₦airaland Forum

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

And it would actually stop it

When INEC and judiciary is with him

Hell no. They may intimidate people in Lagos what about the North.

President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win Next year election.

gidgiddy:
In free and fair elections, 31 Governors only means 31 votes

but u lots believe kwankwanso would give obi millions of votes right?

Even abroad it's not like that, there are election influencers in politics.

U people are ignorant n u don't want to learn n that's y u will keep losing everytime

insidelife22:
Sentiments aside, do you think Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win Next year's presidential election.?

With the kind of moneybag he have now plus foreign power backing him his not going to lose .

Princedapace:
Hahaha, u are funny. Igbos have the numbers, even more than yorubas. They are the second highest non indegines in every damn state in Nigeria aside the core indigenes. They are the highest in their region and south south.
No ethnic group comes close. Forget ur mumu census. The only problem is elections arent free and fair. So, non indegenes are intimidated and even systematic failure. u think those figures u see from INEC are real? hahahaha
Two things happen here: Most igbos stay out of voting, like they dont vote. Two, there are systematic rigging put in place such as frustrate them from obtaining voters card, delaying the process in their region, etc. But if it is numbers, omo, nothing comes close aside maybe northerners. Igbos are major non indigenes in all the 36 states and Abuja o. In south east and south south, they out number everyone else. How do u defeat such ethnic group based on numbers? Na only rigging and manipulation dey worry Nigeria.

Igbos actually are not the highest in number of non indigenes in all states. It depends on the state in question. Go to any central market in Yoruba land and it is filled with Hausa selling foodstuffs and their other wares. In Yoruba land, Hausa and Igbo population will be close and I think Hausa is more. In any case, non indigenes in any state don't have significant population. Their total will be less than five percent. In Osun here, non Yoruba are less than three percent of the population

Of course
Why won’t he
He don win finish sef

gidgiddy:
Well, Tinubu better hope what you are saying is true because if he does not get significant votes from the North, he is gone

We have had president who did not win second bid. Heaven will not if he did not win. It is not lineage inheritance. All politicians are same of the same, none has interest of the masses at heart. They are only interested in acquiring wealth and power.

lawani:
Igbos actually are not the highest in number of non indigenes in all states. It depends on the state in question. Go to any central market in Yoruba land and it is filled with Hausa selling foodstuffs and their other wares. In Yoruba land, Hausa and Igbo population will be close and I think Hausa is more. In any case, non indigenes in any state don't have significant population. Their total will be less than five percent. In Osun here, non Yoruba are less than three percent of the population

nah, hausas are always second non indigenes o. Igbos are everywhere in extreme high number. The major problem is that most Igbos actually dont like to vote. Those 5 percent, 4 percent, when they sum them up in every state, u cna imagine what that is..
Now, they compete very well in over 20 states in Nigeria, then dominate completely in south south and south east. That is a massive number. Those guys are big. Igbos are actually too much. What decieved many is the boundary demarcations o. Igbos full Kongi, Benue, Calabar, Rivers, etc. So,Well, they lost a war which affected all these stuff. But on a norm, igbos most likely the most populated indegenes in Nigeria o. These guys full every state. U don even enter Akwa Ibom? lol, these guys creep in everywhere even outside Nigeria, they are too much in many countries, even countries u cant imagine.

Princedapace:
nah, hausas are always second non indigenes o. Igbos are everywhere in extreme high number. The major problem is that most Igbos actually dont like to vote. Those 5 percent, 4 percent, when they sum them up in every state, u cna imagine what that is..
Now, they compete very well in over 20 states in Nigeria, then dominate completely in south south and south east. That is a massive number. Those guys are big. Igbos are actually too much. What decieved many is the boundary demarcations o. Igbos full Kongi, Benue, Calabar, Rivers, etc. So,Well, they lost a war which affected all these stuff. But on a norm, igbos most likely the most populated indegenes in Nigeria o. These guys full every state. U don even enter Akwa Ibom? lol, these guys creep in everywhere even outside Nigeria, they are too much in many countries, even countries u cant imagine.

