Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC - Politics - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC (577 Views)
| Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 10:41am On Oct 07*. Modified: 11:18am On Oct 07 |
Using the 2023 general elections results, defections, stance on Subsidy, political bigwigs, economic reality, religious and tribal sentiments. These are my projections for the 2027 general elections results for the 3 leading candidates. NDC/OBI Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, Imo, Edo, Cross River, Delta, Bayelsa, Nassarawa and Plateau States. ADC/ATIKU Adamawa, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe, Kaduna, Kastina, Kebbi, Jigawa,Sokoto and Zamfara States APC/TINIBU Ekiti, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Kogi, Kwara, Niger and Akwa Ibom States. APM/Seyi Mankinde will dent a big blow to APC/Tinibu in Oyo State because he has National assembly elections to win for his loyalists. Battle grounds. FCT: NDC & APC Benue: NDC &. APC Borno: ADC & APC Taraba: ADC/APC Kano: NDC & ADC & APC Rivers: NDC & ADC & APC Lagos: NDC & APC Please, no insults, argue objectively. 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 10:57am On Oct 07 |
Edo state is the only state outside South East that Peter Obi can win and he can't get more than 40% there 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 11:02am On Oct 07 |
helinues:Why do you always have erection each time Obi's name is mentioned..? You should be talking more about your candidate, Tinibu |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 11:03am On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:And why are you crying about my opinion always? 3 Likes |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 11:07am On Oct 07 |
helinues:I have a duty to respond to any comments on my post. |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 11:08am On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:And why did you choose tantrums when you could have disputed my comments? 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 11:19am On Oct 07 |
helinues:No tantrums whatsoever, it's the reality. You have mentioned Obi's name more than you have done to Tinibu's name, here since 2022. 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by Lithiumite: 11:58am On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:ADC got nothing on kano,rivers,lagos and any southern state. 3 Likes |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 12:09pm On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:Can you see it yourself. You couldn't even follow up with your own thread hence worrying about how many times I mentioned Obi's name while ignoring the message involved. Explain to us which state Peter Obi can win outside South East and Edo state. You can't just assumed things with no back up facts |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 1:53pm On Oct 07 |
Lithiumite:I didn't ascribe Lagos or any other southern states bar Rivers because of Ameachi, to Atiku. For Kano, Atiku is the leading candidate there. |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 1:56pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:Explaining to you about Obi chances in any SS states is like emptying the Atlantic Ocean inside a well. It can never make you reason. I will not waste my time and energy on that. 2 Likes |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 1:57pm On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:Then you could have ignored my comments from the onset without wasting your time as you know you can never present facts to back up your claim That's the intolerant part we have been complaining about your likes. You want to express yourself freely but you wouldn't want others to do so |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 2:05pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:You can do that in Your thread not here. I know the game you want to play with that your initial comments, but can't work with me. 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 2:22pm On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:And who are you to tell me what to comment or not 2 Likes |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 2:27pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:I didn't stop you from commenting. You have the full right to either comment or not. So also I have the right to either give you the answers you desire or not to. 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by yomi531(m): 2:27pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:U believe so much on Party Structures o. If Tinubu win Cross River state wey I dey , make I bend 3 Likes |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 2:28pm On Oct 07 |
yomi531:Which state you no dey reside again.. Tomorrow you go dey Damaturu
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| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 2:29pm On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:So why did you frown at my comments if you can't dispute it? Isn't that intolerant? |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by yomi531(m): 2:38pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:E pain am dieeee🤣🤣🤣🤣. I dey Ikot Ansa for Calabar. My polling unit is at the back of Immaculate Catholic Church. If Tinubu see 10 votes for my polling unit, I repeat, make I bend........ |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 2:39pm On Oct 07 |
yomi531:If that will make you sleep beautifully at night, so be it |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by Ganjafama(m): 2:55pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:This clearly shows that you know nothing about the Nigerian political terrain. Obi will get Edo, Cross River,Delta, Benue, Nassarawa, Plateau, and if no rigging Lagos, Rivers and Akwa Ibom. 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 3:23pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:I didn't frown at your comment, I simply refused to give you the answers you desire because no matter what, you wouldn't reason objectively once Obi is involve. |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 4:24pm On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:So if I see the whole epistle and decided to make my comments independently without quoting you, why did you quote me when you know you won't answer any questions I ask you? 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by helinues: 4:30pm On Oct 07 |
