Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? - Politics - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? (6621 Views)
| Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by adenigga(op): 9:21am On Apr 27 |
Nigeria’s former Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, claimed that electricity generation in the country peaked at over 6,000 megawatts (MW) during his tenure. The minister, who resigned last week, also stated that available generation capacity was between 3,500MW and 4,500MW when he assumed office in August 2023. The claim was made in his resignation letter dated April 22, 2026 with reference number FMP/HM/SGF/026/I/001. “When I assumed office in 2023, the power sector was confronted with significant structural and operational challenges. Available generation capacity was between 3,500 and 4,500 megawatts despite an installed capacity of over 13,000 megawatts.” Daily Trust- FACT CHECK: Did Nigeria’s power generation exceed 6,000MW as Adelabu claimed? Adebayo Adelabu [b]“However, under your visionary leadership and the Renewed Hope Agenda, the sector has recorded measurable progress across the entire electricity value chain. Key achievements during this period include the successful implementation of the Electricity Act 2023, which has decentralized the electricity market and created a more investment-friendly framework. Peak generation has increased to over 6,000 megawatts, supported by the integration of the Zungeru Hydropower Plant and the rehabilitation of several thermal power assets,” [/b]he said. To verify the claim, Daily Trust obtained electricity generation data from the Association of Power Generation Companies (APGC) and the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), covering quarterly performance from 2023 to 2025 and monthly data from January to March 2026. Nigeria’s power sector has long struggled with inadequate and unreliable electricity supply despite repeated reforms and policy interventions. Installed capacity has consistently exceeded 13,000MW, yet actual electricity delivered to consumers remains far lower due to constraints in generation, transmission, and distribution. No evidence of 6,000MW peak generation Data from APGC shows that Nigeria’s grid never recorded a verified peak generation of 6,000MW or higher within the reviewed period: 2023: Peak ~5,000MW; 2024: Peak ~5,528MW; 2025: Peak ranged between ~5,300MW and ~5,801MW and 2026 (early months): Available capacity declined to ~4,089MW by March. While generation approached the 6,000MW mark, it did not surpass it based on verified industry records. NERC data shows fluctuating capacity, not sustained growth Quarterly data from NERC indicates a volatile pattern. Average Generation Capacity rose to 4,922MW in Q4 2023 shortly after Adelabu assumed office from 4211.44MW in Q3, 2023. It dropped to 4,249MW in Q1 2024, recovered to ~5,296MW by Q4 2024 and then ~5,430MW in Q3 2025 before declining to ~4,089MW by March 2026. This trend reflects inconsistency rather than a sustained breakthrough in generation performance. Experts warn against misinterpreting “peak generation” According to APGC CEO, Joy Ogaji, confusion often arises from mixing different power sector metrics: Installed capacity: ~13,000–14,000MW Available capacity: ~4,900–7,300MW Peak generation: ~5,000–5,800MW Average delivered power: ~4,100–4,600MW These figures are not interchangeable. Peak generation represents a momentary high point, not sustained output. For instance, even when peak generation reached about 5,528MW in 2024, average supply remained around 4,100–4,200MW, revealing a significant gap between potential and actual delivery. Structural constraints limit real output Although Nigeria’s power generation has approached 6,000MW under optimal conditions, there is no verified evidence that it exceeded that threshold during Adelabu’s tenure. Verdict: False [i]The claim that Nigeria’s power generation peaked at over 6,000MW is not supported by verified industry data. Although Nigeria’s average available generation stood slightly above 4000MW when Adelabu assumed office, Peak generation remained below the 6000MW mark, while average electricity supply continued to lag significantly behind installed capacity.[/i Source: https://dailytrust.com/fact-check-did-nigerias-power-generation-exceed-6000mw-as-adelabu-claimed
|
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Ofunaofu: 9:27am On Apr 27 |
This is the lie Adelabu wants to use to railroad himself into the Agodi Government House in Oyo State. Oyo people should not allow a failure like him anywhere near the reins of government or they’ll regret it deeply. They’ve been warned. Oyo State has capable individuals |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by dododawa1: 9:40am On Apr 27 |
ADELABU is lie muhammed |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by allthingsgood: 9:42am On Apr 27 |
Nobody can save this electricity situation. The only solution is to ban all generator importation. The generator importers are the ones sabotaging Nigeria. They will never let light be stable. Generator in Nigeria is a trillion naira business |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by ceejay80s(m): 9:43am On Apr 27 |
