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Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsCould Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? (7534 Views)

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Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by obedience4(op): 6:45am On May 27, 2025
In Nigerian politics, there has long been an informal understanding: presidential appointments should carefully balance the country's many ethnic and religious differences. Today, there are growing concerns that this is being ignored.

While the constitution requires regional representation in cabinet positions, the broader distribution of other prominent roles has traditionally followed a convention aimed at fostering national cohesion.

Nigeria's fractious divisions have in the past torn the country – Africa's most populous – apart.

Concerns about fairness in presidential appointments are not new, but a chorus of criticism is growing over President Bola Tinubu's picks, with some accusing the head of state – who has been in power for two years – of favouring people from his own Yoruba ethnic group.

The presidency vehemently denies the accusation.

There have long been fears that members of one ethnic group would come to dominate key positions – and this means that presidential appointments are closely scrutinised whenever they are announced.

There are over 250 ethnic groups in the country with Hausa-Fulanis, Igbo and Yoruba – hailing from the north, south-east and south-west respectively - being the three largest.

Critics say that Tinubu, a southern Muslim, showed signs of ignoring precedent from the onset when he picked another Muslim (although from the north) to be his running mate for the last election.

Since the return of democracy in 1999, the major parties had always put forward a mixed Muslim-Christian ticket, as the country is roughly evenly divided between followers of the two religions.

Tinubu's appointments since becoming president in May 2023 are facing growing cricisim.
Although there are dozens of roles for a head of state to fill, there are eight jobs that "are the most crucial for every administration", according to political analyst and barrister Lawal Lawal


These are the heads of the:

▪︎ central bank
▪︎ state-owned oil company, NNPC
▪︎ police
▪︎ army
▪︎ customs service
▪︎ intelligence agency
▪︎ anti-corruption agency and
▪︎revenue service.
There is no constitutional ranking of positions, but collectively these roles control the key financial and security apparatus of the country.

Every president inherits his predecessor's appointees, but has the prerogative to replace them.
As of April, all eight positions under Tinubu are now filled by Yorubas.

The recent appointment of former Shell boss Bayo Ojulari to head the state-owned oil company, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), in place of a northerner turbocharged the debate about the apparent monopoly of one group in top positions.

Looking at who filled the same posts under Tinubu's two immediate predecessors, there was no such dominance of one ethnic group at the same stage of their presidencies.

Goodluck Jonathan – who served from 2010 to 2015 – had a relatively balanced team of two ethnic Fulanis, two Hausas, one Atyap, one Igbo, one Yoruba and one Calabar.

When it came to Muhammadu Buhari – in power from 2015 to 2023 – the situation was less clear.
In the top eight he had three Hausas, two Kanuris, one Igbo, one Yoruba and one Nupe. But in the minds of many Nigerians, Hausas, Kanuris and Nupes are all seen as northerners – and therefore there was a perception that Buhari, who is from the north, showed favouritism
.

Some argue that Tinubu's appointments have merely continued the trend, but the 100%-Yoruba make-up of the eight key positions is unprecedented.

"For a democratically elected president, I cannot remember at any point in Nigerian history where you have this high concentration of a particular ethnic group holding most of the sensitive positions," history professor Tijjani Naniya told the BBC.

This is not just about what has happened in the past but it could have an impact on the unity and even the future of the country, the professor said.

"For me, the fear is what if the next president continues on this path and picks most of the sensitive positions from his ethnic group, it diminishes the feeling of belonging among the rest and also reduces belief in democracy," he said.

In the last two years, many northerners, mostly Hausa-Fluanis, have looked at the apparent direction of travel with alarm.

The current men (there are no women) in charge of the NNPC, the police, customs and the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) all replaced northerners.

The removal of Abdulrasheed Bawa, a Hausa, as boss of the EFCC in 2023 just two years after he was appointed was especially controversial. He was arrested, accused of abuse of office and detained for over 100 days before the charges were dropped

[i]He was replaced by Ola Olukoyode, an ethnic Yoruba.
Some from the north felt Mr Bawa was unfairly treated and pushed aside to make way for Mr Olukoyode[/b].

"The president needs to know that the Yoruba people are just a part of the country, and all appointments should be spread across all ethnic groups and regions," social affairs analyst Isah Habibu told the BBC.

Without addressing specific cases, a Tinubu spokesperson has said the president is being fair and balanced, by taking the wider view of all appointments.

Media aide Sunday Dare did try to go into detail, saying overall, 71 northerners and 63 southerners had been appointed by Tinubu. But his 9 April post on X was later deleted, after people pointed out errors in his claim. He promised an updated list, but more than six months later, it has yet to appear.

Tinubu faces critics even from within his own party.

Senator Ali Ndume is from the north and – like Tinubu – belongs to the All Progressives Congress. In one television interview he said he had gone on air to talk about the president's appointment "wrongdoings".

