₦airaland Forum

Nigeria shall be 66yrs soon, within this time Presidential power have concentrated more in the Northern Region than in the South.

The South shall wield Presidential power till 2031 all things been equal.

However, Tinubu's maladministration and ethnocentrism is about to open a path for Atiku to disrupt this sequence of power rotation.

Dear Presidential handlers, multiple Southern candidates will spell doom for Tinubu.

Lol with Peter obi from the South seyi from Yoruba and Jonathan from South plus others South vote them go share am bad bad na North be the koko

The President does not respect the North- South thing, so if Atiku emerge as the next President it as good as everything. After all, there is no zoning in Rivers State so how will there zoning in Nigeria.
If there is zoning Peter Obi should have been the right person to govern the nation since South- West and South- South have already taken their turn.

Tinubus boys say multiple southern candidates favour tinubu, and that Gej is working indirectly for Tinubu. However, too many cooks spoil the broth.

The election is clearly looking like Atikus to lose.

Atiku couldnt be the only northern candidate, and as formidable as he is, not get the highest votes cast. Considering how abysmal Tinubus govt is, most northerners would queue behind Atiku, while southern votes is spread thin between Tinubu, Obi and Gej. This same scenario will repeat itself in the north central.

Then you forget the issue of spread......tinubu will win his SW witha land slide,gej isn't running anywhere take that to the bank.....obi will have is SE with tinhbu coming second and will get his 25% there.....SS will still go to the apc as thats where the influence of money will be most pronounced and thats where tinubu will have an edge over obi and the power of incumbency......tinubu is poised to win the south and article with his structureless adc won't be able to get him anything tangible across the entire south.

As for the north,atiku will getvthe NW and NE with tinubu coming 2nd again and will also certainly get his 25%,obi's reach in those 2 regions is still limited and won't be able to get his 25% across except kano and maybe jigawa due to kwakwanso......the north Central is the battle ground and all 3 candidates will share the votes but I still see the apc nicking it with states like kwara,kogi,plateau,benue.....nassarawa will be tough for apc again due to internal party issues and the strong influence of the pdp candidate and obi's strong showing,abuja too will be a battle between apc and obi.....in all apc will still carry the day and the answer is simple,atiku cant cross into the south and obi still doesn't have that reach in the core north but apc is the only party with structures across all the states and that will be a huge factor,wherever they loose they will certainly cone second.

If you don't get it yet, you are never getting it, Tinubu should have carried South East along since 2023, I'm not talking about the political elites who are just psychophants, if Obi is on the ballot again, Tinubu is out of Aso Rock, this is because, Obi and Tinubu will share Southern Votes, with Atiku' getting bulk Northern Votes because of sentiments and hardship in the country, The election may go to run-off which will be bad news for Tinubu', because the man with majority votes in the first round won't get the spread while the man with the spread won't get the majority votes, hence a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku, your guess is as good as mine, Tinubu can never beat Atiku' in a simple majority vote simply because of sentiments

Lithiumite:
Then you forget the issue of spread......tinubu will win his SW witha land slide,gej isn't running anywhere take that to the bank.....obi will have is SE with tinhbu coming second and will get his 25% there.....SS will still go to the apc as thats where the influence of money will be most pronounced and thats where tinubu will have an edge over obi and the power of incumbency......tinubu is poised to win the south and article with his structureless adc won't be able to get him anything tangible across the entire south.

As for the north,atiku will getvthe NW and NE with tinubu coming 2nd again and will also certainly get his 25%,obi's reach in those 2 regions is still limited and won't be able to get his 25% across except kano and maybe jigawa due to kwakwanso......the north Central is the battle ground and all 3 candidates will share the votes but I still see the apc nicking it with states like kwara,kogi,plateau,benue.....nassarawa will be tough for apc again due to internal party issues and the strong influence of the pdp candidate and obi's strong showing,abuja too will be a battle between apc and obi.....in all apc will still carry the day and the answer is simple,atiku cant cross into the south and obi still doesn't have that reach in the core north but apc is the only party with structures across all the states and that will be a huge factor,wherever they loose they will certainly cone second.

