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Senior advisors to US President Donald Trump would prefer if Israel struck Iran first, believing that such a move would provide better optics and help muster voter support for a US strike, Politico reported on Wednesday, citing two people familiar with the discussions.

“There’s thinking in and around the administration that the politics are a lot better if the Israelis go first and alone and the Iranians retaliate against us, and give us more reason to take action,” the sources told Politico.

The motivation behind the idea centers on Iran’s retaliation, the sources claimed, as “more Americans would stomach a war with Iran if the United States or an ally were attacked first.”

According to them, the line of thought around Trump is “we’re going to bomb them [Iran].”

However, other considerations are also being taken into account, according to the sources, including the risk of potentially depleting the US’s munition stockpiles, which could give China an opening to take Taiwan. Potential American casualties are another consideration.

“If we’re talking about a regime-change scale attack, Iran is very likely to retaliate with everything they’ve got," Politico quoted one of the sources as saying. "We have a lot of assets in the region, and every one of those is a potential target, and they’re not under the Iron Dome. So there’s a high likelihood of American casualties. And that comes with lots of political risk.”

Next round of US-Iran talks to commence in Geneva

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is set to meet Trump’s envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, in Geneva on Thursday for what has been described as a “decisive” meeting.

The talks are expected to determine whether there is still a path to an agreement between Tehran and Washington, or whether the likelihood of a US military strike will rise significantly.

International Atomic Energy Agency head Rafael Grossi and Oman's Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi are also expected to participate.

Sources familiar with the contacts between Iran and Washington told The Jerusalem Post that while the chances of reaching an agreement are slim, the possibility cannot be ruled out.

Before departing for Geneva, Araghchi said Iran would never abandon its nuclear activities “for peaceful purposes.” He also warned that if the United States attacks Iran, American bases in Arab countries would become “legitimate targets.”

Amichai Stein contributed to this report.

Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-888044?fbclid=IwY2xjawQNVt9leHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZA80MDk5NjI2MjMwODU2MDkAAR5-5-ms7wAMvDhjClyo1iwhxpK1NZuNvLVW5t6OcoTCANbHCGpLRig1NNsp7w_aem_enRARs6RpkmxjyM_mNFfPQ

Iran is a more difficult pill to swallow than they thought...


But they would never admit it!

Iran must be STRONGER than they imagined.

2 Nuclear Aircraft carriers are docked near Iran.

Yet two of the most POWERFUL Militaries in the world are still playing "after you".

FUNNY stuff!

Iran is very extremist as is obvious. Hence, I think US' attack against them is being dragged because of Mutually Assured Destruction (Suspected nuclear weapons in Iran).

brain54:
Iran is a more difficult pill to swallow than they thought...


But they would never admit it!

Grandiose delusion!the first strike on Iran,Ayatollah and they rest of the mullahs will look for rat holes to hide their heads .. nobody prays for war but if it happens,America has the capacity to make Iran look like Gaza in first 2weeks. We all must demand for peace,it is non negotiable,enough of innocent citizens dying for a war they never wished or asked for.

Stephen0mozzy:
Iran is very extremist as is obvious. Hence, I think US' attack against them is being dragged because of Mutually Assured Destruction (Suspected nuclear weapons in Iran).

They are NOT worried about MAD.
If they suspected that Iran had ACTUAL Nuclear Weapons, the US Military would NEVER go near them even if they were using babies as target practice in the street.

In fact, Nuclear Experts have said that Iranian enrichment of Nuclear Materials are still far from weapons grade.
And even if they succeeded in enriching it, they still have to deal with delivery systems.
That is how to launch the Nuclear Weapons.
Their current missiles CANNOT do it.

Plus if Iran had NUKES, Israel would know BEFORE the Ayatollah.


What they are worried about is the Iranian Hypersonic Missiles and the fact that Iran has stored them in places where they cannot easily be BOMBED and DESTROYED from the safety of the air.


And the fact that they'd need to deal with EXTREMISTS when they finally put boots on the ground.
They will fight the MILITARY and Civilians with a HANKERING for 72 Virgins

Iranian Air Defense System is SHIT.
America or Israel can BOMB them with little effort.

The problem is what happens AFTER.
The 12-day war with Israel demonstrated the power of their Hypersonic Missiles.

Iron Dome is probably the most POWERFUL Air Defense Systems in the world YET Iran's Missile still PENETRATED it.

That's why America is EVACUATING Base after Base in the region.
And it's one of the reasons the new DEAL that America and Israel want Iran to sign say they must roll back their Missile Programme along with their Nuclear ones.


It's the MISSILES.

Namaster:
They are NOT worried about MAD.
If they suspected that Iran had ACTUAL Nuclear Weapons, the US Military would NEVER go near them even if they were using babies as target practice in the street.

In fact, Nuclear Experts have said that Iranian enrichment of Nuclear Materials are still far from weapons grade.
And even if they succeeded in enriching it, they still have to deal with delivery systems.
That is how to launch the Nuclear Weapons.
Their current missiles CANNOT do it.

Plus if Iran had NUKES, Israel would know BEFORE the Ayatollah.


What they are worried about is the Iranian Hypersonic Missiles and the fact that Iran has stored them in places where they cannot easily be BOMBED and DESTROYED from the safety of the air.


And the fact that they'd need to deal with EXTREMISTS when they finally put boots on the ground.
They will fight the MILITARY and Civilians with a HANKERING for 72 Virgins

Iranian Air Defense System is SHIT.
America or Israel can BOMB them with little effort.