u guys should drop this adelabu joke, he is a failure and has resigned, he is just useless and I pity Oyo people he wants to govern |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by qualitymart: 9:45am On Apr 27 |
😆 Why wasting your time to fact check statement coming from power minister |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by sirblend: 9:45am On Apr 27 |
Key achievements during this period include the successful implementation of the Electricity Act 2023, which has decentralized the electricity market Yes it was signed by Tinubu. Allowing state government to generate electricity themselves.. But to this day no state governor has made intentions to generate electricity. Finally Minister if darkness collapsed the power sector..Now it's official that the National grid has started collapsing daily. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by BarrElChapo(m): 9:45am On Apr 27*. Modified: 8:44am On Apr 28 |
One of the worst if not the worst minister of Power, we’ve ever had. Although I’ll blame BAT who gave a career banker that portfolio. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by chuksjuve(m): 9:45am On Apr 27 |
The people of oyo state should brace up. 😀😀😀 |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by helinues: 9:45am On Apr 27 |
If Oyo people like, let them fall for the scam Adelabu |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by dauntless15(m): 9:45am On Apr 27 |
allthingsgood:No be only blame game una sabi for this una corn tree? Accountability and being responsible for your incompetence is a rumor. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by IsraeliAIRFORCE: 9:47am On Apr 27 |
Power generation is down from where PDP left it. The same way crude oil production nosedived under Buhari's administration. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by DuttyChuks: 9:47am On Apr 27 |
Apc are liars and dangerous for Nigerias' health ! Nigerians can really endure every nonsense; see this failure shooting on himself. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by keemsleek(m): 9:48am On Apr 27 |
Y adenigga:According to my finding to what you wrote this what i found out. Yes — but only briefly and as a peak record, not consistently. In March 2025, Nigeria’s power sector recorded a historic peak generation of about 6,003 MW, which is the first time it officially exceeded 6,000 MW. � Legit.ng - Nigeria news. +1 This was described as a milestone, meaning it happened at a specific moment (peak output), not sustained daily supply. However, the bigger picture: Before that, Nigeria’s all-time peak was around 5,801 MW, below 6,000 MW. � Halt Fake Even after hitting 6,000 MW once, actual regular generation is usually much lower (often between ~3,000 MW and 5,000 MW). � Pulse Nigeria As of 2026, reports still show the country struggling to consistently meet or maintain 6,000 MW. � Pulse Nigeria Bottom line ✅ Nigeria has exceeded 6,000 MW (once as a record peak in 2025) ❌ But it has not sustained 6,000 MW consistently in everyday electricity supply Here’s a clear, fact-based comparison of Nigeria’s highest recorded electricity generation peaks under the three administrations: 🇳🇬 Goodluck Jonathan (2010–2015) Peak generation: about 5,000 MW This was widely cited as a major milestone of his reforms. � Premium Times Nigeria 👉 Reality: Nigeria was still struggling to consistently stay above 4,000–5,000 MW during this period. 🇳🇬 Muhammadu Buhari (2015–2023) Peak generation: about 5,074 MW (Feb 2016) This remained the official highest verified peak for years after Jonathan. � TheCable +1 👉 Notes: There were political claims of 7,000 MW, but fact-checks confirmed Nigeria never reached that level. � TheCable So realistically, Buhari’s era did not significantly exceed Jonathan’s peak. 🇳🇬 Bola Ahmed Tinubu (2023–present) Peak generation: 6,003 MW (March 2, 2025) This is the highest ever recorded in Nigeria’s history. � Leadership 👉 Additional context: Transmission peak reached about 5,801 MW shortly after. � Premium Times Nigeria 📊 Simple Comparison Administration Highest Peak (MW) Status Jonathan ~5,000 MW First major milestone Buhari ~5,074 MW Slight improvement, mostly stagnant Tinubu 6,003 MW All-time record (first to cross 6,000) ⚖️ Bottom line Jonathan: Took Nigeria to ~5,000 MW Buhari: Barely improved beyond that (~5,074 MW) Tinubu: First to break 6,000 MW, setting a new record |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by onuman: 9:49am On Apr 27 |
6 megawayts for a country of 220 million people. APC government is not even ashamed of this after 11 years in power. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Reference(m): 9:50am On Apr 27 |
Ofunaofu:That is not what the average pollster who cannot relate his electoral choices to the quality of governance he will expect. It is all about the money. By now the pollster will be licking his lips on how much he will receive in selling his vote while the governor will be in negotiations with his company of contractors on how to share the resources to buy white elephants....of course before they sign the cheques to sponsor his quest. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by VeeVeeMyLuv(f): 9:52am On Apr 27 |
