₦airaland Forum

Election in Nigeria is not based on integrity of the candidate but based on Nepotism and Sycophancy plus stomach infrastructure driven due to poverty...I gave up on Nigeria electoral system long ago.

Sirjamo:
It's no longer news that president Muhammadu Buhari, other wise known as PMB has signify his intentions to seek the renewal of his mandate to lead Nigeria for another four years, beginning from may 29 2019.
As expected, mixed reactions has trailed the sudden announcement. While his supporters, (including yours truly), see it As a welcome development,' the opposition, led by none other than the People's Democratic Party ( PDP) have condemn the president's decision.
Yours truly finds it expedient to weigh the chances of the retired general in all the states of the federation, in order to put things into a proper perspective, with special focus on the states the president is likely to win in each of the six geo - political zones of the country:

North East: Comprising of six states, Namely- Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Gombe , Bauchi and Taraba
The president will win in all the states in this zone except Taraba, because of it larger Christian population and the fact that it's traditionally a pdp state.

North west: Six states - Kano, Jigawa, Katsina, Zamfara, Sokoto and Kebbi
President Buhari will have a clean sweep here.

North Central: This is the only zone with seven states - Kaduna, Plateau, Niger, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue and Kwara

Five for the retired general in this zone,' Plateau and Benue will definitely not vote him

South West: Six states - Osun, Ogun, Ondo,Oyo, Ekiti and Lagos
Another clean sweep for Mr President in the south west, the zone will be eyeing the coveted seat come 2023 and voting PMB for a second term would get them closer to it than any other person from any other person from another party.

I would not bother to analyse the remaining two zones of the south east and south south, as everyone know that the pdp is strong there and would likely win all the eleven states that made up the two zones,' but Buhari might manage to draw 25% of the votes in Edo, Delta and IMO. whichever ever way you might look at it, Mr Buhari seem to be going nowhere any time soon, much to the delite of we the Buharists.

Error. West is not going for PMB. They are also not interested in presidency. They are the kingmakers. They await the competent aspirant. One who will do things differently and positively.they are the wisest of the zones. Call they cowards they care not. That is why west is the most developed of all the zones.

Bitter truth is that there is no one with the personality that can win block votes anywhere in Nigeria, more reason why PMB might remain the president come 2019.

Someone not even closed to the seat of power always came second in 3 presidential election even with the massive rigging from the ruling party then, is it now that he's in charge of all the electoral apparatus that he will lose?

I'm just listing realities here. To upseat him, you need someone with power block votes especially in he north, but who can win the north from Buhari? I'm yet to see any. Sad or interesting reality!

kayusely70:
Kaduna is in the northwest zone, the zone is the only one with seven States

My guy Kaduna na central go do your research and come back to post ur findings

Bubuhahariri all the way! Na him get there

Sirjamo:
It's no longer news that president Muhammadu Buhari, other wise known as PMB has signify his intentions to seek the renewal of his mandate to lead Nigeria for another four years, beginning from may 29 2019.
As expected, mixed reactions has trailed the sudden announcement. While his supporters, (including yours truly), see it As a welcome development,' the opposition, led by none other than the People's Democratic Party ( PDP) have condemn the president's decision.
Yours truly finds it expedient to weigh the chances of the retired general in all the states of the federation, in order to put things into a proper perspective, with special focus on the states the president is likely to win in each of the six geo - political zones of the country:

North East: Comprising of six states, Namely- Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Gombe , Bauchi and Taraba
The president will win in all the states in this zone except Taraba, because of it larger Christian population and the fact that it's traditionally a pdp state.

North west: Six states - Kano, Jigawa, Katsina, Zamfara, Sokoto and Kebbi
President Buhari will have a clean sweep here.

