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Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba - Politics (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba (20690 Views)

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by otukpo(f): 6:52am On Mar 14, 2016
From friday pan to fire, some would say.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Opinedecandid(m): 6:53am On Mar 14, 2016
Truth is, the real clueless master is on the throne.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Nobody: 6:53am On Mar 14, 2016
Nothing new here. He only confirmed what Lie Mohammed said
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by eliwa47(m): 6:54am On Mar 14, 2016
we have heard you, but soonest we will soon slide into abundance!

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Raziii(m): 6:55am On Mar 14, 2016
thats not a new news... We need solutions... Both from the govt and analysts...and not going back and forth with Jonathan this, Buhari that.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Nobody: 6:56am On Mar 14, 2016
The headline of this thread is thoroughly misleading.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Nobody: 6:57am On Mar 14, 2016
You sef dey see dem so? Na only theories dem sabi to postulate.

Toeyoursea:
All this bread and butter Experts that told Buhari to sack Emefiele and devalue the naira; they back again.


Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Raziii(m): 6:59am On Mar 14, 2016
eliwa47:
we have heard you, but soonest we will soon slide into abundance!
typical Nigerian! We believe so much in prophecy... We have been saying this since thy kingdom come... Haven't u stop to atleast ask y haven't this prophecy come to pass?... We keep doing the wrong things continously hoping to get different outcomes!

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by ari3l(f): 6:59am On Mar 14, 2016
Progressive01:
Has the country not been in recession since forever

Are you still talking!? Don't you have idea that since 10 months, this country has had its situation worst? Ok Yea since forever, the north who are only 72 virgins minded and money minded, aren't they the ones siphoning the money to marry new virgins everyday? You still get mouth to come here talk, God forgive you.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by wizard(m): 7:01am On Mar 14, 2016
Its a constructive criticism given by d gentleman but d dullard has jist jetted outa d country n I doubt he would even glance at it... God help us

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Luckylife(m): 7:01am On Mar 14, 2016
Nigerian there you are ,when you sentimental voted a non certificate old man to rule in this modernised society what do you expect? He can't deliver what he don't have .

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by ROCKHARDDK(m): 7:02am On Mar 14, 2016
Wether Sliding Into Or Bouncing Unto Recession, Alaye double ur hustle o, no time 4 ni gbati ni gbati o....... Econimic recession musn't take more than one tin of milk off a hustler's shelf not two, Ney!

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Alal(m): 7:04am On Mar 14, 2016
ShowYourCertificate:
I am not surprised. Or do you expect someone who didn't write or pass O'Level Economics as a subject to do well with our economy? I just dey laugh.
Oga, you're ruining your mouth, in your eye, this country will be better, relax and see.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by tellwisdom: 7:04am On Mar 14, 2016
The guy don arrest people sotey he arrest our economy join. angry

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by anonimi: 7:05am On Mar 14, 2016
wizard:
Its a constructive criticism given by d gentleman but d dullard has jist jetted outa d country n I doubt he would even glance at it... God help us

That is what happens when the dumb, daft & dull Confused One is in charge.
How did we get here


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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by musabayokanu: 7:05am On Mar 14, 2016
I think one of the prerequisite to pick a presidential form in any party should be A1 in Mathematics and Economics.

Because the DOD (dullard of daura) seems not to understand the basics of economic mgt.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by slap1(m): 7:06am On Mar 14, 2016
naijaking1:


Soon, they will attack him and call him a wailer!

Or an IPOB since he is from the eastern part.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by callJesu: 7:11am On Mar 14, 2016
I query the capability of PMB at this critical time.... Nigeria needs a savior

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by emerged01(m): 7:12am On Mar 14, 2016
ShowYourCertificate:
I read through it. He said Buhari government is practising what is called Strict Monetarism which is restricting the economy since it is halting the fluidity of the economy. This has led to the country sliding into recession since we've recorded negative growth within two quarters of a fiscal year. I'm sure Buhari don't understand all the economic terms used here (since he didn't even pass simple O'Level Economics). I'm sure you don't too tongue.


He said fg needs to spend money they have saved to avoid Nigeria economy sliding into recession. Simple! Don't be biased in your reasoning.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by egalitarian78: 7:13am On Mar 14, 2016
Toeyoursea:


