Subtract southern kaduna from North west to Buhari.
Southern kaduna alone is more poulpulated than some states.
2011 southern kaduna gave Goodluck Jonathan a million vote..... Only plateau state and southern kaduna gave Goodluck Jonathan upto a million vote in 2011.
In the North central, Plateau and Benue state has the highest number of registered voters and these two states are Atiku stronghold.....They will never vote Buhari after all that herdsmen have done to them.
Kwara is controlled by Saraki so PDP will have that. Buhari may pose a challenge in kogi but he won't get meaningful vote because the Governor Yahaya bello has performed poorly and he is Ebira......Kogi state is owned by igalas....They are majority and they are in PDP.......The only state Buhari will win in the north central is Niger state and Niger state has the least population among North central states.

In the North East, Borno state has the highest population and that state will swing to Buhari... but atiku will get votes in places like chibok and the likes.
Taraba one of the most populated state in the North east will go for PDP. Atiku will battle with Buhari in Gombe and his state Adamawa.
In the south east it will be straight forward for Atiku and same in the south south except for Edo that Buhari may pose a challenge.
The south west cannot be predicted....... Many things have changed from 2015 till date..... But I think Buhari has upper hand there because of Bola Tinibu and his structures..... Atiku may fight for Ekiti and Ondo...... If crisis in Ogun is not well managed he may get some votes there but I think Buhari will most likely sweep the remaining south west states..... But Yorubas cannot be predicted.... They may Change at the last minute.... So I don't know.

Damn!

The world is watching...

All I can say is that Nigeria and nigerians deserve the kind of leadership they get. The leader of a nation is a reflection of the character of the people of that nation.There are more than 100million learned people in Nigeria but we choose to be ruled by an uneducated, religious bigot nicknamed PMB. We deserve what we have. Congratulations Nigeria.

Next level of suffering is what awaits u people in Nigeria.

Trouble1:
Lmao .
5 percenters will wail to death
They will soon storm the thread to tell you that 50% of people living in Southwest and Northeast are flatheads_

Haha... don't mind them. Many of them don't even have PVC but they come on social media to ATIKULATE. Let Atiku lose this election they will start "shouting Biafra or death". Confused set of people.

Where are the children of hate
They are already dying inside
Buhari has won already
The northern and south western regions have been secured
Baba 2019 is a goal

Irony of life people who have lowest voting strength and never voted for buhari re the ones boasting of removing him

Rotflmao!

Who can guess why I'm lmao?

Eastern region's should wake up, don't mix politics with hateres speeches. Now where is Namdi k?

alizma:
mind you, some people never pick their PVC. Enugu has 500,000 uncollected PVC

S.E have 7.3m uncollected pvcs

alizma:
mind you, some people never pick their PVC. Enugu has 500,000 uncollected PVC

Make that 5,000,000. We dash una. Still won't make any difference.

Next Level.

Dinho20:
Primate Babatunde Ayodele Elijah of the Inri Evangelical Mission has predicted that Atiku Abubakar will win the 2019 elections but said he has to align with Senator Bukola Saraki’s glory before he can win.
Vanguard reports that the religious cleric on Sunday, December 23, prophesied that the All Progressives Congress will win in some states particularly Lagos.
He said: “On the 2019 election, it won’t be business as usual but APC will still win Lagos, Oyo, Kano, Kaduna and Kogi while Kwara still belongs to PDP.”
Primate Ayodele called on Atiku to align with Senate President Bukola Saraki, saying, " Atiku cannot win with his old glory. He needs to link up with Saraki glory to win. Atiku and Saraki are still playing. I don’t see any seriousness from them yet. Nigeria will be at peace in 2019."
READ ALSO: 2019: Yoruba people have endorsed Atiku - PDP chieftain
The cleric said Bola Tinubu should forget about the presidency as it wasn’t meant for him. “No presidency for Tinubu. He should rule it out. PDP has no chance in Ogun. If care is not taken, Amosun candidate might win Ogun. APC will Anambra, Ebonyi, Cross River in Presidential election.”
He said the country’s solution to its problem is to break into smaller nations, regions.
"APC, PDP or any other party isn’t the solution. We are tired of ourselves. It is no longer possible for one man to rule over 180m Nigerians. We don’t have activist just those fighting for themselves. No infrastructure, economy and security.
“Terrorism has come to stay in Nigeria. The Joint Task Force (JTF) might turn into another terror group because government will no longer have time for them. And the JTF guys have received a lot of military training. Nepotism, tribalism and favoritism will make the military weaker," the cleric said.