North Central: This is the only zone with seven states - Kaduna, Plateau, Niger, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue and Kwara

Five for the retired general in this zone,' Plateau and Benue will definitely not vote him

South West: Six states - Osun, Ogun, Ondo,Oyo, Ekiti and Lagos
Another clean sweep for Mr President in the south west, the zone will be eyeing the coveted seat come 2023 and voting PMB for a second term would get them closer to it than any other person from any other person from another party.

I would not bother to analyse the remaining two zones of the south east and south south, as everyone know that the pdp is strong there and would likely win all the eleven states that made up the two zones,' but Buhari might manage to draw 25% of the votes in Edo, Delta and IMO. whichever ever way you might look at it, Mr Buhari seem to be going nowhere any time soon, much to the delite of we the Buharists.

bros abeg park well your permutation is of 2014/2015 era. It is completely outdated. It can't stand the test of the massive ballot against him come 2019, esp SW will be the shocker of his life.

Mrchippychappy:
https://im.ezgif.com/tmp/ezgif-1-417dcd4498.gif

LMAO. The guy kukuma resemble white afonja remain tia tia face.

The west is filled with people with independent mindset so I don't think anyone can lay claim to the west. The west is where the main politics is played. People will go for you only if you can tape into their interest. The west is the main libralised region in Nigeria with free thinkers.

brainhgeek:
Error. West is not going for PMB. They are also not interested in presidency. They are the kingmakers. They await the competent aspirant. One who will do things differently and positively.they are the wisest of the zones. Call they cowards they care not. That is why west is the most developed of all the zones.

Unfortunately, the southwest will be the deciding factor in 2019 election. As usual they will dance to their slave masters tune

nayosman:
Buhari will be disgraced out of office

How many PVC do you have to cast your vote? Stop hallucinations of Buhari losing out at the poll to gangs of looters

I just hope my Canadian university grant me admission quick .


I need to leave.

If PMB enter; na toilet so

SalamRushdie:
You must be playing to think that Taraba state will vote the Dullard...

No, I gave Taraba to the pdp

Buhari will still win. Let's just accept the fact.

Buhari will still win ,not because he has performed but because there is no STRONG contender and organized opposition.

I am forced to say something....
I would want you to remove South West....
South West is a region that reason well, and are usually not fooled twice...
This tenure has been from bad to worse...
We are not happy with Buhari and can never be happy with him
I stay in Ibadan, APC has lost it even at State level same way PDP lost it to Ajimobi...
Ekiti can't vote for him
Ondo State seems to like the APC because they've never loved PDP
Lagos state, straight win for Ambode but Federal would be very close
Osun State and Ogun would want to favour PDP this time because Aregbe has fumbled and for Ogun, Obasanjo dey wait for am....

Sirjamo:
It's no longer news that president Muhammadu Buhari, other wise known as PMB has signify his intentions to seek the renewal of his mandate to lead Nigeria for another four years, beginning from may 29 2019.
As expected, mixed reactions has trailed the sudden announcement. While his supporters, (including yours truly), see it As a welcome development,' the opposition, led by none other than the People's Democratic Party ( PDP) have condemn the president's decision.
Yours truly finds it expedient to weigh the chances of the retired general in all the states of the federation, in order to put things into a proper perspective, with special focus on the states the president is likely to win in each of the six geo - political zones of the country:

North East: Comprising of six states, Namely- Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Gombe , Bauchi and Taraba
The president will win in all the states in this zone except Taraba, because of it larger Christian population and the fact that it's traditionally a pdp state.

North west: Six states - Kano, Jigawa, Katsina, Zamfara, Sokoto and Kebbi
President Buhari will have a clean sweep here.

North Central: This is the only zone with seven states - Kaduna, Plateau, Niger, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue and Kwara

Five for the retired general in this zone,' Plateau and Benue will definitely not vote him

South West: Six states - Osun, Ogun, Ondo,Oyo, Ekiti and Lagos
Another clean sweep for Mr President in the south west, the zone will be eyeing the coveted seat come 2023 and voting PMB for a second term would get them closer to it than any other person from any other person from another party.