bla bla bla



I totally agree with you sir



Kontinu

It isn't really drifting, the government is just suffering from their past. They criticized every move of the last administration (either good or bad). I think fanatics of the last administration are also denying Buhari every shine and making him have a taste of propaganda his party is used to dishing out.
u might not be fair to d ordinary man on d street who is neither a fan or a fanatic of past administration but just want an elevation in dia quality of life. If indeed anti-Buhari fanatics take over as they unleashed theirs against GEJ then d heat wud v been more. The problem is dat when u win thru propaganda u can only sustain it with same only in d very short run and d ghost of d propaganda starts haunting u. A lot of Nigerians want d country to move forward, a lot want Buhari to succeed, a lot want corrupt people to be jailed but dia hope is becoming more of a mirage by d day.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by tanteta(m): 7:13am On Mar 14, 2016
He(PMB) and his economic team should plung back the recovered loots into the economy at least to get things off the ground and reduce the suffering of the masses . Hodding these recovered funds is almost the same as not recovering them at all.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Majesticniyi(m): 7:15am On Mar 14, 2016
I'm just surprised when I see nairalanders commenting on issues without reading the writeup preceding them. In this case though, op is partly at fault. The topic contradicts the body of the writeup totally. And for those who really believe we are truely in recession, you need to visit your secondary school economics textbooks once again.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by pasol4real(m): 7:20am On Mar 14, 2016
Toeyoursea:
All this bread and butter Experts that told Buhari to sack Emefiele and devalue the naira; they back again.


Clearly u did not read the article he wrote .
Ppl like u is the reason why nigeria is so backwards making ignorant assertions here n there .

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Realdeals(m): 7:24am On Mar 14, 2016
emerged01:



He said fg needs to spend money they have saved to avoid Nigeria economy sliding into recession. Simple! Don't be biased in your reasoning.

Should PMB spend without appropriation by the NASS? I think criticism should start 2 month after the budget has been signed.
Kemi Adeosun have written two brilliant articles detailing how the government intends to tackle the current economic challenge, both shared on Nairaland but because of the partiality of Lalasticlala it never grace the FP.

READ UP https://www.nairaland.com/2983921/financial-discipline-making-every-naira#43679175
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by TayoT: 7:26am On Mar 14, 2016
seunmsg:
Olisa Agbakoba made some valid points but I don't agree with his conclusion that we are in a recession. We have economic challenges quite alright but things are not as bad as the critics are making it look.

All his suggestions about forex is the same argument we've heard over and over again. The same IMF argument of devaluation that has never worked before. The government already made it clear they won't officially devalue the Naira and that's the decision for now.

Good news is, the price of oil in the international market is now rising gradually and even the local manufacturers are now getting up due to the forex restriction. So, we should allow the government to continue on its current part since things are looking up gradually.
When you separate Recession from Crisis, you will understand.
Recession deviates before it gets to crisis. Just like HIV degenerates over time to full blown AIDS.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Realdeals(m): 7:27am On Mar 14, 2016

Discipline... it is all in the detail.

Economists have long found Nigeria to be something of a conundrum. The macro picture has always appeared compelling - large population, oil reserves, mineral reserves, endless tracts of arable land, land and sea borders for regional domination.

Indeed the absurdity of our underperformance is only surpassed by our ability to accurately quantify our losses and missed opportunities. In the short period that I have been privileged to serve as Minister of Finance, I have observed that even the most basic systems and controls over the management of our resources are in dire need of strengthening. While we are regaled with and shocked by details of amounts stolen, diverted or wasted, we must face the cold reality that such acts are facilitated by weaknesses in our systems. Even if we successfully prosecute and jail every looter, ghost worker and other economic saboteur, there is every risk that those caught will only be replaced by persons who are just as bad, or worse - unless we radically strengthen our systems and institutions.

Our President’s brave and committed fight against corruption and waste is as much an economic crusade as it is a moral one. The objective is not just to stem the corruption and loss but to execute an economic plan to channel those monies into much needed areas that will support and reposition the economy. In short, the fight against corruption is not about “retribution” and meting out punishment, it is about releasing funds for our economy. I am humbled to be part of the ongoing work on recovery and can report that the urgency in the work, especially our interface with nations where our money has been stashed, is propelled by our need for funds to invest into our economy.

Our economic plans are not about austerity and frugality; if that were the case then we would not be attempting an expansionary budget. We could have pursued fiscal consolidation and maintained 2015 budget size, and then introduced severe public spending cuts to balance the books by laying off workers and cutting projects. Had we done so, we would by now be the darling of the IMF and other multi-laterals.

Conversely, we are undertaking an ambitious counter cyclical strategy to stimulate our sluggish economy and expanding government spending with a focus on infrastructure, the true catalyst for economic growth. This will have contractors returning to site and re-engaging workers, it will see new projects commencing, arrears released and economic activity reinvigorated across the nation. We plan to take advantage of low global prices for commodities and contract prices. Existing contracts are being renegotiated downwards, with significant savings recorded and new projects priced to reflect current commercial realities. Our spending stimulus is private sector driven, supported by a robust procurement system that will see permanent local capacity built in a number of sectors including oil and gas, housing construction and agriculture. However, and this is the key differentiator, we plan to spend in a disciplined manner that will extract the maximum value for every naira spent.

