₦airaland Forum

happney65:
When you say Govornors deliver votes with federal backing I just laugh. See it is a general election and not staggered elections. Staggered elections are easier to rig and manipulate not general.

As for so called Govornors delivering their states,that is another fallacy. Was okowa not Atiku's vice? What ended up with him? Lol. You make me laugh sha. It is the people that determine who wins not politicians. Politicians can determine tickets in their party,but the general election is the people and that is the FACT..

See elections are becoming far difficult to rig and you can even rig where you are popular. Not with a president that is the least popular since 99.

Today,most Tinubu supporters who are not politicians . Those that supported him are denying they ever did . . People I know one on one o.. No be say them say

If elections were held today, in the SW,there will be huge voter aparty and Tinubu will struggle to win. And that is the truth.

2027 elections will for the first time run into a run off. Because 2027 is going to be a referendum on the ruling party and not you claiming some so called politicians will win for Tinubu.and that is nothing but the truth

Except if things get better between now and 2027. Anything apart from that,will be tough for the APC and you can take that to the BANK!

Tell this to those Wickeds

Willy2025:
If Obi win more than his South East enclave, my mother should be questioned where she bring me from
Even the south east is going to be seriously contested this time around. APC stands to pick Imo and Ebonyi and 40% in others. Remove Edo and Delta from your calculations. That is a serious insult to the APC. As things stand now, Tinubu has 24 states already in the bag.
NDC only exists on Seun's Nairaland and popularized by a faction of the divided Obidients.

You said more than this in 2023!

seunmsg:
He was too nice to Atiku in the south. I doubt if Atiku can get up to 10% in any southern state. The only exception may be the state of his running mate. ADC has no structure in any southern state as at today.

The problem is not even the structure but the fact that the South is too saturated. Tinubu and Obi in the South will leave every or any Northerner scrambling for votes.

This is interesting. 🤔

Akpakomiza2:
ADC has a strong structure in Cross River Lee by ex governor Liyel Imoke, Akwa ibom by John Akpanudoedehe and Edo by Oyegun

Lol. Those guys can't deliver 5% of the total vote cast in their states for Atiku when Bola Tinubu and Peter Obi are on the ballot. The PDP structure worked for Atiku in 2023. In 2027, those structures have been merged into the APC structure.

aswani:
If Peter Obi wins, it's free and fair, if he doesn't, it's rigged, gotcha!

Same old mind games!

Not really about Obi, even a cow contesting against Tinubu, free and fair, Tinubu cannot win.
I repeat, even a cow!!

If Peter Obi was the one in office between May 2023 and today, and all that has happened happened, I would not in my right senses expect him to win.
As we 'speak' hundreds of Nigerians are being flogged and dehumanized daily in the forests by bandits.

Anyone who says Tinubu can win a free election needs urgent psychiatric evaluation.

ddippset:
Same old mind games!

Not really about Obi, even a cow contesting against Tinubu, free and fair, Tinubu cannot win.
I repeat, even a cow!!

If Peter Obi was the one in office between May 2023 and today, and all that has happened happened, I would not in my right senses expect him to win.
As we 'speak' hundreds of Nigerians are being flogged and dehumanized daily in the forests by bandits.

Anyone who says Tinubu can win a free election needs urgent psychiatric evaluation.

So how are APC winning elections all over the place, even in Aligbo, during President Tinubu's tenure?

Whilst I understand that Obidients hate him, it appears other Nigerians don't.

Willy2025:
If Obi win more than his South East enclave, my mother should be questioned where she bring me from
Even the south east is going to be seriously contested this time around. APC stands to pick Imo and Ebonyi and 40% in others. Remove Edo and Delta from your calculations. That is a serious insult to the APC. As things stand now, Tinubu has 24 states already in the bag.
NDC only exists on Seun's Nairaland and popularized by a faction of the divided Obidients.

when I say the B was removed it will look like it's insult.like wtf is this chai chai the mama that gave birth to this one should be remembered in prayers

seunmsg:
Lol. Those guys can't deliver 5% of the total vote cast in their states for Atiku when Bola Tinubu and Peter Obi are on the ballot. The PDP structure worked for Atiku in 2023. In 2027, those structures have been merged into the APC structure.

You are largely right

Just went straight to Kano and Lagos to see what you are twisting...

