₦airaland Forum

If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

Tinubu have already done his homework and all the scenarios favour Tinubu if you guys think about it instead of these high emotions. Accord presidential candidate wouldn't pass Osun even if Adeleke delivered him and Makinde wouldn't pass Oyo, people have forgotten that the race is between APC, ADC and NDC.

The biggest advantage Tinubu currently has is opposition fragmentation. In 2023, Tinubu won with 8.79 million votes, while Atiku, Obi and Kwankwaso together received about 14.58 million. The three opposition candidates also collectively won more states than Tinubu. If Atiku, Peter Obi and Kwankwaso all remain separate, Tinubu has a very strong structural advantage. He also has incumbency. As of today, Tinubu should be considered the favourite for 2027, but not an inevitable winner. The clearest route for the opposition to seriously threaten him is a credible Atiku,Obi, Kwankwaso consolidation around one presidential candidate.

MoneyMan5:
If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

I agree with you. Adeleke has no reason to work against Tinubu now. All gladiators in osun have been demystified. Tinubu will also lose Kwara too the same way it happened in osun.

Kdon2:
I agree with you. Adeleke has no reason to work against Tinubu now. All gladiators in osun have been demystified. Tinubu will also lose Kwara too the same way it happened in osun.

No party can wrestle power from the APC in Kwara in 2027

Parachoko:
No party can wrestle power from the APC in Kwara in 2027

Untill then.

It is a win win for Tinubu...

The reason he removed his influence (if there is anything like that).

MoneyMan5:
If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

Tinubu have already done his homework and all the scenarios favour Tinubu if you guys think about it instead of these high emotions. Accord presidential candidate wouldn't pass Osun even if Adeleke delivered him and Makinde wouldn't pass Oyo, people have forgotten that the race is between APC, ADC and NDC.

patient all of Una prediction for osun election failed. 2027 is not far again. You are the only one planning to vote for that failure agbero union smuggled into aso rock. Just patient

ADELEKE, DON’T MAKE THE MIMIKO MISTAKE

Adeleke should take a lesson from Olusegun Mimiko’s political miscalculation in Ondo.

Mimiko built the Labour Party into a formidable political force in the hearts and minds of Ondo people, only to decamp to the PDP. That move ultimately diminished his political influence.

Now, after painstakingly entrenching the Accord Party in the hearts and minds of Osun people, will Adeleke repeat Mimiko’s mistake by jumping ship to the APC?

With Nigerian politicians, political loyalty can be as predictable as the weather. You can never be too sure. Time will tell.

MoneyMan5:
If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

Tinubu have already done his homework and all the scenarios favour Tinubu if you guys think about it instead of these high emotions. Accord presidential candidate wouldn't pass Osun even if Adeleke delivered him and Makinde wouldn't pass Oyo, people have forgotten that the race is between APC, ADC and NDC.

No one is expecting obi or Atiku to win in SW.All they want is he does not have block vote...lol
Others are sure of block votes from thr region. So if baron can't get block votes from his region na which region will he now get it in 2027 .

Una go explain from now till election day in 2027.
Tinubu? - NEVER AGAIN

Validated:
Una go explain from now till election day in 2027.
Tinubu? - NEVER AGAIN

Dem go explain tire my brother

Validated:
Una go explain from now till election day in 2027.
Tinubu? - NEVER AGAIN

Their fear is so real that it is like they're wearing it like agbada

No no no.

What diminished Mimiko were a different set of factors.

However to respond to the most immediate conflation you've made, Mimiko would have been successful if Jonathan won the 2015 elections...

Had that happened, Mimiko and PDP would have easily swept Jegede into power in 2017. Aso Rock personally stopped the Supreme Court from announcing PDP as winner of the 2021 elections as the APC Chairman who signed Aketi's form was not in line with the law. He was a sitting Governor and had the constitution been correctly interpreted at the Supreme Court, Jegede who had the second highest number of votes if APC and her candidate (AKETI) votes were disqualified, would instantly have beehive Governor.

It happened in Bayelsaa and Zamfara in the past.

Olofofo247ng:
ADELEKE, DON’T MAKE THE MIMIKO MISTAKE

Adeleke should take a lesson from Olusegun Mimiko’s political miscalculation in Ondo.

Mimiko built the Labour Party into a formidable political force in the hearts and minds of Ondo people, only to decamp to the PDP. That move ultimately diminished his political influence.

Now, after painstakingly entrenching the Accord Party in the hearts and minds of Osun people, will Adeleke repeat Mimiko’s mistake by jumping ship to the APC?

With Nigerian politicians, political loyalty can be as predictable as the weather. You can never be too sure. Time will tell.

Soon, una go carry scientific calculator dey calculate the possibility of "Bolablu" winning a particular state or not!

