₦airaland Forum

Svoboda:
I mean that as far as there is plurality of candidates in the south, it's Tinubus headache. Gej makes it bang worse like a migraine.


Tinubu can't beat Atiku by a million votes in the NC. Neither can Tinubu amass as much as 500k votes in the southeast, how much more beating Atiku with that kind of chasm.


While you make your projections, always never fail to factor in the unpopularity of the incumbent, and the fact that he has no organic mass followership like a Buhari or an Obi.

Thank God you're following the ugly fallouts of the rancourous primaries of the APC across the country.

You keep touting this non-popularity of the BAT, which I find funny, because there’s no fact to support it. I can even opinionate that he’s more popular now because his party has won almost every election since the general election.
What I can assure you is that, in every region that BAT doesn’t win, he’ll be the runner-up. The implication of that is that he’ll coast to victory.
The opposition must merge together to stand a chance—I don’t know why this obvious fact is hard to understand. Beyond even winning the presidency is the composition of the National Assembly after losing; with splinter group parties, it will only end up creating an insignificant and toothless opposition to the APC.

lionshare:
You keep touting this non-popularity of the BAT, which I find funny, because there’s no fact to support it. I can even opinionate that he’s more popular now because his party has won almost every election since the general election.
What I can assure you is that, in every region that BAT doesn’t win, he’ll be the runner-up. The implication of that is that he’ll coast to victory.
The opposition must merge together to stand a chance—I don’t know why this obvious fact is hard to understand. Beyond even winning the presidency is the composition of the National Assembly after losing; with splinter group parties, it will only end up creating an insignificant and toothless opposition to the APC.

Tinubu is only popular in the SW

Jonathan in the race will decimate traditional Tinubu strongholds in the SS and MB.

All these so many Southern contestants will benefit Atiku more than Tinubu.

Ofunaofu:
Tinubu will split the NW and NE vote with Atiku?

You think this is still 2023?

Back then, Nasir El-Rufai and northern APC governors galvanized the NW and NE for Tinubu.

Mention one notable northern APC figure today who can mobilize those regions for him the same way.

You should read Deji Adeyanju’s submission on Tinubu’s current acceptability in the NW after his Sokoto visit

Did Deji travel around the whole sokoto? Is Atiku popular in the north? The north only listens to buhari and no one else. El rifai played no role, he couldn't even deliver his state. Most northern governors are in APC. The most notable politicians up north are in APC. In sokoto, we have Wamakko. In Kebbi, we have Adamu Aliero. In zamfara we have Yari, Sani Yerima with Tinubu. In Jigawa, Badaru and Lamido. In Kano, we have Ganduje, Barau, gov Abba kabir. In kaduna, we have Hunkuyi, Yero and Sambo. Which notable politicians is with Atiku

Svoboda:
Fingers crossed. The caveat is that Tinubu isn't as popular as Buhari.

And atiku is not as popular as buhari

Akpakomiza2:
Did Deji travel around the whole sokoto? Is Atiku popular in the north? The north only listens to buhari and no one else. El rifai played no role, he couldn't even deliver his state. Most northern governors are in APC. The most notable politicians up north are in APC. In sokoto, we have Wamakko. In Kebbi, we have Adamu Aliero. In zamfara we have Yari, Sani Yerima with Tinubu. In Jigawa, Badaru and Lamido. In Kano, we have Ganduje, Barau, gov Abba kabir. In kaduna, we have Hunkuyi, Yero and Sambo. Which notable politicians is with Atiku

You lie if you say Nasir El-Rufai played no role in delivering Tinubu 2023. Even Tinubu himself acknowledge his contribution in the early part of his administration. Agreed, he didn’t deliver his own state, but his influence across the North during that election was obvious.

All these politicians you mentioned that you claim are still with Tinubu, can they actually deliver their states for him today?

And more importantly, what exactly will they tell their people Tinubu has done to deserve another vote?

Or are we now pretending Tinubu’s performance over the last three years won’t be a deciding factor in 2027?

Ofunaofu:
You lie if you say Nasir El-Rufai played no role in delivering Tinubu 2023. Even Tinubu himself acknowledge his contribution in the early part of his administration. Agreed, he didn’t deliver his own state, but his influence across the North during that election was obvious.

All these politicians you mentioned that you claim are still with Tinubu, can they actually deliver their states for him today?

And more importantly, what exactly will they tell their people Tinubu has done to deserve another vote?

Or are we now pretending Tinubu’s performance over the last three years won’t be a deciding factor in 2027?

The north has never voted based on performance. El rifai helped Tinubu during the primaries. If El rufai is so popular, he would deliver kaduna. Badaru delivered Gombe, Yari delivered zamfara, shettima Borno. What stopped El rufai?

Akpakomiza2:
The north has never voted based on performance. El rifai helped Tinubu during the primaries. If El rufai is so popular, he would deliver kaduna. Badaru delivered Gombe, Yari delivered zamfara, shettima Borno. What stopped El rufai?

Funny how performance suddenly stopped mattering the moment it became Tinubu.

Is Tinubu now a northerner? Or are you still hoping the Muslim-Muslim ticket magic from 2023 will work again?

Anyway, 2027 is close. Reality has a delivery date.