₦airaland Forum

Willy2025:
There is no credible organised opposition to the 2nd term of Tinubu. Our philosophy in Yorubaland is that we don't vilify our son whether good or bad. Omo Eni o le buru, ki a fi fun ekun je (you cannot feed your son to a tiger because he is a bad boy). If a boy fails in Yorubaland, you simply ask him to repeat the class. If you are saying that Tinubu has failed (though he is doing exceptionally well), then he must be allowed to repeat the presidency. Afterall, he said EMILOKAN
It is still the turn of the Yorubas, so Obi et al. should wait for their turn. You see this 2027, it is either snatch or grab. Una go learn in what way again?

You don't know Yoruba people at all, the same people that Awo, President Obasanjo and even President Tinubu cannot unify.

Politically, Yoruba people are the epitome of fairness in not caring you are their son or daughter, they will humble you and vote out of spite sef, take Lagos state as an example.

I normally don't agree with Farooq Kperogi but on this one, he nailed it. We have the worst opposition ever who cannot even pretend that all they want to do is sit at the top table and don't care a jot for the people or to alleviate any suffering said people might be going through.

Every single (disastrous) step this useless opposition has taken individually and collectively so far is effectively making President Tinubu's hand stronger. As at now, the man doesn't even have to spend one second on the campaign trail as Atiku, Peter Obi and the others are doing his job for him.

blamingthedevil:
There is really no opposition in Nigeria in the true sense of the word. There are only politicians who have been temporarily kicked out of the inner sanctum of power and influence but who share no fundamental difference with the current temporary occupants of the power structure. Nonetheless, if all the people vegetating on the margins of the power structure came together, they could easily displace those within it in 2027.

Although the coalition of so-called opposition politicians angling to get back to power in 2027 has not articulated a coherent blueprint to show that it will be different from President Bola Tinubu (I strongly believe they are indistinguishable from him), it can effectively instrumentalize the crying incompetence, in-your-face corruption, ethnic bigotry, insufferable arrogance, unabating misery and insouciance that have become the hallmarks of Tinubu’s administration to convince a traumatized nation that it can offer an alternative.

It doesn’t matter if they will replicate or even exacerbate Tinubu’s unrelieved disaster when they get to power. Even the prospect of temporary relief from Tinubu’s unending torment is enough to get most people to give them a chance. But they have shown that they lack the discipline, cohesion and foresight required to wrest power from Tinubu.

Even before they have had a chance to come together, they are splintered. This became clear in the aftermath of the Supreme Court ruling that restored David Mark’s leadership of the ADC. Neither Peter Obi nor Rabiu Kwankwaso said a word about it.

There are credible rumors that Obi and Kwankwaso didn’t react to the Supreme Court judgment because they had already moved on. They are said to be heading to the NDC and no longer care about what happens to the ADC.

In other words, we are back to the 2023 factionalization of the “opposition.” Both Obi and Kwankwaso appear to be allergic to the internal democratic processes of political parties. They want to be canonized as candidates without contest. Since they can’t find that, they are moving away.

https://www.farooqkperogi.com/2026/05/atiku-obi-kwankwaso-are-tinubus-most.html

True. But with backyard, treacherous arrangement with which Nigeria is a failed society in the comity of nations.

IamPatriotic:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is using Peter Obi for his 2031 ambition, much like Atiku wanted to. Everything Kwankwaso is doing for Obi now is not because he believes in Obi, but because he hopes the support will be reciprocated in 2031 when it will rationally become the turn of the Northto produce the President of Nigeria.

.... You are correct,you gat a good point..

Avedonn:
I think Obi is overestimating his popularity. The core North would rather vote for Tinubu than vote for Obi, regardless of who he picks as his running mate. Even Kwankwaso, whom Obi is counting on, is only popular in Kano and perhaps parts of Jigawa. Obi should have been patient and accepted the role of Atiku’s running mate, as that might have helped ease the sentiment the core North holds against him.

Although, the South deserves to complete the remaining four years, even if Obi were given the ticket without Atiku’s support, it would be impossible for him to win in the core North. If Obi insists on contesting under the platform of the NDC, he will not win, and that will be the end of his presidential ambition. Tinubu will win, and by 2031, the momentum will shift back to the North.

atiku will not win one state in the south. Can rotimi give him rivers ? No.

Let him him and tinubu drag the useless Nigerians. Obedients and kwankwansiya. Will take thier share too. Let the best man win

IamPatriotic:
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is using Peter Obi for his 2031 ambition, much like Atiku wanted to. Everything Kwankwaso is doing for Obi now is not because he believes in Obi, but because he hopes the support will be reciprocated in 2031 when it will rationally become the turn of the Northto produce the President of Nigeria.

and it will. Kwankwanso for president. 2031

Brilliantly stated.. spot on!

