₦airaland Forum

Zico5:
What is killing us in this country is greed and selfishness. Being it Hausa/Fulani, Igbo or Yoruba. The only president that has been fair in government is Obasanjo. To be sincere, we need to restructure if this country will continue it's existence. Sectionalism is the bane of our government and except something urgent is done, this issue will not stop. What GEJ and Buhari did is out of point. U can't continue to appoint people from one region for sensitive and juicy positions and expect others to keep quiet. I did not blame Tinubu for supporting coalition that terminated GEJ government but I thought Buhari supposed to have learnt one thing or the other from such mistake but reverse is the case. Nobody should laugh at anyone yet, this is game of politics and anything can still happen.

techmo:



Awon oponu


The desolved NWC has loyalists of Elrufai, Tinubu, Ameachi and others

The New Caretaker Committee has Loyalists of Tinubu (his cousin) , Loyalist of Oshiomhole and Loyalist of Elrufai

The National Caretaker Committee would plan another Congress election in 6 months and Jagaban boys are on field , he still has Senators, Governors, House of Reps members , House Speaker, Senate President, Minister and Vice President very loyal to him


So what exactly did Tinubu loose?


.

oyatz:
The ways many people discuss and analyze political issues is quite funny.

Why is it that the single topic for discussion about the 2023 election is Tinubu?



Why don't we talk about the candidate that can diversify the economy, reduce unemployment, tackle the security situation or things like electoral reform , Nigerian refineries and the Biafran agitations?

Evercurious:
He should keep his relevance to Lagos

Rapmoney:
Where's Sarrki?
Is he hiding shamefully somewhere?

Saturday, June 27, 2020

By Farooq A. Kperogi, Ph.D.

Twitter: @farooqkperogi

The political coalition between Muhammadu Buhari’s CPC and Bola Tinubu’s ACN has all but collapsed. There was nothing even remotely surprising about it. In previous columns, media interviews, and social media updates, I predicted that this would happen.

For example, in my June 23, 2018 column titled “Buhari’sJune 12 Pandering and Naivety of Yoruba Elite,” I wrote:

“Buhari may well get a second term with the help of votes from the Southwest. But one thing is as certain as tomorrow’s date: he will spectacularly fall out with the Yoruba elite whose support he’s bending over backwards to court now. He’d no longer have a need for them after 2019 and might even remember that they betrayed him in 2011.

“These same people would then turn against not just Buhari but the entire North. If we’re alive till then, we’d remind them that they are complicit in their own fate. An Italian proverb says, “When a man deceives me once, it is his fault; when twice, it is mine.”

In a January 26, 2019 column titled “Bola Tinubu’s Costly 2023 Political Gamble,” I wrote the following, among other things that have come to pass:

“Tinubu is going into another alliance with Buhari in hopes that Buhari and his supporters will reward him with a presidential ticket in 2023. That’s a costly miscalculation for a whole host of reasons.

“I am familiar enough with members of Buhari’s inner circle to know that they deeply despise Tinubu. They snigger at his presidential ambition and are amused by his expectation that they would support him. Tinubu himself knows this. That’s why I am shocked that he appears irresistibly and dangerously drawn to people who will throw him like he is hot after the February election. Maybe he is gripped by the sort of deathly attraction that causes a moth to embrace a flame.

“During a TV appearance on Television Continental on February 20, 2018, Tinubu’s wife, Remi, said Tinubu was “trashed” by Buhari’s northern political machine after the 2015 election.

People who “trashed” you after an electoral triumph to which you’re central will certainly go the whole hog and incinerate or bury you in the aftermath of another victory that will ensure that they will no longer need you.

“Apart from the certain betrayal that will surely come from the Buhari camp in the event that Tinubu helps them to win or rig the 2019 election, a Tinubu presidential candidacy will be beset by a lot of problems.