In Osun here, non Yoruba are less than five percent. They are like three percent and I have met someone from Nassarawa, another from Cross River, Igala, Igede, Hausas and Igbos. There are states in Yoruba land with many Ebira because they border Kogi state. There is no way towns like Suleja, Bida and Minna will not have three times more Yoruba than Igbo. So it is a wrong claim to make that Igbos are always second highest in all states. They will be second highest in some states no doubt

Tinubu cannot win an elementary school monitor election.

But if you are talking about stealing, then that’s a whole different thing.

He has done it before and that is the only way he knows.

All his life has been about doing crooked things.

Yes and it cos they will use both the power of incumbency n the little improvement he has done in his first tenure

koladata:
bro and I assure you that 50% to 70% of the Yorubas won't vote for him, trust me i'm a Yoruba and we don't play sentiment, Oyo is pdp, he dind't win lagos in the last election and things has gotten worse. 100 percent of my family member and friends has already said they would rather vote a dog than to vote that occultic man whose goal is to ensure the people suffers to satisfy his coven.

Even if light becomes stable and we now have 25hours of light per day instead of 24. I won't still vote for him

Even if fuel price becomes minus one naira. I won't still vote for him

That man is evil

😂😂😂nya Miri Dey disguise……..muumu, you better speak for yourself and your family…….we shouldn’t be talking about 2027 election that as already been won by Tinubu but 2031……Una delulu go clear by January next year……Tinubu till 2031

lawani:
In Osun here, non Yoruba are less than five percent. They are like three percent and I have met someone from Nassarawa, another from Cross River, Igala, Igede, Hausas and Igbos. There are states in Yoruba land with many Ebira because they border Kogi state. There is no way towns like Suleja, Bida and Minna will not have three times more Yoruba than Igbo. So it is a wrong claim to make that Igbos are always second highest in all states. They will be second highest in some states no doubt

I said in most of the states baba. There are countless states in Nigeria that u will rarely see yorubas sef.. So, this is not even an argument, everyone knows this. So, chill.

No body to challenge him so yes and the contenders have bad records that contributed to the rot of Nigeria but at least Tinubu is trying to face the right direction despite challenges and hardship

Princedapace:
I said in most of the states baba. There are countless states in Nigeria that u will rarely see yorubas sef.. So, this is not even an argument, everyone knows this. So, chill.

You forget as Igbos have what they indulge in, Yorubas also have and they go about the country to ply their trade. Hausas also have. Therefore the average Nigerian city will contain more Hausa and more Yoruba than Igbo. For example there is no Northern university where Yoruba do not massively outnumber Igbos. This will also be true for high schools and primary schools

lawani:
You forget as Igbos have what they indulge in, Yorubas also have and they go about the country to ply their trade. Hausas also have. Therefore the average Nigerian city will contain more Hausa and more Yoruba than Igbo. For example there is no Northern university where Yoruba do not massively outnumber Igbos. This will also be true for high schools and primary schools

Are u kidding me right now? Guy, abeg, u dey make me laugh. Bro, yorubas are less travelers in Nigeria abeg. Forget all these ur talks here.
Highest traveling ethnic groups in Nigeria: Igbos and Hausas.
And like I said, Igbos dominate in two major regions, hope u know that? South South and South east and have significant numbers in other regions. Like I said, it is mainly because of the war igbos lost, their lack of interests in voting, that is confusing u o. Those guys are major in two major regions in Nigeria o.

Yes because of the fact that, there are no credible opponents.

keemsleek:

To be fair light improved until recently that it fell yakata. I have never had light better like this in my years in nigeria. 18-20 hrs light. I had already stopped using my Gen until recently the light went bad. For him to apologize for the light issue is a big plus no minister of power has ever done that. Even now I have at least 10hrs of light.

Na where you see reach you go Talk reach, as at 2015 i stayed in joyce B in ibadan .. We had @least 19hrs if not 20hrs ... So you can't tell me being Fair

WHAT would have justified " Fairness" to them is ... Generated MW .. can you honestly say Tinubu govt have generated more MW than 2015 or what we usually have

You were enjoying subsidy. Subsidy that made some few individuals billionaires. A Greek fift to Nigerians.