Lagos that Obi won and Kano that K from OK is from? How much is food for your area, let me know and send your aza so you can go and eat

Akpakomiza2:
SOUTH SOUTH:
Cross river
Tinubu 45% Obi 40% Atiku 15%

Akwa ibom
Tinubu 50% Obi 35% Atiku 15%

Rivers
Tinubu 60% Obi 30% Atiku 10%

Delta
Tinubu 30% Obi 60% Atiku 10%

Edo
Tinubu 40% Obi 55% Atiku 5%

Bayelsa
Tinubu 50% Obi 35% Atiku 15%


SOUTH EAST
Anambra
Tinubu 10% Obi 89% Atiku 1%

Enugu
Tinubu 25% Obi 65% Atiku 10%

Abia
Tinubu 15% Obi 80% Atiku 5%

Imo
Tinubu 20% Obi 70% Atiku 10%

Ebonyi
Tinubu 20% Atiku 78% 2%

SOUTH WEST
Lagos
Tinubu 50% Obi 45% Atiku 5%

Ogun
Tinubu 70% Atiku 20% Obi 10%

Ondo
Tinubu 75% Obi 15% Atiku 10%

Osun
Tinubu 55% Atiku 35% Obi 10%

Ekiti
Tinubu 70% Atiku 22% Obi 8%

Oyo
Tinubu 50% Obi 20% Atiku 30%

NORTH CENTRAL
Kwara
Tinubu 60% Obi 10% ATIKU 30%

NIGER
Tinubu 50% Obi 15% Atiku 35%

Nasarawa
Tinubu 40% Obi 40% Atiku 20%

Kogi
Tinubu 50% Obi 15% Atiku 35%

Benue
Tinubu 45% Obi 40% Atiku 15%

Plateau
Tinubu 35% Obi 50% Atiku 15%

Fct
Tinubu 30% Obi 55% Atiku 15%

NORTH WEST
Sokoto
Tinubu 50% Atiku 43% Obi 7%

Kebbi
Tinubu 45% Obi 10% Atiku 45%

Zamfara
Tinubu 55% Obi 5% Atiku 40%

Katsina
Tinubu 50% Obi 5% Atiku 45%

Kano
Tinubu 40% Obi 40% Atiku 20%

Kaduna
Tinubu 35% Obi 20% Atiku 45%

Jigawa
Tinubu 50% Obi 10% Atiku 40%

NORTH EAST
Borno
Tinubu 60% Obi 5% Atiku 35%

Yobe
Tinubu 55% Obi 5% Atiku 40%

Bauchi
Tinubu 40% Obi 10% Atiku 50%

Gombe
Tinubu 35% Obi 15% Atiku 50%

Taraba
Tinubu 40% Obi 30% Atiku 30%

Adamawa
Tinubu 25% Obi 15% Atiku 60%

Nairalander248:
Just went straight to Kano and Lagos to see what you are twisting...

Lagos that Obi won and Kano that K from OK is from? How much is food for your area, let me know and send your aza so you can go and eat

Obi on his own had less than 5% in Kano. Kwankwasiyya will only vote kwankwaso as president.obi won Lagos by 9000 votes. Common sense should tell you that he can't win it again

aswani:
So how are APC winning elections all over the place, even in Aligbo, during President Tinubu's tenure?

Whilst I understand that Obidients hate him, it appears other Nigerians don't.

Winning elections
😂

May your life and your children's be just as credible as Nigeria's elections..
Say a big Amen.

By the way!;

The old man lost his election in his own state of Lagos, lost in Abuja, Edo, Plateau and many other places and you're saying it's Obidients.

By the way are Obidients not Nigerians,? Abi they are not humans?
Abi they are aliens.

Akpakomiza2:
Obi on his own had less than 5% in Kano. Kwankwasiyya will only vote kwankwaso as president.obi won Lagos by 9000 votes. Common sense should tell you that he can't win it again

However you try to spin it;;

Obi/Kwonkwoso is an upgrade on Obi/Datti of 2023.

So continue wailing.
😂😂

These are arranged figures. It is too obvious.

aswani:
So how are APC winning elections all over the place, even in Aligbo, during President Tinubu's tenure?

Whilst I understand that Obidients hate him, it appears other Nigerians don't.

By now u should know that we are not going to vote party in 2027.it is going to be about drug dealer, certificate forger, identity theft who has been in office 4 yrs that has made u laptop job with stipend, created hunger and poverty, not able to tackle power and insecurity against the people. If they send you to your village. What will u tell them to vote SW president that has affected thr life's directly in any positive way.
What has u village people enjoyed since SW president was made possible by inec

Your mind

Akpakomiza2:
Obi on his own had less than 5% in Kano. Kwankwasiyya will only vote kwankwaso as president.obi won Lagos by 9000 votes. Common sense should tell you that he can't win it again

ddippset:
Winning elections
😂

May your life and your children's be just as credible as Nigeria's elections..
Say a big Amen.

