₦airaland Forum

as we moving forward to 2019 politicians are already aligning together nd making move especially apc nd pdp.

if buhari should not contest in 2019 apc would nominate a northerner nd pdp Are gonna nominate a northerner.
the candidate of both party would share the votes up north(especially in ne nd nw) but in north central due to fulani mayhem nd failure of buhari(ruling president under apc) pdp would likely win the middle belt.
the s.west gave buhari 60% in 2019( the south west vote av always been split except when gej had 82% in 2011) .due to the beef between tinubu nd buhari nd hardship in the land buhari would struggle to have 30% in s.west if things continue like this,forget all this nairaland rant by some people.

in ss/se we all know apc Is not even an option in this region cause they would never win here even if they rig.if apc picks el rufai He would worsen there chance of winning cause he his a first class bigot.

pdp would likely pick lamido/ peter obi so they really stand a chance if the election is not rigged.


note: to all those who thinks apc stand a chance in s.west.

is it fayemi that could not win his ward during his governorship relection that would deliver ekiti to buhari.fayose gave him 16-0 back to back.

is it fashola that tinubu made governor that would deliver Lagos.tinubu Is the political god of Lagos

or Is it amosun that struggled to win election in ogun until tinubu came to his rescue that would deliver ogun likewise amosun.amosun that people are cursing now in oyo.

except apc rig 2019 election they can't win nd if they rig they would only make people see pdp under gej as the lesser devil nd they won't be able to speak Ill of pdp as they use too


by the way I won't be voting coming 2019,I av decided not to vote for a northerner

TonyeBarcanista
wristbangle
AshiwajuFoward
drss2
firefire
naijaking1
pidgin2
madcow1
omenka
modath1
progressive1

There will be no more presidential election in Nigeria. It's Buhari till the end of Nigeria.. Like if you gat the gist

windeal:
There will be no more presidential election in Nigeria. It's Buhari till the end of Nigeria.. Like if you gat the gist

d dullard has messed up d con3

devilson:
as we moving forward to 2019 politicians are already aligning together nd making move especially apc nd pdp.

if buhari should not contest in 2019 apc would nominate a northerner nd pdp Are gonna nominate a northerner.
the candidate of both party would share the votes up north(especially in ne nd nw) but in north central due to fulani mayhem nd failure of buhari(ruling president under apc) pdp would likely win the middle belt.
the s.west gave buhari 60% in 2019( the south west vote av always been split except when gej had 82% in 2011) .due to the beef between tinubu nd buhari nd hardship in the land buhari would struggle to have 30% in s.west if things continue like this,forget all this nairaland rant by some people.

in ss/se we all know apc Is not even an option in this region cause they would never win here even if they rig.if apc picks el rufai He would worsen there chance of winning cause he his a first class bigot.

pdp would likely pick lamido/ peter obi so they really stand a chance if the election is not rigged.


note: to all those who thinks apc stand a chance in s.west.

is it fayemi that could not win his ward during his governorship relection that would deliver ekiti to buhari.fayose gave him 16-0 back to back.

is it fashola that tinubu made governor that would deliver Lagos.tinubu Is the political god of Lagos

or Is it amosun that struggled to win election in ogun until tinubu came to his rescue that would deliver ogun likewise amosun.amosun that people are cursing now in oyo.

except apc rig 2019 election they can't win nd if they rig they would only make people see pdp under gej as the lesser devil nd they won't be able to speak Ill of pdp as they use too


by the way I won't be voting coming 2019,I av decided not to vote for a northerner

TonyeBarcanista
wristbangle
AshiwajuFoward
drss2
firefire
naijaking1
pidgin2
madcow1
omenka
modath1
progressive1

My analysis us based on PMB recontesting as the body language of Oyegun suggests.

What happened to all the analysis before the 2015 elections? All the analysis that were used to deceive Gej to release billions for election.

Buhari will easily win in the NW and NE if he recontests. And with heavy votes, notwithstanding his Northerner opponent.

The same way a lot of online analysts concluded that Buhari will not win the Middle belt in 2015 due to boko haram and Fulani herdsmen but he still went ahead and won. If he recontests, he will still win the NC by at least 55%.

The SW is not predictable for now. Buhari still commands good followership here in contrast to your assertions. PMB's performance in the next two years will determine his eventual fate here, and not Tinubu. A good population of Yorubas strongly believe that the economic challenges of today is a fallout of Gej's mismanagement. You can carry out an independent survey.

The electoral value of Tinubu in the Southwest is overrated. If Buhari has chosen Tinubu as his running mate in 2015, he would have lost. Even in Lagos, people are getting tired of Tinubu's overbearing attitude.

The SE is predictable, they will never vote a Buhari.