You cant see above your height, they Tinubu brainwash you think " Subsidy" is the Demon in the rooom BUT thats is the biggiest lie from pit of hell , lemme tell you whats worst than subsidy ..

1. ALL expense paid of govt, ministers, Senators & reps on national revenue
2. Corruption Tinubu has subtly legalize for himself & cronies

I agree subsidy made some few billionaires BUT same subsidy was the only relief that touched each Nigerians regardless of status, you dont throw away a child with bath water

THE few that made billions from subsidy are they broke/poor now, But i can tell you over 60% of Nigerians have fallen below poverty line because of subsidy removal .. So where is the rationale

Gej was the boom era were few people were making billionaires and we are suffering the decay and the hushpuppy free everything now. You for uncle joma sold nepa to people who had no idea about electricity and we suffering it.

Are you aware for whatever price crude sold @ GEJ boom era, the current price of crude is above it, the 2026 budget was benchmark at $65, currently crude sells ova $110 ... What as govt being able to achieve with the money

Remember, As jonathan was making boom he was paying subsidy BUT Tinubu now has boom internal recenue from Taxes/levies plus boom from crude ... yet nothing to show. Sit n think

YOU can keep bringin the past But i will show even the present is terribly not doing anything right ... The man Tinubu appointed minister of power what does he know about power.. the suffering as intensified, ADelabu apologized beos is failure is a big dent to Tinubu promise with Nigerians

The biggest loose was the sacking of bath nnaji. No government can be perfect. Obj regime stole the 60 or is it 6billion dollars power money under olu agunloue has minister. Subsidy had to go I support that one die cause I knew how some people where chopping free money.

ALL you keep talking about is past past, We replaced PDP for a reason and looking 11yrs down the road .. It was the biggiest mistakes of our lifes thats the truth, APC as failed us better than pdp in all places PDP failed.
If Develop nation can embrace subsidy We have no reason to think subsidy is our terminal issue

My company then was one of them and I was the sale manager, wetin vex me say we workers no see chop cos they didn't increase salary. Has of gej regime people were earning 25k has salary ooo.

OH ! Bring on the glory days, that 25k will buy me two bags of rice then, no flat in the average city of lagos is above 25k in a month
Infact fuel per litre was less than #150 ... With 25k you can buy 170litres of fuel, full your car tank, tell me the joy of 70k in present value today

,

HOW dare you think you can defend the most uselezz Govt in history of our democracy

reddingtonblack:
HOW dare you think you can defend the most uselezz Govt in history of our democracy

Who pats house rent monthly. I know how much my house rent was at lisabi at Apapa. My mum was paying 350k at Ago palace. 100$ per barrel for 3 weeks now cause of d war, it was less than 45. Gej was hovering 70 ope barrel constantly. You said you were in uniilorin has of then but I was already into the oil and gas sector. The same way u complaining now was the same way people were complaining then. No government is perfect and can give it all. Who will win will win and nothing will happen be it tinubu, amechi, atiku or obi. Have a nice day.

na so Abacha happen!

saintopus:
It's only death that can stop President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory ✌️

DoTheNeedful:
Tinubu can lose only if Atiku is a presidential candidate and Obi is the vice. This theory is also dependent on whether Obidients would support the ticket. Any other scenario would easily return Tinubu as president.

The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so because they want power back in the North. Historically, the core Northerners always get nervous the moment they are out of power. This is the main reason they are complaining about Tinubu. If you recall, Atiku still won the majority of Northern votes in 2023, even as Buhari (a Northerner) was just completing 8 years. If any other Southerner e.g Obi is made the presidential candidate of ADC, you would see how the Northerners would vote for Tinubu. Their anger towards Tinubu is not sincere.

On other hand, if Obi is not on the ballot of any major political party as a presidential or VP candidate, Obidients would sit the election out. They might not vote for Tinubu, but they will not vote the other tickets too. The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

In conclusion, an Atiku/Obi combination can win in 2027. I do not see any other combination defeating Tinubu.

