₦airaland Forum

raumdeuter:
Iamoyindamola I watched 56 days on Amazon prime and its interesting

Have you seen it

Not yet
But it's in my drive, watching young Sherlock and the boys

Carter really beat Portable

Portable VS Carterefe #voiceover #yoruba pic.twitter.com/3KeZR9dClK

— Lekan Olaleye (@lekankingkong) May 2, 2026

For years Saudi has been trying to undermine uae interest, including stopping a potential coup that would have usurped houthis the last straw was during the US -iran war,.


Saudi failed to take any concrete action against Iran economically ,now uae is flying solo including leaning towards partnership with I s ra el, leaving OPEC, recognizing Somaliland,the strain grows wider each they but the biggest winner is I s ra e l.

Atiku by default will win NW and NE. It's only for the margin you can't really say it will be.

From an analytical point do you think NW and NE will vote Obi over Tinubu if Atiku wasn't on the ballot?

Now switch it up would the SS or SE especially vote for Tinubu rather than Atiku if Obi wasn't on the ballot?

I disagree with the at least 50% margin you gave Obi for NC. A lot of the votes LP got then was the whole muslim/muslim APC will marginalize Christians talk which will be harder to repeat now.

Atiku just has to be competitive in the SS and SE winning one or both then make sure he carries NW and NE with a landslide (admittedly it will be difficult).

For Obi the path is much harder. Best case scenario for him is winning SE handsomely and slightly edging SS and for argument sake NC. He's definitely losing SW Lagos included NW and NE very badly. Kwankwaso is a local champion whose influence don't pass Kano State.

Like Dayo said if removing PBAT is the main aim then Atiku is your guy.

izzou:
How is Atiku going to beat Tinubu when he has only one state to deliver (Bauchi)?

Oyo is already Tinubu, so abeg which region will he deliver?

With Obi, the SE and North Central will submit at least 50%.

So please tell me where Atiku has any edge over Tinubu?

Obi/Kwankwanso moving to the NDC may also be connected to the fact that the courts would likely order INEC to deregister the ADC and four other parties that didn’t win a single electoral seat in the 2023-2025 elections.

On the surface, it may look like the AG is acting out a script that was written in Aso Rock for the purposes of stifling the major opposition party. But legally speaking, both the constitution and the Electoral Act mandate INEC to deregister parties that failed to win a single electoral seat. Recall that INEC, in the aftermath of the 2019 elections, deregistered 74 parties for the same reason as well.

chrisooblog:
Atiku by default will win NW and NE. It's only for the margin you can't really say it will be.

From an analytical point do you think NW and NE will vote Obi over Tinubu if Atiku wasn't on the ballot?

Now switch it up would the SS or SE especially vote for Tinubu rather than Atiku if Obi wasn't on the ballot?

I disagree with the at least 50% margin you gave Obi for NC. A lot of the votes LP got then was the whole muslim/muslim APC will marginalize Christians talk which will be harder to repeat now.

Atiku just has to be competitive in the SS and SE winning one or both then make sure he carries NW and NE with a landslide (admittedly it will be difficult).

For Obi the path is much harder. Best case scenario for him is winning SE handsomely and slightly edging SS and for argument sake NC. He's definitely losing SW Lagos included NW and NE very badly. Kwankwaso is a local champion whose influence don't pass Kano State.

Like Dayo said if removing PBAT is the main aim then Atiku is your guy.

Did Atiku win the NW and NE by default in 2023?

Please check and kindly get back to me.

With all the governors, Senators in PDP, when did he win it by default?

Atiku will struggle much more than 2023, and that's just facts. With all the defections, how many crossed to ADC in the North because of Atiku?

No governor, no senator, but somehow he will win by default... Odiegwu

Whatever Obi has is what he has. He also is the biggest Southerner contesting with Tinubu. If Atiku won't support him, he should wait till 2031. I will personally campaign for him

PDPGuy:
Obi/Kwankwanso moving to the NDC may also be connected to the fact that the courts would likely order INEC to deregister the ADC and four other parties that didn’t win a single electoral seat in the 2023-2025 elections.

On the surface, it may look like the AG is acting out a script that was written in Aso Rock for the purposes of stifling the major opposition party. But legally speaking, both the constitution and the Electoral Act mandate INEC to deregister parties that failed to win a single electoral seat. Recall that INEC, in the aftermath of the 2019 elections, deregistered 74 parties for the same reason as well.

But Atiku is also not moving too. Is he unaware of this?

I think they have read the room and seen that Atiku won't let them win.

For Obi - This is his last shot to contest. After now, he would be old and unmarketable
For Kwankwaso - This is a very good opportunity to build his bloc for 2031

The fact that she can post stuff like this and nothing happens to her is enough proof that Trump isn't a tyrant like some overfed folks are claiming.

Tinubu has never been accused of being a tyrant, but I'm certain no current lawmaker can post stuff like this about him without getting arrested for made-up charges immediately by either DSS, EFCC, ICPC, or NPF.

