₦airaland Forum

WriteerNg:
I don't expect anything intelligent from a Ukraine supporter, never have.


The most intelligent folks I've ever met all support Russia. Even the most brilliant comments here are Pro Russia.

Why can't your pro russians just say Hezbollah failed Lebanon if they are really that smart...

They are yet to shoot down a jet because you all said Hezbollah has the capacity to

Allthelight:
You mean the trash ? Hezbollah was suppose to stop Israel from invading Lebanon right.. Israel has done so thrice.

There is no benefit of Hezbollah to Lebanon they can arm themselves for years but in reality the invasion still happens

bad belle heart no go touch ground

@lordadam16, the libanese christians whom I've met didn't see Israel as their ally nor did they see libanese of other faiths as their ennemies.

I don't see the point in calling your organisation "the national army" if you are not interested in defending the nation.

Allthelight:
Why can't your pro russians just say Hezbollah failed Lebanon if they are really that smart...

They are yet to shoot down a jet because you all said Hezbollah has the capacity to

Hezbollah failed in Lebanon?abi isreal failed in Lebanon?

Ska333ko:
I just dey feel your post All the time 🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰

He has a way of giving background info through past, linking it to the present and even future too sometimes

He's very good at writing detailed post about the middle east region

I just keep wondering why Arab leaders hate Iran so much.

Ska333ko:
can anyone remember this picture 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂

Smart pro Russians how many top men did Russia loss in mariupol ?

It is a war people die !

Allthelight:
Smart pro Russians how many top men did Russia loss in mariupol ?

It is a war people die !

Even the so called Wagner boss died...
Guess who killed him smart pro Russians

Allthelight:
Even the so called Wagner boss died...
Guess who killed him smart pro Russians

Prigozhin killed himself.

⚡️Yedioth Ahronoth:

For the first time in the history of the Israeli army, damaged tanks and vehicles will be repaired by private companies. In the past, they were maintained at the army’s maintenance center.

The reason for this change is the large number of tanks and vehicles damaged in the battles in the Gaza Strip and southern Lebanon, and the urgent need to have them operational.

Rehabilitating and replacing the vehicles and tanks will take years due to their large number, and this requires the participation of private companies because the army alone is unable to do this
Nasrallah told you when you were planning to enter,see your life now

Ska333ko:
can anyone remember this picture 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 world best army under the blanket 😂😂😂

The IDF is the master circus of the 21st century. It was just two Hamas fighters that pinned them inside the house. Two Hamas fighters vs an IDF platoo, yet one IDF soldier went on to throw himself under a blanket. 🤣🤣🤣

Ska333ko:
Nir Davori News 12 live:

Israel asked the US to send another THAAD battery

✍️✍️✍️✍️✍️Out of 5 wey USA get, this tiny region won collect 3 😂😂😂😂
The fear of Iran is the beginning of wisdom
It means that the Iran " operation true promise 2" did great job

Maybe because they own the elites in the US.

Remember that Europeans founded the so called USA and the same Europeans went to Palestine to steal the current land called Israel.

They're siblings and knowing that the siblings in the US really do not need any air defence right now, it's best they're sent to the land grabbers to secure themselves

Ska333ko:
🔻🔻🔻🔻🔻🔻🔻Israeli media: 7 soldiers injured on the Lebanese front today were transferred to the Western Galilee Hospital Morgue in Nahariya

IDF are immortal 😂😂😂😂

Straight to the hospital or to the morgue in the hospital?

The average Arab knows the true history of what we call Israel today. It's only outsiders who confuse religion with current affairs and who confuse renamed Palestine with Israel from the bible.

I used to be like these fools who believe Israel of today is the same as that in the bible, my Arab childhood friends knew the truth when we were kids, I just couldn't believe what they were saying when they were explaining it to me.

Ghostagain:
@lordadam16, the libanese christians whom I've met didn't see Israel as their allies nor did they see libanese if other faiths as their ennemies.

I don't see the point in calling your organisation "the national army" if you are not interested in defending the nation.

Actions speak louder than words.
Read about the Lebanese civil war.
The conflict progressed along religious lines.

When sh*t hits the fan, we abandon peacetime pretenses.
Syria was a model of religious tolerance until the civil war.
Then Christians and Druze became endangered when the extremists surged supported by sectarian Sunnis.

The Lebanese Army has to choose its battles.
It has faced off with Sunni extremists seeking to gain a toehold in Lebanon for decades.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qalamoun_offensive_(2017)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syrian_Civil_War_spillover_in_Lebanon
Those threats remain and will pounce when the opportunity presents itself.

I'll put this in perspective so you understand the stakes, the Lebanese Armed Forces has a sh*t air force.
But they still have some dinosaurs that can conduct airstrikes on militants.
If they go against IDF, all their air assets will be destroyed in one afternoon.
This will increase the difficulty of dislodging the extremists when they inevitably stream across the border.

I do not want to watch an ISIS snuff video of a Lebanese Christian or Druze.
The Israelis and the West do not give a sh*t if Lebanon becomes embroiled in sectarian violence. In fact, they'll prefer that.

Meanwhile this war ends when Israel accepts a ceasefire in Gaza.
That could happen whenever. So it makes no sense to trade hard-to-replace assets, lose way more lives, and risk the hard-fought brittle cohesion of the country when Hezi is holding its own.
Only a guerilla force can f*ck up the IDF in Lebanon. Hezi is the best at it and have the records to prove so. Let them cook.

