₦airaland Forum

callthefred:
Even the "Alternative collation process" carried out by known Obidients during the result announcement shows APC won..funny thing is the result took about 3 days to be announced and APC had maintained that lead from day 1 but bitter Obidients kept lying results were announced at midnight.

I didn't support Tinubu but might do so in 2027. At least the fact that he has dropped the bloodsucker El Rufai baggage is enough for me. You also can't call him a religious bigot. Maybe tribal bigot like Obi too anyways. I do feel sorry for the SE though, packaging their brother as a messiah instead of negotiating with other Southerners.

Oga you voted Tinubu in 2023 and you are voting him in 2027 please stop this lie and format it has since casted.
That research has too many holes to be considered as a presentable thesis. He stated that south east had 24% anomaly in the voting process. So where is statistical diatribution to shows the anomalous behaviour across parties that voted in that election in sputh east? It is easy to spot a propaganda game.

Irony1:
Anomaly so which of the party results did you observe the anomalt in the south east? Stop playing smart here Oga. You have to sgoq the raw data across party results. Otherwise this is just fake research and pripaganda. You cannot deceive people Oga.

Tell him again and again!

MrSly:
From the moment I saw the title I knew the APC miscreants are at it again. US effect. SouthEast was rigged for PO you said. Why not study the live video taken by people during the election? Paid jobber. Enjoy your pay.

You dont even need to tell him to study the live video. His statement on 24% anomaly in voting in south east without a statistical distribution that shows the anomalous behavior per political party that voted in the south east gave him away as a liar.

Irony1:
Oga you voted Tinubu in 2023 and you are voting him in 2027 please stop this lie amd format it has since casted.
That research has too many holes to be considered as a presentable thesis. He stated that south east had 24% anomaly in the voting process. So where is statistical diatribution to shows the anomalous behaviour across parties that voted in that election in sputh east? It is easy to spot a propaganda game.

Analysis or not, google the alternative result collation engineered by your fellow Obidients. LP rigged in SE massively as a matter of fact and even the SW had the least rigging incident. You will never understand that sha. That 2027 we go now do our own results inflation back.

callthefred:
Analysis or not, google the alternative result collation engineered by your fellow Obidients. LP rigged in SE massively as a matter of fact and even the SW had the least rigging incident. You will never understand that sha. That 2027 we go now do our own results inflation back.

Oga stop trying to clutch at straws here. This is scientific research geared at formulating a hypothesis to prove rigging for PO im south east. So if he said there was 24% anomaly in voting in south east, where is the statistical distribution showing anomalous voting behavior per party that voted in the south east? This is a very simple question.

Oga, which certified institution confirmed this your trained machine data analysis to it's generating high percentage of result accuracy?

How many times has it bn subjected to data analysis like analyzing Nigerian elections and it came out with relatively generally acceptable results?

I can also train my own machine, feed it with data I want and it will come up with it's own result.

Are the results empirically verifiable?
Stop insulting our intelligence with this write up.
Where did you submit this your thesis and how was it rated.
Which professors rated it?

razzydoo:
Well-done.
As a scientist, you made a lot of analytical sense.
Even on Crude (naked-eyed) observation, opportunistic rigging was detected especially that of SE as you accurately posited.
Hopefully, we keep improving.
Thanks.👍

Hold on how is that scientific evidence without a statistical distribution showing anomalous voting bahavior per party that voted in the south east?

Psoul:
Oga, which certified institution confirmed this your trained machine data analysis to generate high percentage of accuracy?

How many times has it bn subjected to data analysis like analyzing Nigerian elections and it comes out with relatively generally acceptable results?

I can also train my own machine, feed it with data I want and it will come up with it's own result.

Are the results empirically verifiable?
Stop insulting our intelligence work this write up.
Where did you submit this your thesis and how was it rated.
Which professors rated it?

As in ehnnnn the guy thinks we are not smart to catch the deception in this his write up.

omenka:
For those with the some good education, more importantly a first degree, and intelligent enough to understand data analysis, please take some minutes to read this.