Ndume said he was shocked, describing them as "non-inclusive and not reflecting the president's 'Renewed Hope' agenda, which promised to carry every section of the country along".

Another presidential aide, Daniel Bwala, disputed the idea that some positions were more significant than others.

"All I know is that the constitutional provisions [regarding appointments] have been taken care of by the president - there's nowhere in the constitution [where it is] mentioned top five, top 10 and the rest," he told the BBC.

"The way we see it is that any position or appointment that one is privileged to serve in is very critical and important.

"The national security adviser is from the north-east, the chief of defence staff is from the north-west and the secretary to the federal government is from north-central."

The Office of the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, which coordinates policy on behalf of the presidency, released a statement on 12 April saying Tinubu was being fair.

"This administration is dedicated to ensuring that all regions and demographics of the country are adequately represented in its institutions and agencies," it said.

Political analyst Mr Lawal said the president should appoint the best person for the job, irrespective of their ethnic origin – and agues that this is what Tinubu is doing.

"It's high time Nigeria looks beyond ethnicity," he said.

There could be a time when Nigerians no longer obsess over the ethnic origins of those in the upper echelons of government, but historian Prof Naniya says this is still some way off.

He believes it can only happen when the country gets at least four presidents in succession who give every section a sense of belonging in terms of projects and appointments.

"I think it can be done but needs the right leaders."
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce9v2m7k988o

Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by flokii: 8:12am On May 27, 2025
There is no written law that says so so and so positions should go to North, same way there is no law that says Yorubas can't hold key portfolios in Nigeria.

You lots will be the first to label others tribalists but y'all are the ones most vocal over tribe of the President's appointees.. if that doesn't make you lots tribalists as well, then I wonder what the yardstick is to tag some as tribalists.

When GEJ completely marginalized Yorubas, did you see Yorubas making mockery of themselves all over the news like some of you are doing today? No. Our people simply restrategized politically and sent the Yoruba hater packing. That strategy has placed Yorubas at a great advantage today and Yorubas deserve all the positions and benefits we've been denied for years.
I also look forward to the next INEC Chairman who MUST be a Yoruba man and not a Mohammed or Nwosu. A Yoruba Professor must and will head INEC next.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Otaiky(m): 8:12am On May 27, 2025
K
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by KayCee92(m): 8:13am On May 27, 2025
grin
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by loyaltygame(m): 8:13am On May 27, 2025
Nigeria.
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Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by datola: 8:14am On May 27, 2025
Dear BBC, you and your ancestors started the ethnic wahala by joining North with the South and handing over Nigeria to incompetent North.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by JAWBONE(m): 8:15am On May 27, 2025
The tribalism and bigotry is so bad under Tinubu that it prompted a BBC article.

They will soon send their attacks dogs to "debunk" it
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by bigpicture001: 8:15am On May 27, 2025
Nothing like ethnic balancing in Nigeria... The igbos are highly marginalized... Even the Senate deputy president said it..

But covered up with.. it must have been an ommission
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Antoeni(m): 8:16am On May 27, 2025
Tinubu is a big disappointment, even most of His Yoruba Muslims will support Peter Obi in the next election, we thought Tinubu had something to offer, despite removing subsidy nothing have changed
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Dalohad: 8:17am On May 27, 2025
flokii:
There is no written law that says so so and so positions should go to North, same way there is no law that says Yorubas can't hold key portfolios in Nigeria.

You lots will be the first to label others tribalists but y'all are the ones most vocal over tribe of the President's appointees.. if that doesn't make you lots tribalists as well, then I wonder what the yardstick is to tag some as tribalists.

When GEJ completely marginalized Yorubas, did you see Yorubas making mockery of themselves all over the news like some of you are doing today? No. Our people simply restrategized politically and sent the Yoruba hater packing. That strategy has placed Yorubas at a great advantage today and Yorubas deserve all the positions and benefits we've been denied for years.
I also look forward to the next INEC Chairman who MUST be a Yoruba man and not a Mohammed or Nwosu. A Yoruba Professor must and will head INEC next.
Stop lying. We Yorubas lamented severally against GEJ and propped up all kinds of propaganda sentiments.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by bigdammyj: 8:18am On May 27, 2025
Reading…
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Tbagwell80: 8:19am On May 27, 2025
Like Buhari like Tinubu.

Ethnic champions hardly do well in power.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Reference(m): 8:19am On May 27, 2025
This is the summary of Nigeria's GMP in the 21st century. Nothing more..... primitive nation.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by k777(m):
Is BBC trying to instigate violence against the Nigerian people? Your colonisation brought unnecessary amalgamation, violence and corruption in Africa. Africa media need to step up in exposing the massive corruption going on in Western countries. Nigeria Federal Character began to putrefy from Jonathan and buried by Buhari's terrible govt. Although every region should be well represented but it's not the job of BBC to tell us, they never mean well for us anyway.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by MightySparrow: 8:21am On May 27, 2025
datola:
Dear BBC, you and your ancestors started the ethnic wahala by joining North with the South and handing over Nigeria to incompetent North.
huh
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by lexy2014:
flokii:
There is no written law that says so so and so positions should go to North, same way there is no law that says Yorubas can't hold key portfolios in Nigeria.

