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Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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Tinubu Projected To Win APC Presidential Primaries - The Cable / Buhari beats Atiku in Lagos with over 130,000 votes / BREAKING: APC Candidate Leading Saraki With Over 20,000 Votes In Two Of 4 Lgas (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 12:58pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:

please read this https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/316030-atiku-takes-ebonyi.html

Buhari even win an lga grin
When you projected 400k for Ebonyi I knew the projection was made in Ariara Aba grin
This election is landslide for Buhari grin

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 12:58pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:

please read this https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/316030-atiku-takes-ebonyi.html

ok I will amend as follows........EBONYI AA +0.2M

WHICH BRINGS DOWN ATIKU S MARGIN TO OVER 300,000 VOTES TO WIN

thanks for the link

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:00pm On Feb 25, 2019
Change Kastina too and add Kaduna... i like ur analysis
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Kanixt(m): 1:00pm On Feb 25, 2019
Buhari is going
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:01pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:


Buhari even win an lga grin
When you projected 400k for Ebonyi I knew the projection was made in Ariara Aba grin
This election is landslide for Buhari grin


Not a landslide...the margins between the contenders will be less than 300,000 votes

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:06pm On Feb 25, 2019
deji68:
Change Kastina too and add Kaduna... i like ur analysis

have taken it into consideration....thanks

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by SternProphet: 1:12pm On Feb 25, 2019
Lagos, FCT and Nasarawa missing. Buhari margins underestimated in 4 states.
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:13pm On Feb 25, 2019
yobe results just came in....projection still looking good

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by vizboy(m): 1:15pm On Feb 25, 2019
Your analysis might be correct

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:16pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:


ok I will amend as follows........EBONYI AA +0.2M

WHICH BRINGS DOWN ATIKU S MARGIN TO OVER 300,000 VOTES TO WIN

thanks for the link

grin only one revelation n your projection fluttered like a pack of card grin
Enugu n Anambra are other states whose margin will not be anything closed to what you have there. grin
Meanwhile the 500k you projected for katsina is based on 20 LGA the remaining 14 LGAs are where they have there main population which as I said before had made them cruising comfortably at 1m votes margin grin
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 1:16pm On Feb 25, 2019
You are intelligent bro.

Nice analysis, lets keep our fingers crossed as the results are announced but i must say you are on point.

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:16pm On Feb 25, 2019
Nasaraw is jut 10k vote ...FCT is on it, Atiku won it

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:17pm On Feb 25, 2019
SternProphet:
Lagos, FCT and Nasarawa missing. Buhari margins underestimated in 4 states.

FCT ABUJA IS THERE.......ATIKU +0.1M......you can check

NASSARAWA PMB won with about 50k votes....

margin for ATIKU over PMB still remains roughly the same if you take Adamawa for ATIKU

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:22pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:


ok I will amend as follows........EBONYI AA +0.2M

WHICH BRINGS DOWN ATIKU S MARGIN TO OVER 300,000 VOTES TO WIN

thanks for the link

grin only one revelation n your projection fluttered like a pack of card grin
Enugu n Anambra are other states whose margin will not be anything closed to what you have there. grin
Ebonyi is only 0.1m now grin do u approximate upward or downward grin
Meanwhile the 500k you projected for katsina is based on 20 LGA the remaining 14 LGAs are where they have there main population which as I said before had made them cruising comfortably at 1m votes margin grin
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 1:23pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:


grin only one revelation n your projection fluttered like a pack of card grin
Enugu n Anambra are other states whose margin will not be anything closed to what you have there. grin
Meanwhile the 500k you projected for katsina is based on 20 LGA the remaining 14 LGAs are where they have there main population which as I said before had made them cruising comfortably at 1m votes margin grin

He projected 800k margin for Katsina not 500k, i think his projections are on point.

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:26pm On Feb 25, 2019
deji68:
Nasaraw is jut 10k vote ...FCT is on it, Atiku won it


i was projecting 50k for PMB......will have to amend

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 1:27pm On Feb 25, 2019
deji68:
Nasaraw is jut 10k vote ...FCT is on it, Atiku won it

I think you are right, lets hope there wont be violence at the end with this type of close margin.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by bolkay47(m): 1:28pm On Feb 25, 2019
Nice one andico34.

Your projections are on point.