It is quite lengthy but interesting and replete with hard truths. It should enrich the discussion here and provide important clarity to some otherwise fuzzy understanding about the last election.

Let's go...

Sincerely, all this balgadash u wrote doesn't add up bro. But ur so called winner owned up and said he knows we never voted for him. So why all these epistle ah?

RemoteNaija:
This is easily one of the most refreshing reads I've seen on this forum. Moving away from emotional insults to actual statistical forensics and Benford's Law is exactly how we should be auditing our elections.

The analysis clearly shows that as long as the 'human element' remains the final bridge between the polling unit and the server, algorithms will always flag anomalies. The reliance on manual intervention at the collation level is where the digital chain breaks.

We are in the age of AI and Data; it is a shame that our electoral integrity still relies on someone writing figures on a piece of paper. We need a total system overhaul before 2027, or we will just repeat this same cycle. Kudos to the writer for this depth.

Oga there's nothing refreshimg about it, unless you are accomplice in his propaganda games. Even machine learning works when you feed raw data so that it makes empirical analysis and results. If he says there is 24% anomaly,let him show us the statistical distribution of anomalous voting behavipr per party that voted in south east.

Irony1:
Hold on bros let us look at this statement there a 24% anomaly with votes in the south east. So let us do a deepdive where is the statistical distribution of the anomalous behavior among the parties that voted in the south east. You cannot base your conclusion on that statement because he hasn't proven that claim based on pure statistical evidence. If truly he presented this as a thesis he would fail woefully because there are still open emded questions he has failed to addess in his research.

I'm more concerned about the court cases, let assumed there were irregularities, manipulations or riggings during the election,why are the parties concerned couldn't provide evidents of that irregularities, manipulations or riggings in the court but instead are pursuing irrelevant allegations.

Fekumzi123:
Except we just want to be mischievous, southeast votes shows the highest rigging.
I always know that everyone tries to rig election because I was once a presiding officer. Figures from south East are too bad, they voted along ethnicity.

The fact that you claimed presiding officer shows that you are lying clearly. How can someone tell you that there was 24% anomaly im voting in the south east, without a statistical distribution that shows anomalous voting pattern across all political parties that voted in the elections?

Guestmale:
I'm more concerned about the court cases, let assumed there were irregularities, manipulations or riggings during the election,why are the parties concerned couldn't provide evidents of that irregularities, manipulations or riggings in the court but instead are pursuing irrelevant allegations.

Did you read the court judgements? The refused to even admit it as evidence whivh shows the complicity of the judiciary in the process. You know the truth but again you have eaten agbado so i am not surprised.

Here’s a fun experiment: close your eyes and generate ten random numbers between 0 and 9. Go ahead, I’ll wait.
Done? Now count how many times you used the digit 5 or 0. If you’re like most humans, you probably avoided them.

this na lie.
op too long to read

The fact is glaring, all the major parties in the 2023 general election rigged and APC marginally won the election.

2023 PRESIDENTIAL RESULT: A MUST READ SCIENTIFIC THESIS ON THE RESULT

This is a fascinating piece of data science research analyzing Nigeria's 2023 presidential election. Here are the key findings and deductions:

Main Conclusions

The Central Finding: Bola Tinubu did win, but the election showed widespread irregularities across multiple parties—not just systematic fraud by the ruling APC. The opposition vote split (63% went to non-APC parties) was more decisive than any single party's manipulation.

Critical Deductions

Sophistication of Fraud: Electoral manipulation has evolved from crude ballot-box stuffing to subtle statistical manipulation. Instead of impossible 95% victories, perpetrators now report plausible-sounding figures like 58% that escape visual detection but leave mathematical fingerprints.

Geographic Patterns: The anomalies weren't random—they clustered heavily in the Southeast (Anambra: 24.9%, Enugu: 16.7%, Imo: 10.9%). Ironically, these regions that protested the results most loudly also showed the highest fraud indicators, particularly benefiting the Labour Party in its strongholds.

