₦airaland Forum

Kalulu44:
Number 1 wey I dey suspect among all na Fubara. I'm having a gut feeling that Fubara has a big surprise for Wike and Tinubu. This one he's silent and meek like a dove of recent

He can't do anything even if he wants to. The elections are two weeks apart so he can only choose one

That sound like a democrat,do your own part to support your party but if your people decided to vote for another party no problem but also don't expect any returns from your party if it eventually win overall majority votes.

AMINDA:
How can Tinubu afford to bleed votes when he only won with a margin of 1.8m votes? The Northwest gave him majority of his entire margin and he has now lost majority of those grounds to Atiku. Tinubu cannot afford to lose a single vote in 2027 but he has already done so, largely due to hardship. Seyi Makinde will also make him bleed votes in the Southwest in 2027. Anyone denying this is only burying their head in the sand.

How will Seyi makinde bleed votes in SW? Can kwankwaso get votes outside kano? If you don't know politics, better keep silent. Tinubu won the north west by 300k so he can afford to lose narrowly. Atiku has lost the entire south. Last time I checked, atiku is losing more grounds in north west not Tinubu

Tenses:
Make una clear ground make I laugh 😃 small.


The anti-party wey tinubu go encounter for 2027, Jonathan own go be child's play.

No be chais

FuglyGurl:
https://www.vanguardngr.com/2026/09/2027-im-still-in-apc-but-ill-support-party-my-people-want-naallah/

This one has become one of the victims of "arrangee" system through which Nigeria selects people into political offices.
It's like "arrangee" system that has always been used to select political office holders in the southeast zone, has now extended beyond the southeast.
A sitting gov Hope Uzodinma of Imo state whose tenure will end by January 2028 is now selected by APC to move to the Senate in May 2027. Nobody, except APC officials know how they can manoeuvre that.

FuglyGurl:
https://www.vanguardngr.com/2026/09/2027-im-still-in-apc-but-ill-support-party-my-people-want-naallah/

They should remove that disaster of a President. Man keeps going up and down disgracing Nigerians. Nothing is working

Akpakomiza2:
How will Seyi makinde bleed votes in SW? Can kwankwaso get votes outside kano? If you don't know politics, better keep silent. Tinubu won the north west by 300k so he can afford to lose narrowly. Atiku has lost the entire south. Last time I checked, atiku is losing more grounds in north west not Tinubu

Tinubu will not lose narrowly this time. Muslim-muslim ticket is now like a pariah in the North. It offers Tinubu no single advantage but will rather serve as a disadvantage for him in some parts of the middlebelt. Tinubu won Oyo in 2023 largely because Seyi Makinde did anti-party in support of Tinubu. Tinubu will lose Oyo this time and will bleed pockets of votes in other Southwestern states including Osun. Atiku and Obi will get their fair share. The Southwest votes will be split. Kwankwaso got 900k votes in Kano but his total tally was 1.4m votes. Half a million of his total votes were from outside of Kano.

magoo10:
He is trying to say his people will not vote for Tinubu.
This election is between the opposition and INEC only data boys and data men will vote for APC.

That is how you translated it to suit your illusion, sorry for you!

seunowa:
The fact is still that his people will never support obi's presidency. It is still a positive news for APC as long as it is not Ndc and the opposition parties are finding it difficult to form a coalition party.

How do you know this, babalawo ?

AMINDA:
Tinubu will not lose narrowly this time. Muslim-muslim ticket is now like a pariah in the North. It offers Tinubu no single advantage but will rather serve as a disadvantage for him in some parts of the middlebelt. Tinubu won Oyo in 2023 largely because Seyi Makinde did anti-party in support of Tinubu. Tinubu will lose Oyo this time and will bleed pockets of votes in other Southwestern states including Osun. Atiku and Obi will get their fair share. The Southwest votes will be split. Kwankwaso got 900k votes in Kano but his total tally was 1.4m votes. Half a million of his total votes were from outside of Kano.

He will lose narrowly sir or win again. If Muslim Muslim is a pariah, why is sheikh jingir and others supporting it publicly? Why are most northern leaders supporting Tinubu rather than Atiku? Tinubu and makinde will share Oyo. The 230k atiku and obi get will mostly go to makinde which is a waste and a loss for opposition. Obi and atiku won't get half of what they got in 2023. Most of those that will vote makinde are Atiku/ obi supporters. Outside Oyo, nothing for makinde. Tally the 500k kwankwaso got outside kano state by state and less see what it will amount to...
Whatever tinubu will get in SW will cancel out what obi will get in SE and what atiku will get in core north. NC will give Tinubu victory. Atiku is finished down south, tinubu will bury him in NC, Borno, zamfara, Taraba, Kano etc...

seunowa:
The fact is still that his people will never support obi's presidency. It is still a positive news for APC as long as it is not Ndc and the opposition parties are finding it difficult to form a coalition party.