Given the heightened sensitivity of religion in Nigeria now, which is made even more so by Buhari’s unexampled, in-your-face bigotry, Tinubu would be required to have a northern Christian as a running mate to earn the support of the south and the Christian north. That would, however, automatically alienate Buhari’s northern Muslim supporters. So his ambition is dead before it’s even born.

“Most importantly, though, as Tinubu himself knows only too well, a vote for APC in the coming presidential election won't be a vote for Buhari; it would be a vote for an evil, greedy, corrupt, provincial, and reactionary cabal and their minions who are currently perpetrating a stratospheric theft of the nation's resources in ways that would make an angel of Abacha. President Buhari is an insentient human vegetable who is barely aware of his own existence.”

In a September 21, 2019 column, titled “Why Bola Tinubu Can Never Be Nigeria’s President,” I pointed out that “Before the 2019 election, a friend of mine who is close to Abba Kyari confided in me that after the election they would ‘deal with Tinubu and his people.’ He bragged that by the time they are done with him and his underlings, he would be so damaged that he won’t even be an option for the 2023 presidency. It’s already starting.”

In a December 22, 2019 social media status update titled “Tinubu’s Dangerous Dance with the Cabal,” I wrote:

“The cabal is toying with Bola Tinubu like a yo-yo—and he is naively, if gingerly, playing along— in readiness for his eventual political incineration by or before 2023. And the cabal is being ruthlessly Machiavellian about it.

“Tinubu has been given a fake promissory note that he’ll be APC’s presidential torchbearer in 2023. On the strength of this worthless promissory note, they’ve sought his permission to destroy some of his most trusted foot soldiers.

“With his consent, they’ve consigned Yemi Osinbajo to symbolic Aso Rock prison. Tinubu endorsed Tunde Fowler’s replacement at the FIRS and is in on his impending trial for corruption. He also stamped his imprimatur to Muiz Banire’s unceremonious ouster from AMCON. He’s giddily approving everything the cabal tells him it wants to do to his “constituents” and foot soldiers.


“He has now fallen out of favor with almost all Southwest governors except his dutiful stooge in Lagos and his nephew in Osun. Of course, he is a bête noire to Afenifere. At this rate, Tinubu would divorce his wife and disown his children if the cabal tells him to do so—just because he’s told that he’d be president.

“This is a strategic, Machiavellian demobilization of his base, but one in which he is a willing participant, using the illusory promise of APC presidential nomination. When he is eventually denied the APC presidential slot, he would have no one of political consequence in his natal region to fall back to for counterattack other than his battering rams in the Lagos media.

“Before his eventual political annihilation, he would be thoroughly unpopular in the Southwest. His fate would elicit no mass sympathy from the region when the cabal finally bares its fangs publicly and devours him.”

And in a December 8, 2019 interview with The Interviewmagazine’s Azubuike Ishiekwene, I said the following in response to the question, “If you were to make a prediction about the political landscape in 2020, what would it be?”

“I have no—nor do I believe anyone has—oracular powers, but I think 2020 would witness the incipience of the alignment of political forces preparatory to the 2023 election.

“The Buhari/Tinubu alliance would crack more noticeably. The people who prop Buhari in power don’t want Tinubu—or anyone outside their primordial constituency—to succeed them. That’s my prediction.”

What hasn’t started to happen yet is the fight I predicted between paid Buhari & Tinubu loyalists on social media. In an October 5, 2018 social media post titled “Contest of Idiocy Between Buharists and Tinubuists,” I said, among other things:

“It’s no surprise that Buharists and Tinubuists are in a coalition of buffoonery to reelect a lifeless Buhari in 2019. When pigheaded Buhari fanaticism collides with sheepish Tinubu loyalty, it sparks the sort of combustible admixture of idiocy we’re seeing today, which disposes otherwise normal people to lend unthinking support to transparently incompetent people for political office. Thankfully, the rank of the Tinubuists is dwindling dramatically.