Atiku did not win in the north in 2023, Tinubu did and this was what caused Tinubu to eventually win. If not, Atiku would have been President.
Going from the above, if Atiku could not win in the north against Tinubu, why should Obi who beat him in the south vice him. Instead Obi should lead and a more popular but younger northerner than Atiku should be his vice.

lawani:
Better fight for disintegration. What is North? There are many ethnic groups in the North. In an ethnic voting, Igbo and Hausa Fulani alone don't have the numbers to determine how the election will go.
Yoruba and Hausa Fulani? Yes but not Igbo and Hausa Fulani.
As an onlooker, I am interested to see if a Fulani Igbo alliance can remove this Presidency and I think it is not possible but I hope Nigeria will breakup before then

They do. If they vote in entirely one direction. The hausa fulani have a very high rate of turnout. The only thing with the issue is probably going to be 25% coverage.

AMINDA:
Gentle reminder that the South didn't vote Tinubu. He only won 4 Southwestern states out of 17 Southern states. The North made Tinubu president with 5.6m votes. Tinubu didn't even win in Lagos and Osun but you expected ALL Northerners to vote Tinubu in a landslide as if Atiku is an outcast. How many votes did Buhari get from the Southwest. Did they vote for him in a landslide? That's not what the data says. Tinubu only got such huge votes from the North because respected individuals like Elrufai pricked the conscience of Northerners and urged them to keep their word. How has Tinubu repaid Northerners and his most loudest 2023 campaign champion from the North? Time is a gentleman.

If it's really about the South and not Southwestern/Tinubu quest for power, he should have supported someone from the Southeast. Even after winning, he has proceeded to disenfranchise Obi by destroying the LP and even the PDP that already zoned its ticket to the South. Tinubu is not the preferred candidate of the South.

Even Atiku should do the same now. He promised to step down if pdp micro zones the ticket to se in 2023, but today, he's still contesting.

aswani:
Atiku is an outcast in North Central and North West because he keeps putting himself up for elections and blocks the pathway for other Northerners.

Meanwhile, President Tinubu has South West and South South.

Per destroying LP, that is nothing to do with him and more to do with the greed of those surrounding Peter Obi and their inability to want to share Obidients money.

South south ke, no talk wetin you no know oo. That's how I was calculating pdp to win Delta in 2023.

I am an obi supporter but this your analysis is on point. See, I will only go out to vote if I see atiku/ obi joint ticket. Anything outside of this is a waste of time. Adc making obi candidate can and will not go anywhere . Politics is calculation ooooo. ADC use your brain.

DoTheNeedful:
Tinubu can lose only if Atiku is a presidential candidate and Obi is the vice. This theory is also dependent on whether Obidients would support the ticket. Any other scenario would easily return Tinubu as president.

The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so because they want power back in the North. Historically, the core Northerners always get nervous the moment they are out of power. This is the main reason they are complaining about Tinubu. If you recall, Atiku still won the majority of Northern votes in 2023, even as Buhari (a Northerner) was just completing 8 years. If any other Southerner e.g Obi is made the presidential candidate of ADC, you would see how the Northerners would vote for Tinubu. Their anger towards Tinubu is not sincere.

On other hand, if Obi is not on the ballot of any major political party as a presidential or VP candidate, Obidients would sit the election out. They might not vote for Tinubu, but they will not vote the other tickets too. The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

In conclusion, an Atiku/Obi combination can win in 2027. I do not see any other combination defeating Tinubu.

Chivisee:
Joking aside, this thread is an evident that most Nigerians lacks awareness, what you should be discussing now is “ shettima/ wike or ribadu / wike coming 2031!

You are a better political analyst than most on this thread.

One region no sabi politicking. SW and SS are better at this. Planning and strategizing for the future than others in the South.

Obi and Atiku just panicking and running from pillar to post... Very unstable people ...Smh

Tinubu is taking no chances ,he knows the ideas are against him but he has the power and he is using it to get what he wants . It will take super extra efforts to dislodge him from aso rock in 2027

Yes Tinubu last President then he would become the Prime Minister of Nigeria

If God didn't call him before then,,President Bola Ahmed Tinubu will win the 2027 Presidential election with a Landslide!