U think Nigeria is Lagos...wait and see what await u all in that useless party u are defending.

Tenses:
Make una clear ground make I laugh 😃 small.


The anti-party wey tinubu go encounter for 2027, Jonathan own go be child's play.

I'm happy for you, provided you're momentarily excited after posting this. It hasn't been easy for you guys. It can be so traumatising knowing that the candidate you support stands zero chance of winning.

seunmsg:
lol. former senator who couldn't even get the party's ticket again this year. Irrelevant yesterday's men of power.

LWKMD

Irrelevant yesterday men because he won’t vote for Tinubu and APC?

Even Remi told me last weekend she will do the same thing.

He would deny this before 2 market days.

Loyalty to religion is all they know....tank God for tpain.dem go know say no be gudluck be this

Oga vote for whoever you want bit I can assure you when Tinubu finally start his second term you are a gonner, we will make sure you are out of apc and make you politically jobless.

goslowgoslow:
That is how you translated it to suit your illusion, sorry for you!

why not translate your own how is soothes you and move on or are you that jobless.

AMINDA:
But you were in the other thread throwing a party and celebrating the "defection" of Elrufai's former allies to APC. Even though it was through coercion. Elrufai's allies are relevant to the APC, but Senator Bala Na'Allah and many like him are not. Continue to bury your head in the sand. Omisore was also dismissed as irrelevant until he handed Ambo and the APC's behind to them on a plate despite all the begging. We've been here before.

P.S: This is the APC gubernatorial candidate in Gombe state openly campaigning for Atiku. We will all learn politics together.

Cc: Akpakomiza2

Ko APC kake @atiku kawai zakayi inji Jamilu Gwamna Dan takarar Gwamna na Jahar Gombe.

English translation: even if you're in APC it's only Atiku you will do -Hon. Jamilu Gwamna Gombe State APC Governorship Candidate.

They all know the right person. pic.twitter.com/Pq1mYvnsJ8

— Abdullahi {ATIKULATED SOLDIER} (@abdullahiisha25) September 15, 2026

This is why I always tell Obi's supporters that their master doesn't understand politics. The only way Tinubu won't easily win the 2027 presidential election is if any of Atiku or Obi step down for another or any of them gets disqualified by the court and Obi will end up the highest loser. Whatever that's currently ongoing in the North, Tinubu is aware and on daily basis he is using how Goodluck lost to learn and blocking the holes. Only Tinubu can help Obi becomes president, same way he helped Buhari to become president and if the north decides to betray the S/West in 2027, Tinubu will still win but that would be the end of their relationship and we all know since 1999, no northerner has won without the help of the S/west.
If I were Obi, I would switch my support to Tinubu and in 2031, Tinubu would support me to Massively win the SE, SS, SW and North Central against any northern candidate presented by the North and let's see how the candidate can become the president in 2031 with just the NW and NE votes

In Nigerian Politics, who our people wants,

Simply means money.

The very Reason stealing will continue in Government.


Until Nigerians tired with these insult on our commonwealth

Nice2023:
U think Nigeria is Lagos...wait and see what await u all in that useless party u are defending.

What you guys don't understand is that Tinubu is aware of the intending betrayer of his supposed Northern elites and what Tinubu is cooking mostly in the SS to make those northern votes become useless will baffle you. Without mincing words, I can beat my chest and tell you that in 2027 election, Tinubu votes from only Rivers, Akwa Ibom and Edo will be about 2m. Here in Edo State, Tinubu is wining Edo North courtesy of Oshiomhole and Edo Central courtesy of governor Okpebholo (NDC is unknown in core Esan lands like Irrua and Ubiaja). Don't think we do not know the games the northerners are playing and we choose not to be loud in countering them

