₦airaland Forum

With Just few hours to the commencement of voting, we need the political analyst, keen observers of event in the past few month, and politically conscious Nigerians to predict the likely final outcome of this massive contest.


Your prediction should be base on what you have observed and can verify from your ward, local government, state, and region.

It should be factual to some extent and devoid of sentiment, emotion, or party affiliation. It should be an on the spot assessment.

We want to see those predictions that will tally reasonably well with the final result at the end of the elections. Let's know the POLITICAL PROPHET. Drop your unbiased details analysis and prediction below.

FTC

The anti-buhari sentiment is really much. Even Amaechi his campaign DG said so. Atiku has capitalised on it. Too bad for Buhari

Well, with rigging or no rigging, Atiku Abubakar is the next president of Nigeria.atiku score card is
North west Atiku (30%)
buhari(70%)
south east Atiku(80%)
buhari(20%)
South west atiku (40%)
Buhari (60%)
North East where atiku hail from. Atiku 55%
Buhari 45%
South south Atiku (75%)
Buhari(25%)
North Central Atiku(60%)
Buhari(40)
With this honest and very realistic prediction, Atiku Abubakar is the next president of nigeria he will score the majority in 4 sub regions of nigeria.God Bless Nigeria.

Please bookmark this page and my results are for only Lagos..this will shock all of Nairaland analysts who believe that this race is only between Buhari and Atiku.


Lagos

Registered voters-- 6 million

Collected PVCs - 5.7 million

Turnout - expected to be around 4.4 million

Results

BUHARI - 900,000
ATIKU - 1,280,000
SOWORE - 1, 210,000
Fela Durotoye - 220,000
Moghalu - 45,000
Others - 11,000


Immediately, the APC sense the above, they will disrupt election in some local governments. And elections would be cancelled and may not hold in some key battle grounds and local governments. Elections would be cancelled in some of the PDP battle grounds that APC will disrupt after sensing a win. APC thugs are ready for PDP in Lagos and will not let it slip easily. They know that Atiku is making waves. APC after first round of election will be back to about 900,000 due to cancellation, PDP may be down to around 1,200,000 too.

PDP may lose Lagos eventually in the second round to AAC's Sowore if not careful. PDP's eventual death will also be due to APC's determination not to see Atiku take the day. It will only result in the third candidate winning.

No winner will be declared in Lagos first round election or results will be partial. Election results maybe too close to call.

Less than 100,000 voters will decide the second round. By that time, Buhari will be almost out of it and will be between AAC and PDP.

Factors to consider

Lagos has the highest population of aware voters
Lagos has the highest population of educated voters
Lagos has the highest population of children of democracy i.e. those between 18 and 33.
Lagos has one of the highest population of fresh voters.
Lagos has the highest population of diverse voters, many are from 36 states of Nigeria
Lagos has the highest Middle class population
Lagos has the highest population of voters who are exposed to the media

Curse me, boo me, come back here on Sunday.

Atiku projections
NW 40%
NE 50%
NC 60%
SW 45%
SS 70%
SE 85%

It will be a landslide victory!

BUHARI will be defeated, how ? I MEAN BUHARI WILL LOOSE THIS ELECTION?

By my simple analysis is , there is two GENERAL from SOUTHERN & NORTHERN Nigeria that rule as military ànd civilian. They are OBASANJO & BUHARI.
OBASANJO:- finished ruling one term as civilian and 2 terms as military, and he did not answer any case.

BUHARI ;- didn't finished his one term as military, and from there he entered house arrest. He has finished his one term as a civilian (half of OBASANJO term) he will stop at half and after loosing the election. His this time arrest is WORLD ARREST!.

THE POWER is returning to it former place.

Relax and watch as it unfold itself.
Please remember this prediction after.

