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Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts - Business (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralBusinessWhy Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts (8180 Views)

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Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by omoredia: 9:56am On Mar 05, 2025
But for APC to use it to campaign is always sustainable. Useless leaders give only excuses for failure
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by helinues: 9:56am On Mar 05, 2025
lexy2014:
oga, what was APC complaining about in 2015?

are you saying those in APC who said dollar was too high in 2015 that you supported didnt attend economics class in secondary school?

Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by Blazetrailer: 9:57am On Mar 05, 2025
Lol...since you know the purpose of foreign reserves....why dont you tell us?


zero8zero:
Illiterate, can you tell the purpose of foreign reserves?. Naira is on eight months high but enemies of the state are scampering around with a foolish propaganda to console wailers. No peace for the wicked, God bless Nigeria.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by ppogba: 9:57am On Mar 05, 2025
omoredia:
Experts or fraudsters
Exactly my brother .

Most of them have people whose capitalistic interest they are protecting with their myopic views.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by helinues: 9:58am On Mar 05, 2025
Blazetrailer:
Lol....not sure you even passed near a primary school given the obtuse and asinine comments you make on topics you dont even have any idea about.
One of the people I am talking about is here. They have no opinion of their own apart from attacking others expressing themselves
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by zero8zero(m): 9:59am On Mar 05, 2025
Blazetrailer:
Lol...since you know the purpose of foreign reserves....why dont you tell us?
I asked the question.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by Racoon(op): 10:00am On Mar 05, 2025
zero8zero:
Election losers.
Now here are the fraudulent election winners indisputable record.
https://fij.ng/article/data-buhari-tinubu-took-nigerias-economy-18-steps-backward-in-9-years/

Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by DeLaRue: 10:06am On Mar 05, 2025
Every time the Reserve goes down, Nigerians scream that it is due to the CBN using dollars to subsidise the naira.

That is not true.

On a day to day basis, money comes into and leave the Reserve. That is how a Reserve operates.

Do people even know that the government's foreign obligations are met from the Reserve, and that includes loans taken by previous governments.

World Bank loans can be for 20 years or more. So Nigeria still has to be paying back loans taken as far back as Mr Obasanjo's , Jonathan and Buhari governments.

These are being paid back from the Reserve.

The recent purchase of 8000 tractors from Europe will have been paid for from the Reserve, like many other obligations.

The balance in the Reserve will go up and down from day to day, week to week etc It is normal.

When it goes down, it does not automatically mean the CBN used the money to support the naira!

Ah, Nigerians.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by hopedey: 10:06am On Mar 05, 2025
Is only the sensible Nigerians that aware that Nigerians are in ONE CHANCE GOVERNMENT. The foolish President and his supporters are just fooling themselves.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by Bishopadaidu(m): 10:08am On Mar 05, 2025
Ok
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by tctrills: 10:09am On Mar 05, 2025
helinues:
Toh

Na only Nigeria opposition dey think say the dollar naira rate must return back to 2015.

Reasonable number of them did not attend the economics class in secondary school

Very illiterate set of people
The so called economic literate are in power and the economy is in shambles. Something is not adding up.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by helinues: 10:09am On Mar 05, 2025
tctrills:
The so called economic literate are in power and the economy is in shambles. Something is not adding up.
How was your journey from Pluto? You must have been away for some time now
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by DaddyCoool(f): 10:11am On Mar 05, 2025
anonimi:
I care oh.
Asiwaju must deliver what Buhari failed to do.
This is what ọmọlúwàbís do- we deliver what we promise.
😅 I almost missed the sarcasm

Anyway I modified my post. See it below

It "massively" appreciated from high of N1,665/$1 to N1,505/ $1

Wawu! What an accomplishment!
Same $ that was 450 naira when Tinubu took over not up to 2 years ago!😅

Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by tctrills: 10:14am On Mar 05, 2025
helinues:
How was your journey from Pluto? You must have been away for some time now
What are you talking about?
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by zero8zero(m): 10:16am On Mar 05, 2025
Racoon:
Now here are the fraudulent election winners indisputable record.
https://fij.ng/article/data-buhari-tinubu-took-nigerias-economy-18-steps-backward-in-9-years/
FIJ grin grin grin. I think say na better media, dey play, una mind no go touch ground.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by Blazetrailer:
Lol....this is how to know the uneducated ones that are online jobbers with next to nothing upstairs and probably semi literates but happy to come to Nairaland to flex fake statistics while hoping that intelligent people dont pick up their lies. This dude below has been spewing fake statistics all strewn around nairaland but I chose to ignore, however today, i think it is time to call out his lies...

