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Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now - Politics - Nairaland

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Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by LordVarys: 8:31am On May 18, 2016
Oil prices are close to hitting $50 per barrel for the first time since November - but it has nothing to do with Saudi Arabia and Iran cutting oil production, as so much of the market has hoped.
It's all down to Nigerian militants.
Nigeria was dethroned as Africa's largest oil producer this month because the deteriorating political and security situations pose such a threat to Nigeria's oil output.
Militant activity from group Niger Delta Avengers is forcing supply disruptions and has made the country's output fall by 800,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day, according to Nigeria's oil minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu.

Data cited by RBC Capital Markets' commodities team in an early May research note said Nigeria's oil production slipped to 1.69 million barrels per day.
Regardless of either assessment, this is still below the production level of Angola, which held steady in April, at 1.8 million barrels per day.
You can see the effect of the Nigerian militant activity on the oil market on Tuesday, reducing supply and boosting the price:
http://www.businessinsider.in/Nigerian-militants-are-controlling-the-worlds-oil-prices-right-now/articleshow/52305993.cms?from=mdr
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by LordVarys: 8:33am On May 18, 2016
From Reuters
NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices hit six-month highs on Monday on worries about global supply outages and as long-time bear Goldman Sachs sounded more positive on the market, although a stockpile build at the U.S. storage hub for crude futures limited gains.

Expectations of resumption in oil exports from a Libyan port, a ramp up in Nigerian crude production by Exxon Mobil Corp and an improved oil-for-loans deal reached by Venezuela with China furthered the tempered the bullish theme in oil.

Brent crude futures settled up $1.14, or 2.4 percent, at $48.97 per barrel. It rallied to $49.47 earlier, its highest since early November, in a test towards $50.

U.S. crude's West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures rose by $1.51, or 3.3 percent, to end at $47.72 after touching a six-month high at $47.85. WTI saw a flurry of late buying, with more than 13,600 lots changing hands in the final minute, according to Reuters data, in an attempt to test $48.

Crude futures have rallied for most of the past two weeks from a combination of Nigerian, Venezuelan and other outages, declining U.S. production and virtually frozen inflows of Canadian crude after wildfires in Alberta's oil sands region.
http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0Y703M
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Tycike: 8:34am On May 18, 2016
Yeah I saw it in the news but I don't think is due to militancy.
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Nobody: 8:35am On May 18, 2016
F
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Ebubeslym(m): 8:35am On May 18, 2016
Ome.nka will beg to differ.

Hahahahahha

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by LordVarys: 8:37am On May 18, 2016
Tycike:
Yeah I saw it in the news but I don't think is due to militancy.
Reuters, Forbes, UK Business Insider, Financial Times and oil traders all blame the global rise in oil prices to the fall in production from Nigeria thanks to NDA.
Seems the militants are doing the oil industry a big favour ironically.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 8:38am On May 18, 2016
Nigeria is not among the top oil producers in the world, so how are the militants controlling the price of oil? Is it because the blow up pipelines or what?

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by hucienda: 8:44am On May 18, 2016
Wicked twist to all this.

With the Niger Delta Avengers reducing our production- they are northing the global oil price a bit. Good news for others. Bad for us.

Other oil producing countries go be like: Well done Avengers! Keep up the Good job!

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by LordVarys: 8:44am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
Nigeria is not among the top oil producers in the world, so how are the militants controlling the price of oil? Is it because the blow up pipelines or what?
Actually Nigeria is the 10th largest producer but the 6th largest exporter.....the reason oil prices are low was because of oversupply and ramped up production from exporters. This disruptions by NDA effectively take 800,000bbl off the world market. Prices will thus rise due to this reduction in anticipated supply. It's all supply and demand .
Which is why instability in oil producing nations kept oil prices high for a long time.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by phlemzy: 8:55am On May 18, 2016
A disappointment to Nigeria turns blessing to other oil producing nations. Unfortunate!!
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Likei(m): 8:59am On May 18, 2016
if they fulfil their promise of shutting down oil production in the niger delta, then oil price will rise to $300 per barrell
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 9:05am On May 18, 2016
LordVarys:

Reuters, Forbes, UK Business Insider, Financial Times and oil traders all blame the global rise in oil prices to the fall in production from Nigeria thanks to NDA.
Seems the militants are doing the oil industry a big favour ironically.
Ignorance at its peak. Dude the rise and fall of oil price has nothing whatsoever to do with militants. The price is mostly influenced by low/high demands from industrialised countries like China, India, USA, Japan and some few countries in Europe. Oil market is all about protecting your markets and making sure your competitors don't take over your market base. And till date Nigeria still refines 70% of its crude outside so blowing up pipelines will largely effect the average Nigerian{I.e scarcity of PMS, No gas for power plants and electricity supply will drastically drop} and the prices of oil will still be controlled by major international players

