₦airaland Forum

ADC's judgement is not a good news for PBAT. Hear me out!

The 2027 Presidential Election is supposed to be a 3 horse race- PBAT, Atiku and Obi. An election that has the 3 of them contesting for the same position will always favour PBAT, even if conducted a million times. With the recent judgement of the Federal High Court voiding Atiku's candidacy, it will now become a contest between PBAT and Obi.

If it eventually becomes a 2horse race, then the possibility of PBAT winning is slim; because if Atiku is not on the ballot, his camp can easily work and campaign for Obi, but on terms that I am not sure Obi's camp will accept. Anything just to get PBAT out of office.

So the best thing out there is to either have the 3 of them on the ballot, with Atiku's team accelerating the hearing of the appeal before the election, which I strongly doubt is possible, but looking at the sensitivity of the matter, it might not be impossible.

Dont go yet, 2027 just becomes more interesting.

FuglyGurl:
https://x.com/egi_nupe/status/2118353274034176077

Svoboda:
Tinubus biggest phobia is Atiku and not obi. A 3 horse race doesn't even favour Tinubu because he is bleeding votes in the north, while Obi does the remaining damage to his southern vote base, especially in the Ss and Se, areas he's as unpopular as he's in the north.
A northern contender as strong as Atiku is more than a bout of migraine for the apc. Tinubu might outmuscle a fellow southern contender, but not a formidable northerner like Atiku who has been literally mobbed by the talakawa in quick succession. But what the apc doesn't know is that attacking the adc directly or through the courts further enhances Atikus popularity in the north and increases his campaigns momentum, as it also diminishes the last vestiges of tinubus fast eroding support. Add the economy hardship to the equation, and you will realize that Nigerians may tolerate the haughty nature of the presidents people, but not the unprecedented hunger and hardship the Nigerian people are confronted with.

Elusive001:
Is tulumbu counting on legitimate votes to win?

aswani:
Rubbish analysis, Peter Obi can't pick up any votes outside the SE, such is the toxicity of Obidients.

aswani:
Rubbish analysis, Peter Obi can't pick up any votes outside the SE, such is the toxicity of Obidients.

franchasng:
Tinubu's people, every Nigerian is now away of you guys haughty nature, so no surprise here

ebuk4real:
By the time APC and her data boys realises the trailer that will hit her from the north, south east and south south next year January, they will run and never have a say in Nigeria politics again. Let them keep up the tempo with their tomfoolery

franchasng:
Tinubu's people, every Nigerian is now away of you guys haughty nature, so no surprise here

favor914:
Fallacious Imagination, Keep deceiving yourself.

slivertongue:
if Atiku is not on the ballot, his camp can easily work and campaign for Obi, but on terms that I am not sure Obi's camp will accept. Anything just to get PBAT out of office.

givedemwotowoto:
If Atiku is not on the ballot, I am almost certain that Peter Obi will not be on the ballot. This is classic divide and rule tactic and should be squarely condemned by all.

First they put Atiku off the ballot, then Obidients start hoping Atiku supporters will flock to them. They’re wishing Atiku to be off the ballot. Atiku supporters protest but Obidients stay mute hoping it stays that way, and this builds bad blood between them and Atiku supporters.

Then Atiku is brought back on the ballot, and Obi is put off the ballot. Because Obi supporters didn’t join Atiku supporters to condemn Tinubu, Atiku supporters say “Good for you”. More bad blood

Obi remains off the ballot and Obidients are confused about who to support, and that’s when Tinubu approaches them to sell them the idea of “I am not your friend but Atiku is not your friend either. Rather than lose out completely, take the money and keep the presidency in the South”.

fergie001:
egI Nupe wrong ooooo, no be Law be dis 😂
A three-horse race doesn't favour Tinubu.
Atiku, out of the race....the Northerners are sitting at home.

Obi, out of the race....the South Easterners and some from SS are sitting at home. Their game is to force a run-off! That is the plan of the opposition, not to win at first ballot.

Make nobody whyne anybody,
Atiku, Obi and Makinde need everyone in there.

This suit in question is baseless, can't stand the scrutiny of our courts excepting compromised ones like this!

slivertongue:
The Tinubu gang think PO is a small fry so no need to stop him but this ain't 2023.

helinues:
How, where are they going to get a run-off. Even if Obi stepped for Atiku today and run the campaign in one party, they can't get a run-off.

Atiku lost ground in Southern regions generally, Peter Obi's 2023 popularity faded away within 3 years , all thanks to his reckless statements.

It's only in South East that president Tinubu might not perform better than in 2023. Both NC and SS governors are all in Apc

aswani:
Peter Obi and his NDC are indeed small fry nationally, I accept they are a big deal in Aligbo sha.

He makes himself even smaller fry every single time he opens his mouth near a microphone.

slivertongue:
At least he speaks to the issue not that one who blame others for his actions, and which shows he an absent minded ruler.

fergie001:
The moment you added Governors,I just laugh.
Everyone got off from 2023, only Tinubu gained.... This is very funny!

As at today, Tinubu is wholly dependent on Governors who in turn bank on using state apparatus to get the votes..... He is a good politician and knows the Govenrors are his albatross. They put him in this mess. He gives them money abi, increased their FAAC, what have they done with it?

Tinubu is less liked today than four years ago, the people he gained want their Prado...it's not a SE or SW thing. Every election season brings forth its own peculiarities and the angst will show on the ballot, that's for sure. It's his election to lose because he has the levers of power and the opposition has been lazy but there will be heavy protestation on the ballot come January 16.

In a two-horse race, it's easy win for Tinubu.
Atiku goes, Tinubu will inherit the Muslim North, they need to be back in 2031 and won't vote an Obi.

Obi goes, the South will not vote Atiku....let Tinubu "kukuma" finish his four years and go!

Every Candidiate needs 25% in 24 States.... It is not only Tinubu that has learnt, others too have.

Sheuns:
It seems you guys are much invested in setting this country on fire just because of one man’s greed and ambition.

Removing ADC from the ballot may cause serious problems at this point.

Thread carefully.