₦airaland Forum

Acidosis:
Do by elections for Tinubu, let's test SOMETHING. Then you will understand the difference between APC party agents (aka Amaechi-laptop-gengs) and real Nigerians. Did you see anybody going out to vote anywhere apart from professional APC agents and card carrying APC members? Nigerians understand the genesis of their problem and they're patiently waiting.

Walai:
Anybody judging 2027 Presidential election with the bye-election needs his head examined.
No 1, the voter turnout is very low, people know the election will not change anything
No 2, the governors have upper hand in state house of assembly elections.
No 3, the candidate in the ballot matters.

jmoore:
I wasn't the one shouting ebinpawa after voting for Tinubu.

jmoore:
Only a novice will use bye elections to predict the outcome of 2027 presidential elections.

Cherrybae:
Why are you not responding to those who referred you to your previous comment where you boasted ADC will sweep the two seats in Anambra.

You asked you be bookmarked. I'm shocked you have shifted goal post bow to off cycle.

Try and be calculative before you say anything.

All your ordinations none has ever come to past.

I bet you, I will do everything to get your moniker banned for life on Nairaland if you predict anything again and it's fails and you fail to take responsibility or appologize.

Bookmark this my comment.

Enough of this shifting of goal post with cheap excuses.

Accept your party lost, go back and strategize than shifting goal pist

Penguin2:
Don’t rejoice too early.

Even Tinubu knows that he cannot be confident of anything based on yesterday’s election.

The off cycle election is not usually organic. Only mobilized voters go to polling stations which makes the best mobilizer win.

casualobserver:
Look. Ordinarily these elections don’t mean anything. These elections were significant for the following reasons:

1: it shows governors matter
2: it shows that despite hardship, the electorate are not as against Tinubu as online media will have you believe.
3: it shows the ADC members are not as influential as they claim…..even Obi!
4: it shows Obi will not perform as well in the Christian North. The religious card of 2023 is gone! That will affect his votes in SW and middle belt!
5: it shows Obi rigged a lot of SE votes.
6: it was the 1st test of the coalition and they were humiliated…..even though it was a bye election, it matters!
7: it shows Obi won’t pull as many gotes even in his SE!

It is instructive to note that at the victory rally Soludo raised the hand of the senator elect and told the crowd that while Anambra is APGA but we are sending him to Abuja not to do opposition but to do alliance with the progressives in aAbuja to o which the crowd applauded! I believe SS governors were afraid to be seen to work against their own in 2023. But the defections in the SS has woken them up.

Obi will do well in the SE in presidential elections but what that statement says to me is that SE governors are going to work hard to deliver votes for Tinubu in 2027 and make it harder for Obi to rig. Again like I said this is governors are important. Recent statements by Orji Kalu and Umahi reinforce the realization by SE politicians, that they need to work hard to deliver votes for Tinubu otherwise they won’t stand a chance against the SS when next presidency returns to the south. Like I always say, the entire SW votes are up for grabs from 2031-2055 as we shall not be on the ballot!

Penguin2:
The only thing you said here that I agree with is that governors matter. Anyone who denies that governors matter is lying to himself. But their influence is not beyond their SSAs and the numbers their SSAs can influence and maybe the security architecture under their command.

But saying Obi rigged Southeast is just big fat lie. I’ll tell you again that the numbers Tinubu got in Imo and Ebonyi was manufactured by Umahi and Uzodimma.

Will Obi get the votes of Christian north? Only time will tell.

But if we diagnose the Christian north, the only part of Christian north that has experienced something different under Tinubu regime is Southern Kaduna with the restoration of security and the establishment of FMC and a Federal University.

But apart from Southern Kaduna, would you say the same of Plateau and Benue where killings have but doubled? Or Benue and Plateau have no brains? They will still queue up and vote Tinubu abi?

casualobserver:
Obi rigged, he would have won overwhelmingly but he rigged, we saw the videos. Everybody rigs. Rigging is part of the Nigerian DNA. Obi rigged when he was governor so why suddenly would he not rig in 2023 in an election where he can declare what he wants unopposed? . It is precisely in zones where you have overwhelming support that the most rigging occurs because you have the terrain to yourself and nobody will contest the result.