Cross-Party Manipulation: Labour Party had 2,328 "perfect scores" (suspiciously round percentages) despite winning only 29.1% nationally. This complicates the narrative that only the ruling party cheated—all major parties manipulated results where they had local control.

Statistical Evidence:

Chi-square statistic of 24,871 (anything over 20 is significant) Benford's Law violations with probability of 3.87 × 10⁻¹⁹⁵ of occurring naturally 4,351 polling units (3.5%) flagged as anomalous Human observers (YIAGA Africa) independently confirmed the same problem states (Rivers, Imo)

The "Democratization of Fraud": Perhaps most troubling—when all parties rig where they can, reform becomes nearly impossible since everyone benefits from the status quo in their strongholds while complaining about fraud elsewhere.

Institutional Failure: The technology (BVAS, IReV portal) wasn't inherently the problem—the institutions operating it were. The portal crash on election day and subsequent backtracking on real-time transmission promises undermined the entire exercise.

Implications for Nigeria's Democracy

The research suggests Nigeria faces a collective action problem: achieving electoral integrity requires cooperation from actors who benefit from its absence. With 26% voter turnout (compared to 65-70% in other African democracies), low public trust, and opposition parties now defecting to the APC, the 2027 elections appear likely to be even less competitive.

The author's key recommendation: opposition unity is the only realistic path to unseating the APC, as the ruling party's capacity for manipulation is limited compared to the impact of vote-splitting among opposition parties.

Did the thesis cover how south east contributed to GEJ loss? By sitting at home?

The answer is below. Mr Lamba hinself have no option than to confessed he lost but his unfortunate followers can't still reason correctly.

Is this why Tinubu is performing woefully?

omenka:
For those with the some good education, more importantly a first degree, and intelligent enough to understand data analysis, please take some minutes to read this.

It is quite lengthy but interesting and replete with hard truths. It should enrich the discussion here and provide important clarity to some otherwise fuzzy understanding about the last election.

Let's go...

Irony1:
Did you read the court judgements? The refused to even admit it as evidence whivh shows the complicity of the judiciary in the process. You know the truth but again you have eaten agbado so i am not surprised.

Show us the CTC of the court judgement. Till today many of you are saying supreme court gave governorship seat to Hope Uzordima of Imo state, that how will someone in fourth position eventually became a governor,no supreme court didn't just make Hope a governor,he came to court with a verifiable and solid evidence.

INEC unconstitutionally cancelled many polling booths results where Uzordima was having comfortable lead,it was these results Uzordima presented in the court and by the time plus and minus was done on the whole election results, Uzordima was clearly on top therefore supreme court have no choice but to declare him winner of that election.

Guestmale:
Show us the CTC of the court judgement. Till today many of you are saying supreme court gave governorship seat to Hope Uzordima of Imo state, that how will someone in fourth position eventually became a governor,no supreme court didn't just make Hope a governor,he came to court with a verifiable and solid evidence.

INEC unconstitutionally cancelled many polling booths results where Uzordima was having comfortable lead,it was these results Uzordima presented in the court and by the time plus and minus was done on the whole election results, Uzordima was clearly on top therefore supreme court have no choice but to declare him winner of that election.

Dude seriously are you asking me for a CTC that was already out in the open? Haba bros you can do better naaaa you don't have to copy my style when asking for evidence naaaa. You don't ask for evidence for something that was clear online.

Observinho:
This is one of the stupidest things I have read on the internet., And to think that this was someone's thesis/dissertation, it's even more ridiculous. What professors okayed this, and how? I mean I would have easily dismissed this as one of the deliberate malfeasances of paid e-rats. But when you say this is someone's university thesis, then I begin to question their cognitive abilities and the seriousness of the institution they attended. One reason I trust science much more is that it is difficult to manipulate facts. But not with APC's paid agents.
2023 election was a bloody joke that made mess of the little electoral progress this country has made up until then. Nigerians asked for just one thing: upload the polling unit results to the INEC portal, yes the individual polling unit results signed collectively by party agents. That would be the proof that the results annouced by INEC were authentic. Why was this hard for INEC to do? Go to the INEC portal, you can see the polling unit results of other elections conducted before and after 2023 presidential election. But when it comes to 2023 presidential election, everything is blank. Why?
If this had been uploaded, Mr Omenka, your job would have been easier, and you wouldn't have to waste time writing this long trash.
No matter how you guys try to force the contrary down our throat, Tinubu did not win 2023 presidential election. He didn't even finish second. Maybe a distant third.
2027 is coming and it is a time to plan your evil moves. But we will be waiting.

