₦airaland Forum

Sentiments aside, do you think Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win Next year's presidential election.?

In a free and fair election his family might end up voting for someone else

It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

insidelife22:
Sentiments aside, do you think Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win Next year's presidential election.?
Nifmod
Seun
Mynd44

With a Landslide. He is coping well despite the horribleness of ATIKU, PETER OBI AND ELRUFAI. We don't call him "OSANYIN" for nothing.

Win in a free and fair contest? No. Do everything possible to sabotage the process of voting then forcefully and in connivance with compromised electoral umpires and judges? Yes.

insidelife22:
Sentiments aside, do you think Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win Next year's presidential election.?
Nifmod
Seun
Mynd44

It depends on two things.

1. Will the elections be credible?

2. Will the North vote for him?


One thing I can tell any Tinubu supporter is that us Igbos are going to vote massively against Tinubu. So if the North doesn't vote Tinubu, he is gone

Of course, if the elections are rigged, none of this will matter

He will be announced as the winner by rigging and intimidation of opposition.

Rigging will determine who will win

Joking aside, this thread is an evident that most Nigerians lacks awareness, what you should be discussing now is “ shettima/ wike or ribadu / wike coming 2031!

I will go further, and bear in mind I have never voted or plan to vote for him, without campaigning, he will win at a canter.

There is no opposition in Nigeria currently, a very shameful state of affairs.

Tinubu can lose only if Atiku is a presidential candidate and Obi is the vice. This theory is also dependent on whether Obidients would support the ticket. Any other scenario would easily return Tinubu as president.

The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so because they want power back in the North. Historically, the core Northerners always get nervous the moment they are out of power. This is the main reason they are complaining about Tinubu. If you recall, Atiku still won the majority of Northern votes in 2023, even as Buhari (a Northerner) was just completing 8 years. If any other Southerner e.g Obi is made the presidential candidate of ADC, you would see how the Northerners would vote for Tinubu. Their anger towards Tinubu is not sincere.

On other hand, if Obi is not on the ballot of any major political party as a presidential or VP candidate, Obidients would sit the election out. They might not vote for Tinubu, but they will not vote the other tickets too. The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

In conclusion, an Atiku/Obi combination can win in 2027. I do not see any other combination defeating Tinubu.

gidgiddy:
It depends on two things.

1. Will the elections be credible?

2. Will the North vote for him?


One thing I can tell any Tinubu supporter is that us Igbos are going to vote massively against Tinubu. So if the North doesn't vote Tinubu, he is gone

Of course, if the elections are rigged, none of this will matter

Better fight for disintegration. What is North? There are many ethnic groups in the North. In an ethnic voting, Igbo and Hausa Fulani alone don't have the numbers to determine how the election will go.
Yoruba and Hausa Fulani? Yes but not Igbo and Hausa Fulani.
As an onlooker, I am interested to see if a Fulani Igbo alliance can remove this Presidency and I think it is not possible but I hope Nigeria will breakup before then

DoTheNeedful:
The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

Yes it is the turn of the South East to rule us but not a hope in hell would abusing and insulting other Nigerians give you votes. Obidients will learn one day.

DoTheNeedful:
Tinubu can lose only if Atiku is a presidential candidate and Obi is the vice. This theory is also dependent on whether Obidients would support the ticket. Any other scenario would easily return Tinubu as president.

The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so because they want power back in the North. Historically, the core Northerners always get nervous the moment they are out of power. This is the main reason they are complaining about Tinubu. If you recall, Atiku still won the majority of Northern votes in 2023, even as Buhari (a Northerner) was just completing 8 years. If any other Southerner e.g Obi is made the presidential candidate of ADC, you would see how the Northerners would vote for Tinubu. Their anger towards Tinubu is not sincere.

On other hand, if Obi is not on the ballot of any major political party as a presidential or VP candidate, Obidients would sit the election out. They might not vote for Tinubu, but they will not vote the other tickets too. The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

In conclusion, an Atiku/Obi combination can win in 2027. I do not see any other combination defeating Tinubu.

Gentle reminder that the South didn't vote Tinubu. He only won 4 Southwestern states out of 17 Southern states. The North made Tinubu president with 5.6m votes. Tinubu didn't even win in Lagos and Osun but you expected ALL Northerners to vote Tinubu in a landslide as if Atiku is an outcast. How many votes did Buhari get from the Southwest. Did they vote for him in a landslide? That's not what the data says. Tinubu only got such huge votes from the North because respected individuals like Elrufai pricked the conscience of Northerners and urged them to keep their word. How has Tinubu repaid Northerners and his most loudest 2023 campaign champion from the North? Time is a gentleman.

If it's really about the South and not Southwestern/Tinubu quest for power, he should have supported someone from the Southeast. Even after winning, he has proceeded to disenfranchise Obi by destroying the LP and even the PDP that already zoned its ticket to the South. Tinubu is not the preferred candidate of the South.

Which one is do you think

31:36 and you are still asking this question

AMINDA:
Gentle reminder that the South didn't vote Tinubu. He only won 4 Southwestern states out of 17 Southern states. The North made Tinubu president with 5.6m votes. Tinubu didn't even win in Lagos and Osun but you expected ALL Northerners to vote Tinubu in a landslide as if Atiku is an outcast. How many votes did Buhari get from the Southwest. Did they vote for him in a landslide? That's not what the data says. Tinubu only got such huge votes from the North because respected individuals like Elrufai pricked the conscience of Northerners and urged them to keep their word. How has Tinubu repaid Northerners and his most loudest 2023 campaign champion from the North? Time is a gentleman.