You lost an election so your opponent had no need to examine your votes does not mean you did not rig. You accused your opponent of rigging does not mean you did not rig yourself. That I said he rigged does not mean I was saying he still would not have won with a landslide. We have seen elections lost because a contestant overinflated the votes in his stronghold and they were cancelled, yet he would have won without the rigging. . We have seen elections where a contestant inflated the results in his stronghold even though he would have won without rigging, an example being Uzodinma in 2023. Every politician (or his foot soldiers) rigs in his stronghold if he can.


As for the rest keep arguing. At this stage I am tired of years of telling you guys how things will unfold and you guys always pushing back only for them to unfold exactly as I said. The day Obi left PDP, I said he just handed the presidency to Tinubu, I got so much pushback here on Nairaland maybe even you might have been one of them. Now suddenly they now realize a divided house cannot win an election and they are running around trying to form a coalition. It really amazes me how Nigerians can’t see what is staring them right in the face!


You can’t play the religious card in Benue and Plateau! The Benue conflicts turns out to be inter tribal conflicts.

jmoore:
Only a novice will use bye elections to predict the outcome of 2027 presidential elections.

Penguin2:
In 2023, Peter Obi won the election but INEC shutdown the IREV and conjured numbers for Tinubu.

You can choose to lie to yourself and believe that Tinubu won Rivers.

If today, it’s taken as official that Tinubu won Rivers, then imagine other atrocities that happened in that election that is now official. Or those things don’t count?

And saying that Benue is inter-tribal war, what has Tinubu done to stop the war?

And how did you arrive at the war being inter-tribal when the governor of the state has told the world on national television that foreigners have invaded his state and trying to displace his people?

Or do you now know more than the governor that receives intelligence everyday?

Penguin2:
The Bye Election has come and gone and winners declared by INEC .

But one thing that stood out to all political watchers is that the supposed coalition party candidates didn’t win any of the contested seats across the states. This has made naysayers to begin to write off the coalition already; declaring that 2027 is already a done deal for Tinubu. But is it?

Should we judge 2027 by results of this bye election? I guess not.

You know why? Because people are rarely interested in these bye elections unlike the general election where there’s usually almost a nationwide lockdown and people are eager to go out and vote.

Or should we expect that this is what 2027 will look like?

Penguin2:
Labour Party was not on the ballot yesterday and you know this. Stop being mischievous.

Again, one thing I noticed about off cycle elections is that it’s not organic. It’s usually won by the candidate who mobilizes the highest voters to the polling stations.

jmoore:
I wasn't the one shouting ebinpawa after voting for Tinubu.

Penguin2:
The Bye Election has come and gone and winners declared by INEC .

But one thing that stood out to all political watchers is that the supposed coalition party candidates didn’t win any of the contested seats across the states. This has made naysayers to begin to write off the coalition already; declaring that 2027 is already a done deal for Tinubu. But is it?

Should we judge 2027 by results of this bye election? I guess not.

You know why? Because people are rarely interested in these bye elections unlike the general election where there’s usually almost a nationwide lockdown and people are eager to go out and vote.

Or should we expect that this is what 2027 will look like?

helinues:
Weekend wey go flenjo, you should start seeing the sign on Friday

ADC and LP won zero seat.

The politicians which you guys are claiming have one vote, you people forgot that they also have loyal supporters that are ready to follow any direction they take.

The bye election is a clear sign that the coalition/opposition don't stand a chance in 2027

Acidosis:
Do by elections for Tinubu, let's test SOMETHING. Then you will understand the difference between APC party agents (aka Amaechi-laptop-gengs) and real Nigerians. Did you see anybody going out to vote anywhere apart from professional APC agents and card carrying APC members? Nigerians understand the genesis of their problem and they're patiently waiting.

onatisi:
It shows that when the chips are down and money is placed on the ground ,Nigerians will vote for APC again in 2027.

Penguin2:
The Bye Election has come and gone and winners declared by INEC .

But one thing that stood out to all political watchers is that the supposed coalition party candidates didn’t win any of the contested seats across the states. This has made naysayers to begin to write off the coalition already; declaring that 2027 is already a done deal for Tinubu. But is it?

Should we judge 2027 by results of this bye election? I guess not.

You know why? Because people are rarely interested in these bye elections unlike the general election where there’s usually almost a nationwide lockdown and people are eager to go out and vote.

Or should we expect that this is what 2027 will look like?

Penguin2:
Don’t rejoice too early.

Even Tinubu knows that he cannot be confident of anything based on yesterday’s election.

The off cycle election is not usually organic. Only mobilized voters go to polling stations which makes the best mobilizer win.