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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun (2502 Views)
Arrogant Wike Thinks PDP Can't Win Osun Without Him / Why PDP Can't Win Osun Governorship Election. PICS. / PDP: Why We Must Win Osun Governorship Election (2) (3) (4)
The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by PassingShot(m): 4:35pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
This thread is informed by this particular thread where PDP was reported to have released the number of PVC collected in the polling units where the re-run election is holding in Osun tomorrow. I was shocked to read many comments erroneously stating the number of votes APC will need to clinch the election, especially this one here: Validated:As shocking as the the claim is, it’s more shocking that it has garnered over 80 “likes” and still counting. If you “liked” that post, please enroll yourself in a good primary school to learn arithmetic. Here are the magic numbers (based on the claimed 2,594 collected PVCs) for both parties to win the election: Assuming about 50% turnout: Total votes recorded will be about 1,300 APC will only need 354 (one more vote on the current 353 gap by which PDP is leading) + 473 (50% of the remaining 946 votes) = 827 votes for APC to win. PDP only needs to score 473 votes to win at about 50% turnout. At about 60% turnout: i.e about 1,555 APC needs 354 votes + 601 votes = 955 votes. PDP needs 601 votes at about 60% turnout. At about 70% turnout: 1816 votes APC neess 354 + 732 = 1086 PDP needs 732 votes At about 80% turnout: 2075 votes APC needs 354 + 961 =1315 PDP needs 961 votes At about 90% turnout: 2335 votes APC needs 354 + 991 = 1345 votes PDP needs 991 votes Hope this is clear. Tomorrow will surely be interesting. 6 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by izzou(m): 4:38pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PassingShot my gee But you know Nigerians needed fresh air in 2015, and Buhari was elected I think the people of Osun need to breathe something fresh. Let them collect their complete salary for once 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by CROWNWEALTH019(m): 4:39pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by Inspectorsuga22(m): 4:40pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
It's very painful dat with all d hardship people are dealing with in this APC evil administration, people are still voting for APC... 6 Likes |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by PassingShot(m): 4:44pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
izzou:I care less about who wins at this stage. I just want to correct the wrong belief of what APC needs to win this election. 6 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by muykem: 4:45pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PDP will have a good case in the court against INEC but for tomorrow election, there is no way PDP will have 100 votes. |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by Cyrilpac(m): 4:46pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
No surprise tomorrow APC can vomit the plus number without fear of favour, 'LET GO TO THE COURT ' |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by izzou(m): 4:46pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PassingShot: I've always known that you are the only Buhari supporter that is more intelligent than Buhari. The rest still think it's a competition Your mathematics is on point 3 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by CilicMarin: 4:48pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
izzou: Sorry, where will Adeleke manufacture the money to pay Salaries? 3 Likes |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by PassingShot(m): 4:49pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
izzou:Aswer, you no well |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by ybalogs(m): 4:50pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
What will happen if the rerun election is also inconclusive? (a) Conduct a re-rerun (b) Play penalty (c) Share points (d) Give victory to another candidate (e) Toss coin (f) Declare both of them Governor, Governor 1 and Governor 2 (g) Put both candidates in a cage fight, fight to death. (h) Put both of them in a dancing competition (I) Put both of them in a quiz competition 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by izzou(m): 4:51pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
CilicMarin: He will manufacture it from the same factory where Fayemi will use to pay the people of Ekiti Hope this answers your intelligent question? 15 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by vedaxcool(m): 4:52pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
Good you took time to educate the many comprehension challenged individuals |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by izzou(m): 4:52pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
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Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by ybalogs(m): 4:55pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
izzou:Doubt any of the winner will be able to pay full salary sef. Osun state is too enmeshed in debt coupled with the fact that they're majorly a civil service state. More needed to be done by the winner to ensure the state generates money internally rather than depend solely on FCA. |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by DogmaNation: 4:56pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
CilicMarin:Why don't u ask the incumbent governor,who has sold the people of Osun into servitude for good 40years? |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by Great2017: 4:58pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
CilicMarin:From Osun looted funds offcourse |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by izzou(m): 4:59pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
ybalogs: But nothing is wrong in trying someone else. The present party failed them. So they should continue sticking with them? I was happy when Fayose was kicked out. I think Aregbe and his stooge should rest too. You can't let people commit themselves for 30 days and Modulate their salaries. 1 Like |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by anibirelawal(m): 5:02pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
Where are the so called Online PDP Statisticians & Mathematicians Come and decipher this. |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by Racoon(m): 5:06pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
Well the workload is still much plenty for the APC.Everybody dont turn analyst.INEC all eyes on you.Osun people shine your eyes as this only happens once every four years. |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by Racoon(m): 5:10pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
ybalogs:And they should continue with the government that put them in this pain? 1 Like |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by thiagoteres(m): 5:13pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
This analysis is accurate only if 2 parties are contesting the rerun election! 4 Likes |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by BeeBeeOoh(m): 5:14pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
izzou:People like you no dey rush sense, na sense dey rush una 3 Likes |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by MrJanuzaj: 5:21pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PassingShot: With the high stake in this election, anybody that thinks there will be only 50% turnout, is just joking. The turn will be very high. Everybody there with PVC will most likely vote, even those that have relocated out of the state with PVC in those units will most likely return and vote. Expect votes to sell as much as 800k to 1million naira. Let PDP not cow themselves that 353 vote margin cannot be overturned. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by PassingShot(m): 5:40pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
MrJanuzaj:Agreed. Except the 800k to 1m part. |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by MrJanuzaj: 5:46pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PassingShot: If APC needs about 1500 votes to win irrespective of who other voters vote. 1million per those voters is about 1.5 billion Naira. That is chicken change to win an election. You never see anything |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 6:02pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
MrJanuzaj:With tax payers money? |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by ikemesit4477: 6:02pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PassingShot:go heaven come down PDP has already won the election, so there is no need for analysis! 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by PassingShot(m): 6:07pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
izzou:May your days be long |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by PassingShot(m): 6:09pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
ikemesit4477:353 votes can be wiped out in a single polling unit. Stop being naive! |
Re: The Magic Numbers For APC, PDP To Win Osun by ikemesit4477: 6:13pm On Sep 26, 2018 |
PassingShot:just watch and see! |
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