Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr - Politics - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr (906 Views)
| Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 1:18pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Why an Atiku/Obi Ticket in 2027 Might Be the South-East’s Closest Path to the Presidency As Nigeria approaches another election cycle in 2027, the political permutations around zoning, power rotation, and regional equity have once again taken center stage. For the South-East, a region that has yet to produce a democratically elected president since independence, 2027 presents a critical window, but also a narrowing one. Current Power Distribution and Zoning Logic President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, a Yoruba man from the South-West, is currently in power, having assumed office in May 2023. By 2027, he would have completed his first term. Traditionally, Nigeria's informal power rotation agreement, though unwritten, tends to alternate the presidency between the North and the South every eight years. If Tinubu seeks and wins a second term (2027–2031), then by zoning logic, power would shift back to the North until at least 2039. After that, the cycle would logically return to the South. But here’s the catch: the South is not a monolith. The Southern region consists of three major zones: South-West (Yoruba) South-South (Ijaw, Itsekiri, Urhobo, etc.) South-East (Igbo) While the South-West (Obasanjo, 1999–2007, and now Tinubu) and the South-South (Jonathan, 2010–2015) have both had shots at the presidency, the South-East remains excluded. If the power pendulum swings back to the North after 2027 or 2031, the next realistic opportunity for a Southern presidency could be as far as 2043, or even later, considering the likelihood of other zones wanting a turn. The South-South may argue they deserve a full 8-year tenure, having only done 5 years under Jonathan. The North Central may also push for a turn, having never produced a president. Why an Atiku–Obi Pact Could Be a Game-Changer Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar (North-East) and former Governor Peter Obi (South-East) are two of the most prominent opposition figures from the 2023 election. In 2023, Atiku ran under the PDP and came second with about 6.9 million votes, while Obi, under the Labour Party, shocked the nation by pulling over 6.1 million votes, coming third but dominating the South-East and making inroads in Lagos, Abuja, and parts of the Middle Belt. Both men command massive followings: Atiku has the North-East and part of the North-West as his base. Obi has become the political hope of the South-East and parts of the youth population nationwide. If these two leaders could strike a clear, written and publicly endorsed agreement, where: Atiku runs for only one term (2027–2031) Obi is his running mate and guaranteed support for 2031 presidential ticket Then the South-East would be strategically positioned for its best and closest shot at the presidency. Such a deal would: Reunify the opposition votes that were split in 2023. Reassure the South-East electorate that their turn is not being postponed indefinitely. Offer a win-win for both men, allowing Atiku to fulfill his long-standing ambition and retire with a legacy of facilitating regional inclusion. Why the Ruling Party Fears a United Atiku–Obi Front It appears that the ruling APC and President Tinubu understand the strategic threat posed by a united Atiku–Obi ticket and they are already working to prevent it. This is why there is a noticeable push by APC-aligned voices for the opposition to field a Southern candidate, especially Peter Obi. Their logic is simple: if the main opposition candidate is from the South, the North's massive voting bloc will stay loyal to Tinubu, making re-election easier. But if Atiku, a Northern heavyweight, runs with the full support of Peter Obi and the South-East, such a ticket becomes formidable, perhaps unbeatable. That’s why APC loyalists, including figures like Nyesom Wike, Reno Omokri, and other e-warriors, are loudly opposing this potential alliance. Some even pose as “Obidients” online while subtly pushing narratives that pit Obi against Atiku, all in a bid to prevent the merger. Their goal is simple: divide the opposition and conquer again in 2027. Electoral Arithmetic Supports It Let’s look at 2023 figures for context: Combined Atiku and Obi votes in 2023 = 13 million. Tinubu won with 8.7 million votes If they had run together with a united platform and party, they likely would have overtaken Tinubu comfortably. This makes the alliance not just morally appealing for justice and equity, but also mathematically feasible. Why Time is Running Out for the South-East. If this window is missed, and Tinubu wins again in 2027: The North will likely produce the next president (2031–2039). The South-South or North-Central may also seek their turn (2039–2047). This could delay the South-East’s chances until 2051 or beyond, nearly three decades from now. In Nigeria's fast-changing political terrain, nothing is guaranteed, especially that far into the future. Conclusion: The Strategic Path Forward The 2027 Atiku–Obi ticket built on a single-term agreement and a handover plan to the South-East may be the most realistic and closest path for the Igbo presidency. Not just for symbolism, but for historical justice and national unity. Whether the political elite in both camps will be humble and wise enough to see this rare alignment of stars remains to be seen. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Noerection: 1:22pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Must Ibo become president of this country? It seems these people have hidden agenda |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 1:26pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:Why can’t they? Are they not Nigerians? Perhaps you can explain your point better |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Noerection: 1:41pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