Please read:

Fact 1: CBN still remains the largest supplier of forex in Nigeria. In 2024, CBN supplied $11.4bn to the Nigerian economy,mostly from the foreign reserves and other capital importation sources, making 40% of all the forex inflow into Nigeria in the year. This can be verified on any website on Internet. The 3% this dude below mentioned is a bloody lie. He doesn't know anything near what he is referring to. In contrast, CBN in 2022 did not supply USD to the Nigerian market( which created huge scarcity of forex then)and supplied $6.9bn in 2021 according to World bank report(anyone can check this online).

Fact 2: A major feature of an economy where the currency is floated is that the Government bank(Central Bank/Federal Reserve Bank/National Bank) is not a custodian of a huge chunk of foreign currency deposits. That is left to other intermediaries who trade in it. The government bank only intervenes to correct cyclical challenges using monetary instruments like interest rates. That the CBN holds majority of the forex in Nigeria and sometimes sells and participates directly by even selling below the supposed "market rate" is enough for any knowledgeable person to know that they are not floating anything......it is a managed exchange rate system...simple. That was why IMF called it " systemic devaluation" in their report of March 2024.

These people in Tinubu's government dont know what they are doing....they are confused.


DeLaRue:
The naira is not even being subsidised now.

Some of this so-called experts don't even know what is going on.

1. During Mr Buhari's regime, the CBN was supplying about 65% of the total dollars sold in Nigeria.

2. As of today, that figure has fallen to around 3%!

3. Since December up to now, the CBN has been stepping in to buy dollars because more dollars have been coming into Nigeria than the market can absorb.

That situation can change but for about 3 months now, the net contribution of the CBN to the forex market is only about 3%.

That is a fantastic development.

The Naira is currently operating on its own based on market forces, with little to no net contribution from the CBN.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by anonimi: 10:17am On Mar 05, 2025
helinues:
Toh

Na only Nigeria opposition dey think say the dollar naira rate must return back to 2015.

Reasonable number of them did not attend the economics class in secondary school

Very illiterate set of people
More illiterate than Buhari who promised to make it lower than what it was in 2015?
Or less illiterate that the old soldier T-Pain made into APC messiah of shege huh

Omooba77:
Owerri – The All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, on Monday said he would ensure that the Naira was equal to the dollar in value, if voted into office.
Buhari stated this during the South-East presidential rally of the party at Dan Anyima Stadium, Owerri.

“It is sad that the value of the naira has dropped to more than N230 to one dollar; this does not speak well for the nation’s economy,’’ he said.
He urged the people to vote for APC, noting that he would ensure that corruption was tackled headlong if elected.

Earlier, Gov Rochas Okorocha had urged APC supporters to vote for the party’s candidates at all levels, noting that a vote for Buhari without support to others at the state would amount to nothing.
Okorocha said Buhari would address the problem of electricity, bring back the kidnapped Chibok girls and promote industrial growth.

He said that Buhari was loved by the people in the region and urged them to elect him and other APC candidates during the March 28 and April 11 general elections.

Former governor of Anambra, Mr Chinwoke Mbadinuju and former Minister of Education, Chinwe Obaji, were formally welcomed to the APC at the rally.

