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Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live - Foreign Affairs (4353) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsForeign AffairsRussia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live (2689183 Views)

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Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by LordAdam16: 8:06am On Feb 03
WriteerNg:


There was no ceasefire.

Russia still bombed them on the day of the so called ceasefire.
there was an energy ceasefire

for instance, you will be unable to find a strike on the grid from two or three days ago

the ceasefire was just a gesture
didn't really affect much because the grid is now very weak and the ceasefire window was short
not enough time to reinforce the grid

putin should keep those gestures to a minimum
they cost him invaluable domestic political capital

-Lord
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Kingsnairaland(m): 8:43am On Feb 03
cnn BBC did not tell you, UK USA evil Nato fans that Russia has infinite resources they make more weapons than UK USA evil Nato combine
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by LordAdam16: 8:43am On Feb 03
statement from president pezeshkian authorizing iran's participation in negotiations

In response to the request of friendly governments in the region to reply to the proposal of the President of the United States for negotiations, I have instructed the Foreign Minister that, should an appropriate atmosphere free from threats and far from unreasonable expectations exist, he should prepare the ground for fair and equitable negotiations based on the principle of dignity, wisdom, and expediency within the framework of national interests.



erdogan is going to riyadh and cairo this week
the arabs and turks believe this is a new, unique, unprecedented opportunity to create the foundations of a new regional security architecture that excludes the israelis and unites the shia-shiite blocs

as always the qataris want to throw cash at iran to get them to be amenable to qatari interests
the turks see this as a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity

iran however only cares about a narrow nuclear deal where the us removes all sanctions, release frozen assets, and there are firm guarantees against a 2019 unilateral withdrawal repeat

the biggest losers so far are the israelis and europeans
the israelis for obvious reasons
the europeans because no one values their input
not the us, not the arabs, not the turks, and certainly not the iranians
the 🤡 show of kaja, merz, macron have destroyed european credibility on the iran file




the israelis and beltway hawks are still very optimistic about a war
from their perspective, negotiations serve two functions:
1. the loudmouth gets to acquire political legitimacy for war. everyone even the grandma at home will be aware that they tried everything to avoid war. war would seem like the option of last resort because the evil iranians refused to make a deal.
2. talks close off the possibility of an iranian pre-emptive strike while they are reinforcing their positions. consequently, they can derail talks and start the war whenever they're ready without any risk.




on the question of what concessions the persians are willing to make

the only public concession floated is from admiral shamkhani, former secretary of the nsc, former chief of the irgc navy, and one of the few survivors from the negotiating team that was targeted in the 12d war

the admiral said the enrichment level of the 60% uranium can be reduced to 20%

removal of highly enriched uranium which had been seen as a viable concessions has been publicly shot down




as i repeated yesterday
the bottleneck remains israel
i don't think the loudmouth has it in him to sign a deal that the israelis severely oppose

i think he has agreed to negotiations as a way to cover his a$$ when this sh*t blows up
because then whatever happens, someone else will be the scapegoat
if the israelis try to derail and f*ck it up, it is netanyahu's fault
if a war starts and they predictably get f*cked up, it is the fault of hegseth and the pentagon generals who were given all the time in the world and all the assets available of a trillion dollar military and couldn't make it count
but if sh*t works, he gets credit




all reports about demands and concessions should be taken with a grain of salt until the weekend/early next week

witkoff meets the israelis today and the iranians will be coordinating with their allies

-Lord
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 9:02am On Feb 03
⚡Ukraine and its western allies have agreed on a three-step enforcement plan for any future ceasefire with Russia.

If Russia violates a truce, the response would escalate from diplomatic warnings (within 24 hours) to European military intervention, and finally to a US-backed military response within 72 hours if attacks continue.

The plan was discussed by Ukrainian, European, and US officials in recent meetings and is meant to prevent a repeat of past failed ceasefires like the Minsk agreements, which collapsed due to lack of enforcement.

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by LordAdam16: 9:04am On Feb 03
WriteerNg:
⚡Ukraine and its western allies have agreed on a three-step enforcement plan for any future ceasefire with Russia.

If Russia violates a truce, the response would escalate from diplomatic warnings (within 24 hours) to European military intervention, and finally to a US-backed military response within 72 hours if attacks continue.

The plan was discussed by Ukrainian, European, and US officials in recent meetings and is meant to prevent a repeat of past failed ceasefires like the Minsk agreements, which collapsed due to lack of enforcement.
they announce bs like this and wonder why russia says no ceasefire

-Lord
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by sainttwist1(m):
WriteerNg:


The US/NATO is a far greater evil than Russia will ever be. It'll take Russia 1000 years to attain their level of evil.

