President Muhammadu Buhari will win next year’s election, The Economist has reported.

The respected magazine has also predicted that the opposition coalition may collapse before the general election.

But Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) presidential candidate Atiku Abubakar yesterday said the forecast of the London-based magazine failed to meet the attributes of objectivity, balance and fairness.

According to The Economist in its latest edition, “The World in 2019”, there is little hope that Islamist insurgency in the Northeast will end.

In a country appraisal for Nigeria under “The world in numbers”, the magazine said: “The president, Muhammadu Buhari, will win re-election in February, as a new opposition coalition may collapse before the vote.

“Given the outlook for continuing political weakness, there is little prospect of progress in the fight against the Islamist insurgency in the north, nationalism in the oil-producing Delta and secessionism in the Biafra region.

“Market-based reforms will languish, holding back growth yet again.”

The magazine’s other predictions for Nigeria are: GDP growth (1.9%); GDP per head-$2, 410(PPP: $6,020); inflation (13.6%); Budget balance (5GDP) is -2.0 and population (201.0m).

In a separate report, the Foreign Correspondent of The Economist, Aman Rizvi, distanced himself from the official position of his magazine.

He said the election will be close, with the PDP having a slight edge.

Rizvi said: “Mr. Buhari’s approval ratings have languished below 50 % for most of 2018. Ominously, he has been hit by a wave of defections to the PDP.


“Desertions to the APC four years ago, by many of the same people, felled ex-President Goodluck Jonathan.

“Mr. Buhari’s electoral opponent in 2019, Atiku Abubakar, is one such double-turncoat. He is also a septuagenarian, billionaire businessman, former vice president and three-time presidential aspirant.

“With Mr. Abubakar distrusted for his wealth and opportunism, the election will be close. Its outcome will hinge on who arouses less apathy.

“So, who will win? Many Nigerians do not care. The back-and-forth floor-crossing has convinced them that the same people will be in charge either way. The PDP holds a slight edge, if only because expectations for Mr. Buhari were higher and his failure to meet them was more recent.”

But Atiku has rejected the latest prediction of The Economist.

A statement by the Special Assistant on Public Communication and Strategy to Atiku, Mr. Phrank Shaibu, said the forecast was a “poorly-executed hatchet job”.

Speaking with our correspondent, the National Publicity Secretary of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Mr. Lanre Issa Onilu, said: “I will say that The Economist is just living up to its reputation. What the magazine has said is not new to most Nigerians; it is a report of the reality.

“I am not surprised that PDP did not find the report palatable. For a political party that has been living in denial, instead of addressing issues as copiously enumerated by The Economist, PDP has chosen to behave like a baby whose toy has just been taken away from him or her.

“PDP lacks credibility and any publication that is worthy of its own reputation will be taking a huge risk by making any attempt to dress PDP in a borrowed robe. PDP is a damaged product that has thrown up a discredited candidate. We can only commend The Economist.”

Asked if the 2019 presidential poll will be a close race, Onilu said: “We think if The Economist conducts further research, they will come to the conclusion we have already reached to the effect that next year’s presidential election is a no-contest.”

He dismissed insinuations that PDP might have a slight edge over APC.

“No. PDP cannot have a slight edge,” Onilu added.


http://thenationonlineng.net/economist-tips-buhari-victory-2019-election/

will the economist vote?

Fake endorsement.

The magazine’s other predictions for Nigeria are: GDP growth (1.9%); GDP per head-$2, 410(PPP: $6,020); inflation (13.6%); Budget balance (5GDP) is -2.0 and population (201.0m).

Imagine what APC is approving?..... Atiku thank you for rejecting it despite the foreign correspondent of the Economist tilting the pdp for a win.

Firefire:
Fake endorsement.

But if it were the other way round you would have been happy

On what grounds....good economic policies or what

Rubbish endorsement

Excuse my pun

Leadership is about doing the right thing, even if it going against a vast number of naysayers and mediocre people- N. R. Narayana Murthy

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See them,so economists are now seers or the only electorates.

osariemenk:
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The video is hate speech

Firefire:
Fake endorsement.

Cry from now till eternity, it doesn't change the fact that PMB will win big in 2019.

After all, your wailing, teeth-gnashing, cursing and frustration since March 2015 has not changed anything.

“Mr. Buhari’s electoral opponent in 2019, Atiku Abubakar, is one such double-turncoat. He is also a septuagenarian, billionaire businessman, former vice president and three-time presidential aspirant.

See finishing! "such a double-turncoat" even by the lone voice who thinks otherwise of The Economist position.

And na this person some Atikulooted brains wan make e be my own president ooo. Kolewerk!

Aa

Taa. Jubril back to Sudan.

Only those blinded by hate, prejudice and bigotry will think that any other candidate will win 2019 other than PMB.

Analyze it whichever way you want and you'd realize that the possibility of Atiku or any other person defeating Baba Buhari (or Jubrin for those who like it that way) is -0.0000001.

BUHARI ALL THE WAY

Esseite:


Imagine what APC is approving?..... Atiku thank you for rejecting it despite the foreign correspondent of the Economist tilting the pdp for a win.

Compare to many top world economies, you will realize that these indices are actually good for us.

Read up and learn boy!

asdas

This was a prediction, not an endorsement! They are two different things.

We need a too old to rule legislation.......

PassingShot:

Compare to many top world economies, you will realize that these indices are actually good for us.

Read up and learn boy!

A double digit inflation with 201m population is good for a country.... you need education.

I wonder how many millions of dollars APC bribed the Economist for this prediction

Time will tell.

WHY WONT THEY TIP HIM AFTER WITNESSING THE BROAD DAY LIGHT HEIST IN EKITI & OSUN??

osariemenk:
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This man need salvation

Magalan:


A double digit inflation with 201m population is good for a country.... you need education.

You only see the double-digit inflation and remain blind to the growth rate predicted. The inflation rate was at a time around 18%.

Generally, the prediction for GDP growth rate is good for a country which was recently looted into recession and just coming out of it.

It's good for a country which has been import-dependent for almost 50 years and recently taking steps to stem that tide.

It's a good outlook for a county whose only major dollar earner is crude oil.

It may interest you to know that Economics is my background. Una go just dey comment nonsense online just because you can.

PassingShot:

Yes, it's a good prediction for a country which was recently looted into recession and just coming out of it.

It's good for a country which has been import-dependent for almost 50 years and recently taking steps to stem that tide.

It's a good outlook for a county whose only major dollar earner is crude oil.

It may interest you to know that Economics is my background. Una go just dey comment nonsense online just because you can.

If economics is your major, its either you wasted money or the school is below par.

Yes o

The economist is actually saying Buhari has been a monumental failure and that If re elected Nigerians should expect more Islamic insurgency and a languishing economy again!!!!! Is this what APC is calling an endorsement ? Endorsing another round of bloodbaths and poverty again? This is not an endorsement but a WARNING to Nigerians to avoid Buhari at the polls!!!

Yes o. Sai Buhari

We are already aware that is buhari till 2023

Magalan:


If economics is your background, you just wasted money..

But I'm already a successful man. So, the money spent on me wasn't wasted.

It's you that need to work hard and pray for direction in life.