ibabz:are they not Biafrans anymore? |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Mabuggi88: 1:43pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:Have you you allowed them go with their Biafra? Be asking rubbish question. Why won't Igbos become president? Are they not citizens of the country like you? Dey there de talk nonsense |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Educationalserv: 1:57pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:if they lead to poverty reeducation and development why not . We want a Competent president . |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Educationalserv: 2:00pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
ibabz:rational strategist |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 3:02pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:What’s the difference between Biafra, Odua and Arewa? What makes one superior to other? |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Noerection: 3:25pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Mabuggi88:if Ibo can present good candidate we will support him or her but not Peter Obi Pandora |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Noerection: 3:26pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
ibabz:3 million pkai on top nothing |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Predictor3: 3:33pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:The agitation for Biafra is valid because they're denied the leadership of Nigeria. They feel excluded. Meanwhile they contribute to Nigeria as much as any other tribe. But then there should be a referendum to see if they will prefer to have Biafra to staying in Nigeria |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Predictor3: 3:34pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
OP, the obidients will disagree with your brilliant idea |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by KingOfPeaceJoy: 3:52pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Who is dreaming about Atiku/Obi 2027? You are a joker. ibabz: |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 4:02pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
KingOfPeaceJoy: |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Mabuggi88: 5:11pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:Just like Nigerians were praying for Osinbajo to be given to us but presented vegetable for us in the name of president, now even the road to burdilion no dey 😏 |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 5:20pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:Why are you afraid of Peter Obi? I think there should be something interesting about this man that is causing you guys so much pain. Why not come out openly and tell us. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Gerhards: 5:23pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:Can you stop trolling for once? ☝️ |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Gerhards: 5:25pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Predictor3:Obidients will never agree and the iragbiji vegetable in Aso-Rock will continue until 2031 if they fail to work together |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Igbophobia: 5:29pm On Jul 28, 2025*. Modified: 6:28pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Of what benefit is it to me if an Igbo from SE or even SS is president? The problem with most of you Nigerians is that your concept of progress and even nationhood differs a lot from the mind of an Igbo man. We Igbos want a functional country, not the cesspool of corruption and injustice Nigeria is. Here's how we reason: If Igbo presidency is someone like Wike (yes he's Igbo) or Okorocha, it still doesn't make sense for us as Igbo. In like manner, if Atiku Abubakar is the best you guys can promote for 2027 instead of Obi, people like us do not really see him as capable of anything different from Tinubu. In which case, it is like what you refer to as Otto Cycle: a nullity which means that you guys have no vision for a country that makes progress. This is why most of us believe that Igbo is better off in our own country. Nigeria has already wasted decades of Igbo existence with the clowns you guys refer as leaders just because they're from your tribes. Pray, of what benefit is Tinubu and his government to the average Yoruba man? Na my tribesman ba? That's classical African foolhardiness. Obi has become the political hope of the South-East and parts of the youth population nationwide.So you concede that only the Igbo (who you refer to as SE. Igbo 're actually in 13 states) and the youths of the country have good sense of judgment? The rest of you would rather choose incompetence for tribal and other reasons. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 6:47pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Igbophobia:I agree with you that people like Wike or Okorocha may never appeal to well-meaning Nigerians, not because they aren’t influential, but because their pasts are littered with questionable decisions, political inconsistencies, and credibility issues. But on Atiku Abubakar, I respectfully disagree. Your perception of him seems to be shaped more by what you’ve heard than what you may truly know. If we’re going to be honest, what Nigeria urgently needs is experience, not experiments. We've had enough of trial-and-error leadership. Tinubu’s government is a painful example of what happens when ambition is not matched with tested capacity. Between 1999 and 2007, Atiku served as Vice President under Olusegun Obasanjo and was the driving force behind many key economic reforms. Most of the technocrats that laid the foundation for Nigeria's post-military economic stability were sourced by Atiku himself, including Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Nasir El-Rufai, Nuhu Ribadu and Charles Soludo. These were not random hires, they were handpicked as part of a deliberate reform strategy and we saw what they were able to achieve for the country. Under the Atiku-OBJ economic agenda: