₦airaland Forum

DeLaRue:
The minimum number of states a candidate must score 25% of votes in to be declared a winner is 24.

The chances of Mr Atiku scoring 25% in 24 is very slim, almost zero, as I can't think of a single Southern state where ADC will secure 25% of the votes, now that Mr Obi has left the party.

As for NDC, in 2023, Mr Obi and Mr Kwankwaso only secured 25% of the votes in a combined total of 17 states. That means they need an additional 7 states. NDC may secure 25% in Lagos, but nowhere else in the South West, and the North East where ADC will likely dominate. So, the party face a very tall order to reach the required threshold in 24 States.

APC will gain 25% in more Southern States than it did last time, and will secure 25% in almost all North Central states, and in 2 or 3 North East and North West states.

APC is still in poll position for the coming elections. All each Southern APC Governor needs to do is ensure that ADC's doesn't win 25% of the votes in their state.

Is this an analysis or selfish wishes. It never crossed your mind that the Buhari factor is no more there as regards to the North West

Satazaa:
This stats is for the wilfully blind obidients to see again have been screaming that PO won the last elections but was rigged out, essentially he didn't satisfy the basic constitutional requirements of 2/3 of 36 to win because of lack of spread, they won lagos but elections wasn't rigged but all the places Tinubu won elections were massively rigged while forgetting enugu state where PO won more than 98%

I know most leading parties rigged in where they had support. However, the most clear rigging was the voter suppresion of igbos and Niger Deltans in Lagos who were likely Obi voters and the result switching in Rivers. You can't argue the both of them. Then the rigging where LP had no agents which is their fault. Putting it all together, Obi may have had the highest votes but the 25% in 25 states is still yet to be seen. Kanwulia I'm still awaiting your response to this.

DeLaRue:
The minimum number of states a candidate must score 25% of votes in to be declared a winner is 24.

The chances of Mr Atiku scoring 25% in 24 is very slim, almost zero, as I can't think of a single Southern state where ADC will secure 25% of the votes, now that Mr Obi has left the party.

As for NDC, in 2023, Mr Obi and Mr Kwankwaso only secured 25% of the votes in a combined total of 17 states. That means they need an additional 7 states. NDC may secure 25% in Lagos, but nowhere else in the South West, and the North East where ADC will likely dominate. So, the party face a very tall order to reach the required threshold in 24 States.

APC will gain 25% in more Southern States than it did last time, and will secure 25% in almost all North Central states, and in 2 or 3 North East and North West states.

APC is still in poll position for the coming elections. All each Southern APC Governor needs to do is ensure that ADC's doesn't win 25% of the votes in their state.

I agree with this analysis except you were silent on NDC and South South votes or assumed Peter Obí would hold his votes in the South South.

I genuinely don't see a Peter Obi ticket getting that 25% anywhere apart from Delta state this time round. I can't see him winning any South South state either.

This Obi Kwankwaso thing is not strong enough. Atiku pls now.... Please don't listen to the likes of Dele Momodu, na food wey don don them dey after.

You didn’t see that PO got 0/7 in north east?

dibunotion:
South East no try at all. No other candidates has 25%

Peter Obi won 16 states and he won the election lol

How tinubu gonna be 6/6 when OBI won lagos
? All this analysis from apc members no even make sense at all

blamingthedevil:
2023
Tinubu : 29 States
Atiku : 21 States
Obi + kwankwaso: 16+ 1= 17 States

I no wan hear "his manhood was stolen" in 2027 o 🙄😌

see the way you sound nawa for you ooo

Fake manipulated result. Inec is a theif

D

LegendHero:
God bless the South-South region.

They understand politics and they don’t play politics of bitterness.

But South south is the same people of south east so I don't know the noise about because South south vote same way as south east.

They are same people
Now focus on your brother's in north how they will vote with south west same people.

aswani:
I agree with this analysis except you were silent on NDC and South South votes or assumed Peter Obí would hold his votes in the South South.

I genuinely don't see a Peter Obi ticket getting that 25% anywhere apart from Delta state this time round. I can't see him winning any South South state either.

Someone that is part of eastern region you are saying he won't win there.. it's total strangers like atifku or tifnubu that will win in his backyard...keep dreaming...last time where did others won in south south.

Secured by rigging or by using thugs backed by police to divert votes?