Are there no Africans fighting for Ukraine?

The Africans fighting for Russia, were they forced?

Are they fighting for free? Were they kidnapped on the streets like Ukraine is doing?

What's the percentage of White Russians & Africans on the frontlines?

Are the White Russian soldiers treated any better than the Africans? Or was it not the same you that posted how Russian command treat their white soldiers?

Has Russia recruited up to 10,000 African soldiers yet??

Even the North Koreans weren't up to 10,000.

Sit your ass down and only quote me when Russia has recruited up to 10,000 Africans like the US threw into the Iraq meat grinder.
sometimes before you talk you have to breathe in and out


The US is a multi culture country something goes for UK, France etc. Most of this countries have a good number of African population as far WW1.

The Africans fighting for Russia, were they forced? .. yes, blacks fighting for Russia have been forced, deceived, or coerced. Some are from prisons, some were deceived with work, some were recruited by people like you.

You talked about North Korea.......🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Seriously bro, how many Africans are in North Korea.

Don't argue base on emotion argue with fact and small sense
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 11:51am On Feb 03
sainttwist1:
sometimes before you talk you have to breathe in and out


The US is a multi culture country something goes for UK, France etc. Most of this countries have a good number of African population as far WW1.

The Africans fighting for Russia, were they forced? .. yes, blacks fighting for Russia have been forced, deceived, or coerced. Some are from prisons, some were deceived with work, some were recruited by people like you.

You talked about North Korea.......🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Seriously bro, how many Africans are in North Korea.

Don't argue base on emotion argue with fact and small sense



You be proper dunce.

So Russia came to Africa to bundle those men and ship them to the war front?

Was it not their greed and desperation that led them there?

The same greed that can make your kind sell their mother for US visa.

For the umpteenth time, it wasn't Russia that lured them to the war front.

Indian and Pakistani Recruiters desperate for commission from the Russian MOD are the ones baiting Africans with job offers.


If you're as smart as you say you are, you would have carefully read the stories of those African men that found themselves on the frontlines.

One thing all their stories have in common is that there's no mention of Russian Embassy or Russian MOD or any official Russian government agency.

It is ALWAYS a random job offer from a so called Job Agency. Now if you do a proper research on the so called job agency, you'd find out they're operating from India or Pakistan.

They pay for your trip to Russia and hand over your document to the Russian MoD claiming you voluntarily signed up to fight. They get their commission from the Russian MoD.

It's a big business in India.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 11:53am On Feb 03
⚡Last night, at least 18 Russian Geran-2 drones attacked energy infrastructure in Odesa Oblast.

At least 10 drones impacted the "Chernomorka" 110 kV electrical substation in the city of Chornomorsk, just south of Odesa City. This resulted in widespread power outages for parts of Chornomorsk and southern Odesa.

Additionally, Geran strikes were carried out on a substation in northern Odesa, resulting in additional power outages for the northern suburbs of the city.

Both attached images are from Chornomorsk.


https://x.com/AMK_Mapping_/status/2018576309778260218?s=20
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 11:54am On Feb 03
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 11:55am On Feb 03
⚡Kremlin:

Russian footballers should have their rights fully restored and must be allowed to take part in international competitions.

Moscow expects that sooner or later such discussions will take place within FIFA.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by dermmy(m): 12:57pm On Feb 03
LordAdam16:
statement from president pezeshkian authorizing iran's participation in negotiations






erdogan is going to riyadh and cairo this week
the arabs and turks believe this is a new, unique, unprecedented opportunity to create the foundations of a new regional security architecture that excludes the israelis and unites the shia-shiite blocs

as always the qataris want to throw cash at iran to get them to be amenable to qatari interests
the turks see this as a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity

iran however only cares about a narrow nuclear deal where the us removes all sanctions, release frozen assets, and there are firm guarantees against a 2019 unilateral withdrawal repeat

the biggest losers so far are the israelis and europeans
the israelis for obvious reasons
the europeans because no one values their input
not the us, not the arabs, not the turks, and certainly not the iranians
the 🤡 show of kaja, merz, macron have destroyed european credibility on the iran file




the israelis and beltway hawks are still very optimistic about a war
from their perspective, negotiations serve two functions:
1. the loudmouth gets to acquire political legitimacy for war. everyone even the grandma at home will be aware that they tried everything to avoid war. war would seem like the option of last resort because the evil iranians refused to make a deal.
2. talks close off the possibility of an iranian pre-emptive strike while they are reinforcing their positions. consequently, they can derail talks and start the war whenever they're ready without any risk.