-Lord

As a fan of urban legends, I just have this to say:
A street fighter doesn't wait to be struck when it has been established that someone is planning to strike him. If a guy threatened me in the streets with words like " I'll get you soon ", I would deal with him as soon as he makes the threat.

This is why I would advise all nations to stop making threats, this can lead to an unexpected action.

Zelensky threatened to get nukes, Russia responded by fvcking Zelensky up.

There's a reason why neither the USA nor Russia threaten to nuke the other, the moment country A makes that threat to country B, country B nukes country A.

I sincerely think Israel and Iran are racing towards a total war and I'm not sure who would actually do the next move. Two nuclear powers fighting each other...

obedience4:
Is pro Palestine the same as pro Hamas??

A year ago, the difference was stark but rapidly, people are warming up to Hamas because they can see the factors responsible for their existence even if they do not entirely agree with their modus operandi. I can assure you that majority of those supporting Palestine around the world today do not see Hamas as a terrorist group unlike before.

LordAdam16:
It is logical of them to sit this out.

The Lebanese Army has less than 100K troops.
It is also diverse.
Israel will use its stationary assets as target practice.
In a few weeks tops, they'll essentially have to fight like a guerilla force.

Meanwhile, Lebanon is a country of 5 million people surrounded by larger countries with major Sunni Islamic terrorist problems.
After sustaining huge casualties in the War, the Islamists will walk in unimpeded and establish terror organizations.
They've had several scrapes with these terror groups, so it's best to let Hezbollah handle the IDF.

The Lebanese Army is doing its job of not letting the Sunni Islamists open a new front in Lebanon as they're attempting to do in Syria.
Because then Hezbollah's attention will be divided. It's core mandate is to defend Lebanese borders not assist Hamas.
So it will redirect some forces to the new threat.

The problem Lebanon faces is peculiar.
The four leading sects--Christians, Sunnis, Shiites, Druze--do not trust each other nor should they.
The natural ally of the Christians are the West + Israel. Natural allies of the Sunnis are the Gulf monarchies. Natural allies of the Shiites are the Persians. The Druze pair up with whomever has the most power at any point.
So even if you send the Army against the IDF, Aman can easily flip a Druze, Christian, or Sunni Muslim soldier into feeding coordinates and intelligence to the IDF, because it is in their sectarian interests for the IDF to prevail over Hezbollah.
It's a mess.

Let them remain neutral, protect the flanks, and offer an off-ramp.
Hezbollah will always have a lifeline because any deal to end the War will involve returning to the status quo or similar.
Unlike Gaza, the West cannot say that all Lebanese want to destroy Israel. So they'll cede control back to the Lebanese Army which will promptly look the other way while Hezbollah acquires deadlier armory. It is clear that after this War, Iran will transform Hezbollah and Houthis into near-equals of the IRGC's.
Hezbollah is far more useful to Lebanon than Iran even.

A lot of what has happened in the War is what you'll expect in a proxy War.
The US has had to watch helplessly as its proxy forces in Syria has been pummeled by both Syrian/Russian and Turkish forces.
If Iran wants to change the calculus, it'll need to build its Air Defense capabilities, its Air Force fleet, and force projection.
So it'll need to establish several bases in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen. Deploy air defense to protect forces there. Then deploy enough air force assets to be able to enforce a No Fly Zone.
To do that, it'll have to move way closer into the Axis orbit and become what Turkey is to NATO.
Unlike Turkey that recognized its limitations early on and acted accordingly, Ayatollah Khomeini famously pursued a "Neither West Nor East" foreign policy. So while Turkey was building its economy and fighting force, the Mullahs have been operating under a self-imposed embargo on cooperating closely with the leading superpowers.
They only changed their stance recently and it is taking this war and the threat of Israeli decapitation strike on the leadership for them to finally give up their completely boneheaded policy.

Everything that has happened so far leads back to that.
Turkey has more F-16s than Israel. It offered to buy more than 100 F-35 and received 4 before they were banned from the program.
In exchange, the US will give them 40 more F-16 of the most recent block. While Israel has 35 F-35's. And they've made some ground in developing their homegrown variant of the F-35 because they were involved in development and production of the F-16 and also involved in the development of the F-35.
If the Mullahs were not complete buffoons, they could have had a similar relationship with the Russians or Chinese. Iran will be crawling with S-400s, S-35s, S-57s, J-20s, and UAVs. We would not be concerned about Israeli strikes and they could have been able to enforce a NFZ in Syria, Iraq, and Beirut. That'd mean that IRGC officers operating in these countries will have operational freedom and better able to support the Resistance. Russia and China will be so pleased that they have a partner that can beef up protection of their interests in the region. In the War in Syria, the Axis would have made and held more ground.
In this War against Ukraine or the potential War in Taiwan, they'd be able to free up assets for their war effort and Iran would have picked up the slack easy. And vice versa. Russian and Chinese jets would be patrolling some flanks in Iran while they forward-deploy more Iranian air assets closer to the frontline.
And this is before we get to the topic of nukes.

Leadership is not all about having titles, living large in mansions, and having a harem.
It requires strategic planning and words can't express how awful the Mullahs have been.
The Resistance is having to do more heavy lifting under impossible conditions because of decade-spanning errors by the Mullahs.

-Lord

Very indepth analysis. You deserve a cold drink and some suya.