Nigeria paid off $30 billion in external debt, including a 12 billion Paris Club deal. The banking consolidation policy created a more stable financial sector. The Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE), which Atiku supervised, privatized over 100 moribund public enterprises, saving the economy from bleeding further. The GDP grew at an average of 6% per year, one of the most stable periods since 1980. Let’s compare that to what we’re witnessing today. Tinubu, within his first year: Spent N11 trillion (over $7 billion) trying to “stabilize” the naira through FX interventions yet the naira collapsed from ₦460/$1 to over N1,500/$1 at its worst point. Allocated over ₦200 billion to repair refineries (including N144 billion for Port Harcourt refinery alone) yet as of today, not a single drop of petrol has come out of those refineries. Removed fuel subsidy overnight with no mitigation plans, leading to inflation above 33% and pushing over 133 million Nigerians into multidimensional poverty. Atiku, having learned from his time with Obasanjo, wouldn’t have approached subsidy removal, naira flotation, or refinery resuscitation with such recklessness. He understood and still understands the economic consequences of rushed reforms without safety nets. Yes, people have accused Atiku of corruption. But to date, no court Nigerian or international has convicted him of any crime. Meanwhile, those who once screamed the loudest about corruption are now presiding over one of the most brazenly corrupt administrations in modern Nigerian history. Even APC insiders have admitted this in hushed tones. Atiku has always called for restructuring, decentralization and a return to production-based economics. His 2023 manifesto proposed: Reducing federal control and increasing state autonomy in resource management Boosting local production to reduce import dependency. Immediate review of FX policy and coordinated monetary–fiscal strategy I wasn’t a supporter of Atiku either. But facts are sacred. I took time to study his plans, compare them with others, and analyze what he did when he had the chance. If you truly care about this country, setting sentiment aside, Atiku remains one of the few viable options with the experience, network, and maturity to fix what’s broken. Nigeria doesn’t need another trial. It needs someone who has been there, seen it, and knows what works. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 6:52pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Igbophobia:If you have been following my comments and opinions you would have know that I don’t care “where” but “who” becomes the president. To be candid, Nigeria is very complex to manage. If you don’t have the experience or consult with someone with experience, there is no way you wouldn’t make mistakes as a Nigerian president |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by ibabz(op): 6:57pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Predictor3:It may interest you to know that most of the people that are parading themselves as obidients and advocating for Peter Obi candidacy for the opposition are not actually obidients. Most of them are APC e warriors. Most obidients that I know want whatever formula that can oust this calamity out of Aso rock. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by kedeojo(m): 9:28pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Igbophobia:I will choose Atiku and Ameachi to obi cos they are better one million time. Your write up just show desperation. Obi was just an average governor who was not even popular due to performances. In south east, you can't compare Umahi and chime to obi in terms of performance. You people just packaged the tribal and religious bigot who lies too much to Nigeria cos he is currently the only igbo contesting for presidential election. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by PaellaPaella: 9:32pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
kedeojo:Anything to send Iragbiji vegetable back to where he came from is a welcome development ![]() |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by fineboynl(m): 9:47pm On Jul 28, 2025*. Modified: 10:07pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Nigeria believes in Obi to deliver. The vice president slots is total rubbish. Nigeria cannot bank on that. If Obi is president is different from atiku presidency. The president calls the short. Besides it’s not the turn of the north they started playing the zoning game. If they can’t support Obi then let tinubu continue. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by Dalohad: 9:51pm On Jul 28, 2025 |
Noerection:Atiku and Obi with their collective 14 million votes are coming for Bulabar master's paltry and dwindling 8 million votes. We know that you Bulabadeens are praying for Atiku and Obi not to come together. The coalition is will work and we waiting the corrupt judge or INEC officers that will disqualify the coalition from contesting. We heard that is what Wike, Tinubu and co. are currently planning. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by KingOfPeaceJoy: 7:55am On Jul 29, 2025 |
Who is Apc e warriors for you. Do I look like helinues for you? Why Atiku/Obi instead Obi/ Atiku? Now me and I do not have any interaction... [quote author=ibabz post=136259917][/quote] |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by KingOfPeaceJoy: 7:55am On Jul 29, 2025 |
Who is Apc e warriors for you. Do I look like helinues for you? Why Atiku/Obi instead Obi/ Atiku? Now me and you do not have any interaction... [quote author=ibabz post=136259917][/quote] |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by GodPunishOsu: 8:09am On Jul 29, 2025 |
ibabz:We're afraid of him because he is a religion and tribal bigot, He's only appealing to Igbo people and Christians bigot like him. |
| Re: Why An Atiku/obi Ticket In 2027 Might Be The South-east’s Closest Path To The Pr by GodPunishOsu: 8:13am On Jul 29, 2025 |
KingOfPeaceJoy:You're an agbadorian ![]() |
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