I would not bother to analyse the remaining two zones of the south east and south south, as everyone know that the pdp is strong there and would likely win all the eleven states that made up the two zones,' but Buhari might manage to draw 25% of the votes in Edo, Delta and IMO. whichever ever way you might look at it, Mr Buhari seem to be going nowhere any time soon, much to the delite of we the Buharists.

abescom:
fayose is not as popular as you lot on nairaland like to make us believe. Buhari will edge Pdp in ekiti especially if atiku is their flag bearer.

even in 2015 buhari lost in ekiti,two state he will surely lose in the south west is ekiti and ondo.

The rest he might have a small margin win

oyatz:
Buhari will still win ,not because he has performed but because there is no STRONG contender and organized opposition.

Bro you've said it all.
This is the only reason the dullard will win

Rubbish post of the highest order. Still baffles me that many Nigerians still reasons like cow, some people have adapted to suffering. What a backward country!

somehow:
Bitter truth is that there is no one with the personality that can win block votes anywhere in Nigeria, more reason why PMB might remain the president come 2019.

Someone not even closed to the seat of power always came second in 3 presidential election even with the massive rigging from the ruling party then, is it now that he's in charge of all the electoral apparatus that he will lose?

I'm just listing realities here. To upseat him, you need someone with power block votes especially in he north, but who can win the north from Buhari? I'm yet to see any. Sad or interesting reality!

there is no strong contender against him,a lot of people don't really like atiku.

If there is a strong contender, the strong contender will only need to win all the southern state,and win about 3-4 state in the middle belt(which is possible),he will just need 25% which he will be able to get in the north east and west.

lol @ ipobs criticizing, disputing and throwing tantrums, but they still can not dispute the analysis with their own facts...


Eternal losers..


SAI BABA#2019

OsasAca1:
I am forced to say something....
I would want you to remove South West....
South West is a region that reason well, and are usually not fooled twice...
This tenure has been from bad to worse...
We are not happy with Buhari and can never be happy with him
I stay in Ibadan, APC has lost it even at State level same way PDP lost it to Ajimobi...
Ekiti can't vote for him / Judging from personal delusion with no reason.
Ondo State seems to like the APC because they've never loved PDP / so a yes to Buhari here.
Lagos state, straight win for Ambode but Federal would be very close / at least 50% secured
Osun State and Ogun would want to favour PDP /this time because Aregbe has fumbled and for Ogun, Obasanjo dey wait for am.... would want to but will end up not favoriting pop / Obadanjo even finds it more difficult wining his own polling unit compare to Buhari.

Even by your own analysis which you failed to admit Buhari already won the elections.

NonsoWow:
Ebonyi state governor has openly declared that he will mobilise votes for Buhari, so you can count that one for APC too. Governors are very powerful.

Mimiko did same for GEJ. Where are they now? Keep deceiving yourself. You will see how pple will stone them when campaign starts. Watch out..!!!

tuniski:
Lame and naive analysis!

Oponu do ur own let c..i can c dt u r already confused

Sirjamo:
It's no longer news that president Muhammadu Buhari, other wise known as PMB has signify his intentions to seek the renewal of his mandate to lead Nigeria for another four years, beginning from may 29 2019.
As expected, mixed reactions has trailed the sudden announcement. While his supporters, (including yours truly), see it As a welcome development,' the opposition, led by none other than the People's Democratic Party ( PDP) have condemn the president's decision.
Yours truly finds it expedient to weigh the chances of the retired general in all the states of the federation, in order to put things into a proper perspective, with special focus on the states the president is likely to win in each of the six geo - political zones of the country:

North East: Comprising of six states, Namely- Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Gombe , Bauchi and Taraba
The president will win in all the states in this zone except Taraba, because of it larger Christian population and the fact that it's traditionally a pdp state.

North west: The only zone with seven states and also the president zone - Kaduna, Kano, Jigawa, Katsina, Zamfara, Sokoto and Kebbi
President Buhari will have a clean sweep here.

