Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / NewStats: 3,162,825 members, 7,851,792 topics. Date: Thursday, 06 June 2024 at 08:16 AM |
Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata (41435 Views)
Boko Haram: Why Buhari Can’t Lead Our Troops Like Chadian President– Tony Momoh / Why Buhari Was ‘Banned’ From Entering U.S. For 15 Years — Atiku / "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Kachikwu (2) (3) (4)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (Reply) (Go Down)
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by blacknp(m): 9:17pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Paulosky1900:Who is President Buhari going to run against?He will run against himself and win hands down,you will end up casting your vote for him after all these PVC bragging, then you will say you were manipulated and tricked as usual just like how they removed your dundee jona in 2015?Go and study the real science of politics you infant. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by EazyMoh(m): 9:33pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Nowenuse:Even with this your analysis, a 70% in NW and NE, a 40% in NC and 50% in SW plus say about 20% from SS and SE, it's still a win for PMB. 2 Likes |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by WorldRichest: 9:35pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
4kDdullard: On Twitter and Instagram or at the pooling booths?? INEC does not count Twitter and Instagram votes, INEC counts only pooling booths votes and Buhari has that. 1 Like |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Aldebaran(m): 9:36pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Hmmmm |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by blacknp(m): 9:42pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Nowenuse:After all these noise President Buhari wil win all the States in Nigeria,like Obiano did in all the local governments in Anambra. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by HeroicMeastro: 10:37pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Nowenuse:Poor reasoning. How many states in the NC will vote against Buhari? it seems u don't even knw wat u are typing. or perhaps u were drunk wen u wrote this... |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by bejeria101(m): 10:40pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Did you count the children they used? He isnt winning anytin,na daura get am. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by HeroicMeastro: 10:41pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Brookinfo:(12) There isn't a Jonathan and PDP will likely to field a northern muslim. Hence campaigning in churches wunt be necessary. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by AbaNgele: 10:48pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Suplexx: low turnout was observed in Abia not because of any card reader issue but because of IPOB directives. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by biztip: 10:50pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
when I read articles like this I laugh. let me tell una, Buhari invade he decided to recontest will start his loss in the north. d hardship in Nigeria is not felt by only southerners. d northerners are even d most hit of all. am patiently waiting for 2019. una go see surprises |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Olumaeme: 11:04pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
senatordave1: Then you have not been following politics, how did buhari got 7million votes in 2011? If votes were not divided? He didn't win because the other regions voted massively for that other party, and that's what PDP needs this time. Get at least 30 or 40% of North west north east, get at least 45% of north central, clear SE and SS, get 30 or 40% of SW and that's all. Buhari will win Kano but definitely not with 1.9m votes |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Suplexx: 11:13pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
AbaNgele: Please look for another lie. They boycotted both governorship and Presidential elections? So IPOB were angry with GEJ regime that they didn't vote for him? |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Suplexx: 11:14pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
PrecisionFx: There was a need to boost the figures of the PDP candidate |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by sirley(m): 11:20pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Said BABA till 2023 1 Like |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by gaskiyamagana: 11:22pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Annie939:Keep and continue doubting it till 2023. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Nowenuse: 11:25pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
HeroicMeastro: How many states in NC will vote for Buhari, that is what you should ask your ignorant self. Even in 2015, Buhari could not win Nasarawa, Plateau & FCT, how much now that many people are tired of him and see him as a disgrace? Buhari is certainly loosing Benue and no one needs to explain the reason why to a political ignoramus like you. Buhari is also loosing Kogi, because Yahaya Bello's display of stupidity has made APC to be hated by most Igalas & Okuns. Only Ebiras are still loyalists of APC, and only their votes cannot help Buhari win Kogi. As for Kwara, Saraki controls the state and he is certainly no longer pro Buhari. Niger state is the only state Buhari can win in the NC. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Nowenuse: 11:32pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