The part that i found amusing was he wanted to make this so called research seem legitimate by claiming he used machine learning.

omenka:
The post isn't meant for people like you. It's beyond you.

And Wike a PDP card carrying member was rewarded with the best ministerial position FCT minister in an APC govt for what exactly?
Do u guys think Nigerians are stupid or what?

Grab it, snatch it and run with it!

Jayhome24:
The answer is below. Mr Lamba hinself have no option than to confessed he lost but his unfortunate followers can't still reason correctly.

Bring the link to this news
Everyone can't be stupid like u guys

Believe this rubbish and you will Believe just anything. This is the reason Nigeria cannot make any progress: people who have brains have refused to have sense

AMINDA:
This is no different from what is already out there about the 2023 elections. Tinubu won the elections with the least margin ever in the country because it was a three-horse race and Northerners split their votes three-ways (Tinubu, Kwankwaso, Atiku) to accommodate Tinubu with 5.6m votes out of his total 8m votes coming from the muslim North. It is also a no-brainer that a united opposition will unseat Tinubu in 2027 and the coalition is already on course to achieve that, having done the hard part of bringing Obi and Atiku under one umbrella. The next task will be managing the fallout arising from the party primaries and putting forward a united front against the incumbent. This will not be as difficult as their supporters currently make it seem because talks have already gone on underground for a long time before the public alignments. With Kwankwaso set to decamp to ADC as being speculated, the elections might just be over before the first ballot is cast. There will be no way Tinubu can scale through in an election where the three runners-up from the previous election unites against him.

Concise and precise analysis, while I agreed with almost what you said but the bolded. It extremely difficult now for the opposition to defeat Tinubu now than in 2023.

The political dynamics had changed greatly and Tinubu has successfully rewrite the narrative that Peter Obi use to gain more voters from South West. Also, he has lobbied more of political leaders from SS and NC that he didn't have three years ago.

Had it been the opposition manage to unite under PDP platform they would have a bit of chance but with ADC that completely lack structure in most state and didn't have much elected governors or national assembly members in their folds will be very very difficult to upset anything come 2027. APC greatly benefited from grassroots structure of merging political parties then along elected governors and assembly members.

While the united opposition front they want to present in 2027 might pull a little weight/force it can't successfully land them a big win that will take them to Aso rock.

Irony1:
Dude seriously are you asking me for a CTC that was already out in the open? Haba bros you can do better naaaa you don't have to copy my style when asking for evidence naaaa. You don't ask for evidence for something that was clear online.

You said it is online that is even easier for you to get,then provide at least a portion of the judgement that rejected the evidents of rigging allegations by the oppositions to back up your claim.

https://www.theafricareport.com/326021/nigeria-end-of-the-road-for-atiku-and-obi-as-supreme-court-seals-tinubus-victory/

Trash Trash Trash Trash Trash Trash 🗑️
If i read this nonsense reach one minute make i bend

Macphenson:
Who's this fool that was paid to write rubbish. Another agbadorian with corns in his pocket. Get out of here. Why is Tinubu afraid of 2027 if he won 2023 elections? Why is the entire machinery of APC attacking one man, Peter Obi?
Even Rivers state results on INEC portal. rubbishes your so called thesis.

Just imagine the rubbish somebody wrote as a thesis. Result of quota system education.
Get out of here

1.show one single evidence that Tinubu is afraid of 2025

2.why is Peter OBI running helter and shelter looking for coalition if he actually won 2023 el3ct

Next time,try and make sense to yourself