Actually Some Tinubu supporters argue that every southern presidential candidates Peter Obi, Goodluck Jonathan, Seyi Makinde, Sandy Onoh, and others, is ultimately working for Tinubu to reduce and split the southern votes

SadiqBabaSani:
If you don't get it yet, you are never getting it, Tinubu should have carried South East along since 2023, I'm not talking about the political elites who are just psychophants, if Obi is on the ballot again, Tinubu is out of Aso Rock, this is because, Obi and Tinubu will share Southern Votes, with Atiku' getting bulk Northern Votes because of sentiments and hardship in the country, The election may go to run-off which will be bad news for Tinubu', because the man with majority votes in the first round won't get the spread while the man with the spread won't get the majority votes, hence a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku, your guess is as good as mine, Tinubu can never beat Atiku' in a simple majority vote simply because of sentiments

Lets even agree without conceding, If that's your plan then that will be a real catastrophic strategy poised to fail......no matter how much the igbo may seem to hate tinubu,there is no way atiku a northerner will gain prominence,how will you convince the Ijaw man,the urhobo,the esan or ogoni or ibibio to vote another northerner just 4 years after buhari.

Forget all the online noise or current angst of the populace the apc has its structures and that will be decisive,patronage isba big element in nigerian politics,atiku has been hollowed out,he iant as formidable as he was in 23 and the coalition was his only hope which as failed.....lack of structure will also be his banana peel even in his north.......there won't be any run off and all the mathematical calculations favour the apc,the party is still very strong in the north and adc isn't pdp.....but atiku strength in the north cannot be over emphasised but in presidential elections popularity isn't enough to get you through, atikubis already lacking what obi lacked in 23.

Svoboda:
Tinubus boys say multiple southern candidates favour tinubu, and that Gej is working indirectly for Tinubu. However, too many cooks spoil the broth.

The election is clearly looking like Atikus to lose.

Atiku couldnt be the only northern candidate, and as formidable as he is, not get the highest votes cast. Considering how abysmal Tinubus govt is, most northerners would queue behind Atiku, while southern votes is spread thin between Tinubu, Obi and Gej. This same scenario will repeat itself in the north central.

Exactly! Though you forgot to include Makinde. The South is choking already. I think the election might go Atiku’s way or a runoff might just determine his eventual winner.

jchioma:
Exactly! Though you forgot to include Makinde. The South is choking already. I think the election might go Atiku’s way or a runoff might just determine his eventual winner.

I think the constitution stipulates highest votes v highest spread for a run off. If it comes to that, Tinubu will begin preparing his handover notes.

jchioma:
Exactly! Though you forgot to include Makinde. The South is choking already. I think the election might go Atiku’s way or a runoff might just determine his eventual winner.

Very true. Makinde will bite off some of Tinubus votes mainly in Oyo and parts of Osun and Ogun. A run off puts Tinubu at a disadvantage. This is because he has no further incentive to offer any southern candidate since they'd have to wait 12 years rather than 8 to get another shot at the presidency.

Lithiumite:
Lets even agree without conceding, If that's your plan then that will be a real catastrophic strategy poised to fail......no matter how much the igbo may seem to hate tinubu,there is no way atiku a northerner will gain prominence,how will you convince the Ijaw man,the urhobo,the esan or ogoni or ibibio to vote another northerner just 4 years after buhari.

Forget all the online noise or current angst of the populace the apc has its structures and that will be decisive,patronage isba big element in nigerian politics,atiku has been hollowed out,he iant as formidable as he was in 23 and the coalition was his only hope which as failed.....lack of structure will also be his banana peel even in his north.......there won't be any run off and all the mathematical calculations favour the apc,the party is still very strong in the north and adc isn't pdp.....but atiku strength in the north cannot be over emphasised but in presidential elections popularity isn't enough to get you through, atikubis already lacking what obi lacked in 23.

The SE which I happen to be one will vote Atiku over SW president
You think we are stupid and don't know why SW president put Kanu in prison
And we don't know what igbos properties are being reduced to since 2023
The SE has no reason to vote this Yoruba president because he doesn't represent south since he became president.
Obi or Atiku winning will solve those problems for SE

Just ask the op to post his past comments which came close to reality

The op is one of the jokers on this forum

Streetinvestor2:
The SE which I happen to be one will vote Atiku over SW president
You think we are stupid and don't know why SW president put Kanu in prison
And we don't know what igbos properties are being reduced to since 2023
The SE has no reason to vote this Yoruba president because he doesn't represent south since he became president.
Obi or Atiku winning will solve those problems for SE

The last i checked,the SE is far beyond your personal angst towards tinubu and far beyond your circle or clan.

Atiku will only be president in his grave.

This election is between makinde, obi and Tinubu.

I once said this same thing on this forum but some data boys were ranting. The thing is, I even heard it from top APC men in a meeting they held in IKOYI. I was shocked when they even affirmed what I already calculated.