Ganjafama:How is he going to get it? By winning them on social media |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by commoditiesnig(m): 6:15pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:Helinues, on the contrary Tinubu will conveniently Edo state… Reasons: 1. Obi has lost goodwill in my state compared to 2023 2. APC has serious grassroot supporters across all Lags.. the way the governor & APC have seriously made inroads in my state eh, no bi here. My Governor “Akpakomiza” no Dey play o. 1 Like |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by commoditiesnig(m): 6:45pm On Oct 07 |
Fair projection (right about more NC states) but not good enough! Incidentally APC/Tinubu will win some states you assigned to ADC & NDC. Edo (my state), Kaduna, Zamfara, Nassarawa Winning; Not battleground: Lagos, FCT, Rivers, Benue, Borno, Tight race/Battleground: Kano, Plateau, Oyo, Taraba. === PS: I don’t follow any party/candidate… I’m simply a realistic political observer. ImmaculateJOE: |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 7:31pm On Oct 07 |
commoditiesnig:Tinibu didn't win Kaduna in 2023, is it now that fuel is sold for 1400 that he will win..? He couldn't get 25% in FCT, don't expect him to win it overnight this time. It doesn't work like that, that why I placed it as a battleground between Obi and Tinibu. Borno: Atiku actually won there last election, they rig it to save Shettima's face. Ask questions Nassarawa: The indigene are still not happy with Gov. Sule for stealing their mandate, Obi still got his grip there. When campaign starts proper, you will understand better. Rivers: the people will not sit and watch Wike repeat what he did in 2023 this time around, as Wike is strategicing his rigging plans, oppositions are doing same to thwart it. Ameachi will not sit and watch that happened again. Lulu Briggs is a proper Ijaw man, he got the creeks. Oyo: no tight race here, Seyi Mankinde will be happy to get his 25%. Tinibu got this in his pocket. . |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ImmaculateJOE(op): 7:36pm On Oct 07 |
commoditiesnig:Just one Campaign visit by Obi to Edo will return the status quo. |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by loffyloffy: 8:12pm On Oct 07 |
ImmaculateJOE:Bros you should have started your post with everybody except Helenius is free to comment, or nobody should mention Obi. You started an open conversation and the guy commented, you flared up. That is not proper |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by aswani(m): 9:18pm On Oct 07 |
helinues:Ọmọ iya mi, if you want to know how Peter Obi will do in Edo state, look at how Peter Obí endorsed Akpata did in the gubernatorial elections. Obi will struggle to get 10% in Ẹdo state, he will most likely come fourth as the NDC structure is non existent. Ẹdo state is where he will perform the worst in Southern Nigeria, it will be as comparable as his performances in the North. |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by ddippset(m): 9:28pm On Oct 07 |
All these anyalysis, I am sure you're not factoring in vote buying and INEC biases and IREV glitches.. I am sure you're having an imaginary dream of a free and fair election.. APC have INEC, they practically employed Amupitan. And the money to buy voters? For every 10 million ADC and NDc can cough out, APC can cough out 100 million. Tinubu is not Jonathan, he will not sit in Aso Rock and be booted out, I wouldn't use the words "Tinubu will win" I'd rather say "Tinubu will be declared winner" |
| Re: Tinubu To Get 60% Or More In SW And 40% And Above In NC by bamayo(m): 5:38am On Oct 08 |
Oyo won't vote for Seyi Makinde for presidency because they know he can't win, I doubt it if they will what to waste especially when Tinubu is on the ballot paper. I don't know what you base your result on but Nigeria politics is usually based on Religion sentiment, tribalism, vote buying, incumbency, grassroot footsoldiers and competency. you will observe that I placed competency in the last option, Nigerians dont usually vote for competent leaders so I don't usually consider it as a main factor. Why did APC win 2023 election in the first place, was APC ruling better than PDP ruling? whether we accept it or not, APC won that election so nothing will be different in 2027 election as well. Peter Obi and Atiku best chance was 2023 as coalition, but they missed it. Tinubu has already created an awareness that he can't score less than 15m in the coming election because party members along are up to that and he will definitely claim more than that So which of the opposition can boost of that number? Mu-Mu ticket that Obi took advantage of even Obi as the only Christian candidate won't work again in 2027 because Tinubu seems not to really care about your religion in political appointments, he cares about your tribes. Even the competency that Obi capitalise on in the last election, His constant change of mouth is casting double on his competence and Votes from Non Igbos will be reduced and I very sure igbos will vote for Obi because they feel it's Thier turn to rule Nigeria since 1999 and I think it's justifiable For Atiku, will have upper hand in the North east and West but North is not what he used to be, for the fact that Tinubu could detail ElRufai till now without any riot in the north speak volume. He has created tribe awareness in the north especially among the Hausa. Nevertheless, he will still win majority votes there and APC will follow. Obi won't likely have a good outing there because he's a Christian and an Igbo man also ImmaculateJOE: 1 Like |
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