₦airaland Forum

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

gidgiddy:
It depends on two things.

1. Will the elections be credible?

2. Will the North vote for him?


One thing I can tell any Tinubu supporter is that us Igbos are going to vote massively against Tinubu. So if the North doesn't vote Tinubu, he is gone

Of course, if the elections are rigged, none of this will matter

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

udeh3:
To be sincere, I'm not his supporter and won't vote for him, but, there's high possibilities for him winning this forthcoming coming presidential election come 2027. The probability of him winning is 0.85, and the reason is very simple, no reason opposition

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

Chivisee:
Joking aside, this thread is an evident that most Nigerians lacks awareness, what you should be discussing now is “ shettima/ wike or ribadu / wike coming 2031!

AMINDA:
You wish. Despite the North largely agreeing that power should head South in 2023, Atiku still managed to poll over 1m votes from the Northcentral. So Atiku is hated in the NW? Wishful thinking. Atiku won all Northwestern states except Zamfara and Jigawa. Tinubu only won the NW region overall because of the efforts of the likes of Elrufai (400k from Kaduna) and Ganduje (500k votes from Kano) and Atiku’s lacklustre performance in Kano. Fastforward to today, Tinubu has betrayed Elrufai, betrayed Ganduje (yes) and Kwankwaso is on his way to the ADC. The first, second and third runners-up from 2023 will be under one political umbrella. You can do the math. Tinubu does not have any concrete base outside of his Southwest and even that will be fragmented no matter what he does.

Isn't it a little conspicuous that ALL political parties, even Accord, suddenly developed leadership crisis during Tinubu's regime? Continue to bury your head in the sand but don't expect us to do the same.

lawani:
Better fight for disintegration. What is North? There are many ethnic groups in the North. In an ethnic voting, Igbo and Hausa Fulani alone don't have the numbers to determine how the election will go.
Yoruba and Hausa Fulani? Yes but not Igbo and Hausa Fulani.
As an onlooker, I am interested to see if a Fulani Igbo alliance can remove this Presidency and I think it is not possible but I hope Nigeria will breakup before then

Lithiumite:
The dynamics for every election are always different......obi cant gaurantee votes for anybody except he is the arrow head of the ticket.......tinubu can,atiku can,kwakwanso can

If atiku jettisons the ticket to obi,the northerners would rather wait out the tinubu 2nd term which is an easier way to get power back to the North in 31,atiku can wait till then as he would be the most viable northern candidate as no one comes close at the moment.

It's between the devil and the deep blue sea....field obi and loose northern votes,field atiku or RMK and loose southern votes.....tinubu has is SW block intact and he will clear all 6 states with a landslide,tribalism has a huge role whether you like it or not,forget what happened in lagos in 23,those were protest votes against Buhari’s harsh policies on currency change, fuel scarcity and insecurity same thing NC,obi had an edge from core xtian areas nof the region who bore their angst against the mosley Muslim ticket, all that is no more and apc has made huge inroads in that region.

SE,tinubu isn't looking to win that region if obi is on the ballot but he is guaranteed 25-40% spread in that region infact across all the states......obi is still very unpopular in the core north but tinubu will hold is own with atiku in all the Northern states except maybe adamawa,gombe and bauchi which are atiku's home turf but atiku cannot replicate such in the south.

insidelife22:
Sentiments aside, do you think Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win Next year's presidential election.?

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

gidgiddy:
It depends on two things.

1. Will the elections be credible?

2. Will the North vote for him?


One thing I can tell any Tinubu supporter is that us Igbos are going to vote massively against Tinubu. So if the North doesn't vote Tinubu, he is gone

Of course, if the elections are rigged, none of this will matter

koladata:
bro and I assure you that 50% to 70% of the Yorubas won't vote for him, trust me i'm a Yoruba and we don't play sentiment, Oyo is pdp, he dind't win lagos in the last election and things has gotten worse. 100 percent of my family member and friends has already said they would rather vote a dog than to vote that occultic man whose goal is to ensure the people suffers to satisfy his coven.

Even if light becomes stable and we now have 25hours of light per day instead of 24. I won't still vote for him

Even if fuel price becomes minus one naira. I won't still vote for him

That man is evil

DoTheNeedful:
Tinubu can lose only if Atiku is a presidential candidate and Obi is the vice. This theory is also dependent on whether Obidients would support the ticket. Any other scenario would easily return Tinubu as president.

The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so because they want power back in the North. Historically, the core Northerners always get nervous the moment they are out of power. This is the main reason they are complaining about Tinubu. If you recall, Atiku still won the majority of Northern votes in 2023, even as Buhari (a Northerner) was just completing 8 years. If any other Southerner e.g Obi is made the presidential candidate of ADC, you would see how the Northerners would vote for Tinubu. Their anger towards Tinubu is not sincere.

On other hand, if Obi is not on the ballot of any major political party as a presidential or VP candidate, Obidients would sit the election out. They might not vote for Tinubu, but they will not vote the other tickets too. The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

In conclusion, an Atiku/Obi combination can win in 2027. I do not see any other combination defeating Tinubu.

Dogalmighty17:
Win in a free and fair contest? No. Do everything possible to sabotage the process of voting then forcefully and in connivance with compromised electoral umpires and judges? Yes.