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Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsWhy US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse (1630 Views)

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Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 12:47pm On Nov 25, 2025
If America suddenly decides to bomb bandits, the result won’t be what people expect. Bandits aren’t like military bases or stationary equipment, they’re mobile. They move in small units, relocate quickly and disappear the moment they sense danger.

So even if the US. hits a camp, destroys weapons, or wipes out a food depot, the fighters will simply relocate. They’ll melt into nearby communities or shift their operations to safer zones. Bombing them doesn’t automatically end the threat, it just pushes it somewhere else.

The real danger is displacement. Instead of eliminating the problem, you risk scattering these groups into new regions, especially places that aren’t prepared for that kind of pressure. A massive external military strike could unintentionally spread the threat into more parts of the country, creating new conflicts instead of ending the old one.

This is why counter-insurgency is complex. Heavy airstrikes don’t solve everything, they can create powerful shockwaves that reshape the conflict in ways that are dangerous for everyone.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by brain54(m): 1:02pm On Nov 25, 2025
So what do you suggest to end banditry sir...?
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by BItt: 1:04pm On Nov 25, 2025
Let them do it first and let's see the results
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by thesolutions(m): 1:05pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
If America suddenly decides to bomb bandits, the result won’t be what people expect. Bandits aren’t like military bases or stationary equipment, they’re mobile. They move in small units, relocate quickly and disappear the moment they sense danger.

So even if the US. hits a camp, destroys weapons, or wipes out a food depot, the fighters will simply relocate. They’ll melt into nearby communities or shift their operations to safer zones. Bombing them doesn’t automatically end the threat, it just pushes it somewhere else.

The real danger is displacement. Instead of eliminating the problem, you risk scattering these groups into new regions, especially places that aren’t prepared for that kind of pressure. A massive external military strike could unintentionally spread the threat into more parts of the country, creating new conflicts instead of ending the old one.

This is why counter-insurgency is complex. Heavy airstrikes don’t solve everything, they can create powerful shockwaves that reshape the conflict in ways that are dangerous for everyone.
You are not correct.
Terrorist Bandits do not go about their operations with their captors. We have seen video of them on bikes. Only one operations is needed to decimate them.
But let me assure you. If US come in today, you will realize that all those news of terrorist bandits and Boko Haram shooting down air force jets are all lies. They were stolen by the compromised military in preparation for the main jihad. They will have to bring them out to try defend themselves. You probably know this.
We have not forgotten how they were able to hijacked complex military wares that the military personnels assigned to use them were trained in US. It's all part of the plan.
The president needs to give official invite to the US now to make things easier. If they choose to come in by themselves, that will be the end of his government. His own northern allies will eliminate him so as to command the Nigerian Army against US intervention.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by muyico(m): 1:05pm On Nov 25, 2025
Same thought here!!
seems like they will stations militry base here
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 1:06pm On Nov 25, 2025
brain54:
So what do you suggest to end banditry sir...?
negotiations. they have leaders who control them, govt need to bring them to the table.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by brain54(m): 1:09pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
negotiations. they have leaders who control them, govt need to bring them to the table.
What kind of negotiations...?

Is it to end banditry, to ask them to only operate within certain areas. Or to negotiate an amount to pay them money occasionally or periodically?

Pls be specific!
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 1:10pm On Nov 25, 2025
thesolutions:
You are not correct.
Terrorist Bandits do not go about their operations with their captors. We have seen video of them on bikes. Only one operations is needed to decimate them.
But let me assure you. If US come in today, you will realize that all those news of terrorist bandits and Boko Haram shooting down air force jets are all lies. They were stolen by the compromised military in preparation for the main jihad. They will have to bring them out to try defend themselves. You probably know this.
We have not forgotten how they were able to hijacked complex military wares that the military personnels assigned to use them were trained in US. It's all part of the plan.
The president needs to give official invite to the US now to make things easier. If they choose to come in by themselves, that will be the end of his government. His own northern allies will eliminate him so as to command the Nigerian Army against US intervention.
what are you even typing.

if bandits are on bikes, that makes them mobile

so you think all bandits move together, there are a lot of groups.

if you blow up one camp in this location, the others will move to another location, infact there are those who will enter trailers with their moter bikes and move to the south.

the people are humans not machines, they move from places to places.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by DeLaRue:
The idea of a foreign country bombing Nigeria without being invited is surely the ultimate humiliation.

If USA does it today, Russia will do it in the future if it thinks its interest is being undermined in Nigeria.

After Russia, may be in the future South Africa will bomb Lagos if it feels MTN is being overtaxed, or perhaps Egypt will come in, bomb Southern Nigeria because it believes Muslims in Northern Nigeria are being disadvantaged economically.

Ofcourse the average Nigerian can't see beyond his nose. Jubilating at the prospect of, and clamouring for an uninvited foreign country to bomb your country encapsulates the short-sightedness of many black people. They lack the depth to think long term.

If Mr Trump wants to assist Nigeria, he should help the country with satellite and advanced mobile technology and face recognition intelligence, help the country put structures in place to reduce leaks, and stand with Nigeria in that exercise for the long term.