Nigerians are very funny people.....they keep relying on this recklessly rigged 2023 Presidential election result fabricated to demoralize Peter Obi even when the people under Buhari that did the election result fabrication wonders have confessed, make una continue to de deceive unaselves with fake statistics


Tinubu did not secure any 25% in any Southsouth state, they were all rigged. Rivers state was too obvious....others were ignored....Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Delta......


Tinubu did not get 25% in Benue and Plateau.

Tinubu did not get it in Adamawa.

Apcpalava:
How tinubu gonna be 6/6 when OBI won lagos
? All this analysis from apc members no even make sense at all

You don't even understand what the post is all about

Apcpalava:
How tinubu gonna be 6/6 when OBI won lagos
? All this analysis from apc members no even make sense at all

This is above you brother....go back to Facebook

Thank you for accepting & using the 2023 massively rigged elections.

2027 won't take same shape as it would be firecly resisted by Nigeria electorates who are wiser now.

Thank you for your attention to this matter

blamingthedevil:
NUMBER OF STATES WHERE LEADING PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES SECURED 25%+ OF VALID VOTES — 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION



Source

blamingthedevil:
This is above you brother....go back to Facebook

Failure supporting failure in Aso rock full stop

Apcpalava:
How tinubu gonna be 6/6 when OBI won lagos
? All this analysis from apc members no even make sense at all

Did you not read? The analysis is based on where candidates polled 25% of the votes. Not outright winners of the states.

blamingthedevil:
South east is the only self loving region

the only region that doesn't support failures like buhari and his twin brother agbero chairman

madridguy:
Can the INEC just declare Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu without wasting our scarce resources on the election?

Tinubu will win the election.

2023 is not 2027 stop deluding yourself even if Tinubu manages to win by rigging it will be by very slim margin.
It's even surprisingly amusing to see that you of all persons is even supporting this failed administration even when you are coming here on nairaland wailing about hunger and hardship.

Mischievous thread...

Glitches-driven results.

Four years on...

franchasng:
Nigerians are very funny people.....they keep relying on this recklessly rigged 2023 Presidential election result fabricated to demoralize Peter Obi even when the people under Buhari that did the election result fabrication wonders have confessed, make una continue to de deceive unaselves with fake statistics


Tinubu did not secure any 25% in any Southsouth state, they were all rigged. Rivers state was too obvious....others were ignored....Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Delta......


Tinubu did not get 25% in Benue and Plateau.

Tinubu did not get it in Adamawa.

even with their systematic rigging by deactivating Irev, Peter obi even pulled more votes than expected imagine the votes were uploaded real time?

Now Obi has become a leading candidate. The man with no structure, no governor, no assembly member before March 2023.

Now they all beg to belong to Obi’s camp.
APC has sleepless nights over Obi.
ADC has sleepless nights over Obi.
It’s Obi here, Obi there.
Obi is termed the danger to democracy.
They tried to break up OBIDIENTS with their fake OBEDIENTS.
In 2023, it became Obidiently this, Obidiently that, as some APC leaders quickly tried to get Obidients to their sides to secure their seats.
Atiku is APC’s leading campaigner presently.
Amaechi is angry they could not use Obi.
Kenneth Okonkwo the wannabe is bitter.
Reno Omokri the chameleon pretends when he sees Obi physically, just like we witnessed at the airport a few days ago.
No one sleeps again over Obi matter.

The fear of Obi and Obidients about 2027, is the beginning of wisdom.

Fayose said “ignore Obi at the risk of your peril”. Obi is the factor. If all the governors like, they can decamp to APC. When elections come, Obi will overwhelm them all.

duro4chang:
Not at all. It's ethnic politics being played in the south east. It might also happen in 2027. It's well

it's still same same script in South East towards the 2027 election. They won't vote for others except their own which we have no issue with

aswani:
I agree with this analysis except you were silent on NDC and South South votes or assumed Peter Obí would hold his votes in the South South.

I genuinely don't see a Peter Obi ticket getting that 25% anywhere apart from Delta state this time round. I can't see him winning any South South state either.

Oga no dey yarn opata...

So Obi will not be able to get 25% in Edo, Cross River and Rivers?

Why not stick to Baba Ijebu where you are a pro?

ufotunang:
Election that Tinubu rigged

Who cares? If you have decided to swim in an ocean of delusions.....

koxyz:
Tinubu will surely witness a decline in performance due to his harsh economic reform.

Leave them. Let them be hallucinting. It will shock them. If Tinubu had done every well,it would have been a walkover. But now,he no sure for him at all and he knows thats why he was trying to stop the oppostion frm fielding candidates