in CRS, Bayelsa,Rivers and Aks that have more christians than Edo? There must be something that made Benin people embrace LP and it is still there

In all these places you mentioned, name one that equity and justice in terms of zoning did not happen, including your native CRS.

Name one in all these places you mentioned, where the Governor succeeded their predecessors from the same Zone. We know you nah, equity doesn't matter to you because the more LP rises and gets votes, the more it aids the APC.

If I am an APC supporter, I will do exactly what you are doing, promote LP as much as i can in these circumstances.

Quelme:
obi is not different from the old bloc. He is part and parcel of the cabals.

part of the cabals? Maybe not.

Same as the old bloc? I agree.

fergie001:
There were three factors for Obi
1. A Muslim shouldn't hand over to another Muslim, Obi is Christian.
2. Obi is from the South and from the East, equity, Justice & fairness.
3. He is seen as different from the old bloc.

obi is not different from the old bloc. He is part and parcel of the cabals.

Na only this thing carry me come down stairs

Army in front of Central bank nearly beat me this morning cos am taking pictures

fergie001:
There were three factors for Obi
1. A Muslim shouldn't hand over to another Muslim, Obi is Christian.
2. Obi is from the South and from the East, equity, Justice & fairness.
3. He is seen as different from the old bloc.

And those factors didn't play in in CRS, Bayelsa,Rivers and Aks that have more christians than Edo? There must be something that made Benin people embrace LP and it is still there

Homeboiy:
Na only this thing carry me come down stairs

Army in front of Central bank nearly beat me this morning cos am taking pictures

How do you see Benin voting

Friend22:
APC candidate has this already in his bag.
The only battle ground is Edo south, but for Edo central, PDP nor LP can beat the current senator which happens to be the APC candidate.
Edo north the Oshiomole factor will heavily favour APC through and through.

If feelers are anything to go by, APC has this locked down!

How will edo people open their eyes and vote apc ,no be juju be that
Well it's a wishful thinking of an apc supporter ,the people are wiser than that
Your are mentioning big man, na oshiomole they feed them, so because he is from their, because he is a big man the people will now follow him blindly into the ditch
Apc is an evil party