If it's really about the South and not Southwestern/Tinubu quest for power, he should have supported someone from the Southeast. Even after winning, he has proceeded to disenfranchise Obi by destroying the LP and even the PDP that already zoned its ticket to the South. Tinubu is not the preferred candidate of the South.

Atiku is an outcast in North Central and North West because he keeps putting himself up for elections and blocks the pathway for other Northerners.

Meanwhile, President Tinubu has South West and South South.

Per destroying LP, that is nothing to do with him and more to do with the greed of those surrounding Peter Obi and their inability to want to share Obidients money.

aswani:
Atiku is an outcast in North Central and North West because he keeps putting himself up for elections and blocks the pathway for other Northerners.

Meanwhile, President Tinubu has South West and South South.

Per destroying LP, that is nothing to do with him and more to do with the greed of those surrounding Peter Obi and their inability to want to share Obidients money.

You wish. Despite the North largely agreeing that power should head South in 2023, Atiku still managed to poll over 1m votes from the Northcentral. So Atiku is hated in the NW? Wishful thinking. Atiku won all Northwestern states except Zamfara and Jigawa. Tinubu only won the NW region overall because of the efforts of the likes of Elrufai (400k from Kaduna) and Ganduje (500k votes from Kano) and Atiku’s lacklustre performance in Kano. Fastforward to today, Tinubu has betrayed Elrufai, betrayed Ganduje (yes) and Kwankwaso is on his way to the ADC. The first, second and third runners-up from 2023 will be under one political umbrella. You can do the math. Tinubu does not have any concrete base outside of his Southwest and even that will be fragmented no matter what he does.

Isn't it a little conspicuous that ALL political parties, even Accord, suddenly developed leadership crisis during Tinubu's regime? Continue to bury your head in the sand but don't expect us to do the same.

Too sure for him.

Except the Lord does want him to be .

Everything is on his side for now

Incumbent, need I say more?

AMINDA:
You wish. Despite the North largely agreeing that power should head South in 2023, Atiku still managed to poll over 1m votes from the Northcentral. So Atiku is hated in the NW? Wishful thinking. Atiku won all Northwestern states except Zamfara and Jigawa. Tinubu only won the NW region overall because of the efforts of the likes of Elrufai (400k from Kaduna) and Ganduje (500k votes from Kano) and Atiku’s lacklustre performance in Kano. Fastforward to today, Tinubu has betrayed Elrufai, betrayed Ganduje (yes) and Kwankwaso is on his way to the ADC. The first, second and third runners-up from 2023 will be under one political umbrella. You can do the math. Tinubu does not have any concrete base outside of his Southwest and even that will be fragmented no matter what he does.

Isn't it a little conspicuous that ALL political parties, even Accord, suddenly developed leadership crisis during Tinubu's regime? Continue to bury your head in the sand but don't expect us to do the same.

I don't agree with your analysis but I respect them. Kwankwaso and Obi appear to be headed elsewhere anyway away from ADC but if not, we shall see what ADC have to offer post primarirs as that tends to be the litmus test.

Per Parties in turmoil, is it President Tinubu that was the one that opened a useless registration portal for ADC.

Point being the opposition doesn't need him to show themselves up for the incompetence in their ranks.

He can never win a free and fare election in Nigeria

its a Dependent Answer, Base of peculiarity of Naija style politics

1. By Norm/standard, by virtue of Nigerians vote Tinubu cant be re elected i.e in a free, fair and credible election Tinubu cant win

2. By Amala politics & Personality of Tinubu, i can confidently say Tinubu will win his re election becos its not in the hands of Nigeria

Imagine less than a year to election, no light, fuel thats very sensitive is All time high, insecurity mounting high ... but Tinubu appears, over calm, he looks Zero worries ... that tells me Tinubu is not counting on the electorates, He has his way backdoor to Aso rock. He doesnt care what you nd I think or rant ...

Remember Go to court ... only time can rescue us from APC doom

Before n ko? It will be a landslide

Study Buhari 2nd re election.

That is the exact strategy they will use for Tinubu 2nd re election.

If opposition are wise, they should take this Expo very serious and study the patterns to Buhari re election.

Mind you, Buhari was doing very badly and still got re elected. Once you look back at history and see the patterns you will know how to stop them.

Take a few mins and google or ask chatgpt or any A I to check the events and things that happened during the re election of Buhari 2nd term.

That strategy is what will play out
Because the master mind of the startegey
Is now the President.

That is the exact blueprint the APC will use
Because it worked very well for them in past

The devil you know (Tinubu) is better than the angel (Obi/Atiku) you don't know

I wonder what's going on in the head of those who think otherwise.

With opposition behaving like orphans, its a clear and direct win for Tinubu in 2027.

Justnation:
He can never win a free and fare election in Nigeria

Making excuses for yourself already.
There were more cheating in LP locations in the last elections than in other places. Yet Una still came in 3rd.
This one will not even be close.

If he could win when all odds were against him in 2023 is it now that he's incumbent he'll lose?

1. Tinubu will be the winner.

2. Tinubu will be declared as the winner.


Which of the above is specifically your question op?

No... unless them go rig am as usual.

I don't even believe in whoever that might take over. All of them na d same.

The funny questions you kids ask here

2023, he faced President+ Vice President+ Senate President+ Party Chairman+ CBN Governor+ Buhari's dismal performance+ Muslim/ Muslim ticket. And won.

No other individual in Nigeria's has ever boldly faced such a challenge.

Now he's in power, over 30 Governors behind him and others begging to join.

ONLY God can stop such an individual.