In 2019, don't be surprised to see PMB perform better than he did in 2015 in the SS states.

devilson:
as we moving forward to 2019 politicians are already aligning together nd making move especially apc nd pdp.

if buhari should not contest in 2019 apc would nominate a northerner nd pdp Are gonna nominate a northerner.
the candidate of both party would share the votes up north(especially in ne nd nw) but in north central due to fulani mayhem nd failure of buhari(ruling president under apc) pdp would likely win the middle belt.
the s.west gave buhari 60% in 2019( the south west vote av always been split except when gej had 82% in 2011) .due to the beef between tinubu nd buhari nd hardship in the land buhari would struggle to have 30% in s.west if things continue like this,forget all this nairaland rant by some people.

in ss/se we all know apc Is not even an option in this region cause they would never win here even if they rig.if apc picks el rufai He would worsen there chance of winning cause he his a first class bigot.

pdp would likely pick lamido/ peter obi so they really stand a chance if the election is not rigged.


note: to all those who thinks apc stand a chance in s.west.

is it fayemi that could not win his ward during his governorship relection that would deliver ekiti to buhari.fayose gave him 16-0 back to back.

is it fashola that tinubu made governor that would deliver Lagos.tinubu Is the political god of Lagos

or Is it amosun that struggled to win election in ogun until tinubu came to his rescue that would deliver ogun likewise amosun.amosun that people are cursing now in oyo.

except apc rig 2019 election they can't win nd if they rig they would only make people see pdp under gej as the lesser devil nd they won't be able to speak Ill of pdp as they use too


by the way I won't be voting coming 2019,I av decided not to vote for a northerner

TonyeBarcanista
wristbangle
AshiwajuFoward
drss2
firefire
naijaking1
pidgin2
madcow1
omenka
modath1
progressive1

I don't mean to be a downer but isn't it obvious that the election will be rigged?

If you think Apc will just come and go like that then you're sitting on a long thing.



These guys understand the language rigging than any other party.
so chill, and pray APC present a good presidential candidate come 2019

Thanks for the post @OP... I'll reply from the logical perspective and not as a politician.

Firstly, Buhari will seek reelection in 2019, there is no two ways about this.

Secondly, though PDP would pick a northerner, the trick is now "who is the person"?. should PDP pick a wrong candidate, it will be a tough one for the party.

Thirdly, which is very important, the so-called third force that is brewing could cause an upset if they come up with formidable team.

Now let's talk about regions:

The Northwest states of Kano would easily go for Buhari but the popularity of a northern candidate from PDP will determine the degree to which Buhari will sweep Kano. Also don't forget that some Sai Baba faithfuls are already disappointed, and the motivation to vote Baba wouldn't be as it was in 2015.

As for other states in the Northwest, what will determine whether Buhari will win or lose is the candidate from the region. It is on record that Buhari has NEVER defeated a northern candidate in some parts of NW like Katsina and Kaduna States. Northeast is a swinging region! While Buhari won Adamawa in 2007, he lost same state to Jonathan in 2011 but reclaimed the state in 2015. A second swinging state is Gombe! Perhaps Bauchi might go for Buhari but to what degree?

The battle ground is the North central and Southwest. Buhari won NC for the first time since his foray in politics in 2015! With the anger over his nonchalant attitude towards herdsmen, his mal performance among many, he will most likely lose the region should opposition present formidable team. He has never had cult following in the NC.

As for the SW, this is a region that Buhari has never won in his life prior to 2015 when SW leaders packaged him. His fall out with the SW leader would work against him especially at a period when his performance is almost zero. I pity him because the Fasholas and co that have no electoral value will push him to his disgrace just as Jonathan's SW men pushed him. The only thing that will save Baba is IF he performs or if the opposition present someone worse than him.

TonyeBarcanista:
Thanks for the post @OP... I'll reply from the logical perspective and not as a politician.

Firstly, Buhari will seek reelection in 2019, there is no two ways about this.

Secondly, though PDP would pick a northerner, the trick is now "who is the person"?. should PDP pick a wrong candidate, it will be a tough one for the party.

Thirdly, which is very important, the so-called third force that is brewing could cause an upset if they come up with formidable team.

Now let's talk about regions:

The Northwest states of Kano would easily go for Buhari but the popularity of a northern candidate from PDP will determine the degree to which Buhari will sweep Kano. Also don't forget that some Sai Baba faithfuls are already disappointed, and the motivation to vote Baba wouldn't be as it was in 2015.

As for other states in the Northwest, what will determine whether Buhari will win or lose is the candidate from the region. It is on record that Buhari has NEVER defeated a northern candidate in some parts of NW like Katsina and Kaduna States. Northeast is a swinging region! While Buhari won Adamawa in 2007, he lost same state to Jonathan in 2011 but reclaimed the state in 2015. A second swinging state is Gombe! Perhaps Bauchi might go for Buhari but to what degree?

The battle ground is the North central and Southwest. Buhari won NC for the first time since his foray in politics in 2015! With the anger over his nonchalant attitude towards herdsmen, his mal performance among many, he will most likely lose the region should opposition present formidable team. He has never had cult following in the NC.

As for the SW, this is a region that Buhari has never won in his life prior to 2015 when SW leaders packaged him. His fall out with the SW leader would work against him especially at a period when his performance is almost zero. I pity him because the Fasholas and co that have no electoral value will push him to his disgrace just as Jonathan's SW men pushed him. The only thing that will save Baba is IF he performs or if the opposition present someone worse than him.

Tinubu does not have electoral value. He is a self-centred politician. If he thinks he has electoral value, then let him come out and contest for President.