These so-called opposition politicians are SIMPLY LAZY and UNINTELLIGENT

GloriousGbola:
Bola Ahmed Tinubu built what became APC over a period of 9 years from 2006 to 2015. from the ashes of AD after OBJ ran roughshod over everyone else and made PDP the only game in town

he started from lagos and then expanded to a regional party and when the time was right made strategic alliances. he also built a network of support over those 10 years across nigeria - and that network came through for him in the 2023 election. it was not a smooth growth and ACN/AC/APC also suffered losses and setbacks.

all these opposition politicians are trying to shoehorn a decades work into a year. atiku disappears to dubai for two and half years after every election.

i always say Peter obi could have followed the exact template created by Tinubu and grown APGA into an actual regional party controlling the SE as a single voting bloc and having actual negotiating power - but he opted for the easy way of aligning with an almighty PDP.

Because Buhari never wanted him as the successor in 2023. He allowed Obidients to rig mindlessly. This time around Obi won't see 20k in Lagos. Bookmark this. If he gets 20k votes, I owe you 1m.

AMINDA:
Why did your son lose in Lagos that he governed for 8 years and resides in and Osun, his state of origin? Do you think your son is currently President because of your votes?

People say what they don't know, people assume what they think is happening. All noise without substance.

Willy2025:
Because Buhari never wanted him as the successor in 2023. He allowed Obidients to rig mindlessly. This time around Obi won't see 20k in Lagos. Bookmark this. If he gets 20k votes, I owe you 1m.

You don't have 1m to spare but deal! If you use violence to prevent other Southerners from voting Obi in the SW, the same will be done against Tinubu across other parts of the South.

1bunne4lif:
This assertion is wrong, Obi is open to direct primaries, it's Atiku that's hell bent on consensus.
If consensus is to be considered, the south should have it in order to balance the unwritten zonal law of 8 years north, 8 years south

That's outrightly false. Atiku has a clear advantage even in a direct primary. The North has more registered members. Obi has never participated in a primary in his political career. He wants Atiku to step down from the race but that's undemocratic.

givedemwotowoto:
The problem with Atiku - Obi partnership is lack of clarity.

It's not enough to want to unseat Tinubu as President, you both must be on the same page.

Think about it this way: If you meet a partner, both of you having a desire to be married and have kids is not enough for marriage to work. Do you have similar values (e.g. What if she doesn't believe in traditional values while you do)? Are you on the same page in life (e.g. What if she wants to pursue further education or career first before children, while you want to start having children right away)?

The problem is that Atiku and Obi didn't establish the rules of engagement from day 1. They left the most important issue to be open ended, and it came back to hurt them later on. To Peter Obi, fairness means conducting direct primaries, he campaigns and rallies people like El-Rufai, and if he doesn't succeed in the end, he will accept the results. To Atiku, he wants to be named the consensus candidate because he thinks he's the bigger opponent.

While they probably talked about it, they didn't establish it as a core principle of selecting the candidate, to represent fairness for each party.

Here we are with few days left, and a tyrant on the other side instigating his own divisions using the system, essentially trying to destroy democracy.

I have to say Peter Obi - Kwankwaso is 7.5 million votes and not enough to defeat Tinubu's 8.7 million. Only a united opposition can defeat Tinubu.

I think you switched Atiku for Obi in your analysis
Atiku wants primaries. It's Obi that detests primaries and wants to emerge via consensus. But even the consensus he doesn't seem to have the capacity to build

dibunotion:
These recycled politicians are all ambitious and can't do better than what they done before. Wake me up when we have someone fresh

This is exactly my point.

I feel sorry for all those engaging in ethnic banters over elections that the real Nigerians regardless of tribe do not benefit, only their families and cronies enjoy their administration.

Check history of all the past leaders, both military and civilians.

From my observation, the tribe of all the past presidents tend to suffer more when their brother is in power.

I ask, has Jonathan ascendancy to power significantly changed the conditions of Ijaw people or Niger Deltans?

Has an average Hausa-Fulani been better off as a tribe ? Are yorubas doing much better economically now?

Will an average Igbo, be much better off when Obi gets to power?

Our religious and ethnic biases have given root to our problem as a nation,

Just imagine Nigeria playing as a team on the field with the best 11 available from any tribe. Strictly based on merit.

We will all be far better.

Changing the faces of politicians will not achieve a better result, it will worsen it.

