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17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag - Politics - Nairaland

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17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by 9jagistonline(m): 2:51pm On Mar 09, 2015
It’s now three weeks to the presidential election on March 28, and things are shaping up already for the big day. The parties are rounding off their campaigns. INEC is doing mock elections to test run its equipment and operations. The world is watching what’s going to happen in the coming weeks. Who will win this election?

Naij.com commentator on political issues, Adedayo Ademuwagun, has compiled a list of states where it is likely APC candidate, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, will lose the polls.

Muhammadu Buhari has undoubtedly had a phenomenal run in this election. He’s transformed from being a bigoted strongman to being charismatic leader that people nationwide now look up to for change. He might just well win this election.

However, there are some states where Buhari might lose this election based on recent history and the sociopolitical circumstances in those states. Here are 17 states where this might happen.


1. Benue
Benue is a predominantly Christian state in the middle belt. In the last election Jonathan best Buhari here and clinched over 66% of the votes. Buhari might lose here again this year. The state is run by a PDP government.

2. Kogi
Jonathan soundly beat Buhari in Kogi in 2011. He got 70% of the votes. Kogi has a significant Christian population and is governed by the PDP.

3. Plateau
Jonathan defeated Buhari in Plateau by a wide margin last time. Plateau is mainly Christian and has a PDP government.

4. Abuja
This is the seat of government where President Jonathan is in charge. He grabbed over two-thirds of the votes in 2011 and won comfortably. The federal government-run things in Abuja and this could be a disadvantage to Buhari.

5. Taraba
Buhari only mustered half the number of votes Jonathan won in this state last time. It’s a mainly Christian state and the government is PDP.

6. Adamawa
Buhari bowed to Jonathan here in 2011. It’s one of the two states in the northeast where Buhari lost to Jonathan. It’s a predominantly Christian state.

7. Abia
Jonathan won 99% of the votes here while Buhari won less than 1%. The east is Buhari’s worst nightmare. Abia is mainly Christian.

8. Ebonyi
Again Buhari fared woefully here last time. He didn’t even get 1,000 votes here. The PDP is in charge in Ebonyi.

9. Anambra
Anambra is run by the APGA but the people are leaning towards Jonathan. Anambra is the heart of Igbo territory. A Buhari victory is unlikely here.

10. Enugu
Like Anambra, Enugu is the heart of Igbo territory. Jonathan neatly beat Buhari here last time. The general didn’t get 0.5% of the votes here. The people are likely going to vote Jonathan. It’s a PDP state.

11. Bayelsa
A Buhari win in Bayelsa will be a complete miracle. This is Jonathan’s home. He swept virtually all the votes here last time. It may not happen like that again this month, but surely his people will get behind him.

12. Delta
This state is strongly PDP and more likely to vote Jonathan than Buhari. Jonathan won over 98% of the votes here in 2011. Buhari hardly commands any following in this state.

13. Edo
Governor Oshiomhole’s popularity has dwindled in the past few years and so even though the state government is run by Buhari’s party, it’s not certain that the general would take the prize here. But it’s possible.

14. Akwa Ibom
Akwa Ibom voted resoundingly for Jonathan in 2011 and it’s a PDP state. Buhari will have a hard time taking this state.

15. Cross Rivers
Cross Rivers has a PDP government. Buhari lost to Jonathan here in the previous election. Jonathan is more likely to win here despite everything.

16. Ekiti
Ekiti is one of two states in the west controlled by the PDP. The governor is chiefly behind Jonathan and he’s got a huge grassroots following. He’s a man of the people. He’s capable of swaying his people.

17. Ondo is the other state in the west controlled by the PDP. Like Governor Fayose of Ekiti, Ondo governor Mimiko also has a strong grassroots following and is backing Jonathan. But maybe Buhari can surmount the challenge and snatch a win in this state.


http://www.naij.com/398806-17-states-where-buhari-might-lose-this-election.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=17-states-where-buhari-might-lose-this-election

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by falconey(m): 2:53pm On Mar 09, 2015
I don't think so, north central is 70/30 in favour of buhari.

136 Likes 6 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Redoil: 2:54pm On Mar 09, 2015
APC and buhari who are great specialist/proffesors of failure knows that gej is going to clear 24 states without any problem. The eye opening documentary against tinubu and buhari has change the mind of a lot of people. Funy enough those shouting change do not have voters card

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by clevvermind(m): 2:54pm On Mar 09, 2015
buhari will be a loser again. we know that he is a specialist in failure. grin

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by falconey(m): 2:55pm On Mar 09, 2015
Redoil:
2
nice one

4 Likes

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by falconey(m): 2:55pm On Mar 09, 2015
clevvermind:
buhari will be a loser again. we know that he is a specialist in failure. grin
you have only one vote to cast against him, will that make him loose?

75 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by TI1919(m): 2:56pm On Mar 09, 2015
He will loss in Nasarawa state by God's grace watch and see...

56 Likes 4 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Redoil: 2:57pm On Mar 09, 2015
falconey:
nice one
but you worwor sha

4 Likes

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Etruth: 2:58pm On Mar 09, 2015
OP, d outcome of the election isn't going to be based on religious affiliations. Nigerians are fed up with the wicked and anti-masses corruption-ridden GEJ-led govt. WE NEED CHANGE to a working and responsible pro-masses govt. SAI Buhari/Osinbajo 2015. So shall it be in JESUS NAME. Amen!!! Oya Jona....on your marks, Set....GO.....Otuoke Straight. !!!

197 Likes 15 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by clevvermind(m): 2:59pm On Mar 09, 2015
falconey:
you have only one vote to cast against him, will that make him loose?
pack well jor. he would lose and lose very big.