The rally was attended by APC supporters from Abia, Ebonyi, Anambra, Enugu and Imo. (NAN)


http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/03/ill-make-naira-equal-in-value-to-dollar-says-buhari/#sthash.eALwzZ4V.dpuf
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by helinues: 10:18am On Mar 05, 2025
anonimi:
More illiterate than Buhari who promised to make it lower than what it was in 2015?
Or less illiterate that the old soldier T-Pain made into APC messiah of shege huh
Are you done with your wailing and crying at the same time?
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nairalanda1(m): 10:18am On Mar 05, 2025
Not earning enough forex, naturally issues will come up.

Simple
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nairalanda1(m): 10:20am On Mar 05, 2025
helinues:
Toh

Na only Nigeria opposition dey think say the dollar naira rate must return back to 2015.

Reasonable number of them did not attend the economics class in secondary school

Very illiterate set of people
Well, had buhari done things like removing subsidy in 2015, and actually also removing subsides on power too, by now we would have been seeing light at the end of the tunnel

Even your beloved tinubu is still doing the same thing pdp did.

The oil era is over. Time for your government to sit up.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by anonimi: 10:21am On Mar 05, 2025
DeLaRue:
The naira is not even being subsidised now.

Some of this so-called experts don't even know what is going on.

1. During Mr Buhari's regime, the CBN was supplying about 65% of the total dollars sold in Nigeria.

2. As of today, that figure has fallen to around 3%!

3. Since December up to now, the CBN has been stepping in to buy dollars because more dollars have been coming into Nigeria than the market can absorb.

That situation can change but for about 3 months now, the net contribution of the CBN to the forex market is only about 3%.

That is a fantastic development.

The Naira is currently operating on its own based on market forces, with little to no net contribution from the CBN.
Since you are the expert claiming that our currency is no longer subsidised, can you please tell us what T-Pain and his fellow progreThieves of APC have done with the Afreximbank loan.

Ibusho:
The Federal Government on Friday received a $2.25b foreign exchange support facility from the African Import-Export Bank.

The Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, confirmed this to Arise TV, said it is the first tranche of the $3.3bn facility from the bank. He noted that the loan was aimed at resolving the acute FX shortage that has hampered the economy.

According to the report monitored by our correspondent, the balance of $1.05bn will be received in the first week of January.

Edun stated that work has commenced for solutions to Nigeria’s economic challenges.

In August, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited announced that it had secured a $3bn emergency loan from the Afrexim Bank to stabilise the country’s volatile foreign exchange market.

https://punchng.com/fg-receives-2-25bn-afrexim-bank-loan/
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nedu666: 10:21am On Mar 05, 2025
DeLaRue:
The naira is not even being subsidised now.

Some of this so-called experts don't even know what is going on.

1. During Mr Buhari's regime, the CBN was supplying about 65% of the total dollars sold in Nigeria.

2. As of today, that figure has fallen to around 3%!

3. Since December up to now, the CBN has been stepping in to buy dollars because more dollars have been coming into Nigeria than the market can absorb. If the CBN has not been buying the excess dollars, the naira may have appreciated too fast, may be to N1400. That would have created a new period of instability. The CBN prefers the naira to gain or lose very slowly. That is what businesses and investors prefer. They don't want drama.

That situation can change but for about 3 months now, the net contribution of the CBN to the forex market is only about 3%.

That is a fantastic development.

The Naira is currently operating on its own based on market forces, with little to no net contribution from the CBN.
Comedian Don drop back yard knowledge
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by helinues: 10:21am On Mar 05, 2025
nairalanda1:
Well, had buhari done things like removing subsidy in 2015, and actually also removing subsides on power too, by now we would have been seeing light at the end of the tunnel

Even your beloved tinubu is still doing the same thing pdp did.

The oil era is over. Time for your government to sit up.
Who is this?
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nairalanda1(m): 10:24am On Mar 05, 2025
helinues:
Who is this?
Who is this?
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by helinues: 10:24am On Mar 05, 2025
nairalanda1:
Who is this?
Yes who is this? Tell us who you are
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by Basicend: 10:26am On Mar 05, 2025
DeLaRue:
Every time the Reserve goes down, Nigerians scream that it is due to the CBN using dollars to subsidise the naira.

That is not true.

On a day to day basis, money comes into and leave the Reserve. That is how a Reserve operates.