The people always claiming the guy is a terrorist and a Hitler should try and go to Russia, China, and most African/Asian countries and make such comments about their presidents. They'll know the difference between fantasy and reality, but of course they'll never do that because in the end they probably are self aware enough to realize they're just being delusional.

Jack Ma was the richest man in china, and yet he was disappeared for a full year for simply critiquing some government policies, that is true tyranny. Delusional folks claim Trump is a tyrant, ask them if the Trump can pull off same thing with the richest man in the US.

I respect Pastor E A Adeboye, but mheeennn

izzou:
Did Atiku win the NW and NE by default in 2023?

Please check and kindly get back to me.

With all the governors, Senators in PDP, when did he win it by default?

Atiku will struggle much more than 2023, and that's just facts. With all the defections, how many crossed to ADC in the North because of Atiku?

No governor, no senator, but somehow he will win by default... Odiegwu

Whatever Obi has is what he has. He also is the biggest Southerner contesting with Tinubu. If Atiku won't support him, he should wait till 2031. I will personally campaign for him

Peter Obi is the face of Nigerian opposition right now...Anybody saying otherwise is just being smart by half..

Lots of Atiku supporters are crashing out online since the rumors of Obi leaving ADC came out when even Obi himself has said nothing..If Obi is inconsequential and Atiku is the best bet, they should be happy that Obi might leave ADC..

raumdeuter:
The fact is that only Atiku can beat Tinubu.

Obi has to decide which is more important to him,

Removing Tinubu in 2027 or him Becoming president in 2027

If its removing Tinubu then Atiku is the best option for that with Obi being his deputy after which he can now ascend to president after Atikus tenure

If its Obi becoming president in 2027, that cannot happen

If they split the coalition its another 2023 election only that now Tinubu will win by even more and Obi will get even less votes than before.

What Tinubu will want is for 3 candidates ro split opposition votes

You know the drill. Emotional politics allowed Tinubu to win in 2023, and the same thing is about to play out again. They're getting emotional over this shit and it's not funny. This is not a kids game.

izzou:
But Atiku is also not moving too. Is he unaware of this?

I think they have read the room and seen that Atiku won't let them win.

For Obi - This is his last shot to contest. After now, he would be old and unmarketable
For Kwankwaso - This is a very good opportunity to build his bloc for 2031

They have to decide what is most important to them

Unseating Tinubu or One person becoming president
Tinubu knew he wanted to be president at some time
If in 2015 Tinubu had instead of collaborating with Buhari to unseat PDP, Tinubu insisted on running on a 3rd party will he be president today?

If they dont sit down and solve it for the best person to challenge Tinubu then at the end of the day none of them will get to that seat

izzou:
I respect Pastor E A Adeboye, but mheeennn

Its not a strange sentiment or topic

Most religious people believe God knows and has planned the end from the beginning

E.g God knows where you will be and what you will be doing in 10yrs time already, you are just acting the script already written

raumdeuter:
They have to decide what is most important to them

Unseating Tinubu or One person becoming president
Tinubu knew he wanted to be president at some time
If in 2015 Tinubu had instead of collaborating with Buhari to unseat PDP, Tinubu insisted on running on a 3rd party will he be president today?

If they dont sit down and solve it for the best person to challenge Tinubu then at the end of the day none of them will get to that seat

I have no problems with that.

I will gladly and vehemently support Atiku in 2031

raumdeuter:
Its not a strange sentiment or topic

Most religious people believe God knows and has planned the end from the beginning

E.g God knows where you will be and what you will be doing in 10yrs time already, you are just acting the script already written

I found it more to be phooolish, than strange, actually

No disrespect to the man of God though

izzou:
I have no problems with that.
I will gladly and vehemently support Atiku in 2031

For 2027 who will you support?

I am telling you this as a BAT supporter. I fear Atiku the most especially if he pairs with Obi

By 2031 that will be the time of Shetimma Ribadu Kwankwanso El Rufai or whoever the North decides. Then Atiku will be too old

CrystalTiger:
Peter Obi is the face of Nigerian opposition right now...Anybody saying otherwise is just being smart by half..

Lots of Atiku supporters are crashing out online since the rumors of Obi leaving ADC came out when even Obi himself has said nothing..If Obi is inconsequential and Atiku is the best bet, they should be happy that Obi might leave ADC..

No mind them.

If Atiku won't support a Southerner, I am very much willing to live and stay pained with Tinubu there.

izzou:
I found it more to be phooolish, than strange, actually
No disrespect to the man of God though

1 Corinthians 1:18

The words of the cross is considered foolishness to unbelievers

To be a supporter of any religion there are doctrines and beliefs that will sound foolish to regular people

raumdeuter:
For 2027 who will you support?