If Obi wins, he will still work with the likes of Malami, Aregbeshola, El rufai etc who were part of the Buhari administration. The jury is out there on their performance.

We cannot continue to do things same way and expect a different result. That is call madness or "delulu"

We need the youths who can build a new Nigeria with long and medium term vision. Not immediate gain.

They will build from grass root, taking over local govts. After some about 10yrs, they move to states and eventually go for the federal.

But this idea of waking up 8months to election and everyone wants to be president and no one is willing to build and sacrifice will keep us in a worse mess than we are currently in.

A house divided against itself cannot stand.

Now we are likely to have APC, And scattered opposition across NDC, ADC, LP and possibly more.

And you all expect a different result?

Good luck to you all.

I refuse to be part of the "Delulus"

IamPatriotic:
The three are differently guilty of not being a oppositions, Atiku and Kwankwaso should have respected the gentlemen rotation arrangements between the North and the South, while Obi should have remained in Labour Party, rather than moving to ADC

There couldn't have been a Labour party if Obi had remained there.
Abure's tenure has long expired but Tinubu and Wike used the court wayo judgement to still favour him as a legal Chairman. But immediately Obi left the party they all lost interest and abandoned Abure on his fate.
You guys are not really paying attention to details

Kukutente23:
I think you switched Atiku for Obi in your analysis
Atiku wants primaries. It's Obi that detests primaries and wants to emerge via consensus. But even the consensus he doesn't seem to have the capacity to build

Peter Obi wanted direct primaries

From what Peter Obi said here, it appears the ADC leadership will no longer settle for a consensus candidacy but will conduct direct primaries.

I'd believe they learned something from what happened at their Convention yesterday. Give Nigerians a candidate who will excite them!✍️ pic.twitter.com/zz6k6Vqra0

— Obiasogu David (@afrisagacity) April 15, 2026

I feel good right now knowing that Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso will no longer be part of ADC forced coalition and they themselves brought the fake momentum to an abrupt halt.

GloriousGbola:
Bola Ahmed Tinubu built what became APC over a period of 9 years from 2006 to 2015. from the ashes of AD after OBJ ran roughshod over everyone else and made PDP the only game in town

he started from lagos and then expanded to a regional party and when the time was right made strategic alliances. he also built a network of support over those 10 years across nigeria - and that network came through for him in the 2023 election. it was not a smooth growth and ACN/AC/APC also suffered losses and setbacks.

all these opposition politicians are trying to shoehorn a decades work into a year. atiku disappears to dubai for two and half years after every election.

i always say Peter obi could have followed the exact template created by Tinubu and grown APGA into an actual regional party controlling the SE as a single voting bloc and having actual negotiating power - but he opted for the easy way of aligning with an almighty PDP.

With what funds could he have built APGA
You guys almost always forget the role money plays in our politics
Even his successor turned against him and he could do nothing and you're talking about turning APGA into a regional party
Why have those who came after him not turned APGA to a regional party? Why do they all follow his template of aligning with the center?
Would money, you can't build anything in Nigeria's political space and were talking about free money that comes in endlessly and you can afford to lose. That's what alpha beta did for Tinubu's political journey
That's why Wike remains formidable despite his lack of political nuance and tactics

givedemwotowoto:
Peter Obi wanted direct primaries

From what Peter Obi said here, it appears the ADC leadership will no longer settle for a consensus candidacy but will conduct direct primaries.

I'd believe they learned something from what happened at their Convention yesterday. Give Nigerians a candidate who will excite them!✍️ pic.twitter.com/zz6k6Vqra0

— Obiasogu David (@afrisagacity) April 15, 2026

You guys keep falling for politicians and their words
So why did he visit Amaechi and asked him to step down for him
Why is his camp saying Atiku shouldn't contest?

Kukutente23:
With what funds could he have built APGA
You guys almost always forget the role money plays in our politics
Even his successor turned against him and he could do nothing and you're talking about turning APGA into a regional party
Why have those who came after him not turned APGA to a regional party? Why do they all follow his template of aligning with the center?
Would money, you can't build anything in Nigeria's political space and were talking about free money that comes in endlessly and you can afford to lose. That's what alpha beta did for Tinubu's political journey
That's why Wike remains formidable despite his lack of political nuance and tactics

yes - because bola tinubu built apc to a regional party in under a year
you don't want to put in the work but you want the results
in 2006 PDP had full access to federal might, federal armoury, federal security apparatus, and federal purse. and PDP used all of these

all bola tinubu had access to at the time was the resources of lagos state

Even his successor turned against him and he could do nothing and you're talking about turning APGA into a regional party

all you are doing is echoing what e have all seen with our very eyes in the past 3 years. Peter obi is NOT leadership material. the same story is playing out in LP, in ADC and with different coordinators and supporters. the man cannot even call obedients to order when they go off script and start attacking unsecured allies .