Southeast: APC - 560,000 (20%); PDP - 2,240,000 (80%)

South South: APC - 1,870,000 (37.6%); PDP - 3,110,110 (62.4%)

Southwest: APC - 2,600,000 (61.9%); PDP - 1,600,000 (38.1%)

North Central: APC - 2,205,000 (53.9%); PDP - 1,888,000 (46.1%)

Northeast: APC - 2,431,000 (67.3%); PDP - 1,180,000 (32.7%)

Northwest: APC - 6,330,000 (76.3%); PDP - 1,970,000 (23.7%)

Generally, APC - 15,996,000 (57.2%); PDP - 11,988,000 (42.8%)

Total votes cast for APC and PDP is estimated to be 27,981,000. Other parties may likely share two million votes plus void votes. I'm projecting 30,000,000 voters' turnout which is 41.2% of the total number of PVC's collected (72,775,502).

Due to human error, even if I'm to remove 1.5m votes from that of APC and give the votes to PDP, APC would still win.

I already created a thread for this. https://www.nairaland.com/5039722/buhari-vs-atiku-how-each

donphiilopus:
Southeast: APC - 560,000 (20%); PDP - 2,240,000 (80%)

South South: APC - 1,870,000 (37.6%); PDP - 3,110,110 (62.4%)

Southwest: APC - 2,600,000 (61.9%); PDP - 1,600,000 (38.1%)

North Central: APC - 2,205,000 (53.9%); PDP - 1,888,000 (46.1%)

Northeast: APC - 2,431,000 (67.3%); PDP - 1,180,000 (32.7%)

Northwest: APC - 6,330,000 (76.3%); PDP - 1,970,000 (23.7%)

Generally, APC - 15,996,000 (57.2%); PDP - 11,988,000 (42.8%)

Total votes cast for APC and PDP is estimated to be 27,981,000. Other parties may likely share two million votes plus void votes. I'm projecting 30,000,000 voters' turnout which is 41.2% of the total number of PVC's collected (72,775,502).

Due to human error, even if I'm to remove 1.5m votes from that of APC and give the votes to PDP, APC would still win.

I already created a thread for this. https://www.nairaland.com/5039722/buhari-vs-atiku-how-each

funny you.If buhari scores 65% in atiku own zone, then Atiku Abubakar is the most lazy polician.you can't remove the fact that atiku is from north east so would go home with the majority no matter how slim it is.that makes Atiku the next president of nigeria because he will get the majority in four sub zone in nigeria.God Bless Nigeria.

GWMI:
funny you.If buhari scores 65% in atiku own zone, then Atiku Abubakar is the most lazy polician.you can't remove the fact that atiku is from north east so would go home with the majority no matter how slim it is.that makes Atiku the next president of nigeria because he will get the majority in four sub zone in nigeria.God Bless Nigeria.

So because Atiku is from the Northeast he would go home with the majority? That's very funny. Buhari has never lost election in Borno, Yobe, Bauchi and even Gombe and I don't see that happening now. Atiku may likely win Adamawa and Taraba too but he would be roundly dealt with in places like Borno and Yobe where he might not get more than 10% of the votes cast. PDP has no structure in these two States. You can ask SamuelAnyawu who resides in Borno.

donphiilopus:
So because Atiku is from the Northeast he would go home with the majority? That's very funny. Buhari has never lost election in Borno, Yobe, Bauchi and even Gombe and I don't see that happening now. Atiku may likely win Adamawa and Taraba too but he would be roundly dealt with in places like Borno and Yobe where he might not get more than 10% of the votes cast. PDP has no structure in these two States. You can ask ,SamuelAnyawu who resides in Borno.

what I said is very easy to understand The difficulty faced by the southerns are the same difficulty faced by the northerns nobody hates buhari but is performance is giving him a big challenge in terms of convincing nigerians to vote for him.Take it or leave it Atiku will carry the day in the north east even with a slim margin and he will be declared the president of Nigeria.Thank you.

GWMI:
funny you.If buhari scores 65% in atiku own zone, then Atiku Abubakar is the most lazy polician.you can't remove the fact that atiku is from north east so would go home with the majority no matter how slim it is.that makes Atiku the next president of nigeria because he will get the majority in four sub zone in nigeria.God Bless Nigeria.

How far bro?