₦airaland Forum

Sugarboyy:
I'm ready to bet with anyone, there is no State in the whole of South West, South South (including Rivers) and South East that Atiku will score 25% in 2027 election

franchasng:
Stale, try another line, this one is stale, Nigerians know better

AMINDA:
If 2023 showed a glimmer of rice and beans politics, 2027 will be the mother of all rice and beans politics in the North. Despite the APC having several governors across the North, Atiku won virtually all the Northwestern states aside from Zamfara and Jigawa and all the Northeastern states aside from Borno. That was despite after 8 years of Buhari and against an untested Tinubu who still enjoyed the benefit of doubt and considerable Northern goodwill and sympathy. The margin is set to be even wider come 2027 with Tinubu's woeful performance and the perception of betrayal pervading the North. Tinubu's albatross will be his inability to shore up his popularity amongst electorates in the South. Outside of the SW, he remains very unpopular across the other South.

Muslim-muslim ticket is not hitting as hard as it should which is why the likes of Sheikh Yahaya Jingir have been commissioned to hit up the polity to make it a Christian vs Muslim affair but once bitten, twice shy. As for gubernatorial elections, local dynamics and the level of popularity of individual candidates will determine the outcome of the election in each state.

AMINDA:
If 2023 showed a glimmer of rice and beans politics, 2027 will be the mother of all rice and beans politics in the North. Despite the APC having several governors across the North, Atiku won virtually all the Northwestern states aside from Zamfara and Jigawa and all the Northeastern states aside from Borno. That was despite after 8 years of Buhari and against an untested Tinubu who still enjoyed the benefit of doubt and considerable Northern goodwill and sympathy. The margin is set to be even wider come 2027 with Tinubu's woeful performance and the perception of betrayal pervading the North. Tinubu's albatross will be his inability to shore up his popularity amongst electorates in the South. Outside of the SW, he remains very unpopular across the other South.

Muslim-muslim ticket is not hitting as hard as it should which is why the likes of Sheikh Yahaya Jingir have been commissioned to hit up the polity to make it a Christian vs Muslim affair but once bitten, twice shy. As for gubernatorial elections, local dynamics and the level of popularity of individual candidates will determine the outcome of the election in each state.

Akpakomiza2:
https://thesun.ng/2027-battle-for-north-west-heats-up/

helinues:
Kwankwaso should forget about the dream of becoming Nigeria president in 2031, not only him but others from North West

Yaradua had 4 years plus, Buhari had 8 years, while both NE and NC haven't had the chance

zinowealth:
Your one and only nightmare

tishbite41:
Obi himself got well over two million votes in the North under LP

opes:
How many votes did Kwankwaso get across the entire North when he ran as a presidential candidate himself? And you believe he will deliver the northern votes for Obi while running as Obi’s running mate?

opes:
Obi had a Northerner as his running mate, so it was not Obi who got all the 2 million votes for himself in the North as you are implying.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Yes,in 2023,most people knew voting Kwankwanso in the North is wasted vote,that's why they didn't support him and him pairing with Obi now,they know he have a high chance to win,they will support him more

olyrayy:
Damn. Had no idea Atiku swept through the North like this, even with Buhari alive.

But Tinubu did come a close second in most Northern states. Also, looking at the results in Zamfara, which was the only state that Tinubu won a commanding majority, I can see why he refuses to touch Mattawale.

opes:
The North may play religious politics if the Minister of Defence gets the ticket in 2031, given that the North is predominantly Muslim while the Defence Minister is a Christian.

opes:
So, they will abandon their own son, Atiku, and settle for playing second fiddle? Or jettison the presidency that is coming to them in 2031 by not voting for APC, only to decide to wait until 2039?

Jayhome24:
Why did you tell them the game plan you shouldn't have revealed this na. This thing is top secret to humiliate obi and kwakwanso is joining apc for his presidential ambition against 2031. FACT!!!

Pls don't say more keep the rest, we go do obi wotowoto wey he nor go forget in hurry.

olajizz01:
25 what? even I don't envisaged him haveing more than 10 percent in any of the southern states,where is the structure .

AMINDA:
Northern Christians are not falling for the gaslighting any longer. APC lackeys claimed Tinubu went ahead with Muslim-Muslim ticket because he couldn't find a Christian Northerner popular enough to be his Vice after teasing them with the ticket for years in order to buy their support. Now, they are claiming Tinubu will handover to a Christian Northerner. This is just them trying to eat from two pots at the same time. If Northern Christians aren't good enough for Vice, is it for the main seat that Tinubu will now find someone popular enough to handover to?

olyrayy:
Damn. Had no idea Atiku swept through the North like this, even with Buhari alive.