The problem is what happens AFTER.
The 12-day war with Israel demonstrated the power of their Hypersonic Missiles.

Iron Dome is probably the most POWERFUL Air Defense Systems in the world YET Iran's Missile still PENETRATED it.

That's why America is EVACUATING Base after Base in the region.
And it's one of the reasons the new DEAL that America and Israel want Iran to sign say they must roll back their Missile Programme along with their Nuclear ones.


It's the MISSILES.

Your analysis is interesting.

But never say no about the possibility of them having a functional nuclear weapon - and with America hellbent on policing the nuclear arsenal of the world, you don't think they'll make it secretive, even skewing research findings with false "intel" to keep the they don't have weapon going.

American is careful not to FAFO too 😅.
Japan once did

As far as there's a strike, let it rain

As far as there's a strike, it doesn't matter who starts first, let it rain

Stephen0mozzy:
Your analysis is interesting.

But never say no about the possibility of them having a functional nuclear weapon - and with America hellbent on policing the nuclear arsenal of the world, you don't think they'll make it secretive, even skewing research findings with false "intel" to keep the they don't have weapon going.

American is careful not to FAFO too 😅.
Japan once did

That's ANOTHER angle.

But I don't believe ANYBODY can truly keep a secret from MOSSAD in the Middle East.
Not for long, anyway.
And NOT a secret that big.

Plus if Iran had a FUNCTIONAL Nuclear Weapons, they'd ANNOUNCE it.
It'd be in their BEST interest to do so.
That way, America and Israel would KNOW to leave them alone because of MAD.

Hiding it, assuming they could under the WATCHFUL eyes of MOSSAD, would be SILLY.

Because if they reveal it as a SURPRISE to the world by using it against the American Military, that would be the END of Iran.
They would be WIPED OFF the face of the earth COMPLETELY.
America will OBLITERATE them with the blessings of MOST of the world.

If they successfully built 2 or 20 Nuclear Weapons, they'd have to CONTEND with America's 5,177 Nuclear Weapons.

Simply put:
Attacking American Military with a Nuclear Weapon would be an EXTINCTION EVENT for Iran.

The ONLY reason Japan FA and then FOed is because they had NO Nukes of their own.
If they did, and had MORE than the US had, America would be a Nuclear WASTE by now.

For the time being, America can FA as much as they want; the FO is still a LONG way off.

Namaster:
That's ANOTHER angle.

But I don't believe ANYBODY can truly keep a secret from MOSSAD in the Middle East.
Not for long, anyway.
And NOT a secret that big.

Plus if Iran had a FUNCTIONAL Nuclear Weapons, they'd ANNOUNCE it.
It'd be in their BEST interest to do so.
That way, America and Israel would KNOW to leave them alone because of MAD.

Hiding it, assuming they could under the WATCHFUL eyes of MOSSAD, would be SILLY.

Because if they reveal it as a SURPRISE to the world by using it against the American Military, that would be the END of Iran.
They would be WIPED OFF the face of the earth COMPLETELY.
America will OBLITERATE them with the blessings of MOST of the world.

If they successfully built 2 or 20 Nuclear Weapons, they'd have to CONTEND with America's 5,177 Nuclear Weapons.

Simply put:
Attacking American Military with a Nuclear Weapon would be an EXTINCTION EVENT for Iran.

The ONLY reason Japan FA and then FOed is because they had NO Nukes of their own.
If they did, and had MORE than the US had, America would be a Nuclear WASTE by now.

For the time being, America can FA as much as they want; the FO is still a LONG way off.

Very well said. Duff my hat for you.

MOSSAD is not as mighty as it may appear however far reaching their tentacles may appear - the thing with intelligence is that it can be poisoned with falsehood too.

May the best world police win.

What is the meaning of world police, under what treaty is that established?

Stephen0mozzy:
Very well said. Duff my hat for you.

MOSSAD is not as mighty as it may appear however far reaching their tentacles may appear - the thing with intelligence is that it can be poisoned with falsehood too.

May the best world police win.

Truthday:
What is the meaning of world police, under what treaty is that established?

Power is not power if it is enforced by a treaty.

Namaster:
They are NOT worried about MAD.
If they suspected that Iran had ACTUAL Nuclear Weapons, the US Military would NEVER go near them even if they were using babies as target practice in the street.

In fact, Nuclear Experts have said that Iranian enrichment of Nuclear Materials are still far from weapons grade.
And even if they succeeded in enriching it, they still have to deal with delivery systems.
That is how to launch the Nuclear Weapons.
Their current missiles CANNOT do it.

Plus if Iran had NUKES, Israel would know BEFORE the Ayatollah.


What they are worried about is the Iranian Hypersonic Missiles and the fact that Iran has stored them in places where they cannot easily be BOMBED and DESTROYED from the safety of the air.


And the fact that they'd need to deal with EXTREMISTS when they finally put boots on the ground.
They will fight the MILITARY and Civilians with a HANKERING for 72 Virgins

Iranian Air Defense System is SHIT.
America or Israel can BOMB them with little effort.

The problem is what happens AFTER.
The 12-day war with Israel demonstrated the power of their Hypersonic Missiles.

Iron Dome is probably the most POWERFUL Air Defense Systems in the world YET Iran's Missile still PENETRATED it.

That's why America is EVACUATING Base after Base in the region.
And it's one of the reasons the new DEAL that America and Israel want Iran to sign say they must roll back their Missile Programme along with their Nuclear ones.


It's the MISSILES.

Despite your biasness, I respect your honesty.