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by LordVarys: 9:11am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
Ignorance at its peak. Dude the rise and fall of oil price has nothing whatsoever to do with militants. The price is mostly influenced by low/high demands from industrialised countries like China, India, USA, Japan and some few countries in Europe. Oil market is all about protecting your markets and making sure your competitors don't take over your market base. And till date Nigeria still refines 70% of its crude outside so blowing up pipelines will largely effect the average Nigerian{I.e scarcity of PMS, No gas for power plants and electricity supply will drastically drop} and the prices of oil will still be controlled by major international players
You are the ignorant one, can't even argue with you. It's pointless. The two articles above from two respected financial sites clearly explain the reason for the recent surge in oil prices and you're talking rubbish.
Responding to you isn't just worth it. undecided

8 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by nwadiuko1(m): 9:20am On May 18, 2016
how ironical.......a problem to Nigeria, a blessing to the world
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 9:26am On May 18, 2016
LordVarys:

Actually Nigeria is the 10th largest producer but the 6th largest exporter.....the reason oil prices are low was because of oversupply and ramped up production from exporters. This disruptions by NDA effectively take 800,000bbl off the world market. Prices will thus rise due to this reduction in anticipated supply. It's all supply and demand .
Which is why instability in oil producing nations kept oil prices high for a long time.
Funny. And you think Nigeria's supply to its market base will reduce because of militants activities in the Niger/delta? I laugh at you my friend. This is the simple logic that will playout or has already been playing out in a scenario like this;

Nigerians = cut their PMS supply
Nigeria's market base = supply remains normal

Nigerians = sad, crying, screaming no fuel, no
power
NMB = nothing changes

Nigerians = hike in oil price
NMB = price remains constant

Nigerians = loose
NMB = not effected one bit


My friend the oil market is all about keeping your market/buyers. And if Nigeria can't satisfy or keep its market base, then believe me, our market base will look for another alternative option/oil producers. Simple as that
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 9:42am On May 18, 2016
LordVarys:

You are the ignorant one, can't even argue with you. It's pointless. The two articles above from two respected financial sites clearly explain the reason for the recent surge in oil prices and you're talking rubbish.
Responding to you isn't just worth it. undecided
You can't just ignorantly copy one piece of crap rubbish from western media houses and expect me to swallow their lies. I read economics at some certain time and am very vested in the field, especially in the prices of oil, gas, diesel and kerosene. I'm challenging you to tell me{since you were the person that ignorantly brought this horseshit plus junky analysis here without knowing how to intellectually defend the crap} how the sabotage by the militants is effecting the world oil price and you are telling me the stories of our ancestors. Are you for real? Assuming you were asked in the exam hall to defend what you pasted up there, are you going to tell the lecturer that he should ask the original poster? My friend we are in the 21st century, wake up please
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Shym3xx: 9:44am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
Ignorance at its peak. Dude the rise and fall of oil price has nothing whatsoever to do with militants. The price is mostly influenced by low/high demands from industrialised countries like China, India, USA, Japan and some few countries in Europe. Oil market is all about protecting your markets and making sure your competitors don't take over your market base. And till date Nigeria still refines 70% of its crude outside so blowing up pipelines will largely effect the average Nigerian{I.e scarcity of PMS, No gas for power plants and electricity supply will drastically drop} and the prices of oil will still be controlled by major international players

Oil prices are controlled by supply and volatility - not demand since there will always be a very high demand for crude oil. The major players aren't the buyers - the suppliers control the market, hence Saudi Arabia and the gulf states are very instrumental in determining oil prices...not the countries you listed.

Also, there are different types of crude oil and the specifications/configurations for refineries vary. So you can't just wake up one day and say cos there's volatility in the Nigerian market you would move from naij's sweet crude - to Saudi's oil that has high sulphur. It takes time.