You guys are treating this guy like an emperor, a king , a god when this is a democracy. If he tell you people to jump inside fire furnace you will jump abi? For gawd sake why will electricity units be 1,000 naira for only 4.5 units when minimum wage is not atleast 1 million naira? |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Seunpapa65: 9:52am On Apr 27 |
Tinubu is clueless u don't appoint such a high value sector based on favor tell me what business someone that studied accountant have with power There are hundreds of people who are more competent for the job but Tinubu prefer loyalist even when the are not fit for the job |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Nwaikpe: 9:53am On Apr 27 |
Why say FALSE? This is APC for God's sake. Lies are their food. Lies are normal. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by donbenie(m): 9:53am On Apr 27 |
allthingsgood:You are living in the past,Oga. Fuel generator usage in Nigeria is dying a progressive natural death,in the wake of fuel hikes and Solar energy. Find something and somebody else to blame your incompetency on. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Fiscus105(m): 9:53am On Apr 27 |
No matter how Ur good intentions and experience are, Nigeria ministry of power will humble and disgrace you. It's Hydra headed monster 💩 If it can humble Bola Ige and Bartlomew Nnaji, how much less crumbles. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by duduade(m): 9:53am On Apr 27 |
keemsleek:How much were you paid I hope it's worth all these you wrote How many hours of light in a day can you boast of |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Sirleo05: 9:54am On Apr 27 |
I no get anything to talk about dis man mata again. ones a failure, always a failure |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by mukshin(m): 9:55am On Apr 27 |
Nija need over 100k MW of power this useless Minister is saying rubbish. I still rely on my inverter till tomoroow for my family....| |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by 1vandragon: 9:56am On Apr 27 |
PDP built over 14 power plants, sadly, apc could not build on that achievement... |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by Reference(m): 9:57am On Apr 27 |
keemsleek:Na so. Every government and it's propaganda. When the next government comes it will downgrade that 6003 claimed and set it's own records. Why not let the patrons decide how sweet the soup you serve in your restaurant is. Who will boldly say power has improved as dramatically as those figures suggest despite paying nearly triple the tariffs over the past decade. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by keemsleek(m): 9:58am On Apr 27 |
T duduade:Paid.... must everything to u be about payment? Does the truth pain u guys? Pls read again how I supported anyone.... my light has not blinked since yesterday.... this week 24hrs fir 2 dat the 3rd day they took it in the morning and didn't bring it back till 11pm. You just want to listen and wring story so u would be happy dat things are bad cos bad news about the country makes u happy.... have a nice day not everyone loves money to be bought...wait mayb u cos u mentioned payment. God bless u, God bless Nigeria. |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by allthingsgood: 10:00am On Apr 27 |
donbenie:Story. How many people can afford solar It will still take decades and even the solar inverter still needs nepa light to charge |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by boxypane: 10:01am On Apr 27 |
You need to read the report to fully understand the verdict. He got B but -B not +B. There is still significant gap in infrastructure for power generation. My question is how did South Africa, Egypt, Morocco did it without nuclear Energy Plants? These politicians are failures |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by seyidboy(m): 10:03am On Apr 27 |
Let each state built at least three power plant spread across each senatorial district. Till then, National grid will continue to be a national embracement |
| Re: Fact Check: Did Nigeria’s Power Generation Exceed 6,000MW As Adelabu Claimed? by iwaeda: 10:06am On Apr 27 |
False as always and this what some people wants us to continue. We pay for darkness under Band A. Adelabu is a failure, like Tinubu that appoints him. ![]() |
Nigeria Will Generate 6,000MW Of Electricity By December, Says Minister • Available Power Generation Capacity Plunges By 3,000MW To 6,000MW – Gencos • Fact-Check: Did Two Persons Fly Out Of Crashed Aircraft Conveying Attahiru? • 2 • 3 • 4
Current Chronic Theft In Nigeria Banking System • INTERVIEW: Junaid Is Preparing Ground For Another Civil War – Elliot Uko • I Will Go After Boko Haram Sponsors, Says Presidential Candidate
It will still take decades and even the solar inverter still needs nepa light to charge