The number of new voters registered in Nigeria since January 2018 has increased by almost exactly the same percentage in each of its states, according to documents seen and analysed by the Guardian, raising fears that the results of Saturday’s presidential election could be open to mass rigging.

Voters in Africa’s biggest country by population will choose between the incumbent Muhammadu Buhari, his main rival Atiku Abubakar, and more than 70 other candidates.

Since the last presidential election in 2015, many more people have become eligible to vote, and many others have registered to take part in the polls for the first time. About 10 million new voters signed up between January 2018 and early 2019 – according to data released by the electoral commission (INEC) – twice the number that signed up in the first nine months of registration, between April 2017 and January 2018.

But analysis of the data for each of the country’s 36 states and its capital shows that INEC has increased the number of new registered votersby almost exactly the same percentage across all states. The correlation is a statistical impossibility and does not reflect Nigeria’s demographic changes, according to data analysts working with the Guardian. Additional data seen by the Guardian also shows irregularities in registration for the 2015 election, until now considered to have been free and fair.

SalamRushdie:
INEC already Fueling electoral malpractice

mozel247:
2015 VS 2019 bracket and stared is d projected 2019 result for buhari and atiku based on ethnicity of the contestant, popularity, acceptability and incumbency factors across the zones


North Central (6 states + FCT)
Buhari - 2,411,013 *(1, 870,200)*
Jonathan - 1,715,818 *(2, 750,123)*


North East (6 states) boko haram zone
Buhari - 2,848,678 *(2,156,730)*
Jonathan - 796,588 *(1,573,680)*


North West (7 states) buhari's zone
Buhari - 7,115,199 *(5, 930,720)*
Jonathan - 1,339,709 *(2,930,490)*


South East (5 states)
Buhari - 198,248 *(900,123)*
Jonathan - 2,464,906 *(1,980,431)*


South South (6 states) Jonathan's zone
Buhari - 418,590 *(1,130,230)*
Jonathan - 4,714,725 *(3,230,720)*


South West (6 states)
Buhari - 2,433,193 *(2,390,290)*
Jonathan - 1,821,416 *(2, 130,569)*

This is my projected based on worst case scenarios as well as increase in voting strengths. Haven't seen someone who regrets voting pdp for presidential 2015 but that of Apc everywhere. Northerners not traveling this time around for election. Definitely a minus to Apc. In all I think atiku victory is glaring but with likely strong opposition in National Assembly

Atiku declared winner scoring less than 1m votes ahead of buhari. Buhari kicked and asked that inec should declare the result inconclusive. Atiku left for Dubai to strategise his cabinet immediately

Justpd:
INEC dropped ad-hoc staffs that went to training in anambra state. People that suffered to be in training for 3 to 4 days weren't shortlisted. Instead they brought in their own people.
God will punish INEC nothing works in Nigeria

mozel247:
2015 VS 2019 bracket and stared is d projected 2019 result for buhari and atiku based on ethnicity of the contestant, popularity, acceptability and incumbency factors across the zones


North Central (6 states + FCT)
Buhari - 2,411,013 *(1, 870,200)*
Jonathan - 1,715,818 *(2, 750,123)*


North East (6 states) boko haram zone
Buhari - 2,848,678 *(2,156,730)*
Jonathan - 796,588 *(1,573,680)*


North West (7 states) buhari's zone
Buhari - 7,115,199 *(5, 930,720)*
Jonathan - 1,339,709 *(2,930,490)*


South East (5 states)
Buhari - 198,248 *(900,123)*
Jonathan - 2,464,906 *(1,980,431)*


South South (6 states) Jonathan's zone
Buhari - 418,590 *(1,130,230)*
Jonathan - 4,714,725 *(3,230,720)*


South West (6 states)
Buhari - 2,433,193 *(2,390,290)*
Jonathan - 1,821,416 *(2, 130,569)*

This is my projected based on worst case scenarios as well as increase in voting strengths. Haven't seen someone who regrets voting pdp for presidential 2015 but that of Apc everywhere. Northerners not traveling this time around for election. Definitely a minus to Apc. In all I think atiku victory is glaring but with likely strong opposition in National Assembly

Atiku declared winner scoring less than 1m votes ahead of buhari. Buhari kicked and asked that inec should declare the result inconclusive. Atiku left for Dubai to strategise his cabinet immediately

mycar:
If Zombie were intelligent, they would vote for APC senators and vote for Atiku, atleast, with strong APC national assembly, Atiku will have no other option but perform. Buhari is weak and outdated and lack self development