“Buharists and Tinubuists certainly share the same slavish, uncritical, freakish mentality, but wait to see what will happen in 2023 (if Buhari wins a second term) when Buhari disappoints Tinubu by not "handing over" power to him--as he expects Buhari would. You'd be entertained by the fight that would break out between the two idiotic camps that are friends today. Save this somewhere.”

So Tinubu had lots of warning that the fate that has befallen him now was a foregone conclusion. He ignored it and chose instead to legitimize the worst civilian regime in Nigeria’s history. He deserves his fate.

Well, the next predictable phase in the unfolding drama is for Tinubu to turn the Lagos news media against the Buhari regime— and for his mindless loyalists to clash with Buharists in a contest of idiocy. That would be an entertaining spectacle to watch.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/tribuneonlineng.com/i-warned-bola-tinubu-that-this-day-would-come/amp/

policy12:
I just wonder how ppu, hate the man so much.

policy12:
Honestly speaking, there must be something about the man. Hate him or love him, there is something about him. Some ppu hate him, not because in the other regions there are no corrupt politicians but it's funny how they leave the fire on their roof and goes about quenching their neibo owns.

He is human and I don't expect perfection from him, but I respect him so much a man who has been in politics for over 20 yrs and still relevant hmm. With the recent stuff in Apc, I noticed many change the narration all bcus it's Tinubu, for God sake where do we throw our integrity, how can a deputy sec. become a party chairman?

Well,,I noticed many hate him just bcus of his person. People complain he has hold Lagos to ransom and nothing to show for it, but I challenge any body to name any state that is better in governance since 1999 till date than Lagos, most of Lagos blue print are copy by other states, In Enugu they av Gburugburu traffic police, in Kano they av Karota all this from Latsma model.

Well, I never say he is a saint but I think there something about him many wish they av his type in their region.

Hate him or love, he is just human.

OkCornel:
Interesting.

On a side note, Nigerian youths...do you know you only have to see 4 different presidents serve two terms each and before you know it, 32 years of your life is gone?

The picture below says a lot!

COVIK19:
Who will give you 500 dollars in Nigeria as salary for a month in 1983 Behave

TripleOh7:
All this term paper?

As much as I don't really like Tinubu or any of the politicians, I think Farooq is oversimplifying things.

Tinubu himself may have realized that his candidature for presidency may not be popular.

I won't be surprised if he has a card up his sleeves.

I'm yet to see someone from the North who is as astute in this game of shadows called politics like Tinubu.

If Tinubu had not midwifed the birth of APC, PDP would still be running around clueless like a headless chicken.

We can see that Tinubu is quiet. I am quite certain that the wheels in his mind is churning.

Let no one cry foul when he comes up with his political abracadabra again.

policy12:
.

It's is not, I posted a question in my write up can u name a state, that others have rules since 1999yhat is better off than Lagos. Let engage ourselves who know I may gain from ur knowledge, let stop been a pawn in the board game of naija politicians. The same Obaseki PDP condemned that he has done nothing in Edo is d golden boy today, like wise the same Ize APC called a thief is now an angel. Is not high time we the people rise against this few politicians.

content208:
Haven't they always been Igbos?

What of Joe Igbokwe? Is he not an Igbo who promoted the Taqqiya?

Didn't your traditional rulers give Buhari a chieftaincy title shortly after Operation Python Dance?

So, I suggest you stop being stupid with this your senseless comment that Igbos are not part of buhari's political oppression

bestdudes:
in comparison of masses in South West and Masses in the South East, which group support Buhari? let's leave out the elites in either groups/

larryUG:
Lolz...bros..you think Ahmed Lawan will side with tinubu over Buhari? In the southwest, he has only the lag and osun govs...fayemi and Akeredolu are not on his side. In the reps he has Femi quite alright, but Femi cant impeach Buhari. In the north, his main ally is Ganduje and Ganduje will be rubbished with Gandollar fraud issue if he dares go against Buhari...the CPC block is gaining power. They put Oyetola there in the CTC but he is neither the chairman nor the secretary so he cant do much...the guy has been clipped as far as APC is concerned..his other choice is to form another alliance with another political party

