₦airaland Forum

LegendHero:
You can see I am not taking the statistics at face value because I am being conservative.

If I want to use direct estimate based on the data:

—18+ people who are eligible for NIN are like 52.17%
— Then < 18+ percentage will be like 47.83%

If you do the calculations, total population will be at 226million people based on the 118m NIN numbers.

Are you arguing my calculations?

You can't be sure that a good % of this your population group would have registered both in North and South. Especially when leaders are aware that this matter in population estimates, people mobilise their kinsmen. Registration for NIN is not limited to any age group and appreciable % of that age group would have been enrolled.
This 118m estimate to me should account for at least 70-75% of our population because of NIN-SIM linkage.

sparko1:
Look at it this way:

In the North, only the Man is allowed to have BVN, that means a state like kastina that has 4.1 million will almost have double.
Then there are the old that were not educated or those over the age of 70 that hasn't been captured.
Then we have those who feel they don't need it because of the present of Opay and the likes.

Now children between the aga of 1 and 16.1 (media age) constitute over 46% that means over 50 million children and counting.

Thedon12:
Average adult has 2 to 3 accounts and they will still count as 3 accounts opening not one.
The total number of Bank Verification Numbers issued in Nigeria climbed to 64.8 million in January 2025, marking a 2.14 per cent increase from the 63.5 million recorded at the end of 2024.

Eriokanmi:
That's another valid point to consider. Largely a larger percentage of rural dwellers don't have a NIN. My grannies are a good example.

mandarin:
This is not true. Men and women registered for NIN everywhere in Nigeria. Tell me where your other 4.1m live; kankara or malunfashi or jibia or where. What do people even take a million population for. Lets just assume 20-25% are yet to do. I beleive North is even more mobilized than the south

CodeTemplarr:
No NiN for kids of below the ages of 15. In fact, most educated kids only go for it when the appraoch jamb and waec exam stage. What happens to the uneducated ones who are not taking jamb or waec? What about below age of eight who form one-third of the population? 118m is a strong figure and be close to 200m when the unregistered are included.

Eriokanmi:
You dont even know anything. Statistical figures remain with the federal government. They'd never tell you the actual number of enrolles, same way they'd never reveal the actual population figures to the world.

As at 2021, Nigerian banks had 122.3 million active customers. I'm not even talking of opay, palmpay,monie point, etc. None of these customers would have an account without having both the bvn and NIN. Btw 2021 and now, you can imagine the figure. Again, there are students who aren't keeping bank accounts but have NINs.
There are millions in the various villages who don't have bank accounts as well.

As of last year, the number of active gsm subscribers was estimated at 219m. Can they have a line without the NIN? How will the line be activated? These are the people from 18yrs (adult) and above. We have millions who are below this age bracket. Not everyone in the villages have NIN or educated enough to have one

Agbegbaorogboye:
I have always insisted that Nigeria's population is grossly overestimated
If after all the enrollment surge that was occasioned by NIN-SIM linkage that even foreigners from Niger, Chad, Benin were registering as Nigerians, total figure is a paltry 118m not even close to half of our projected 250m population, then it's obvious that we might not even be up to 200m in the final run.

As at the last count, INEC database had 94m Nigerians and even that still contains foreigners.

So how is the 250m claim justified in the midst of these figures?

PlasmaTV:
Foreigners, people who are not Nigerians, have NIN. Trust me, I know what I'm saying.
It's a porous system already.

FreeStuffsNG:
Smh. It's obvious that you didn't study some courses.

No wonder many of you display ignorance on topics you don't know. Ordinary level geography textbook will educate you on why it's no brainer on why a country like Nigeria has most of its population under 16 years.

Many of you skipped good education but now want to criticize people who are more informed and educated than you on subjects that you are intellectually deficient at. Smh

Agbegbaorogboye:
I have always insisted that Nigeria's population is grossly overestimated
If after all the enrollment surge that was occasioned by NIN-SIM linkage that even foreigners from Niger, Chad, Benin were registering as Nigerians, total figure is a paltry 118m not even close to half of our projected 250m population, then it's obvious that we might not even be up to 200m in the final run.

As at the last count, INEC database had 94m Nigerians and even that still contains foreigners.

So how is the 250m claim justified in the midst of these figures?

MrDoGood:
How about those that already did enrollment years ago? Their figures not on this current

The total population includes home and abroad. Check the population of Nigerians in diaspora (illegal immigrants not included)

Desusi:
Did you know that in boko haram states majority of people don't have time for Nin.while so many people don't believe in the exercise. Similarly, in the issue of inec or voters card, millions would not register because they believed that true election can never be determined by voters card. There you're, Nigeria is indeed the giant of Africa.

Agbegbaorogboye:
This is for total enrollment since it started in 2007

MrDoGood:
Not everyone has done theirs. We have about 20 million Nigerians living abroad (legally) not those that used land. We equally have a good number living in neighbouring west Africa countries that are not documented. Talk about the north that most of them don't need NIN for anything. It's safe to say we're truly around 200m+

Agbegbaorogboye:
I have always insisted that Nigeria's population is grossly overestimated
If after all the enrollment surge that was occasioned by NIN-SIM linkage that even foreigners from Niger, Chad, Benin were registering as Nigerians, total figure is a paltry 118m not even close to half of our projected 250m population, then it's obvious that we might not even be up to 200m in the final run.

As at the last count, INEC database had 94m Nigerians and even that still contains foreigners.

So how is the 250m claim justified in the midst of these figures?

Agbegbaorogboye:
But you know one person can have multiple phone numbers and bank account right?

Agbegbaorogboye:
https://nairametrics.com/2025/04/20/nin-lagos-kano-maintain-lead-as-enrolments-hit-118-4-million-in-march-2025/

iswallker:
Yes they do because they are supposed to. that's what I said before that you can get a NIN if you live in Nigeria unlike the international passport...

Thedon12:
The last census I did, I was counted more than 8 times, since that time, I never believe our population figures.

Eriokanmi:
Yes, but what's their percentage, compared to non-active users of those lines and accounts? My stats were based on active users. Many people living in rural communities don't have NIN and they're still part of the population. They don't even have bank accounts. It's worse of in the north. I remember a day I wanted to renew my passport in Ibadan and 2 old couple were asked their NIN. They couldn't produce one and they still attended to them. NIN enrolment is only active and popular in the cities and major towns, similarly among sec schl students preparing for external exams

Agbegbaorogboye:
I have always insisted that Nigeria's population is grossly overestimated
If after all the enrollment surge that was occasioned by NIN-SIM linkage that even foreigners from Niger, Chad, Benin were registering as Nigerians, total figure is a paltry 118m not even close to half of our projected 250m population, then it's obvious that we might not even be up to 200m in the final run.

As at the last count, INEC database had 94m Nigerians and even that still contains foreigners.

So how is the 250m claim justified in the midst of these figures?

Agbegbaorogboye:
It's not true to say people in villages don't have NIN. As at today in Nigeria, you can't use a phone without having NIN. So how are villagers able to use their phones if they don't have NIN. Most of them who lost their numbers to NIN have procured another one.
So you need to understand that NIN has gone deeper even into remote areas due to the NIN-SIM linkage under Buhari. So for it to still be at 118million when we have over 220m subscribers shows that our population is not up to 250m. Out of the 224m subscribers, only 169 are active and when you take into account multiple SIM holders who are in the majority, you'll realise that or population can't reach 200m.
I use 3 SIMs as most of my friends do as well. In my immediate and extended family I know only one person who has 1 sim alone and that person has a phone with sim for his kids who are 10 years and below. I hope you can do the maths