Fingers crossed, keenly following this thread.
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Francisayo(m): 1:31pm On Feb 25, 2019
Boss20:


He projected 800k margin for Katsina not 500k, i think his projections are on point.

He has reduced it to 300k
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by clintonsparkz(m): 1:32pm On Feb 25, 2019
I don't think kano margin is upto 700k I might be wrong, but nice job

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:33pm On Feb 25, 2019
Boss20:


He projected 800k margin for Katsina not 500k, i think his projections are on point.
andico34:
sorry a mistake in katsina.....current margin is now 500,000 votes not 800,000 which pushes Atiku s margin to now over 500,000 votes to win the election

grin know you've been must@bating on this thread with this flawed projections grin
You can see for yourself from his quote grin
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by vizboy(m): 1:35pm On Feb 25, 2019
Let keep watch
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:40pm On Feb 25, 2019
Well, he is still within his Projections...
https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/316025-buhari-leads-atiku-with-nearly-500000-votes-in-declared-katsina-results.html
drshrewd:


grin know you've been must@bating on this thread with this flawed projections grin
You can see for yourself from his quote grin

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 1:46pm On Feb 25, 2019
Bayelsa 0.3m shocked and Bornu only 0.2m grin(
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 1:47pm On Feb 25, 2019
kano margins will be lower than 700k votes...though i have not reflected it

where will PMB get the votes to upturn atiku?

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:47pm On Feb 25, 2019
adjust your result for Kogi,

https://www.dailytrust.com.ng/presidential-poll-buhari-wins-in-kogi-as-inec-concludes-collation.html ,
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 1:49pm On Feb 25, 2019
Why are u upbeat about SE and SS votes... all these regions had low turnout... APC even did well there
andico34:
kano margins will be lower than 700k votes...though i have not reflected it

where will PMB get the votes to upturn atiku?
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 2:00pm On Feb 25, 2019
APC won kogi with over 70k grin
You see why I told you your projection is Aba made grin

[url][/url]https://www.dailytrust.com.ng/presidential-poll-buhari-wins-in-kogi-as-inec-concludes-collation.html
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Twy: 2:03pm On Feb 25, 2019
andico34:
Attesting to the statements made by journalists on the TVC few days ago.....i currently believe it is now mathematically impossible for buhari to win.....from the results released thus far and the projections......here is an unbiased view.....i used the differences or margins between the two major contenders to arrive at this conclusion......as follows

Unless their is rigging. Your projection for Enugu should be around 350k, Cross River 250K. Turnout will be lower than 2015 and APC will do better. Other changes can also occur. It is a nice try but may actually be wide off, especially if Buhari wins
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:04pm On Feb 25, 2019
Complete Overview..
KANO PMB .....+0.7M

SOKOTO PMB....+0.2M

KEBBI PMB....+0.2M

ZAMFARA PMB....+0.2M

KATSINA PMB....+0.5M(collation ongoing)

JIGAWA PMB...+0.4M

YOBE PMB....+0.4M

BORNO PMB....+0.2M

BAUCHI PMB....+0.2M

GOMBE PMB....+0.2M

NIGER PMB....< +0.1M

KWARA PMB +0.1M

EKITI PMB +0.1M

OSUN PMB +0.01M

OGUN PMB.. +0.1

Kaduna ......+ 0,2

Kogi...........+0,007

Total =3,907
Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:05pm On Feb 25, 2019
Complete Overview almost patt situation
ABUJA AA +0.1M

PLATEAU AA +0.2M

TARABA AA +0.2M

ONDO AA < +0.1M

OYO AA +0.1M

BENUE AA +0.1M

EDO AA +0.1M

DELTA AA +0.3M

RIVERS AA +0.3M

BAYELSA AA +0.3M

AKWA IBOM AA +0.2M

CROSS RIVER AA +0.4M

IMO AA +0.08M

ENUGU AA +0.5M

ANAMBRA AA +0.4M

EBONYI AA +0.17M

ABIA AA +0.1M

Total =3,65

Imo Updated

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Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34: 2:05pm On Feb 25, 2019
drshrewd:
APC won kogi with over 70k grin
You see why I told you your projection is Aba made grin

[url][/url]https://www.dailytrust.com.ng/presidential-poll-buhari-wins-in-kogi-as-inec-concludes-collation.html

bringing down AA projection to win with 250,000 votes

lets be realistic here even if PMB will win ...will be with less than 200k votes

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