Sugarboyy:
This is why I always tell Obi's supporters that their master doesn't understand politics. The only way Tinubu won't easily win the 2027 presidential election is if any of Atiku or Obi step down for another or any of them gets disqualified by the court and Obi will end up the highest loser. Whatever that's currently ongoing in the North, Tinubu is aware and on daily basis he is using how Goodluck lost to learn and blocking the holes. Only Tinubu can help Obi becomes president, same way he helped Buhari to become president and if the north decides to betray the S/West in 2027, Tinubu will still win but that would be the end of their relationship and we all know since 1999, no northerner has won without the help of the S/west.
If I were Obi, I would switch my support to Tinubu and in 2031, Tinubu would support me to Massively win the SE, SS, SW and North Central against any northern candidate presented by the North and let's see how the candidate can become the president in 2031 with just the NW and NE votes

In other words, you have resorted to unity begging? Can Tinubu win in Lagos of today without resorting to tribal rethorics against the Igbos? If Tinubu wanted Southern unity, his cabinet and projects should have reflected that from day one. Rather, he prioritised only Lagos. If Tinubu was that desperate for Northcentral support, why didn't he pick a Northern Christian from the Northcentral as Vice? You all said he couldn't find anyone popular enough to be Vice so how then does he intend to handover to someone from the Northcentral if they are not good enough for Vice? Continue to promise every region and their dog the presidency but na person wey no know una go fall for that one. A three-horse race is still a huge disadvantage to Tinubu if he loses Northern support because Obi will still floor him in the South. It's a little too late to beg for unity.

Akpakomiza2:
How will Seyi makinde bleed votes in SW? Can kwankwaso get votes outside kano? If you don't know politics, better keep silent. Tinubu won the north west by 300k so he can afford to lose narrowly. Atiku has lost the entire south. Last time I checked, atiku is losing more grounds in north west not Tinubu

With Obi on the ballot, Atiku won't score upto 1m votes in the whole of SE, SS and SW and he will lose NC states like Kogi, Kwara, Plateau and Taraba. Let's see how Atiku can will with just votes from NW and NE.

IamPatriotic:
I'm happy for you, provided you're momentarily excited after posting this. It hasn't been easy for you guys. It can be so traumatising knowing that the candidate you support stands zero chance of winning.

My candidate is campaigning

Where is yours?

AMINDA:
In other words, you have resorted to unity begging? Can Tinubu win in Lagos of today without resorting to tribal rethorics against the Igbos? If Tinubu wanted Southern unity, his cabinet and projects should have reflected that from day one. Rather, he prioritised only Lagos. If Tinubu was that desperate for Northcentral support, why didn't he pick a Northern Christian from the Northcentral as Vice? You all said he couldn't find anyone popular enough to be Vice so how then does he intend to handover to someone from the Northcentral if they are not good enough for Vice? Continue to promise every region and their dog the presidency but na person wey no know una go fall for that one. A three-horse race is still a huge disadvantage to Tinubu if he loses Northern support because Obi will still floor him in the South. It's a little too late to beg for unity.

Hahahahahaha, unlike 2023, even if Obi wins the south against Tinubu in 2027, it will be a narrow win. I'm speaking as a Southerner from Edo State. In 2027, 90% of the votes Atiku got in Akwa Ibom State courtesy of Udom Emmanuel, the votes will now be transferred to Tinubu. In 2023, Obi won Edo Central (Esan) but in 2027 Tinubu is will Edo Central courtesy of my brother governor, Okpebholo. The fact that Atiku won't get 25% in all the 17 states in the south in 2027 should bother you. Over here in the South, the name Atiku doesn't exist, so even if Obi wins Tinubu, it's gonna be narrow. Haven't you noticed that unlike 2023, alot of Yoruba that voted for Obi has shifted to Tinubu? We are waiting to see how Atiku will become the president wining just 12 states in the NE and NW (excluding Borno) while Tinubu will narrowly come second to him in all Northern states that he will win and also come narrowly second to Obi in any state outside the SE that Obi wins.

Sugarboyy:
Hahahahahaha, unlike 2023, even if Obi wins the south against Tinubu in 2027, it will be a narrow win. I'm speaking as a Southerner from Edo State. In 2027, 90% of the votes Atiku got in Akwa Ibom State courtesy of Udom Emmanuel, the votes will now be transferred to Tinubu. In 2023, Obi won Edo Central (Esan) but in 2027 Tinubu is will Edo Central courtesy of my brother governor, Okpebholo. The fact that Atiku won't get 25% in all the 17 states in the south in 2027 should bother you. Over here in the South, the name Atiku doesn't exist, so even if Obi wins Tinubu, it's gonna be narrow. Haven't you noticed that unlike 2023, alot of Yoruba that voted for Obi has shifted to Tinubu? We are waiting to see how Atiku will become the president wining just 12 states in the NE and NW (excluding Borno) while Tinubu will narrowly come second to him in all Northern states that he will win and also come narrowly second to Obi in any state outside the SE that Obi wins.

