₦airaland Forum

AMINDA:
Where will Tinubu's votes come from? In 2023, he got defeated by Obi in the South, winning only 4 Yoruba states out of 17 Southern states. He became president because of the 5.6m Northern votes. Atiku has barely lost a voter from his 6.9m votes in 2023 but he has made huge incursions into the North with the demise of Buhari and Tinubu's betrayal of the Northern allies that helped him to galvanise votes.

Lordhanzo:
all these are for ndc. Stop sleeping on top bicycle. Tinubu failure in insecurity is the reason he’s going

Akpakomiza2:
Tinubu will takeover Atiku votes in Osun, bayelsa and akwa ibom places he won 2023. Tinubu will bury Atiku in Kano which has the largest voting population in the north. Atiku can't recover from kano

Islie:
https://guardian.ng/news/atiku-picks-amaechi-as-vice-president-nominee/

Svoboda:
In 2023, you didn't see the voters defy governors? Besides, what's Tinubus selling point? Every governing index seems to stand against him.

Besides, the Christian areas you're talking about are slippery. Let him just make sure he's in the good books of the Catholics as well as other northern Christian denominations. This is because once obis campaign gains momentum, it'd have the potential of upstaging Tinubu. Remember, the Mu-Mu ticket is still as much a factor as hunger and insecurity.

AMINDA:
Where will Tinubu's votes come from? In 2023, he got defeated by Obi in the South, winning only 4 Yoruba states out of 17 Southern states. He became president because of the 5.6m Northern votes. Atiku has barely lost a voter from his 6.9m votes in 2023 but he has made huge incursions into the North with the demise of Buhari and Tinubu's betrayal of the Northern allies that helped him to galvanise votes.

Akpakomiza2:
Obi was his choice in 2023? Since he has picked them, he is banking on them

omenka:
All of these and the drama in the ndc are meant just for our entertainment tbh. I see no one amongst these clowns who can upstage Tinubu at this point.

Tareq1105:
Where are the Govs that funded Atiku's campaign expenses in 2023?

Are these Govs still with Atiku?

Where would Atiku funding come from?

In all honesty, are those 6.9m votes you referred to still there considering the fact that he's lost all the states in the south even be4 electioneering?

seunmsg:
Atiku won Osun, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa and Taraba in 2023 and got over 25% in Delta. So, how are those states for NDC?

seunmsg:
Atiku won Osun, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Taraba etc in 2023 because of the PDP governors and structures. Those governors are now in APC and the PDP structures have been merged into APC. In 2027, Atiku wont get 10% in those states again. That's how powerful governors can be. You will understand better in 2027.

AMINDA:
You all need to pick one struggle and stick with it. Is Atiku the dollar man that shares dollars to everyone or is he the brokeman that can no longer fund his election campaign? Pick one. Didn't Obi cite dollarisation of the direct primaries as a reason for why he left the ADC? So, an Atiku that could credit everyone's account with dollars in a primary is suddenly short of funds? How much did Obi spend in his last election when he defeated Tinubu in the entire South? Why did Okowa not deliver Atiku as an incumbent governor and VP candidate in Rivers despite having the funds? Did Tinubu lose Lagos and Osun because he didn't spend enough?

simpleseyi:
.
Meaning that you should stop whatever you just started smoking

Svoboda:
What political influence does the minister have? Has APC settled sen Leah? You don't know that Atiku currently dominates Kd north and central. Just ask around.

Svoboda:
In 2023, Atiku didn't lose because Okowa failed to deliver delta state. He failed because northerners heeded buharis call to vote Tinubu. This was largely midwifed by El rufai and co. Atiku would be a fool to believe Amaechi can win the south for him. He'd only lose if he loses majority votes in the north, which is most unlikely. Has Tinubu won new voters in the north? Your guess is as good as mine.

AMINDA:
Still conjectures but this will be a solid ticket. Congratulations in advance to Waziri Atiku Abubakar and Rt. Hon. Rotimi Chibuike Amaechi.

AMINDA:
Okay, let's address your ignorance one by one. In 2023, Binani was the APC candidate in Adamawa. Her leaving the APC is a loss for Tinubu. In 2023, Babachir Lawal left APC due to Tinubu's muslim-muslim ticket and supported Obi. That he temporarily joined the ADC coalition does not mean he's an Atiku ally. He has never voted for Atiku. As for Okowa, granted he's now in APC but he didn't deliver his state to Atiku as an incumbent governor and Vice presidential candidate. Obi won Delta. If Deltans didn't vote Okowa despite being a VP candidate, what will Tinubu promise them that will make them vote him in 2027?

geoworldedu:
How many Igbos really want to vote for Tinubu? Let's be realistic.

Akpakomiza2:
You are not good in electoral calculations. Even if the north delivered Atiku, he still failed to get the spread in the south and necessary votes. In national elections, you need all the help you can. Atiku can't do it alone. All those around Atiku are liabilities. What is the need of picking a running mate who can help you achieve the spread? Even if shettima loses Borno/ Yobe, he will get Tinubu significant votes. This is a key difference

Svoboda:
Same way Atiku will take over Tinubus votes in the northwest. Tinubu is unsellable. A lot of APC chieftains in the north will play anti party. Their collective anger is against Tinubus govt.

In Kano, have senator kawu and co been settled?

omenka:
And that justifies their industrial scale rigging? Besides, just hear yourself ask such a question with confidence, yet you people call Yorubas tribalist. Isn't that so cute? 🤡

Svoboda:
He won't get the spread. Will Tinubu get the highest votes cast, or is our constitution blind to this scenario?

AMINDA:
Still conjectures but this will be a solid ticket. Congratulations in advance to Waziri Atiku Abubakar and Rt. Hon. Rotimi Chibuike Amaechi.

fergie001:
Obi was his choice in 2027.
Obi was never his choice in 2023. He needed money and assured the Govs he will pick one of them. Ihedioha. Is going for Imo Gov under ADC. There are little or no options actually!

Akpakomiza2:
He is influential in kaduna south. I know Atiku dominates northern kaduna as of 2023 but we don't know as of now with the massive defections to APC of people like Sen Hunkuyi, Yero, Sambo.

Akpakomiza2:
Tinubu will get all. When he beats Atiku in Kano, Yobe Borno, Taraba,north central, how will atiku surmount that? There is absolutely no big voting state Atiku has to turn the tide... When the election gets very tight, the difference may come down to what Atiku gets in south, what Tinubu gets in north, what the running mates deliver

Svoboda:
I'm talking of now. I'm telling you a lot of northern APC chieftains will do anti party. They did it to both Jonathan and Obj, but the danger for Tinubu is that unlike both Obj and Gej, he is so unpopular across the south that those who wouldn't want to vote either obi or Atiku would completely opt out of voting completely.

Akpakomiza2:
The votes Tinubu will get in Kano will dampen Atiku's chances. Atiku has gotten weaker in north west .Tinubu won 2 states in north west so he doesn't need to stress himself much. Atiku is largely unsellable that is why he can't be president.
That strategy of banking on infighting or sabotage within a party has never worked, why not just build your party. Even if they want to work against Tinubu, Atiku doesn't offer much prospects. Obi is a no no. No one rewards loyallists like Tinubu. Tinubu can always settle kawu, how will atiku settle Binani and Abbo who are more dangerous