But Tinubu did come a close second in most Northern states. Also, looking at the results in Zamfara, which was the only state that Tinubu won a commanding majority, I can see why he refuses to touch Mattawale.

Sugarboyy:
Prior to the 2007 election, Yar adua wasn't popular but with the support of the ruling party then, he won the election and even beat popular Buhari in Katsina state. You just don't understand the power of incumbency and ruling party in a national elections. With a Northern Christian on the ballot under the ruling party, he may likely win all the 6 NC states, win the SW with support of Tinubu, win most of the SS states and score okay in the 5 SE states. Not forgetting Christian votes in the core northern states

AMINDA:
Tinubu is currently an incumbent. If he couldn't find a popular Northern Christian to pick as Vice in order to win, how does he then intend to impose a Northern christian to succeed him in 2031 when he will be on his way out of power (assuming he wins). If he can't do it now, why later? Answer the simple question. I put it to you that it's his classic way of deception. He just need them to vote for his muslim-muslim ticket. That's all.

Sugarboyy:
It wasn't about picking a northern Christian politician to deputise him, it's about betraying Shettima who has been loyal to him and his government and he wasn't ready to betray Shettima. Tinubu is not known to be a political betrayal, unlike Obi and Atiku that cares only about their ambitions. Even me would have been disappointed in him if he had dropped Shettima for anyone else. Loyalty doesn't come easy in politics and Shettima have it. Imagine a VP that's even loyal to his state governor.

opes:
So, they will abandon their own son, Atiku, and settle for playing second fiddle? Or jettison the presidency that is coming to them in 2031 by not voting for APC, only to decide to wait until 2039?

AMINDA:
Tinubu has the likes of Elrufai to thank for that. Elrufai's messaging during the electioneering campaign resonated across the North and had an effect on the conscience of most Northerners. Tinubu ended up betraying him. Matawalle lost his own re-election as an incumbent governor. If Tinubu is keeping him as a minister, it's not because he singlehandedly delivered his state. Brace up for the APC using more Sheikhs to rile up Christians so they can react and have Muslims supporting Tinubu’s muslim-muslim ticket but it's an exercise in futility. Tinubu will only end up losing from both ends. The minds of Northerners are largely made up.

Sugarboyy:
Buhari was alive but him and his cronies never supported or voted Tinubu

olyrayy:
So, how did he win Zamfara like that? It's the only landslide for him in the North West.

MAJOR THROWBACK!

Yet some ingrates say…………… 🤣 pic.twitter.com/Y2KrfifaUp

— Mal. Imran U. Wakili (PULLO) 👑 #iSTANDWITHELRUFAI (@IU_Wakilii) April 17, 2026

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Kwankwanso is contesting in 2031,it has been signed already,so you now confirm Atiku would win the North and Obi would win the South,where would tinubu now win,SW only that even Lagos would be shared

MAJOR THROWBACK!

Yet some ingrates say…………… 🤣 pic.twitter.com/Y2KrfifaUp

— Mal. Imran U. Wakili (PULLO) 👑 #iSTANDWITHELRUFAI (@IU_Wakilii) April 17, 2026

olyrayy:
Yes. They didn't campaign vigorously for him. But they also didn't support Atiku. So, the chips fell where they may. Now that Buhari is dead, the North might make Atiku their champion.

olyrayy:
This doesn't explain why Zamfara was the only outlier in the North West. Why didn't El Rufai's urging have similar effect in the other states?

opes:
Obi also won the South in 2023, but he never became president. APC has structures that are spread across the country.
Atiku will win the Northern votes, with APC coming second. Don’t expect Obi to win the Southern votes as he did in 2023, the dynamics have changed. APC’s presence in the Southeast now ain't necessarily about winning the region, but about preventing the kind of irregularities witnessed in 2023 from being repeated in 2027.

Obi won’t get many votes in the North, just as Atiku will be a distant third in the South.
The Makinde presidency will even compete with Obi for the dissenting votes of Southerners who are opposed to APC’s Muslim-Muslim ticket.

Sugarboyy:
I agree to everything you said except the Makinde narrative. Makinde won't score upto 200k votes in 2027 election and 99% of the votes will come from Oyo State. In the whole of SE and SE, nobody knows Makinde and in other states of the SW, they are seeing him as a spoiler to Tinubu presidency in Oyo State. And I make bold to say, if Makinde fails to step down and support Tinubu, he will be incarcerated all through Tinubu second term and majority of Yorubas will never forgive him, same way they are treating Osibanjo for daring to contest APC primary with Tinubu