You can only deceive people who do not know what is going on. Tinubu is more unpopular today across the South than he was 2023 when he lost the region woefully to Obi. The support the people are closing their eyes to give to their newly defected governors in APC does not extend to Tinubu. This is a fact that is very clear to all and sundry. I wonder who you're trying to impress by lying to yourself. Rainbow Coalition will not be limited to only Rivers in 2027. Tinubu lost Edo, Ebonyi, Imo, Cross Rivers and Lagos but the APC governors in these states won their own elections convincingly. Nothing much will change in 2027.

Akpakomiza2:
Why do you like us repeating same tales ? Why recycles same info? Tinubu already has the north central and south west. Tinubu doesn't need to beat obi down south but Atiku.

Out of that 5.6 mil, tinubu only needs 3 million to retain power. He got 1.8 mil from nc,2.7 from NW and 1.1 mil from NE. He will get 2 mil from NC. All he needs is 1 mil from core north and he is home and dry.

All those millions you mentioned are not buying fuel at the current market price abi ?

Keep Dreaming.

Sugarboyy:
With Obi on the ballot, Atiku won't score upto 1m votes in the whole of SE, SS and SW and he will lose NC states like Kogi, Kwara, Plateau and Taraba. Let's see how Atiku can will with just votes from NW and NE.

Exactly

AMINDA:
You can only deceive people who do not know what is going on. Tinubu is more unpopular today across the South than he was 2023 when he lost the region woefully to Obi. The support the people are closing their eyes to give to their newly defected governors in APC does not extend to Tinubu. This is a fact that is very clear to all and sundry. I wonder who you're trying to impress by lying to yourself. Rainbow Coalition will not be limited to only Rivers in 2027. Tinubu lost Edo, Ebonyi, Imo, Cross Rivers and Lagos but the APC governors in these states won their own elections convincingly. Nothing much will change in 2027.

But Tinubu is far far more popular than Atiku down south na. He will give Atiku a big distance. Tinubu heat atiku in those states you mentioned massively

AMINDA:
In other words, you have resorted to unity begging? Can Tinubu win in Lagos of today without resorting to tribal rethorics against the Igbos? If Tinubu wanted Southern unity, his cabinet and projects should have reflected that from day one. Rather, he prioritised only Lagos. If Tinubu was that desperate for Northcentral support, why didn't he pick a Northern Christian from the Northcentral as Vice? You all said he couldn't find anyone popular enough to be Vice so how then does he intend to handover to someone from the Northcentral if they are not good enough for Vice? Continue to promise every region and their dog the presidency but na person wey no know una go fall for that one. A three-horse race is still a huge disadvantage to Tinubu if he loses Northern support because Obi will still floor him in the South. It's a little too late to beg for unity.

Tinubu can lose north and south and still win unlike Atiku who has no pathway

Akpakomiza2:
Tinubu can lose north and south and still win unlike Atiku who has no pathway

How so when he won with the least margin ever in the history of this 4th Republic? 70% of Tinubu's votes came from the North. Less than 20% of Atiku's votes came from the South. Tinubu has lost more grounds in the North than Atiku has lost in the South. Atiku has gained majority of Tinubu's previous Northern voters. Tinubu has not gained enough of Atiku's previous Southern voters. Those votes will rather go to other candidates instead. Not Tinubu.

AMINDA:
How so when he won with the least margin ever in the history of this 4th Republic? 70% of Tinubu's votes came from the North. Less than 20% of Atiku's votes came from the South. Tinubu has lost more grounds in the North than Atiku has lost in the South. Atiku has gained majority of Tinubu's previous Northern voters. Tinubu has not gained enough of Atiku's previous Southern voters. Those votes will rather go to other candidates instead. Not Tinubu.

Tinubu has gained majority of Atiku southern votes. Tinubu now has akwa ibom, bayelsa, osun.. atiku can't boast of getting 25% in any southern state or winning any region. Tinubu has north central. Tinubu is competitive in 4 regions, atiku 2 Any votes that go to obi or makinde is a plus to Tinubu. A division always favours the incumbent.