this same man predicted that JONATHAN the son of Mr ebele would win in 2015 general election

give south east biafra

Trouble1:
Lmao .
5 percenters will wail to death
They will soon storm the thread to tell you that 50% of people living in Southwest and Northeast are flatheads_

ORIENTATION101:
Irony of life people who have lowest voting strength and never voted for buhari re the ones boasting of removing him

Combine Nigerias sentimental pattern of voting with the numero-geographical statistics above and the power of incumbency, the 2019 election is more than already decided.

Nigerian masses are yet to have a voice

And until a voice is had with the unity of purpose, the statusquo will remain as the rich becomes richer while the poor masses remains poorer.

VOTE A NEW NIGERIA

Lmao...not suprised the noise makers from biafuro won't collect PVC now they'd be boycotting elections upandan and crying of marginalization later. I just collected my PVC today after various frustrating attempts....INEC una papa

hahahahah bro u wan give emeka heart attack

kasheemawo:
My problem is this small region that is not even up to a state and want to unseat Buhari for Atiku obituary

Don't forget that South Easterners live every where in Nigeria in large numbers. So?

StarUp:
The world is watching...

watching your family as they all looting?

Optional09:
There’s something wrong with the North population it’s seems to me like it’s the combination of Niger and Chad. Something isn’t right

Yes it doesn’t seem right because you know Atiku will lose.

hahahahah make it 15 million bro

kingkhan:
S.E have 7.3m uncollected pvcs

Dshocker:
INEC has succeeded and intentionally shared the voters card to 75% of those leaving in the North,especially to underage children that are non-eligible to vote and haven't done the same for the East,West and the South....In other for the North to use a landslide victory to win the elections in favour of the APC.

Forget those figures that they are showing to Nigerians....

Keep crying. Keep wailing. Wail with all your heart. Wail!!!

alizma:
mind you, some people never pick their PVC. Enugu has 500,000 uncollected PVC

Olodo!

This is registeted, not number of PVC collected. What this means is vote count can be less than what is published here but cannot be more.

Lagos , the most populous state in the south west went to Buhari in the last election with just a little over a hundred thousand votes … This was when his Goodwill was at it peak . 20m Nigerians still had jobs but was angry that Jonathan dared to increase the pump price of PMS , back then

And today you imagine that with all the insecurity across the nation including the west that a block vote is guaranteed.

There is no mortal man anywhere who is a position to guarantee votes in the coming election beyond his own votes ….anybody banking on who is coming or leaving his party to make permutation is on a ghost chase … This election is about how you have fared in the last three years. How fare the government been to your ethnic nationalities in sharing the national cake

Dem no dey tell the deaf say e don red. He dey see am

jumper524:
sw, nw, and ne guaranteed for buhari.

middlebelt analysis
:
Niger for buhari, kwara for buhari, abuja for buhari, kogi for buhari..
nasarawa and plateau is 50:50,
Benue: don't know much

ozo13:
-I see atiku getting like 30% of n/west cos of Tambuwal and kwankwasiyya factor else it will have been in the range of 80/20.
-I see buhari getting 60% of n/east .cos pdp isn't strong in bauchi/borno/yobe/adamawa/.40% for atiku in the sense that Gombe and Taraba are pdp state.
-N/central 50/50 or slightly in favour of pmb.
-Southwest... likely 60/40% .would have made it 70/30% but the fact that yoruba play mature politics, I will leave at 60/40% in favour of buhari.
-S/east may 90/10% ..obviously majority of them hate buhari .
-S/south may be 80/20 in favour of pdp
??Final result....gonna be a tight race but buhari is likely going to win with a small margin or they will likely go for a rerun.

nice one,I like your permutations without an insult. Kudos, Buhari will win with a wide margin come February

ClearFlair:

Keep crying. Keep wailing. Wail with all your heart. Wail!!!

Funny enough....all the consequences of these politicians will still befall you and i,like the country not moving forward in all sector

Your children and mine will suffer for it.

Bravo. Collected mine during the week without hassles. Calabar

Lordofthewest:
Lmao...not suprised, I just collected my PVC today after various frustrating attempts....INEC una papa