You lots will be the first to label others tribalists but y'all are the ones most vocal over tribe of the President's appointees.. if that doesn't make you lots tribalists as well, then I wonder what the yardstick is to tag some as tribalists.

When GEJ completely marginalized Yorubas, did you see Yorubas making mockery of themselves all over the news like some of you are doing today? No. Our people simply restrategized politically and sent the Yoruba hater packing. That strategy has placed Yorubas at a great advantage today and Yorubas deserve all the positions and benefits we've been denied for years.
I also look forward to the next INEC Chairman who MUST be a Yoruba man and not a Mohammed or Nwosu. A Yoruba Professor must and will head INEC next.
how did jonathan "completely marginalise yorubas"?

if you say "Yorubas deserve all the positions and benefits we've been denied for years", what are those positions and benefits?

since you are a yoruba, which of the positions and benefits have you received thus far?

by the way, I thought Tinubu is a democrat?
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by jaxxy(m):
tinubu messed up with his highly ethnic biased key appointments. Even Jonathan and buhari didn't appoint only their region in key possession.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by idalex: 8:22am On May 27, 2025
hmm
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by PHIPEX(m): 8:22am On May 27, 2025
Greed leads to winner takes all mentality. This benefits few people in the short term but damages the society unity and cohesion for generations to come.

The current acts of APC since 2015 will be referenced in the next 30years if Nigeria remains
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by illuminutty: 8:24am On May 27, 2025
Tinubu will not be Nigeria's president forever. Neither will he live forever, no matter how much and hard he tries. Tinubu will die 10 years after he leaves power. He is already in his 80's then add 10 years to his age, he will be gone like others.

Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Karlman: 8:24am On May 27, 2025
APC through the disaster called buhari started it, and now continued by disaster promax called Tinubu.

By the time APC is done with Nigeria, there would be no Nigeria left to fight for.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by erniok(m): 8:25am On May 27, 2025
Very lopsided reporting. Who else noticed that all those complaining are northerners? Since the complaint is about Youruba appointees of the president, shouldn't BBC reach out to analysts from SS&SE for their views or is BBC speaking so loudly for only the northerners?
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by alanto: 8:25am On May 27, 2025
grin I will think it capability that matters and not tribe... Funny how any situation can be adjusted to suit anyone at any point in time. Only thing is there'll be too many conflicts over same issue.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by DIVINEEVIDENCE: 8:27am On May 27, 2025
flokii:
There is no written law that says so so and so positions should go to North, same way there is no law that says Yorubas can't hold key portfolios in Nigeria.

You lots will be the first to label others tribalists but y'all are the ones most vocal over tribe of the President's appointees.. if that doesn't make you lots tribalists as well, then I wonder what the yardstick is to tag some as tribalists.

When GEJ completely marginalized Yorubas, did you see Yorubas making mockery of themselves all over the news like some of you are doing today? No. Our people simply restrategized politically and sent the Yoruba hater packing. That strategy has placed Yorubas at a great advantage today and Yorubas deserve all the positions and benefits we've been denied for years.
I also look forward to the next INEC Chairman who MUST be a Yoruba man and not a Mohammed or Nwosu. A Yoruba Professor must and will head INEC next.
In a government where all states and ethnic groups contribute to the Centre, such thoughts of madness should be internalized, not verbalized.

You folks are hastening the dissolution of this contraption, and I can see it going the way of the Hutu-Tutsi war, where husbands and wives killed each other for being from different tribes.

When you keep piling up hatred and division, its escalation will usually be thunderous.

Whoever paid for your education should be compensated.
They were clearly defrauded as you were never taught and clearly learnt nothing.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Dotherightthing: 8:31am On May 27, 2025
No doubt Yorubas occupy key positions in this government

However, since Obasanjo left office in 2007, how come no other president found any Yoruba person worthy to IGP, COAS, DG DSS, CG Customs, CG Immigration, CBN governor, NSE DG, SEC DG, DG NIA etc etchuh

If Tinubu doesn't appoint Yorubas, nobody else will! angry
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Oriaaak: 8:32am On May 27, 2025
Taa
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by psucc(m): 8:37am On May 27, 2025
Tinubu came with two points agenda,
1. Emi le kan
2. To continue where Buhari stopped.

So he has never disappointed in any, poverty, hunger, suffering, high taxation, high cost of living, name them.
He is also winning trophies- Poverty Capital of the World, improved position as one of the most corrupt Countries, etc.
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by jmoore(m): 8:39am On May 27, 2025
Emilokan babablu bulabu
Re: Could Nigeria's Careful Ethnic Balancing Act Be Under Threat? by Macphenson: 8:39am On May 27, 2025
k
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