Anyway, in as much as this won't hike oil prices that much, it will boost it a bit.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Hengineer: 9:54am On May 18, 2016
Tycike:
Yeah I saw it in the news but I don't think is due to militancy.
It has everything to do with the militants and insecurity in Nigeria. Cut 800,000 barrels supply per day and the world would definitely feel the impact.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by ayzTIGER: 10:31am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
Ignorance at its peak. Dude the rise and fall of oil price has nothing whatsoever to do with militants. The price is mostly influenced by low/high demands from industrialised countries like China, India, USA, Japan and some few countries in Europe. Oil market is all about protecting your markets and making sure your competitors don't take over your market base. And till date Nigeria still refines 70% of its crude outside so blowing up pipelines will largely effect the average Nigerian{I.e scarcity of PMS, No gas for power plants and electricity supply will drastically drop} and the prices of oil will still be controlled by major international players
Dude your analysis is always flawed... This man once googled Enugu from London and came to conclusion that no grass in Enugu is good enough for cattle therefore Fulanis dont stay in Enugu... WTF is wrong with this dude

6 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 10:33am On May 18, 2016
Shym3xx:


Oil prices are controlled by supply and volatility - not demand since there will always be a very high demand for crude oil. The major players aren't the buyers - the suppliers control the market, hence Saudi Arabia and the gulf states are very instrumental in determining oil prices...not the countries you listed.

Also, there are different types of crude oil and the specifications/configurations for refineries vary. So you can't just wake up one day and say cos there's volatility in the Nigerian market you would move from naij's sweet crude - to Saudi's oil that has high sulphur. It takes time.

Anyway, in as much as this won't hike oil prices that much, it will boost it a bit.
My bro before 2015/2014, those gulf countries control oil prices and everybody knows that. I think prior to 2015 the saudis, russians, kuwait, iran etc had an unmatched control over over oil prices, they could decrease and increase the oil prices whenever they wanted. But when USA came out with it shale oil, what happened? Those gulf countries loose the control of oil prices in the world and China's{not an oil producer} influence on oil price bigger to grow more and more. I think even the gulf countries have accepted this new reality and a new equilibrium has already taken place. Besides a more better way of knowing were oil prices will be maybe in the future is the break-even of USA shale oil producers, which I think is the main focus of gulf nations right now. Don't forget, the argument here is strictly about "militants controlling oil prices" which I didn't agree with{militants controlling oil price, funny}.

Your second paragraph, I 100% agree with that, rather I know that. I was just being a little sentimental on that
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by jpphilips(m): 10:36am On May 18, 2016
Tycike:
Yeah I saw it in the news but I don't think is due to militancy.

Militancy, Canadian wildfires and Venezuelan riots has cut output significantly, it is a normal trend globally. Nothing to cheer on the militants about, for the ones who are enjoying the fun, trust me, the consequences will not end at the gas stations.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by jpphilips(m): 10:39am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
You can't just ignorantly copy one piece of crap rubbish from western media houses and expect me to swallow their lies. I read economics at some certain time and am very vested in the field, especially in the prices of oil, gas, diesel and kerosene. I'm challenging you to tell me{since you were the person that ignorantly brought this horseshit plus junky analysis here without knowing how to intellectually defend the crap} how the sabotage by the militants is effecting the world oil price and you are telling me the stories of our ancestors. Are you for real? Assuming you were asked in the exam hall to defend what you pasted up there, are you going to tell the lecturer that he should ask the original poster? My friend we are in the 21st century, wake up please

Your ignorance is so high that ordinary education cant liberate you, perhaps hypnosis will help damn!! what have you been smoking? I nearly fainted after reading this.
You musn't comment on every thread especially the ones you have no idea, you may stick to terry G and P square thread, your ignorance stink!!

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 10:39am On May 18, 2016
ayzTIGER:
Dude your analysis is always flawed... This man once googled Enugu from London and came to conclusion that no grass in Enugu is good enough for cattle therefore Fulanis dont stay in Enugu... WTF is wrong with this dude
And why didn't you disprove my "flawed analysis" on that thread?
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by ASL33: 10:43am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
My bro before 2015/2014, those gulf countries control oil prices and everybody knows that. I think prior to 2015 the saudis, russians, kuwait, iran etc had an unmatched control over over oil prices, they could decrease and increase the oil prices whenever they wanted. But when USA came out with it shale oil, what happened? Those gulf countries loose the control of oil prices in the world and China's{not an oil producer} influence on oil price bigger to grow more and more. I think even the gulf countries have accepted this new reality and a new equilibrium has already taken place. Besides a more better way of knowing were oil prices will be maybe in the future is the break-even of USA shale oil producers, which I think is the main focus of gulf nations right now. Don't forget, the argument here is strictly about "militants controlling oil prices" which I didn't agree with{militants controlling oil price, funny}.