EazyMoh: Buhari cannot get up to 5% in the SE/SS, let alone 20%. Even in 2015 when many people had high hopes for Buhari, he got less than 10% in both the SS\SE. How much now that people are drastically dissapointed in him? Buhari cannot get up to 40% in the NC, at most 30%. .. Niger state is the only state he is sure of winning next year. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Nowenuse: 11:39pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
mvem: I do not waste my time on ignorant people cos I see you as one. Buhari has never won elections in Jos-Plateau & Nasarawa before. Not even in 2015, he lost both states. So why should he win now, when the masses are dissapointed in him and have seen that he has nothing to offer? |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by EazyMoh(m): 11:47pm On Feb 22, 2018 |
Nowenuse:Oga leave that thing. A party controlling federal level has always had tremendous effect in the outcome of SS and SE, fact. There are already pressure groups from SE that have endorsed PMB for 2019. Couple that with how easy it is to buy votes from that side. Even at that, 70% of NW is more than 100% of SE+SS! Try and calculate 70% NW&NE + 30%NC + 50%SW + 5% SE&SS is still greater than the rest! 1 Like |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Nowenuse: 12:11am On Feb 23, 2018 |
EazyMoh: No, Oga you are wrong! Let us use the last election figures as an example. Look at the screenshot below and do the mathematics. Buhari got 82% of the NW votes last election, while GEJ got 92% of the SE/SS votes. Add the votes of the SE/SS and it is exactly 7,179,631....which is more than that of the NW at 7,115,199. So, you should know that the votes of the SS/SE can always neutralize that of the NW! ......now remember, the NW is most likely to drop from the 82% they gave Buhari last election. So, Buhari is on the loosing side here. Let us assume that the SW is 50/50 which neutralizes itself. This therefore leaves us with the NE & NC. Now, doing the calculations again, Buhari got 72% votes of the NE last election and 71% of the NC. Now imagine the NC which is more populated than the NE drop to 30% while the NE (which will also definitely drop), now drops to like 60%. ......Buhari is already a gonner, however the margin will not be too much.
|
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by holajeedayy: 12:31am On Feb 23, 2018 |
Brookinfo:just look at fake info how ppl are in the north in total ......the last time i check lagos has the highest population of abt 20million and sombody will b claming he owns evry tin .see keep decieving ur self pvc will save us |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by legendte(m): 12:37am On Feb 23, 2018 |
obailala:Although PDP controlled Abj but Rochas couldn't secure that 25% for Buhari and I am sure it would be worse this time with Buhari in Abj. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by obailala(m): 12:50am On Feb 23, 2018 |
legendte:I said it was 'very rare' for that to happen. Especially in diehard strongholds. E.g. expecting APC to get 25% in the SE or SS, or expecting PDP to get 25% in katsina or kano. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by legendte(m): 1:11am On Feb 23, 2018 |
obailala:Well let's wait and see what happens when we know the candidates |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by olujastro: 1:52am On Feb 23, 2018 |
Quite a lot of ignorant political analysts here. I'm not a seer and as much as I would prefer to try someone else, 2019 is Buhari's to lose if no major decamping happens before 2019. No living northern candidate can defeat Buhari even in their own state of origin. Buhari will defeat Atiku in Adamawa, Dankwambo in Gombe and Lamido in Jigawa respectively. Buhari will win the NW with over 80%, the NE with over 70% - Taraba will be the exception, the NC with at least 50%- will win Niger, Kwara, Kogi, and get at least 40% in Nasarawa, and 30% in Plateau and Benue. Ethnic and religious sentiments are the better reasons for Buhari to lose some northern (middle-belt) votes, not one paper weight Northern candidate. This outcome is almost sure irrespective of who challenges Buhari. Now the only way the PDP can perform well in the election (though won't be enough to win it) is if it presents Donald Duke as its candidate. Duke's candidacy will reduce the voter apathy in the entire south because many in the south would rather watch TV than queue up for Buhari or Atiku. Duke can win over 80% in the SS and SE. Unfortunately, the NW will neutralise that. While the SW being the most sophisticated voting region could give Duke over 60% and Buhari 40%.That way the SW can neutralise the NE a little. If it is Buhari vs another northerner, the SW will easily go for Buhari in the midst of huge voter apathy. Anyhow we look at it, though not my most preferred choice but Buhari wins it eventually. 4 Likes |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Ratello: 2:10am On Feb 23, 2018 |
Nowenuse: You are good in your analysis your attention is needed here; https://www.nairaland.com/4320919/projected-atikus-masterstroke-statistical-analyses 1 Like |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by EazyMoh(m): 2:32am On Feb 23, 2018 |