There's a reason why Tinubu rescheduled his travelling itinary the day he heard Peter Obi decamped to NDC.

Most of them Total votes cast won't be more than 600 votes

SadiqBabaSani:
Nigeria shall be 66yrs soon, within this time Presidential power have concentrated more in the Northern Region than in the South.

The South shall wield Presidential power till 2031 all things been equal.

However, Tinubu's maladministration and ethnocentrism is about to open a path for Atiku to disrupt this sequence of power rotation.

Dear Presidential handlers, multiple Southern candidates will spell doom for Tinubu.

SadiqBabaSani:
Nigeria shall be 66yrs soon, within this time Presidential power have concentrated more in the Northern Region than in the South.

The South shall wield Presidential power till 2031 all things been equal.

However, Tinubu's maladministration and ethnocentrism is about to open a path for Atiku to disrupt this sequence of power rotation.

Dear Presidential handlers, multiple Southern candidates will spell doom for Tinubu.

Spell doom how? Some of this aspirants will not score up to 10,000 votes nationwide.

Lithiumite:
The last i checked,the SE is far beyond your personal angst towards tinubu and far beyond your circle or clan.

Really but it is on record what we did to city boys criminal movements. The drug baron won't see 10k votes this time in SE
The imo state governor is the leader of Pc governor Forum.Tell him to put SW president Bill board outside the state capital and see if it will stay for 24 hours

Streetinvestor2:
Really but it is on record what we did to city boys criminal movements. The drug baron won't see 10k votes this time in SE

40% of South East votes already secured.

With Jagaban & Shettima, Nigeria is OK

Tjra:
40% of South East votes already secured.

With Jagaban & Shettima, Nigeria is OK

Yesterday was biafran day.They should have sent you to come to SE to stand on any road and campaign for the drug baron. They won't have seen Ur body
You people think we don't know why Kanu is in prison from Yoruba president

Streetinvestor2:
Yesterday was biafran day.They should have sent you to come to SE to stand on any road and campaign for the drug baron. They won't have seen Ur body
You people think we don't know why Kanu is in prison from Yoruba president

I'm a big time businessman here in Ozubulu.

The South Easterners I know aren't Barbarians so nothing. I mean absolutely nothing would happen if I campaigned publicly yesterday.

You too small.

Streetinvestor2:
Really but it is on record what we did to city boys criminal movements. The drug baron won't see 10k votes this time in SE
The imo state governor is the leader of Pc governor Forum.Tell him to put SW president Bill board outside the state capital and see if it will stay for 24 hours

But obi's board can be in the SW and obi's supporters should be allowed to campaign anywhere in SW ,are you hearing yourself?

Tjra:
I'm a big time businessman here in Ozubulu.

The South Easterners I know aren't Barbarians so nothing. I mean absolutely nothing would happen if I campaigned publicly yesterday.

You too small.

They're NOT barbarians... fact

But if you dared campaign for APC yesterday? Oga, quit the bragging, the answer is known to You already if actually you are in Ozubulu....

Whynotthetruth:
They're NOT barbarians... fact

But if you dared campaign for APC yesterday? Oga, quit the bragging, the answer is known to You already if actually you are in Ozubulu....

What offense in actual fact did the Tinubu commit such that nobody must campaign for him in the East? Kanu just like Adeyinka Grandson or Simon Ekpa was headed to prison already and Kanu moreso. He would have been jailed in Britain eventually Is winning an election an offense? Being a Yoruba is an offense? You don't need to vote for him of course, vote who you want but taking things to the extreme is not appropriate too. If you didn't complain when Jonathan was giving five percent of appointments to Yoruba people you shouldn't complain if the SW is getting 30 percent of appointments while paying forty percent of the taxes because that would be hypocritical

lawani:
What offense in actual fact did the Tinubu commit such that nobody must campaign for him in the East? Kanu just like Adeyinka Grandson or Simon Ekpa was headed to prison already and Kanu moreso. He would have been jailed in Britain eventually Is winning an election an offense? Being a Yoruba is an offense? You don't need to vote for him of course, vote who you want but taking things to the extreme is not appropriate too. If you didn't complain when Jonathan was giving five percent of appointments to Yoruba people you shouldn't complain if the SW is getting 30 percent of appointments while paying forty percent of the taxes because that would be hypocritical

I would have engaged you if you were sincere....but since your submission is about someone with selective amnesia, no need... believe and enjoy your opinions