tishbite41:
Remember you said worse in 2022
He shocked you all
2027 maybe the shocker of your lives
He might look confused now but he has insisted that he must be on the ballot

Don't mind him.
He thinks with the current level of hunger; rice distribution can influence Nigerian's vote. Except if they've a written script they're not telling us

Obi and kwankwaso moving out of the adc might also be a collective game plan to have another safe platform in case tinibu succeeds in using the courts to destroy the adc we all saw the press statement they released in ibadan where they all agreed to support a single presidential candidate u can't put all ur eggs in one basket while going against a crook and narcissist like tinibu who is ready to deploy anything wether conventional or not to stop the opposition from having a platform to challenge him in next year's presidential election having plan A, B, C, and even plan D is not a bad idea in times like these.

GloriousGbola:
yes - because bola tinubu built apc to a regional party in under a year
you don't want to put in the work but you want the results
in 2006 PDP had full access to federal might, federal armoury, federal security apparatus, and federal purse. and PDP used all of these

all bola tinubu had access to at the time was the resources of lagos state



all you are doing is echoing what e have all seen with our very eyes in the past 3 years. Peter obi is NOT leadership material. the same story is playing out in LP, in ADC and with different coordinators and supporters. the man cannot even call obedients to order when they go of script and start attacking unsecured allies .

It seems you're not reading what I'm writing
Nobody in Nigeria's political space cares about your leadership material. It's about what support you can render and it's always in terms of money
You think you can stay out of power for 20 years and still be relevant to other politicians without money?
Where is Wike's G5 today? The only sitting gov in their midst has left. The others who are with him are the incapacitated ones with no base. I'm giving you live examples so you can stop deceiving yourself into thinking it's one leadership acumen somewhere.
Even the AC you're talking about. Go and study how it was able to take over the SW starting from Osun and ending with Oyo in 2011. It was about being able to render financial support to the aspirants on their ticket. You can't be able to do all that without money. How do you sponsor an Ajimobi and Amosun and Fayemi almost at the same time in different states? How do you do that without money? How do you get the court to give you Osun against clearly written provisions of the electoral act without money?
If Tinubu had access to resources of Osun and not Lagos, he wouldn't be able to build what you say he built. That's the fact

helinues:
Smiles.

Whenever I reason about those opposition and their self inflicted drama, I just dey laugh..Even if they unite together and get serious, it's too late for them to win the election in 2027 because election campaign funds will still be issue. Only Atiku is financially strong in the coalition, they are yet to have any governor.

Meanwhile, there are 2 Africa countries on standby ready to fund president Tinubu's reelection. Gambia and Senegal ( Why, story not for now)

Like I have been consistently saying, should Obi or Kwankwanso leave ADC, they are definitely working for president Tinubu

you are giving them the Expo already

helinues:
Smiles.

Whenever I reason about those opposition and their self inflicted drama, I just dey laugh..Even if they unite together and get serious, it's too late for them to win the election in 2027 because election campaign funds will still be issue. Only Atiku is financially strong in the coalition, they are yet to have any governor.

Meanwhile, there are 2 Africa countries on standby ready to fund president Tinubu's reelection. Gambia and Senegal ( Why, story not for now)

Like I have been consistently saying, should Obi or Kwankwanso leave ADC, they are definitely working for president Tinubu

Why will gambia and senegal fund tinibu's reelection with all the trillions at tinibu's disposal it seems u don't even know it's against nigeria's laws for other countries to fund any presidential candidate in nigeria?

helinues:
Smiles.

Whenever I reason about those opposition and their self inflicted drama, I just dey laugh..Even if they unite together and get serious, it's too late for them to win the election in 2027 because election campaign funds will still be issue. Only Atiku is financially strong in the coalition, they are yet to have any governor.

Meanwhile, there are 2 Africa countries on standby ready to fund president Tinubu's reelection. Gambia and Senegal ( Why, story not for now)

Like I have been consistently saying, should Obi or Kwankwanso leave ADC, they are definitely working for president Tinubu

I thought u were blinded by bigotry.