on the question of what concessions the persians are willing to make

the only public concession floated is from admiral shamkhani, former secretary of the nsc, former chief of the irgc navy, and one of the few survivors from the negotiating team that was targeted in the 12d war

the admiral said the enrichment level of the 60% uranium can be reduced to 20%

removal of highly enriched uranium which had been seen as a viable concessions has been publicly shot down




as i repeated yesterday
the bottleneck remains israel
i don't think the loudmouth has it in him to sign a deal that the israelis severely oppose

i think he has agreed to negotiations as a way to cover his a$$ when this sh*t blows up
because then whatever happens, someone else will be the scapegoat
if the israelis try to derail and f*ck it up, it is netanyahu's fault
if a war starts and they predictably get f*cked up, it is the fault of hegseth and the pentagon generals who were given all the time in the world and all the assets available of a trillion dollar military and couldn't make it count
but if sh*t works, he gets credit




all reports about demands and concessions should be taken with a grain of salt until the weekend/early next week

witkoff meets the israelis today and the iranians will be coordinating with their allies

-Lord
Israel has historically sabotaged efforts to reach deals it deems unfavorable. From the killing of Haniyeh in Iran when a deal was about to be reached to the strike against Iran in the middle of an ongoing negotiation to the strike on Qatar intended to kill Hamas officials who were there for a negotiation.

Even if U.S. finally acquiesce to a fair deal with the Iranians israel would still go rogue as usual. Israel wants this war between U.S. and Iran badly and Trump's tenure could be the last opportunity to have this war. The Iranians should not relax they should remain vigilant.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by LordAdam16: 1:52pm On Feb 03
dermmy:
Israel has historically sabotaged efforts to reach deals it deems unfavorable. From the killing of Haniyeh in Iran when a deal was about to be reached to the strike against Iran in the middle of an ongoing negotiation to the strike on Qatar intended to kill Hamas officials who were there for a negotiation.

Even if U.S. finally acquiesce to a fair deal with the Iranians israel would still go rogue as usual. Israel wants this war between U.S. and Iran badly and Trump's tenure could be the last opportunity to have this war. The Iranians should not relax they should remain vigilant.
exactamundo

nothing to add

-Lord
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 1:56pm On Feb 03
⚡NATO's Rutte in Ukraine:

The world is focusing on events that could divide our attention, but Ukraine needs our support.


Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 1:57pm On Feb 03
⚡NATO's Rutte in Ukraine:

As soon as a peace agreement is reached, armed forces will appear, aircraft will be in the air, and there will be support at sea.


Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by LordAdam16:
1/3

now that negotiations appear to be a go and simmer things down to room temperature for the next two weeks
expressly because of iran's deterrence by denial enabled by its strategic leverage via hypersonics, resistance axis, and strait of homuz

it is time to revisit the age-old "should iran have acquired a nuclear weapon" question

conventional means appear to have deterred the yanks... twice
on the surface that may appear to support the argument that iran only needed a nuclear program to create a leverage it could use to eliminate forever economic sanctions
the thinking goes, without a nuclear program, the us would sanction them to oblivion and israel will attack repeatedly until the regime collapses under its own weight




i now firmly believe there is no justification for iran not to acquire a nuke
i consider khamenei's 2003 fatwa as big of a blunder as hitler marching on moscow
i consider his 23 year and running refusal to retract that fatwa as proof he is easily in the top 3 of persia's most tragic shahanshahs

i'll explain why

-Lord
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by LordAdam16:
2/3

before i get into the greatest strategic blunder in the history of modern iran

let's go over the very real and very legitimate reasons why iran refused to acquire a nuke

we are currently approaching this question with the benefit of hindsight
khamenei and his advisors did not have that in the months preceding his fatwa
none of them were prescient
they had to rely on a limited cross section of inputs to make a consequential decision

that is as much slack as i can send their way




the biggest reason for iran not pursuing a nuclear program
is the big red bullseye it paints on the regime

from a counter-intelligence viewpoint, iran is very porous
i cannot overstate how porous iran is
north korea, cuba, pakistan
these are fortresses compared to iran
and cuba is literally an island that the us can see every water craft heading to it

iran is bordered by turkey, pakistan, afghanistan, azerbaijan, and iraq
on its borders are turks, kurds, balochs, azeris
its like hausa communities on the nigerian and nigerien sides of our border
they're the same people, with the same language, same customs divided by an arbitrary line