Simbrixton:
ok u prefer wen we were outside d caban under jonathan regime loool dese aboki people still elevate us far more dan so called southern brothers d risk was worth taking

sacajawea:
Pls what is Afenifere

Racoon:
https://tribuneonlineng.com/buhari-has-finally-rescued-himself-from-party-godfathers-%e2%80%95-dg-apc-govs-forum/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

The reality is getting clearer.Mr.President has now taken up his rightful position as the "National Leader" of the APC while the former ceremonial occupant has in turn became an "internally displaced" politician.

Yet some zombies dont see the unfolding coup? Once beaten, twice shy.From Awo, Abiola and now Tinubu.The earlier you know your enemies the better your chances of survival.

Letmehearword:
[He might not have lost anything but be sure that northerners are clever Politicians, what will happen will be that if Tinubu continues to world power and influence, they will cause a caos that will lead to a disintegrate of APC with a mass movement to PDP who will surely feed the choice of the canal and their hold on to power will continue, so they have everything already well planned out. [quote author=techmo post=91122888]




Awon oponu


The desolved NWC has loyalists of Elrufai, Tinubu, Ameachi and others

The New Caretaker Committee has Loyalists of Tinubu (his cousin) , Loyalist of Oshiomhole and Loyalist of Elrufai

The National Caretaker Committee would plan another Congress election in 6 months and Jagaban boys are on field , he still has Senators, Governors, House of Reps members , House Speaker, Senate President, Minister and Vice President very loyal to him


So what exactly did Tinubu loose?


.

Racoon:
https://tribuneonlineng.com/buhari-has-finally-rescued-himself-from-party-godfathers-%e2%80%95-dg-apc-govs-forum/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

The reality is getting clearer.Mr.President has now taken up his rightful position as the "National Leader" of the APC while the former ceremonial occupant has in turn became an "internally displaced" politician.

Yet some zombies dont see the unfolding coup? Once beaten, twice shy.From Awo, Abiola and now Tinubu.The earlier you know your enemies the better your chances of survival.

techmo:
You still haven't understood the dynamics of Nigerian politics, Tinubu isn't in a fight with Buhari or anybody.. they all made it clear they have absolutely no issues with Tinubu, but Oshiomhole's far to many sins had to be corrected through a General Party Congress within 6 months... Oshiomhole wronged Tinubu also when he refused to approve Ajimobi's appointment as Deputy National Chairman South given Giadom of Ameachi's camp undue advantage


Obaseki and other APC governors visited Tinubu to seek his opinion and he gave them a nod to fight back since what was agreed by Oshiomhole was violated when Tinubu first begged on his behalf to save him

Zico5:
What is killing us in this country is greed and selfishness. Being it Hausa/Fulani, Igbo or Yoruba. The only president that has been fair in government is Obasanjo. To be sincere, we need to restructure if this country will continue it's existence. Sectionalism is the bane of our government and except something urgent is done, this issue will not stop. What GEJ and Buhari did is out of point. U can't continue to appoint people from one region for sensitive and juicy positions and expect others to keep quiet. I did not blame Tinubu for supporting coalition that terminated GEJ government but I thought Buhari supposed to have learnt one thing or the other from such mistake but reverse is the case. Nobody should laugh at anyone yet, this is game of politics and anything can still happen.

biggy26:
He lost the presidency.
Remember Saraki in 2019 was the first to expose clearly Tinubu's ambition.
In politics, boys mature, so even those you call his loyalist have their own plans. Example: Osho and Obaseki.
Politics is about alignment and can either be a win win or lose all. From what is on ground, the end is looking near.

Simbrixton:
ok u prefer wen we were outside d caban under jonathan regime loool dese aboki people still elevate us far more dan so called southern brothers d risk was worth taking

content208:
Another dumb statement.

Do you know that the elites are the ones that will determine the political future of the common man on the street?

Stop being dumb, boy.