I never knew you have sense and cognitive abilities

Obi is suffering from the aftermath of being lionized and being placed at a level far above his pedestal. He doesn’t have the clout or charisma for the office of the president but he has to keep up with the hype his Obidient mob gave him, to avoid incurring their wrath. That’s why he reneged on the initial agreement he had with Atiku to be his running mate

dominique:
It's really does look like they're working for Tinubu with all these clownery they're performing. How hard is it to choose a consensus candidate to bear the flag of the party? Everybody wants to be president but sadly they can not pull the numbers to win individually.

The first is to have a stable reliable platform first before agreeing on who will be the consensus candidate to support.

Kukutente23:
It seems you're not reading what I'm writing
Nobody in Nigeria's political space cares about your leadership material. It's about what support you can render and it's always in terms of money
You think you can stay out of power for 20 years and still be relevant to other politicians without money?
Where is Wike's G5 today? The only sitting gov in their midst has left. The others who are with him are the incapacitated ones with no base. I'm giving you live examples so you can stop deceiving yourself into thinking it's one leadership acumen somewhere.
Even the AC you're talking about. Go and study how it was able to take over the SW starting from Osun and ending with Oyo in 2011. It was about being able to render financial support to the aspirants on their ticket. You can't be able to do all that without money. How do you sponsor an Ajimobi and Amosun and Fayemi almost at the same time in different states? How do you do that without money? How do you get the court to give you Osun against clearly written provisions of the electoral act without money?
If Tinubu had access to resources of Osun and not Lagos, he wouldn't be able to build what you say he built. That's the fact

if tinubu thought like you , ACN would be a lagos party to this day

what is lagos money against federal money?
what was lagos income when bola tinubu was sworn in vs when he left?

is it his fault that peter obi had no actual strategy to grow anambra's income?

all i hear you saying is oh lagos state has so much money so Bola tinubu just threw money at elections - the end
did we not see acn lose in ekiti and in ondo?

i am sorry, but all you are doing is dropping defeatist excuses. it is fine if in you want to belive that all Bola tinubu needed was lagos budget please go ahead.

Willy2025:
There is no credible organised opposition to the 2nd term of Tinubu. Our philosophy in Yorubaland is that we don't vilify our son whether good or bad. Omo Eni o le buru, ki a fi fun ekun je (you cannot feed your son to a tiger because he is a bad boy). If a boy fails in Yorubaland, you simply ask him to repeat the class. If you are saying that Tinubu has failed (though he is doing exceptionally well), then he must be allowed to repeat the presidency. Afterall, he said EMILOKAN
It is still the turn of the Yorubas, so Obi et al. should wait for their turn. You see this 2027, it is either snatch or grab. Una go learn in what way again?

You easily forgot that an overpampered bad child in a community can also destroy the whole community one day.

Atiku Abubakar's unending presidential ambition has always enhanced victory for the APC, right from when he broke away from the PDP in 2014 and joined APC, up to the 2023 presidential election.
He is going to enhance APC's victory once more in 2027.
And it's like he loves the role he plays for APC.

givedemwotowoto:
The problem with Atiku - Obi partnership is lack of clarity.

It's not enough to want to unseat Tinubu as President, you both must be on the same page.

Think about it this way: If you meet a partner, both of you having a desire to be married and have kids is not enough for marriage to work. Do you have similar values (e.g. What if she doesn't believe in traditional values while you do)? Are you on the same page in life (e.g. What if she wants to pursue further education or career first before children, while you want to start having children right away)?

The problem is that Atiku and Obi didn't establish the rules of engagement from day 1. They left the most important issue to be open ended, and it came back to hurt them later on. To Peter Obi, fairness means conducting direct primaries, he campaigns and rallies people like El-Rufai, and if he doesn't succeed in the end, he will accept the results. To Atiku, he wants to be named the consensus candidate because he thinks he's the bigger opponent.

While they probably talked about it, they didn't establish it as a core principle of selecting the candidate, to represent fairness for each party.

Here we are with few days left, and a tyrant on the other side instigating his own divisions using the system, essentially trying to destroy democracy.

I have to say Peter Obi - Kwankwaso is 7.5 million votes and not enough to defeat Tinubu's 8.7 million. Only a united opposition can defeat Tinubu.

Tinubu was able to get that much votes because of the support he garnered from the North, but he had since lost that hence the only pathway for him is massive reliance on Southern votes while hoping to get at least the required 25% from some northern states. It will not be an easy feat this time around, though he could still pull a win with a divided opposition.

Farooq Kperogi and Rufai Oseni did everything in their power to ensure that Bola Ahmed Tinubu did not win the presidential eletions.



With the fragmentation of the opposition, Both Farooq Kperogi and Rufai Oseni have now seen the handwriting on the wall that Tinubu is not likely to be defeated in the next presidential election.