Anyway even bombing will not eradicate the problem. From Kwara state to Sokoto, to Jigawa, Bornu, Adamawa, to Kogi, that's an area that is bigger than the United Kingdom. How many places can they bomb when it's not like the terrorists are all gathered in a few places. How come America did not defeat the terrorists in Afghanistan despite all the bombs the used in that cover over more than 10 years?
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 1:17pm On Nov 25, 2025
brain54:
What kind of negotiations...?

Is it to end banditry, to ask them to only operate within certain areas. Or to negotiate an amount to pay them money occasionally or periodically?

Pls be specific!
political negotiation, paying money isnt substainable but it can be an option

i can not be specific, it is up to them to lay down their own terms and govt laying their own terms. then they decide through diplomacy
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by thesolutions(m): 1:22pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
what are you even typing.

if bandits are on bikes, that makes them mobile

so you think all bandits move together, there are a lot of groups.

if you blow up one camp in this location, the others will move to another location, infact there are those who will enter trailers with their moter bikes and move to the south.

the people are humans not machines, they move from places to places.
You are probably one of them to know all that.
Winter is coming. I hope you post your experience when it come.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by jmoore(m): 1:28pm On Nov 25, 2025
See people from third world country trying to analyze USA.

Have you asked yourself how Israel has been able to strike it's targets with precision.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by brain54(m): 1:36pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
political negotiation, paying money isnt substainable but it can be an option

i can not be specific, it is up to them to lay down their own terms and govt laying their own terms. then they decide through diplomacy
Okay, that is good...

But lay down what terms? The bandits don't have any terms. Nobody knows clearly what they are fighting for. Even they themselves don't seem to know what terms they are fighting for.

They is absolutely nothing to decide diplomatically with bandits. When they don't keep their side of the bargain what do you do? Take them to court or what guarantees them to keep their words?

Negotiating with them is only funding and empowering them. They would use the money to acquire more sophisticated military hardware and use it to attack.


A better approach is intelligence gathering of how they move, their sponsors who must be cut of from source and the remaining ones in the bushes and forests fished out and wiped out with precision.

All these are possible it's just that the Nigerian army is very incompetent and reliant on old war strategies and technology. Nigerian army is very unseriousness really.

And then also the political will to fight banditry is also lacking.

With modern technology and if the US decides to intervene (which I am not in support of by the way except if they decide to support with Intel and hardware etc) what they would do is determine their positions in the forests, tracking their movements and go after them.


You asked someone a question earlier...is the Nigerian army also in a particular location and move together?
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 1:47pm On Nov 25, 2025
thesolutions:
You are probably one of them to know all that.
Winter is coming. I hope you post your experience when it come.
You just type out of emotions instead of thinking
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 1:52pm On Nov 25, 2025
brain54:
Okay, that is good...

But lay down what terms? The bandits don't have any terms. Nobody knows clearly what they are fighting for. Even they themselves don't seem to know what terms they are fighting for.

They is absolutely nothing to decide diplomatically with bandits. When they don't keep their side of the bargain what do you do? Take them to court or what guarantees them to keep their words?

Negotiating with them is only funding and empowering them. They would use the money to acquire more sophisticated military hardware and use it to attack.


A better approach is intelligence gathering of how they move, their sponsors who must be cut of from source and the remaining ones in the bushes and forests fished out and wiped out with precision.

All these are possible it's just that the Nigerian army is very incompetent and reliant on old war strategies and technology. Nigerian army is very unseriousness really.

And then also the political will to fight banditry is also lacking.

With modern technology and if the US decides to intervene (which I am not in support of by the way except if they decide to support with Intel and hardware etc) what they would do is determine their positions in the forests, tracking their movements and go after them.


You asked someone a question earlier...is the Nigerian army also in a particular location and move together?
What you wrote are good on paper but in reality unrealistic.

Any bandit in the bush know the reason why they are there.

Intelligence gathering does not work and it has been proven lot of time, infact identifying sponsors won't stop them because mapping out sponsor maps is hard when you consider that they don't use the banking system.

The war has been going on for ages and nothing is working that means it was a failure.

The only option right now is negotiations.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by brain54(m): 1:57pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
What you wrote are good on paper but in reality unrealistic.

Any bandit in the bush know the reason why they are there.

Intelligence gathering does not work and it has been proven lot of time, infact identifying sponsors won't stop them because mapping out sponsor maps is hard when you consider that they don't use the banking system.

The war has been going on for ages and nothing is working that means it was a failure.

The only option right now is negotiations.
Okay, that's true...

You are right! 👍
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by Salewa97: 2:19pm On Nov 25, 2025
Nawa o
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by MarketDispatch: 2:34pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
If America suddenly decides to bomb bandits,


This is why counter-insurgency is complex. Heavy airstrikes don’t solve everything, they can create powerful shockwaves that reshape the conflict in ways that are dangerous for everyone.
Why are you talking like this ..when Israel bombed those Hamas terrorists, did they wake up and relocate and melt and quickly disappear
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 2:43pm On Nov 25, 2025
MarketDispatch:
Why are you talking like this ..when Israel bombed those Hamas terrorists, did they wake up and relocate and melt and quickly disappear
Who told you that..they went into other places to regroup.