Do people even know that the government's foreign obligations are met from the Reserve, and that includes loans taken by previous governments.

World Bank loans can be for 20 years or more. So Nigeria still has to be paying back loans taken as far back as Mr Obasanjo's , Jonathan and Buhari governments.

These are being paid back from the Reserve.

The recent purchase of 8000 tractors from Europe will have been paid for from the Reserve, like many other obligations.

The balance in the Reserve will go up and down from day to day, week to week etc It is normal.

When it goes down, it does not automatically mean the CBN used the money to support the naira!

Ah, Nigerians.
Don't mind the mischievous analyst.

They know what they are doing. Majority of them were deriving a lot of profit from naira devaluation.

The current CBN governor is getting it right with mild and accurate intervention. This current stability is a clear and quite a true reflection of the state of the naira.

Rubbish propaganda.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nairalanda1(m): 10:26am On Mar 05, 2025
anonimi:
Since you are the expert claiming that our currency is no longer subsidised, can you please tell us what T-Pain and his fellow progreThieves of APC have done with the Afreximbank loan.
PDP polices of massive subsides on everything is why we did not have light and why we had no working refineries , instead we got worsening refineries instead.

And your atiku came and told us that we should bring back subsides. On top of the debt buhari left for us?

Apc is shite, but pdp is responsible for a lot of the economic mess we have now.

No, I am not a tinubu supporter. I call things as they are.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nairalanda1(m): 10:27am On Mar 05, 2025
helinues:
Yes who is this? Tell us who you are
Yes who is this? Tell us who you are.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by Blazetrailer: 10:28am On Mar 05, 2025
Ok...we dont knkw sir/ma....help us answer.







NB: the above is a bait, I hope you are smart enough not to swallow... grin


zero8zero:
I asked the question.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by tommy589(m): 10:29am On Mar 05, 2025
DeLaRue:
The naira is not even being subsidised now.

Some of this so-called experts don't even know what is going on.

1. During Mr Buhari's regime, the CBN was supplying about 65% of the total dollars sold in Nigeria.

2. As of today, that figure has fallen to around 3%!

3. Since December up to now, the CBN has been stepping in to buy dollars because more dollars have been coming into Nigeria than the market can absorb.

That situation can change but for about 3 months now, the net contribution of the CBN to the forex market is only about 3%.

That is a fantastic development.

The Naira is currently operating on its own based on market forces, with little to no net contribution from the CBN.
De La Rue, I want your enlightenment on how we've been able to attract dollar to the forex market without CBN contribution
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by DeLaRue: 10:30am On Mar 05, 2025
Blazetrailer:
Fact 1: CBN still remains the largest supplier ofnForex in Nigeria. In 2024, CBN supplied $11.4bn to the Nigerian economy,mostly from tbe foreign reserves and other Capital importation means. This can be verified on any website on Internet. The 3% this dude below mentioned is a bloody lie. He doesn't know anything near what he is referring to.
You abuse and denigrate instead of addressing issues correctly .

I don't know if your '$11 billion' for 2024 is right or wrong, but either way it doesn't conflict with my thesis since my reference point is '...from December to now...' meaning, in the last 3 months.

So, even if your figure for the whole of 2024 is correct, how does that conflict with my own assertion.

Is it not possible that none of your $11 billion figure applies to December 2024 where my reference period starts?

Please provide your own data for December 2024 to now, let's see if I am right or wrong.

Economics is about trends.

And the trend since December 2024 till now is that the net contribution of the CBN to the forex market has reduced dramatically to just 3%.

A massive reduction from about 65% under the previous government.

Fact.
Re: Why Exchange Rate Stability Is Not Sustainable - Experts by nairalanda1(m): 10:32am On Mar 05, 2025
The thing is, we have had this issue since independence...forex is not enough...so exchange rate is not sustainable.

But because we are import dependent, government has been using subsides, and is still doing it low key, to keep the naira from reaching N2000 and above per dollar. They are scared.

Until we do more domestic manufacturing, forget about strong naira. Manufactured goods and services is the way.
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