put simply, for various reasons
iran does not appear capable of keeping a nuclear weapon development secret
between divided loyalties, corruption, and greed; usrael will learn of it within days
and then there'd be war
back in the early 2000s iran had barely any defense, its missiles were rudimentary, and it only had hezbollah as a formidable proxy

it needed to buy time




the second top reason was economic
north korean or cuba like sanctions are catastrophic for iran
back then they had reason to believe that if they gave up the ambition of a nuclear weapon they could convince the hegemony to not aggressively target them economically

case in point were syria, iraq, and libya
their nuclear programs were either directly or indirectly shut down and their leaders were still in office
libya was an economic success story and ghadaffi became a tentative western ally

of course all of that went to sh*t shortly after
in 2002, when they were making the decision, the question was north korea or libya
and they chose libya

afterwards, they had sunk cost fallacy
that seemed to have paid off in 2015 with the jcpoa until donald bush was elected




i'm not going to get into all of the other reasons

let's get into why in spite of all these
they should have gotten a nuclear weapon anyway

-Lord
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Kingsnairaland(m): 2:46pm On Feb 03
WriteerNg:
⚡NATO's Rutte in Ukraine:

As soon as a peace agreement is reached, armed forces will appear, aircraft will be in the air, and there will be support at sea.
You said the same thing when Russia went into Ukraine Kyiv yet we have not seen your men boldly

Making mouth yet no gut to cash out on your own words
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 2:49pm On Feb 03
⚡Zelensky’s name tied to Epstein-linked sex trafficker Brunel

Zelensky’s misspelled name pops up in an email accusing him of being complicit of human trafficking in Ukraine via Jean-Luc Brunel, the French model scout who supplied girls to Epstein.

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 3:28pm On Feb 03
🌍

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 3:41pm On Feb 03
⚡Two shipyard workers, a Romanian and a Greek man, arrested for sabotaging multiple German navy warships at the Port of Hamburg, Germany.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 3:42pm On Feb 03
⚡The men, poured gravel into the engine block of a ship, in addition, fresh water supply lines, removed fuel caps from fuel tanks and deactivated safety switches of electronics systems.

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 4:05pm On Feb 03
⚡Jonas Gahr Støre, Norway PM:

I looked Trump in the eyes and said, 100 km from my border is the world’s largest nuclear arsenal. It is not directed against me, but against you.

We monitor those submarines and share it with you. It is plain wrong, to say NATO gives nothing in return.


Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 4:11pm On Feb 03
⚡UK politician Peter Mandelson will quit House of Lords amid storm over Epstein ties, officials say — AP

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 4:13pm On Feb 03
⚡Russia's Kh-101 missile trails over Kyiv following the overnight large-scale combined missile and drone attack.

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 4:18pm On Feb 03
LordAdam16:
the day this guy go die

devil go start dey complain

why una dey send dis werey come my end?

-Lord
He reminds me of John McCain.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 4:37pm On Feb 03
shoodboi2:
Why are you afraid to mention what Putin did? Of course, you cannot say Putin did anything. The mentions of Putin, which you are struggling hard to make a big deal out of, were of Epstein talking to others about the many times he unsuccessfully tried setting up meetings with Putin.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/jeffrey-epstein-files-vladimir-putin-russia-b2911750.html

Instead of you hanging onto straws, why don't you talk about more factual news related to the file, including Epstein's close relationship with Israel and Mossad, and that photo of Prince Andrew leaning over a girl child and the other one child slept on the bed.
I sometimes wonder if some of you don't have anything else to do with your spare time than spending it freely replying senseless posts.

When you're dealing with folks who are wired to defend the lie and dismiss obvious reality no matter the facts presented, the best thing is just ignore them.

Most times, I don't even read their posts.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 4:38pm On Feb 03
shoodboi2:
As usual, he has nothing to say. grin grin grin
Like I said earlier. grin
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 5:01pm On Feb 03
Ukrainian strikes on Russian petroleum industry approved and aided by Trump administration were supposed to strengthen Ukraine's negotiating position.

Russia absorbed the hits and intensified own strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.

Now Ukraine is in a weaker position.
Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 5:07pm On Feb 03
⚡U.S. official to Axios:

It's really the Israelis who want a strike on Iran.

The President is just not there.

Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by WriteerNg: 5:10pm On Feb 03
⚡Witkoff-Netanyahu meeting begins in Jerusalem, joined by the heads of Israel’s security services — Times of Israel

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