By the way!;

The old man lost his election in his own state of Lagos, lost in Abuja, Edo, Plateau and many other places and you're saying it's Obidients.

By the way are Obidients not Nigerians,? Abi they are not humans?
Abi they are aliens.

If elections are not credible, why do you encourage Peter Obí to take part, or are they only credible if he wins?

Obidients are Nigerians, a very noisy, abusive and insultive minority.

Streetinvestor2:
By now u should know that we are not going to vote party in 2027.it is going to be about drug dealer, certificate forger, identity theft who has been in office 4 yrs that has made u laptop job with stipend, created hunger and poverty, not able to tackle power and insecurity against the people. If they send you to your village. What will u tell them to vote SW president that has affected thr life's directly in any positive way.
What has u village people enjoyed since SW president was made possible by inec

I won't tell them in my village to vote anyone in this political class.

By the way, elections would also be about Pandora papers, not wanting to pay tax, hiding monies in tax havens under accounts of fake companies.

Your oga is no saint, if he gets in, he wouldn't have a clue as to what to do. We know that as we saw insults from Nd'Anambra when he was governor.

Akpakomiza2:
SOUTH SOUTH:
Cross river
Tinubu 45% Obi 40% Atiku 15%

Akwa ibom
Tinubu 50% Obi 35% Atiku 15%

Rivers
Tinubu 60% Obi 30% Atiku 10%

Delta
Tinubu 30% Obi 60% Atiku 10%

Edo
Tinubu 40% Obi 55% Atiku 5%

Bayelsa
Tinubu 50% Obi 35% Atiku 15%


SOUTH EAST
Anambra
Tinubu 10% Obi 89% Atiku 1%

Enugu
Tinubu 25% Obi 65% Atiku 10%

Abia
Tinubu 15% Obi 80% Atiku 5%

Imo
Tinubu 20% Obi 70% Atiku 10%

Ebonyi
Tinubu 20% Atiku 78% 2%

SOUTH WEST
Lagos
Tinubu 50% Obi 45% Atiku 5%

Ogun
Tinubu 70% Atiku 20% Obi 10%

Ondo
Tinubu 75% Obi 15% Atiku 10%

Osun
Tinubu 55% Atiku 35% Obi 10%

Ekiti
Tinubu 70% Atiku 22% Obi 8%

Oyo
Tinubu 50% Obi 20% Atiku 30%

NORTH CENTRAL
Kwara
Tinubu 60% Obi 10% ATIKU 30%

NIGER
Tinubu 50% Obi 15% Atiku 35%

Nasarawa
Tinubu 40% Obi 40% Atiku 20%

Kogi
Tinubu 50% Obi 15% Atiku 35%

Benue
Tinubu 45% Obi 40% Atiku 15%

Plateau
Tinubu 35% Obi 50% Atiku 15%

Fct
Tinubu 30% Obi 55% Atiku 15%

NORTH WEST
Sokoto
Tinubu 50% Atiku 43% Obi 7%

Kebbi
Tinubu 45% Obi 10% Atiku 45%

Zamfara
Tinubu 55% Obi 5% Atiku 40%

Katsina
Tinubu 50% Obi 5% Atiku 45%

Kano
Tinubu 40% Obi 40% Atiku 20%

Kaduna
Tinubu 35% Obi 20% Atiku 45%

Jigawa
Tinubu 50% Obi 10% Atiku 40%

NORTH EAST
Borno
Tinubu 60% Obi 5% Atiku 35%

Yobe
Tinubu 55% Obi 5% Atiku 40%

Bauchi
Tinubu 40% Obi 10% Atiku 50%

Gombe
Tinubu 35% Obi 15% Atiku 50%

Taraba
Tinubu 40% Obi 30% Atiku 30%

Adamawa
Tinubu 25% Obi 15% Atiku 60%

Dey play. Atiku will not poll 20% anywhere in the south.

ddippset:
Have you factored in the role of Amupitan?

Abi does he look like a joke to you?

Do you think he came to play?

INEC chairman doesn't go to polling units neither does he determine the vote counts in ward collations.

Nairalander248:
Your mind

What's on yours

ddippset:
However you try to spin it;;

Obi/Kwonkwoso is an upgrade on Obi/Datti of 2023.