The process of building the internal control framework to support this need for disciplined spending has begun in earnest. Our Efficiency Unit has reviewed four years of detailed expenditure data to identify trends and is already negotiating volume discounts that appropriately reflect the buying power of government. Personnel remains our largest cost. In addition to the BVN driven cleaning of our payrolls that has so far removed 23,000 fraudulent entries, we have initiated significantly stronger controls over our payroll. These efforts will exert a constant downward pressure on personnel costs until such a time as we have assurance that every payment is accurate and valid. A similar process is now commencing in Pensions. The N160 Billion spent monthly on personnel and pensions related costs demands this as an absolute minimum.

The revenue focus is non oil. We are revisiting historical decisions that are no longer in the best interests of the national economy. The establishment of various Boards and Parastatals to undertake the operational and revenue generating business of government was a well-intentioned attempt to provide separation from policy makers. However, as the economy has grown, so too has the revenue earned in these agencies and their financial autonomy has grown in a manner that no longer fully serves the public interest. Port charges, maritime charges, airport landing fees, visa charges, passport charges, telecoms license fees, among many others, must be tracked and accounted for. While the Fiscal Responsibility Act was designed to provide control, actual compliance has been poor. The result has been leakage on a staggering scale, as findings from our ongoing audits suggest. This is a serious issue. The upside is a significant revenue opportunity which the TSA implementation has given us sight of, and which we are supporting with a proactive drive for improved accountability.

At the same time, our traditional revenue sources are being supported to be more effective. In Customs, we are making the necessary investments in container scanners and other equipment required to improve collection efficiency. This is combined with the results of a compensation survey which will see the introduction of performance related pay, to reduce corruption and create an alignment of interest that will enhance revenue generation. With FIRS there is a well-defined plan to enhance compliance by widening the tax net. Using data to drive tax compliance, we will ensure that the tax regime is efficiently administered and that everyone pays their fair share.

There is a need for disciplined and effective system of managing our financial resources to ensure maximum value. We will no longer measure performance by the size of our budget or the amount disbursed; we must measure by the impact of that expenditure on the lives of Nigerians. To measure and manage this we have already made some key changes in the way funds are released. We have abandoned the old system of capital releases that funneled a proportional share of available funds released to each Ministry, Department and Agency. We have a robust system in place where funds are tied to specific outcomes as documented by each agency. This is being supported by follow up reviews to ensure implementation.

As Benjamin Disraeli once said, “We are not creatures of circumstance; we are creators of circumstance.” I am firmly convinced that Nigeria is on the right path. The path of discipline will confront some age old destructive habits. It will challenge some unwritten rules, and I personally will step on some highly placed toes on this journey. All this I am fully prepared for, and so I do not expect nor do I particularly want to be popular.

However, I will act in the best interest of all Nigerians to ensure that we build the economy that we desire and richly deserve.

This is the second of three articles by Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, Minister of Finance, Federal Republic of Nigeria.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Nobody: 7:30am On Mar 14, 2016
A good article....although the long and short is that Mr Agbakoba wants us to ''spend''.

Now here is the problem. We do not have enough forex, and when you do not have enough forex, a spend spend spend policy might lead to severe inflation down the road.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Kennitrust(m): 7:31am On Mar 14, 2016
what do we expect from a nepa bill holder
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by mapet: 7:32am On Mar 14, 2016
emerged01:

ShowYourCertificate:
:
I read through it. He said Buhari government is practising what is called Strict Monetarism which is restricting the economy since it is halting the fluidity of the economy. This has led to the country sliding into recession since we've recorded negative growth within two quarters of a fiscal year. I'm sure Buhari don't understand all the economic terms used here (since he didn't even pass simple O'Level Economics). I'm sure you don't too tongue.

He said fg needs to spend money they have saved to avoid Nigeria economy sliding into recession. Simple! Don't be biased in your reasoning.

He shouldn't be biased? No! the OP has comprehension deficit.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by kuuljay(m): 7:32am On Mar 14, 2016
N18.000 minimum wage? In Nigeria is already a recession, anybody that was born in from the year 2000 till now was born in recession, Nigeria's good times are far behind,those who leave these shores knows better.
Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by Nobody: 7:34am On Mar 14, 2016
ShowYourCertificate:
I am not surprised. Or do you expect someone who didn't write or pass O'Level Economics as a subject to do well with our economy? I just dey laugh.

You did not read the article.

In brief, Mr Agbakoba states that we are going into recession because the government is not allowing the free flow of forex.

If we did that....inflation would result.,and the naira would get devalued drastically.

Which would lead to more economic crisis.

I think your understanding of economics is at fault here.

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Re: Nigeria Is Sliding Into Economic Recession Under Buhari’s Watch – Olisa Agbakoba by lielbree: 7:38am On Mar 14, 2016
Recession ke? We are already in a recession .

We are sliding into a depression!

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