You think hamas just stay in one location, terrorists are smart too, they are humans and also shield themselves from arms.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by 1nigeriamyfoot: 2:46pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
If America suddenly decides to bomb bandits, the result won’t be what people expect. Bandits aren’t like military bases or stationary equipment, they’re mobile. They move in small units, relocate quickly and disappear the moment they sense danger.

So even if the US. hits a camp, destroys weapons, or wipes out a food depot, the fighters will simply relocate. They’ll melt into nearby communities or shift their operations to safer zones. Bombing them doesn’t automatically end the threat, it just pushes it somewhere else.

The real danger is displacement. Instead of eliminating the problem, you risk scattering these groups into new regions, especially places that aren’t prepared for that kind of pressure. A massive external military strike could unintentionally spread the threat into more parts of the country, creating new conflicts instead of ending the old one.

This is why counter-insurgency is complex. Heavy airstrikes don’t solve everything, they can create powerful shockwaves that reshape the conflict in ways that are dangerous for everyone.
You definitely knows nothing about precision attack

US will first eliminate all their leaders one by one and go for their foot soldier thereafter
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by motymop(op): 2:47pm On Nov 25, 2025
1nigeriamyfoot:
You definitely knows nothing about precision attack

US will first eliminate all their leaders one by one and go for their foot soldier thereafter
Precision attack ..lol...una too dey watch movies.

If precision attack was the solution then there won't be any terrorist group in the world.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by HgAkpobomeEr: 2:49pm On Nov 25, 2025
The US will not bomb bandits. The US knows that bandits are not the problem.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by MarketDispatch: 2:50pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
Who told you that..they went into other places to regroup.

You think hamas just stay in one location, terrorists are smart too, they are humans and also shield themselves from arms.
Are you their spokesman? Why are you worried about Donald Trump and his chit chat on social media.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by benpuzzy(m): 3:16pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
negotiations. they have leaders who control them, govt need to bring them to the table.
after negotiating with their so-called head, a new Sheriff will rise.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by trutharena: 3:40pm On Nov 25, 2025
You make valid points.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by zeuss:
Op is mistaking US Air Force for Nigeria Air Force that even bombs civilian locations, USA will strike those terrorists with surgical precision not even one of them with escape the heat even when they try to scamper out they will be caught by the locals who will also express their feelings. For your information only one demographic is involved in the bandit nonsense so they will be isolated and have nowhere to melt into I don't think innocent fulani are with them so in their own interest they will expose them to avoid the wrath on the locals
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by thesolutions(m): 6:00pm On Nov 25, 2025
motymop:
You just type out of emotions instead of thinking
I just hope I'm typing out of emotion. If not, I wish they come quick enough. Everywhere go first blurr
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by ebukal67x: 6:04pm On Nov 25, 2025
Bandits work in an organized fashion and they have their own intelligence system that tells them when to relocate. The US airstrikes will only push the bandits to safer places, without solving the problem.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by Jakumo(m): 6:10pm On Nov 25, 2025
ebukal67x:
Bandits work in an organized fashion and they have their own intelligence system that tells them when to relocate. The US airstrikes will only push the bandits to safer places, without solving the problem.
This is a fallacious presumption that only a chronic Play Station video game armchair warrior could dream up. The USA has for over twenty years been selectively culling known terror kingpins in Somalia and Sudan, using clinically precise drone strikes.

The same methodology of signal interception, overhead surveillance, leading up to precision annihilation of terror gang leaders has been honed to a fine art by the US military, who are more than welcome to expand this special service to protect the Nigerian state from Islamization by force of arms.
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by brain54(m): 6:12pm On Nov 25, 2025
ebukal67x:
Bandits work in an organized fashion and they have their own intelligence system that tells them when to relocate. The US airstrikes will only push the bandits to safer places, without solving the problem.
How do they move when they relocate...?


Do they disappear? Even Hamas that were moving in complex and secret underground tunnels where flushed out. Their leaders picked out and taken out one by one.

Same as Iraq.

You people don't know what intelligence gathering is!
Re: Why US Airstrikes On Bandits Will Make Nigeria Security Crisis Even Worse by DeepSight(m): 6:18pm On Nov 25, 2025
Jakumo:
This is a fallacious presumption that only a chronic Play Station video game armchair warrior could dream up. The USA has for over twenty years been selectively culling known terror kingpins in Somalia and Sudan, using clinically precise drone strikes.

The same methodology of signal interception, overhead surveillance, leading up to precision annihilation of terror gang leaders has been honed to a fine art by the US military, who are more than welcome to expand this special service to protect the Nigerian state from Islamization by force of arms.
+
Just the way they successfully pin pointed and eliminated the Taliban in Afghanistan after twenty years of trying right?

Come on.
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