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by falconey(m): 3:00pm On Mar 09, 2015
Redoil:
but you worwor sha
thankz men, my GF told me exact same words.

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by clevvermind(m): 3:01pm On Mar 09, 2015
falconey:
I don't think so, north central is 70/30 in favour of buhari.
i think you meant to say 80/20 in favour of Jonathan. grin

front page tins.

50 Likes 5 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Sconty09(m): 3:07pm On Mar 09, 2015
Have you factor in rigging that took place in those states,that will surely not be possible with the card readers and pvc. Do u know the reason PDP is desperately against use of card readers and pvc.

#March28willsurprisedyou#

sai Buhari

83 Likes 1 Share

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Nobody: 3:11pm On Mar 09, 2015
falconey:
I don't think so, north central is 70/30 in favour of buhari.
iffa hear.

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by onatisi(m): 3:13pm On Mar 09, 2015
clevvermind:
buhari will be a loser again. we know that he is a specialist in failure. grin
that buhari will continue buying presidential nomination forms of parties till he dies , he is simply addicted to losing

28 Likes 1 Share

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by onatisi(m): 3:17pm On Mar 09, 2015
Redoil:
APC and buhari who are great specialist/proffesors of failure knows that gej is going to clear 24 states without any problem. The eye opening documentary against tinubu and buhari has change the mind of a lot of people. Funy enough those shouting change do not have voters card
I have been telling people that this election defeat will be the heaviest for apc ,hardly will they win 12 states . They will lose heavily in areas and states they think they control.

33 Likes 4 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by kasheemawo(m): 3:18pm On Mar 09, 2015
dream on

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Nobody: 3:20pm On Mar 09, 2015
Once a failure, always a failure. You know warra mean brov.

12 Likes

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Nobody: 3:21pm On Mar 09, 2015
onatisi:
that buhari will continue buying presidential nomination forms of parties till he dies , he is simply addicted to losing
he will contest in PDP in 2019 grin

17 Likes 1 Share

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Akpan107(m): 3:21pm On Mar 09, 2015
Buhari will never be President...

26 Likes 3 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by clevvermind(m): 3:28pm On Mar 09, 2015
onatisi:
that buhari will continue buying presidential nomination forms of parties till he dies , he is simply addicted to losing
gringrin
Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by GboyegaD(m): 3:31pm On Mar 09, 2015
The amusing part was that the first thing I noticed in this write up was the Christian Muslim thing. I believe people are now wiser than they were before now.

22 Likes 1 Share

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by vynzecent(m): 3:34pm On Mar 09, 2015
GboyegaD:
The amusing part was that the first thing I noticed in this write up was the Christian Muslim thing. I believe people are now wiser than they were before now.
SAME THING I NOTICED. LET'S KEEP RELIGION OUT OF POLITICS.

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by dustmalik(m): 3:35pm On Mar 09, 2015
GboyegaD:
The amusing part was that the first thing I noticed in this write up was the Christian Muslim thing. I believe people are now wiser than they were before now.
Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Akpan107(m): 3:35pm On Mar 09, 2015
falconey:
I don't think so, north central is 70/30 in favour of buhari.
You are wrong my brother,
95% of Plateau population will vote for GEJ, 80 of Taraba, 90 of Benue, 70 of Kogi, 50 of Kaduna, 85 of Nasarawa, 70 of Kwara, 70 of Adamawa, 30 of Niger, 30 of Bauchi, and 35 of Yobe.

GEJ will get atleast, 40% votes from the North

98% from South East

95% from South South

70% from South West

winning an Election is not all about making noise on media.

The APC are good at winning Elections on social media, that why Buhari has been President on social media since 2014! And he is likely to remain the president on social media untill 2023.

67 Likes 11 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by DaGC(m): 3:36pm On Mar 09, 2015
Your opinion lipsrsealed cool
Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by dustmalik(m): 3:38pm On Mar 09, 2015
GboyegaD:
The amusing part was that the first thing I noticed in this write up was the Christian Muslim thing. I believe people are now wiser than they were before now.
Don't mind the OP, he thinks everyone is like him. I'm from Kogi. Ebira okene, to be specific. and I can tell you authoritatively that Kogi people are solidly behind Buhari.

25 Likes

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by akumada1: 3:38pm On Mar 09, 2015
Highest buhari will get from benue is 30%

15 Likes 1 Share

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by lanicky(f): 3:42pm On Mar 09, 2015
GEJ till 2019.

As for me nd my nuclear nd extended family...we would vote for GEJ not Buhari.

27 Likes 1 Share

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by Nobody: 3:45pm On Mar 09, 2015
GboyegaD:
The amusing part was that the first thing I noticed in this write up was the Christian Muslim thing. I believe people are now wiser than they were before now.
No matter how you view it religion and tribalism would be the key determinants of how people vote in presidential elections in Nigeria. That is if we have a free and fair election

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Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by onatisi(m): 3:46pm On Mar 09, 2015
clevvermind:
gringrin
customized13:
he will contest in PDP in 2019 grin
the best and fastest way to learn how to win an election,defeat a political opponent is to contest against buhari. He is the easiest politician to beat in nigeria history. even tofa or akala will beat this guy silly

18 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 17 States That Might Make Buhari To Lose Presidential Election- Adedayo Ademuwag by onatisi(m): 3:51pm On Mar 09, 2015
chukwudi44:

No matter how you view it religion and tribalism would be the key determinants of how people vote in presidential elections in Nigeria. That is if we have a free and fair election
u dey mind those ones . If religion isn't part of our politics why didn't apc present a muslim \muslim ticket when tinubu was canvassing for it? Why did they have to look for a pastor to patner a terrorist if religion doesn't play a role .

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