North Central: Six states - Plateau, Niger, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue and Kwara

Five for the retired general in this zone,' Plateau and Benue will definitely not vote him

South West: Six states - Osun, Ogun, Ondo,Oyo, Ekiti and Lagos
Another clean sweep for Mr President in the south west, the zone will be eyeing the coveted seat come 2023 and voting PMB for a second term would get them closer to it than any other person from any other person from another party.

I would not bother to analyse the remaining two zones of the south east and south south, as everyone know that the pdp is strong there and would likely win all the eleven states that made up the two zones,' but Buhari might manage to draw 25% of the votes in Edo, Delta and IMO. whichever ever way you might look at it, Mr Buhari seem to be going nowhere any time soon, much to the delite of we the Buharists.

Go & study your geography. Kaduna is northwest & not north Central.

usibengate:
My guy Kaduna na central go do your research and come back to post ur findings

Bubuhahariri all the way! Na him get there

You should rather go for research and not him.

Sirjamo:
It's no longer news that president Muhammadu Buhari, other wise known as PMB has signify his intentions to seek the renewal of his mandate to lead Nigeria for another four years, beginning from may 29 2019.
As expected, mixed reactions has trailed the sudden announcement. While his supporters, (including yours truly), see it As a welcome development,' the opposition, led by none other than the People's Democratic Party ( PDP) have condemn the president's decision.
Yours truly finds it expedient to weigh the chances of the retired general in all the states of the federation, in order to put things into a proper perspective, with special focus on the states the president is likely to win in each of the six geo - political zones of the country:

North East: Comprising of six states, Namely- Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Gombe , Bauchi and Taraba
The president will win in all the states in this zone except Taraba, because of it larger Christian population and the fact that it's traditionally a pdp state.

North west: The only zone with seven states and also the president zone - Kaduna, Kano, Jigawa, Katsina, Zamfara, Sokoto and Kebbi
President Buhari will have a clean sweep here.

North Central: Six states - Plateau, Niger, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue and Kwara

Five for the retired general in this zone,' Plateau and Benue will definitely not vote him

South West: Six states - Osun, Ogun, Ondo,Oyo, Ekiti and Lagos
Another clean sweep for Mr President in the south west, the zone will be eyeing the coveted seat come 2023 and voting PMB for a second term would get them closer to it than any other person from any other person from another party.

I would not bother to analyse the remaining two zones of the south east and south south, as everyone know that the pdp is strong there and would likely win all the eleven states that made up the two zones,' but Buhari might manage to draw 25% of the votes in Edo, Delta and IMO. whichever ever way you might look at it, Mr Buhari seem to be going nowhere any time soon, much to the delite of we the Buharists.

wawa kowei.

maslong:
wawa kowei.

Dan Karuwa kowai

You said it yourself, no strong contender and I would rather vote for myself than vote for Atiku or thumbprint for anything umbrella after the 16yrs I endured under them. Give me a contender (worthy) from another party or even independent and I will have an option.

Omololu2121:
there is no strong contender against him,a lot of people don't really like atiku.

If there is a strong contender, the strong contender will only need to win all the southern state,and win about 3-4 state in the middle belt(which is possible),he will just need 25% which he will be able to get in the north east and west.

Meaning you know no one will win him in an election? Only way out for you is not to contest?

CSTR1003:
I just hope my Canadian university grant me admission quick .


I need to leave.

somehow:
Bitter truth is that there is no one with the personality that can win block votes anywhere in Nigeria, more reason why PMB might remain the president come 2019.

Someone not even closed to the seat of power always came second in 3 presidential election even with the massive rigging from the ruling party then, is it now that he's in charge of all the electoral apparatus that he will lose?

I'm just listing realities here. To upseat him, you need someone with power block votes especially in he north, but who can win the north from Buhari? I'm yet to see any. Sad or interesting reality!

Bitter truth