Your second paragraph, I 100% agree with that, rather I know that. I was just being a little sentimental on that
Even yesterday it was on cnbc europe that the marginal gain in price is die to the fire incident in canada oil city and ND bombing in nigeria. Yoi people argue blindly most times.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 10:50am On May 18, 2016
jpphilips:


Your ignorance is so high that ordinary education cant liberate you, perhaps hypnosis will help damn!! what have you been smoking? I nearly fainted after reading this.
You musn't comment on every thread especially the ones you have no idea, you may stick to terry G and P square thread, your ignorance stink!!
Dude don't sit down there and tell me horseshit. Tell me how the militants activities in the niger/delta control the international oil price and I will eventually deactivate my account immediately{besides am even tired of engaging little minds like you and the person that brought this horseshit here}. You guys can't be crawling out from whatever mushroom you reside in and be spreading total bullshit. Can't you people think for once or what? If someone tells me the gulf nations control oil price with a concrete proof, I will totally agree. But militants controlling oil price!!! Does that even make any sense to you? What is wrong with you people?
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by jpphilips(m): 10:55am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
Dude don't sit down there and tell me horseshit. Tell me how the militants activities in the niger/delta control the international oil price and I will eventually deactivate my account immediately{besides am even tired of engaging little minds like you and the person that brought this horseshit here}. You guys can't be crawling out from whatever mushroom you reside in and be spreading total bullshit. Can't you people think for once or what? If someone tells me the gulf nations control oil price with a concrete proof, I will totally agree. But militants controlling oil price!!! Does that even make any sense to you? What is wrong with you people?


You are looking for free education on the internet abi? try your next victim, you are lucky few people have the time to correct you, I am enjoying your buffoonery, continue I am entertained, the little you know, the better for all of us, who knows if the truth will overwhelm your IQ.
It is only a f00l that doesn't capitulate to a superior arguement, are you a f00l?

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by jpphilips(m): 10:56am On May 18, 2016
ASL33:
Even yesterday it was on cnbc europe that the marginal gain in price is die to the fire incident in canada oil city and ND bombing in nigeria. Yoi people argue blindly most times.

Stop helping him, let him continue entertaining us, are you not enjoying it? you want someone who can not afford a generator to watch CNBC?
are you that wicked?
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by Shym3xx: 11:00am On May 18, 2016
fiizznation:
My bro before 2015/2014, those gulf countries control oil prices and everybody knows that. I think prior to 2015 the saudis, russians, kuwait, iran etc had an unmatched control over over oil prices, they could decrease and increase the oil prices whenever they wanted. But when USA came out with it shale oil, what happened? Those gulf countries loose the control of oil prices in the world and China's{not an oil producer} influence on oil price bigger to grow more and more. I think even the gulf countries have accepted this new reality and a new equilibrium has already taken place. Besides a more better way of knowing were oil prices will be maybe in the future is the break-even of USA shale oil producers, which I think is the main focus of gulf nations right now. Don't forget, the argument here is strictly about "militants controlling oil prices" which I didn't agree with{militants controlling oil price, funny}.

Your second paragraph, I 100% agree with that, rather I know that. I was just being a little sentimental on that

Shale oil was just used for leverage to make Saudi and the gulf states bend their stance a bit - the industry isn't that sustainable and it can't compete with fossil fuel. There's no equilibrium and OPEC still holds the ace. If there were to be an equilibrium, the US would've ditched the Saudis by now.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by jpphilips(m): 11:01am On May 18, 2016
Shym3xx:


Oil prices are controlled by supply and volatility - not demand since there will always be a very high demand for crude oil. The major players aren't the buyers - the suppliers control the market, hence Saudi Arabia and the gulf states are very instrumental in determining oil prices...not the countries you listed.

Also, there are different types of crude oil and the specifications/configurations for refineries vary. So you can't just wake up one day and say cos there's volatility in the Nigerian market you would move from naij's sweet crude - to Saudi's oil that has high sulphur. It takes time.

Anyway, in as much as this won't hike oil prices that much, it will boost it a bit.

Every market share counts!!
Re: Nigerian Militants Are Controlling The World's Oil Prices Right Now by fiizznation: 11:10am On May 18, 2016
jpphilips:



You are looking for free education on the internet abi? try your next victim, you are lucky few people have the time to correct you, I am enjoying your buffoonery, continue I am entertained, the little you know, the better for all of us, who knows if the truth will overwhelm your IQ.
It is only a f00l that doesn't capitulate to a superior arguement, are you a f00l?
And your definition of superior argument is what? I guess is seating in wherever you are and believing every nonsense. Well you are part and parcel of the ignoramuses on this forum. So my friend, I won't waste my time on someone like you again that will eventually believe that his brain is black if somebody said so. I think you seriously need a toy gun, I might be kind enough and get you one if I should ever reply you again. Enjoy

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