Nowenuse:Keep dreaming! There will never the same turnout in SS/SE in 2019 when the contest is between two northerners and 2015 when it was virtually The north versus SS/SE. The big question is who is even that candidate to make PMB's vote drop as significantly as you are postulating? And no way on earth PMB's vote would decrease in the NE! Also in the NW as of then 2015 PDP controlled states like Jigawa, Kaduna, Katsina, Zamfara and the likes I saw them buying votes as high as N2k in the NW alone which amounted to GEJ getting even up to over 10% In my state Jigawa GEJ got over 300k votes then, all due to the state under PDP governorship and massive campaign funds at their disposal. This time around it is APC in control, and they are ready too to share that money while PDP is completely handicapped. So definitely PMB's votes will increase in both NE and NW. Likewise SW definitely PDP fortune will dwindle giving the fact that the party has relegated the region. It lacks appeal or any bigwigs to change its narrative strongly. Coupled with unavailability of public funds to doll out. a 50-50 is even far fetched. I need one thing from you, promise me you will create a thread declaring EazyMoh your political mentor when PMB eventually wins in 2019, and don't try to claim anything rigging. Cheers! 2 Likes |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by EazyMoh(m): 2:55am On Feb 23, 2018 |
olujastro:Don't mind these political babies they think PMB is an ordinary northerner. Can't they just look at the APC primary elections? Atiku is their best bet yet PMB tripled him! Not to talk of having the power of incumbency. 2 Likes |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Realjerome200: 4:30am On Feb 23, 2018 |
Buhari is most likely to win going by the desperation of his men in key positions in the country's security apparatus and INEC. Also, let's not forget this government is very ready to dole out corrupt funds to prosecute the relection bid of President Burhari. However, with the precedence he set in term of appointments and poor handling of the fragile Nigeria unity, I foresee a divided Nigeria in terms of political and economic unrest. His archaic policies will further divide Nigeria into ethnic and religious lines and this will herald the shout for division of the country from the Yoruba. consequently, a Yoruba shout for division will spell doom for our already fragile unity. The Yorubas have been the unity factor in Nigeria. Finally, I have great fear for the man Burhari if he doesn't work to change his style of leadership. He might erode the good will he has enjoyed even from his teeming supporters and end up as Nigeria's worst. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by progress69: 5:13am On Feb 23, 2018 |
olujastro: lol i just dey read comment dey laugh. less than a year to election, there is no one that looks like can oppose Buhari. As at this time last year, it was already clear that there was a force trying to unseat a sitting president... what do we have today few months to elections? Buhari still has enough time to win the hearts on the NC, he has started already...u can see what is happening in Benue already, military and police now securing lives and going after killer herdsmen, he visited Nassarawa already, u saw the turn out, Just a well timed visit to some of this states will do magic. lol. The same way the postponement of elections to "secure some local governments" in the North east which was actually done did some magic for Jonathan. There is no PDP in the SW asides Fayose, lol, PDP will not even smell as much votes as they got in 2015 with the outcome of the PDP convention. Na only death or if Buhari nor contest fit make am loose the elections. 2 Likes |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by Nonaira1: 5:32am On Feb 23, 2018 |
dasparrow: I don't pity them. They brought it on themselves. Hell going by buhari's actions and some of his words, i personally believe he's going to go the Abacha route and keep himself ruler longer than the 8 years. You don't give someone desperate for power, power. They will never let go. They are about to learn this the hard way. Goodluck to them. They did this to themselves. |
Re: Facts Why Buhari Will Win 2019 Election - Kelvin Nwata by PHILipu1(m): 6:51am On Feb 23, 2018 |
Nowenuse:You are the one deceiving yourself Mr and your eyes will clear that day. Is the 2019 presidential election going to be between Buhari and a southerner or Igbo man if i may ask you? It is going to be between a fulani and a fulani and you believe that all Anambra will vote for the fulani of PDP and will not vote for the fulani of APC. Before Anambra election we heard how you guys boasted that Nwoye will not even come 5th because he joined Islamic party but the results cleared you doubt. The 2019 presidential election will showed you that you can only talk of your own one vote and not others own. The truth was that Plateau and Nassarawa was just too close to the FCT and it was easy for the federal government to rig this states for PDP at that times. It will be so naive of you to really believe that ministers and political appointees from this states can not come together and deliver 25% for Mr president in their respective states. Write it down that Buhari will win 2019 election with a wider margin than in 2015. 1 Like |
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (Reply)
How G-5 Governors, Other PDP Leaders Stand On Presidential Choice / Picture Of Eze Ndigbo Of Kano With Sanusi. / PDP Visits Fati Attahiru, Widow Of Late Chief Of Army Staff (Photos)
(Go Up)
Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 99 |