Lol. I love the way Osun people chop their money and made them cry.

No matter how hard Adeleke play his game APC will take over after him if they let this Ambo recont3st against the newbie Adeleke will be bringing. Maybe if he brings Davido sha. Make I no too talk, it's that simple.

Olofofo247ng:
ADELEKE, DON’T MAKE THE MIMIKO MISTAKE

Adeleke should take a lesson from Olusegun Mimiko’s political miscalculation in Ondo.

Mimiko built the Labour Party into a formidable political force in the hearts and minds of Ondo people, only to decamp to the PDP. That move ultimately diminished his political influence.

Now, after painstakingly entrenching the Accord Party in the hearts and minds of Osun people, will Adeleke repeat Mimiko’s mistake by jumping ship to the APC?

With Nigerian politicians, political loyalty can be as predictable as the weather. You can never be too sure. Time will tell.

Where did he get the last one that made him president.

Streetinvestor2:
No one is expecting obi or Atiku to win in SW.All they want is he does not have block vote...lol
Others are sure of block votes from thr region. So if baron can't get block votes from his region na which region will he now get it in 2027 .

With over 400K vote to APC

safarifarms:
Lol. I love the way Osun people chop their money and made them cry.

Against his best effort, Tinubu was demystified and disgraced in his home state Osun. But this is the default setting and there's no coming back from it.

MoneyMan5:
If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

Tinubu have already done his homework and all the scenarios favour Tinubu if you guys think about it instead of these high emotions. Accord presidential candidate wouldn't pass Osun even if Adeleke delivered him and Makinde wouldn't pass Oyo, people have forgotten that the race is between APC, ADC and NDC.

This is pure agbado political analysis. The modern day Nigeria we are struggling to build goes beyond tribal and ethnic sentiments. For decades we have been tribal and religious in everything. Where has that taken us other than poverty and a very wretched society that politicians seek to manipulate us.

We are joining hands to change the narratives. We want a candidate with track record of honesty and integrity. Your Tinubu has not shown competence and dependability in the last 3 years. We are looking elsewhere and if anyone after Tinubu is kicked out, fails to deliver on promises to Nigerians, we will unite again to boot him out. We want an era where our votes speak directly to politicians.

ObiPandora:
With over 400K vote to APC

Nearly cannot kill a bird.
They went back with shame after all the federal might, intimidation and threats.

I have been this question since, are we still talking about Tinubu's 2027 or his handover if God keep us all alive in 2031?

I don't understand!

Streetinvestor2:
No one is expecting obi or Atiku to win in SW.All they want is he does not have block vote...lol
Others are sure of block votes from thr region. So if baron can't get block votes from his region na which region will he now get it in 2027 .

You're wise

MoneyMan5:
If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

Tinubu have already done his homework and all the scenarios favour Tinubu if you guys think about it instead of these high emotions. Accord presidential candidate wouldn't pass Osun even if Adeleke delivered him and Makinde wouldn't pass Oyo, people have forgotten that the race is between APC, ADC and NDC.

With all your guess work. Even though Osun and Oyo are in South West, you are still not sure if Tinubu will win those States. As for the North, Tinubu won't see 5k votes. Na Atiku we dey vote.

OP your submissions are a completely inconsequential and rubbish

MoneyMan5:
If Adeleke failed to support Tinubu unless he decamped to another Party he would most likely support Accord Presidential Candidate because of the house of reps election that will hold the same day.

APC will still get at least 500k votes in Osun state presidential election even if they eventually lose it to Accord presidential candidate. We all know Accord wouldn't pass Osun state even if they win it , Peter Obi and Atiku also have no chance other than getting consolation votes so at the end it will still favour Tinubu.

Same scenario is going to play out in Oyo state even if Tinubu lose the presidential election to Makinde he will still beat Atiku and Obi, people keep forgetting the fact that APC got a lot of votes in Osun election, they think all those votes will disappear overnight when it will be difficult for Atiku ADC and Obi NDC to churn out half of those votes lol.

Tinubu have already done his homework and all the scenarios favour Tinubu if you guys think about it instead of these high emotions. Accord presidential candidate wouldn't pass Osun even if Adeleke delivered him and Makinde wouldn't pass Oyo, people have forgotten that the race is between APC, ADC and NDC.

With all your guess work. Even though Osun and Oyo are in South West, you are still not sure if Tinubu will win those States. As for the North, Tinubu won't see 5k votes. Na Atiku we dey vote.

This is true nearly done not kill a bird. Tunubu should have actually killed the bird the way Ebele Jonathan rigged for Fayose with Sgt Roger or how Obasanjo rigged for Yardua that even Yardua and to confess.

You shoukd clap for yourself too.

safarifarms:
Nearly cannot kill a bird.
They went back with shame after all the federal might, intimidation and threats.