2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome - Politics (13) - Nairaland
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| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Adminisher: 6:00pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
kenrish2:Ask yourself why Jonathan is still running ?. Why did he not look for an easterner with pedigree and capacity. Is Peter Obi not smarter than him?..is Rochas not more charismatic? . Would this not have been a checkmating move against the ever possible Buhari run?. One important thing about people who are not capable of greatness, they find it difficult to make sacrifices for anything. Muscling himself into the presidency with his very clear baggage was greedy and is just to destroy his party |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Adminisher: 6:12pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
Johnpaul88:I think differently, Igbos should not vote GEJ strictly because an Ibo man should be on the seat within 8 years. This is not possible at all with another GEJ term in office. As far as FG projects are concerned, the people of the east are masochistic that way. They voted Obj against Falae and he rewarded them with zero, GEJ is also gave them zero plus a promise of a bridge but lots of appointment. Trust the Easterners brain to disconnect when naira starts flowing into private pockets. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Adminisher: 6:18pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
fx45:Why then are you people so sure of Jonathan winning votes in the North and South West.?.What weakness in the rule permits one taboo but not the other. This is why I am worried at the mental state of most commentators. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Nobody: 6:22pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
fx45:Was it Buhari that slaughtered them? ![]() Onye a maghi ebe mmiri siri maba ya agaghi ama ebe o ga akwusi. This is the problem of Igbos. Smh! ![]() |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Nobody: 6:33pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
Adminisher:Don't know why he's so certain that Jonathan will pick up a single vote in the North West or East. ![]() |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Adminisher: 6:59pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
divine2043:I am still in a daze reading this. You must be under 25 because of the ridiculousness of what you posted. The North does bloc voting is the only truth you have posted. To now say they will vote Jonathan because their Emirs will tell them so is very very childish. No Emit will tell anyone to vote against Buhari and we will soon see all these manifest during campaigns. Emits have been known to have been attacked by youths for even lesser offences than supporting Jonathan. Please try another route to justify Jonathan winning anything in the north and not this thing you posted. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Nobody: 7:29pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
No; you are the childish one here:APC fan Adminisher: |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by kenrish2(m): 9:09pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
Adminisher:u are right, but PDP will not take DAT risk because it is easier for a president to win second term because he will use all the power at his disposal |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by agabusta: 10:13pm On Dec 25, 2014 |
chukwudi44:How come your warped mind thinks it's only muslims that will vote Buhari. You better wake up and smell the coffee. His support cuts across religions and ethnicities. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by ISpiksDaTroof: 12:55am On Dec 26, 2014 |
chukwudi44:Why didn't you vote in the East? What stops you from residing in your homeland if you hate others so much? What are you scared of? Why are your posts filled to the brim with hate and disrespect of others and their lands? In this thread alone you've insulted Yorubas, Hausas, Edos, Northerners, Muslims, Westerners....when does it end? Why do you think you can be hateful of your hosts then turn around and demand they abide by your wishes? Who do you really think you are? |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by seanet02: 1:08am On Dec 26, 2014 |
You really get time replying that dofo. I have decided to stop replying yhebos on nairaland. They are so disconnected from reality. ISpiksDaTroof: |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by seanet02: 1:09am On Dec 26, 2014 |
ISpiksDaTroof: |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by agabusta: 3:30am On Dec 26, 2014 |
chukwudi44:Why are you people quick to always respond that devaluation of the naira has to do with falling oil price?? Is this the first time oil pricr is dropping?? Pls. Do your research well. Even the price the oil dropped to now is still higher than what we have when Jona assumed the presidency after Yaradua. The devaluation of the naira is due to poor economic mangt strategy of this current administration. Simple. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by PassingShot(op): 4:49am On Dec 26, 2014*. Modified: 6:08am On Dec 26, 2014 |
The fact of the matter remains that without massive rigging in the SW and NC and even in the SE, I can't see GEJ winning the next election. I have done a revision of the prediction to even give Jonathan more chance at possibly winning fairly by alloting 90% (95% in Bayelsa) of the votes to him in the SS and SE except Edo, Rivers and Imo; and also giving him Lagos with 60% and Ekiti with 60%. While I have done that, I have restricted Buhari's winning percentage to between 70 and 80% in his stronghold regions of NW and NE (85% in Katsina where he hails from). But despite all of these, Jonathan still comes short of winning. I will create another thread on this revised prediction on Saturday or Sunday for your inputs. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Scholes007(m): 10:14pm On Dec 27, 2014 |