I am telling you this as a BAT supporter. I fear Atiku the most especially if he pairs with Obi

By 2031 that will be the time of Shetimma Ribadu Kwankwanso El Rufai or whoever the North decides. Then Atiku will be too old

Shebi Atiku will run alone?

Someone had all the PDP structures in the North, he pulled 6 million +

Today, all those structures have moved to APC....I mean all, but na Atiku go win by default.

Tinubu has the North sealed. He will flog craze out of ADC or NDC or anybody.

So anyone telling me Atiku had the North sealed, obviously supports BAT.

raumdeuter:
1 Corinthians 1:18

The words of the cross is considered foolishness to unbelievers

To be a supporter of any religion there are doctrines and beliefs that will sound foolish to regular people

He has been saying a lot of statements that are very off to me. Maybe na old age.

In the same sermon, he said no man should marry a woman who can't cook.

I don't know, but.......

izzou:
But Atiku is also not moving too. Is he unaware of this?

I think they have read the room and seen that Atiku won't let them win.

For Obi - This is his last shot to contest. After now, he would be old and unmarketable
For Kwankwaso - This is a very good opportunity to build his bloc for 2031

Atiku’s advisors should better wake up and smell the coffee

izzou:
No mind them.

If Atiku won't support a Southerner, I am very much willing to live and stay pained with Tinubu there.

Atiku has spent hell contesting/investing since 1993 qnd person go think say he no go do worse than BAT....?

izzou:
He has been saying a lot of statements that are very off to me. Maybe na old age.

In the same sermon, he said no man should marry a woman who can't cook.

I don't know, but.......

What is off about asking a man not to marry a woman who cant cook?

Traditionally in every culture its the woman who does the bulk of the cooking. What is off about advising men not to marry a woman who cant perform her traditional responsibility?

Would it be strange to hear that women should not marry a lazy man who doesnt want to work?

Or what's off about it

izzou:
Shebi Atiku will run alone?

Someone had all the PDP structures in the North, he pulled 6 million +

Today, all those structures have moved to APC....I mean all, but na Atiku go win by default.

Tinubu has the North sealed. He will flog craze out of ADC or NDC or anybody.

So anyone telling me Atiku had the North sealed, obviously supports BAT.

As long as Tinubu win

Any permutations that makes that possible I support

Especially if Obi refuses to run with Atiku

CrystalTiger:
Peter Obi is the face of Nigerian opposition right now...Anybody saying otherwise is just being smart by half..

Lots of Atiku supporters are crashing out online since the rumors of Obi leaving ADC came out when even Obi himself has said nothing..If Obi is inconsequential and Atiku is the best bet, they should be happy that Obi might leave ADC..

Lols

By their fruit

Segedinho:
Atiku has spent hell contesting/investing since 1993 qnd person go think say he no go do worse than BAT....?

I guess you are not desperate enough to remove Tinubu which is fine by me

raumdeuter:
As long as Tinubu win

Any permutations that makes that possible I support

Especially if Obi refuses to run with Atiku

Abeg baba

Make una still dey reason with BAT na.

Area choke reach neck ooooo.......e no easy for street o

raumdeuter:
I guess you are not desperate enough to remove Tinubu which is fine by me

My support in 2023 was

Obi

Obi

Obi

Bat

Nothing...


I know say Bat go kpolo hand for awa eyes but I no expect this kind kpoloing...

Atiku no just join at all

Them say if Obi nack egede 2moro as a strong....men go BAM like mad




🤣🤣🤣🤣

Atiku without federal might won more northern states than PBAT that used muslim/muslim to garner votes. Even beating Tinubu in strong APC states like Katsina (Buhari's backyard) and Kaduna.

Governors in the north as powerful as they are don't have enough clout (even though they will try) to sway a populace determined to vote one way or the other.

Like Dayo highlighted Northern voters are not exactly chummy with PBAT at the moment so there's no way he will garner huge swathes like 2023. The only question mark I have with Atiku is if he can get fanatical votes like Buhari.

izzou:
Did Atiku win the NW and NE by default in 2023?

Please check and kindly get back to me.

With all the governors, Senators in PDP, when did he win it by default?

Atiku will struggle much more than 2023, and that's just facts. With all the defections, how many crossed to ADC in the North because of Atiku?

No governor, no senator, but somehow he will win by default... Odiegwu

Whatever Obi has is what he has. He also is the biggest Southerner contesting with Tinubu. If Atiku won't support him, he should wait till 2031. I will personally campaign for him

Experience is the best teacher.

Let's just observe how things turn out.

TemporaryHansel:
You know the drill. Emotional politics allowed Tinubu to win in 2023, and the same thing is about to play out again. They're getting emotional over this shit and it's not funny. This is not a kids game.

Eko savage don pami 😂.... Abraham Adesanya! 😂😂😂😂

Wwwww beating in the fucking chat🤣🤣 pic.twitter.com/8DkLuZs4vG

— Eko.Savage (@eko_savage) May 2, 2026

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