So continue wailing.
😂😂

I agree but they will still lose

Dont you get tired of these polls. Lol

Akpakomiza2:
You are largely right

Weren't Obi and Tinubu on the ballot when Atiku polled those votes in the south
PDP faction under Turaki aren't in support of Tinubu, and Adc seems like an offshoot from PDP faction aligned with Makinde in the south
While I have reservations with your analysis,you did good
Adc is structureless in Bayelsea
Akwa Ibom,Sen. John can't really pull much
I think he was the sole reason why Kwankwanso got 7k votes in 2023,his highest in the SS
Only Amaechi can deliver maybe 15-20%
SE,I think you underated ADC showing in Abia and inflated it too much in Enugu
As things stand now, there's no pathway for the opposition

Burob:
Expect free & fair elections after 1 year of NEPA not starving you of electricity.

South East no go enter Aso Rock as President till earliest 2039.

Even @ that is not guaranteed, Rivers State Igbo speaking people fit come snatch & grab it from una.

Who go vote for south east in 2039? Shey na the Yoruba whey dem don insult or who? Dem forget say they can never ever become president without the support of SW.

In 2039, the SW will ensure that it's the SS that gets the president not SE.

Aiel123:
Weren't Obi and Tinubu on the ballot when Atiku polled those votes in the south
PDP faction under Turaki aren't in support of Tinubu, and Adc seems like an offshoot from PDP faction aligned with Makinde in the south
While I have reservations with your analysis,you did good
Adc is structureless in Bayelsea
Akwa Ibom,Sen. John can't really pull much
I think he was the sole reason why Kwankwanso got 7k votes in 2023,his highest in the SS
Only Amaechi can deliver maybe 15-20%
SE,I think you underated ADC showing in Abia and inflated it too much in Enugu
As things stand now, there's no pathway for the opposition

You are right. Without Obi, ADC is dead in SE. The makinde faction won't do much as Bala has defected and they don't have that push and force Wike faction has. Is Amechi is running mate, they can get 25% in rivers and nothing more...
Atiku won three southern states in 2023 and these was because they had PDP governors. ADC is far weaker than pdp of 2024

DeOTR:
INEC chairman doesn't go to polling units neither does he determine the vote counts in ward collations.

They are getting their excuses in early.

aswani:
I won't tell them in my village to vote anyone in this political class.

By the way, elections would also be about Pandora papers, not wanting to pay tax, hiding monies in tax havens under accounts of fake companies.

Your oga is no saint, if he gets in, he wouldn't have a clue as to what to do. We know that as we saw insults from Nd'Anambra when he was governor.

So you cannot tell your village people to vote SW president. So why are u collecting thr money and making noise on NL

Streetinvestor2:
So you cannot tell your village people to vote SW president. So why are u collecting thr money and making noise on NL

I am not collecting any money nau, haba. Even as an Obidient, must you sink thisow with your banal accusations.

Obidients, Kai!

Akpakomiza2:
You are right. Without Obi, ADC is dead in SE. The makinde faction won't do much as Bala has defected and they don't have that push and force Wike faction has. Is Amechi is running mate, they can get 25% in rivers and nothing more...
Atiku won three southern states in 2023 and these was because they had PDP governors. ADC is far weaker than pdp of 2024

Atiku winning 3 SS is a pointer that Tinubu can even win the SS
There's still a good fraction of PDP structure up north,Kwara,Jigawa, Kaduna, Katsina,Taraba mostly aligned with Wike group. The realization just hit now apart from Makinde himself there's no heavyweight in his group, except for Jang
The results will still go regionally
Only Tinubu would get substantial votes in all region (except SE)

Aiel123:
Atiku winning 3 SS is a pointer that Tinubu can even win the SS
There's still a good fraction of PDP structure up north,Kwara,Jigawa, Kaduna, Katsina,Taraba mostly aligned with Wike group. The realization just hit now apart from Makinde himself there's no heavyweight in his group, except for Jang
The results will still go regionally
Only Tinubu would get substantial votes in all region (except SE)

True Saraki has left atiku in kwara, Lamido has also abandoned him but ADC has been bolstered by the entrance of senator Nakudu. Atiku will narrowly win kaduna...most of the former pdp in Katsina from Shema, majigiri, mangal have all joined APC except baba kaita. All the who is who in Taraba except Darius isyaku are in APC. Atiku is only sure of Adamawa and Gombe. But even that Adamawa, his votes will reduce via Binani and Fintiri