SE & SS are over 90%for GEJ but SW am not sure maybe both GMB & GEJ have to share the lot in some of the states... but predicting GMB will get over 25% in SE & SS (including rivers) is a total flaw. But some that say they don't need stupid Igbo vote will be surprised that the same Igbo vote might make their arch enemy win My problems are 1GMB fans are aggressive why? is it that they cannot argue without insulting... 2 Most nairaland member do not argue objectively when it comes to politics in Nigeria especially when GEJ is mentioned 3 Federal roads in south east & south south are not as bad as most guys term them example owerri Onitsha express road, Enugu Port Harcourt express way (from awgu to Enugu, Umuahia to okigwe is almost completed...) Uyo Port Harcourt Express way and many more prove me wrong if you which 4 Most people don't even know a place before they start arguing( alway they said) 5 Most GMB fans lyk insulting their president why? is it that they are ill-mannered or that they don't sense decorum? |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Jarus(m): 10:04pm On Dec 29, 2014 |
rufdyamond:Bros, how market? https://www.nairaland.com/2067157/exclusive-why-governor-lamido-abadoned? |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Nobody: 6:16am On Dec 30, 2014 |
Jarus:Relax nah no dey rush...all this nah political jege, ..less dan 100day we go knw |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Nobody: 3:15pm On Dec 30, 2014 |
Jarus:Bros, I say make I hail.... http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/lamido-accuses-buhari-of-divisive-campaigns/197882/ |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Jarus(m): 3:46pm On Dec 30, 2014 |
rufdyamond:1-1 February 14, 2015, we go know scores. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by ceejay80s(m): 10:46am On Jan 19, 2015 |
olabode89:EMPTY |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Job5050: 5:45am On Mar 10, 2015 |
PassingShot: |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Nobody: 7:12am On Mar 10, 2015 |
As long as its an online poll, buhari will win. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by bjdon: 9:08am On Mar 10, 2015 |
Elections are not won by the number of people who show up at rallies. They are not even won by the number of people who say 'I will vote for this candidate or that candidate' I've been involved with Nigerian elections since the infamous verdict '83 in 1983 and I can tell you all without any fear of contradiction that the number 1 factor to winning an election in Nigeria is THE PARTY STRUCTURE ON GROUND. Outside of the big cities, in all those small towns and villages where the majority of Nigerian actually reside who is goes round to gather the people, marshal them to the polling centers, in some cases instruct them exactly how to vote? Answer the local party workers. It is this ground game that in the end will determine the winner of the election, that's why for me I am giving it to GEJ(No bias) I think people will be very surprised by the results from the NE especially Adamawa. Remember the Army is in control of security in that area, and we all know the Army and PDP are bedfellows. Also I am yet to see strong evidence of a substantial ACP ground game in Adamawa and Taraba, in fact the PDP have won all recent elections in Adamawa despite that being the state of Atiku. I would amend the OP's prediction to as follows: Adamawa: GEJ Taraba:GEJ Ekiti:GEJ Ondo:GEJ Edo:GMB |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by mandarin: 12:30pm On Mar 10, 2015 |
PassingShot:That's not true.i was at Kaduna before election was postponed. I think its only igbo groups that will root for Jonathan from what was on ground.The truth is, many who consider religion as a factor in the coming election will be shocked. The so called southern kaduna will by what I saw, vote Buhari. In kaduna, there are more Yoruba and minorities than Igbo. if anything on ground is to go by in Kaduna, El-Rufai will win by landslide while Buhari will win over 85% of votes cast. Plateau state is one Buhari cannot bank on and may be Benue but his performance can be up to 50% in both states.May be those supporting GEJ don't read the frustration on faces of Nigerians. Lagos will see a good show for both candidates but GMB will take at least 60% of votes cast. Those believing GEJ will win in Ekiti and Ondo need a rethink, they will be found in error but I believe GEJ will score above 90% in all southeast states and south south except Edo where Buhari can give a good showing I tip Buhari to win out rightly in 17 of the Northern states and FCT, 5 southwest states and Jonathan in 10 states of Southsouth and southeast. Either of them can win any of the following: Ondo, Plateau, Benue and Edo some people may be interested in putting Ekiti in these swing states but I cannot. What can include the state here is nit Fayose but the ethnocentrism of the people and their stubborn determination which seem to be working against PDP at the moment. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by PassingShot(op): 12:44pm On Mar 10, 2015 |
mandarin:Your contribution is spot-on. I have since given KD to Buhari as I later realized he won the state in 2011 as well by 52%. I plan to do another one which will be based on PVC collection in each state once we approach the election. Maybe a week to the election. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by Jarus(m): 11:00am On Mar 30, 2015 |
rufdyamond:It's 90 days now. See what GEJ got in Jigawa (less than 15%) https://www.nairaland.com/2226404/apc-wins-jigawa-elections Give me reason why you should not be made to do frog-jump for polluting this thread with ignorance despite my attempt to educate you? And still waiting for your PM. |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by PassingShot(op): 11:04am On Oct 09, 2018 |
tomakint: ![]() I stumbled on this and I can't stop laughing ![]() |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by PassingShot(op): 11:06am On Oct 09, 2018 |
Buhari cannot even get up to 25% in Edo let alone winning the state. Buhari cannot win nassarawa and taraba state either.Buhari would not get up to 10% in any state of the se.Fayose is in complete control of ekitistate. Besides APC has repeatedly insulted ekiti voters after their last defeat, expect payback.This guy deactivated his moniker after the election. ![]() |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by PassingShot(op): 11:08am On Oct 09, 2018 |
Bros the circumstances have changed, go the streets and interview the market women and okada riders. PDP does not need rigging to win Lagos.PaChukwudi, how time flies! ![]() |
| Re: 2015 Presidential Election - A More Objective Prediction Of The Outcome by PassingShot(op): 11:09am On Oct 09, 2018 |
pazienza:Are you still on NL? Same fate awaits PDP in 2019. |
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...and do you think GEJ has nt noticed his shortcomings on that angle...this man is not a fool brother so he would avoid a second trashin whre he can with the power of incumbency