₦airaland Forum

67'Kaya - Mendiola FC 1991 4:1 inplay

Play over 7.5 1.7 odd


Philippine

Fucklove:
send me your facebook link abeg

link koh, link up ni

Couponchecker:
So you've not heard?

the guy use the 1milla play sure 2 odd from tissuepaper, e cut.

in other words, he is broke ATM.

tissue paper

KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League
45+'Zhetysu Taldykorgan - FC Astana 0:1 over 1.5 1.20

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie
35'Heerenveen - Utrecht 1:1 over 2.5 1.25

POLAND: Ekstraklasa
20'Plock - Wisla 1:0 1.45



Inplay maximum stake

Godsplan115:

the kind of game that makes you sad

Here you go.

emperorblog21:
Arbitrage betting (also known as a "surebet" or
“arb”) is a risk-free opportunity to make a
guaranteed profit on a particular sporting event
or betting market. When arbing, you are
essentially exploiting differences in odds being
offered between a number of bookmakers,
typically two. The difference in the odds being
offered is so pronounced, that you have the
opportunity to make a profit no matter what the
outcome.
What Is Arbitrage Betting: Examples Of
Surebets
Let's take a look at two arbitrage betting
examples. Example one, we encounter the
following scenario:
Balanced Odds
Andy Murray is playing Novak Djokovic in a
Wimbledon Final.
Murray is available at odds of 2.10 with
bookmaker A
Djokovic is likewise available at odds of 2.10
with bookmaker B
Here we find a perfect arbitrage opportunity. If
we simply place £100 on Murray to win and
£100 on Djokovic to win, we are guaranteed a
profit, in this case a profit of £10.
Let's say that Djokovic wins. Our returns would
be:
Murray -£100
Djokovic +£110
Profit = £10
Unbalanced Odds
The above example was simple. But arbitrage
opportunities are not always easy to identify. In
the example below, the Chicago Bulls are
facing the Cleveland Cavs in a NBA game:
Cleveland are at odds of 1.20 with bookmaker
A
Chicago are at odds of 8.00 with bookmaker B.
This situation is a bit trickier. How can we
calculate an arbitrage bet?
How To Calculate A Surebet
Calculating an arb with an arbitrage betting
calculator is easy. But let's look at the
calculations involved to help us develop a
deeper understanding of the dynamics involved
in an arbitrage betting opportunity.
There are two key questions when it comes to
arbitrage betting:
#1 - How do you know if you have identified an
arbitrage opportunity?
#2 – How much should you stake in order to
secure your guaranteed profit?
Finding An Arbitrage Bet Opportunity
Similar to calculating the bookmaker's margin
(or commission) on a given betting market, we
identify an arbitrage opportunity by adding the
implied probabilities of the best betting odds
available for each outcome. To calculate the
implied probability for each outcome, we simply
divide the odds for that outcome in decimal
format by 1.
So let's then look at our simple example of
Murray vs Djokovic from earlier in this article.
Murray at odds of 2.10
implied probability = 1 / 2.10
= 0,476 = 47.6%
So the implied probability of Murray's odds of
2.10 is 47.6%.
Let's now consider Djokovic.
Djokovic at odds of 2.10
implied probability = 1 / 2.10
= 0.476 = 47.6%
To determine if we have identified an arbitrage
betting opportunity and a guaranteed profit, we
simply add the two implied probabilities
together.
Total: 47.6% + 47.6% = 95.2%
When the implied probability for a given betting
market adds up to less than 100%, it is an
opportunity to make a sure profit. The lower the
value below 100%, the more worthwhile the
arbitrage bet is and the greater the profit we
can make. In this example the market is well
below 100%.
So lets then take a look at Cleveland vs
Chicago in our NBA example. Have we
identified an opportunity to arb?
Cleveland at odds of 1.20
implied probability = 1 / 1.20
= 0.833 = 83.3%
Chicago at odds of 8.00
implied probability = 1 / 8.00
= 0.125 = 12.5%
Market Total
= 83.3% + 12.5% = 95.8%
Again, we have identified the chance to make a
sure profit as the market is again well below
100%.
How To Calculate Stakes For A
Guaranteed Profit
This question was easy to answer in our
Murray vs Djokovic example. As both have the
same odds, we simply bet the same amount on
each outcome to guarantee our profit no matter
who wins the match.
But more often than not, arbitrage bets are not
this simplistic. Typically we will need to weight
our staking according to the odds of each
outcome. How do we do this?
#1 - Calculate the implied probabilities of all
possible market outcomes
#2 - Calculate the sum of the probabilities of all
possible market outcomes
#3 – Divide the implied probability of each
individual outcome by the sum of all
probabilities
In this way we can determine the correct
amount to bet to achieve our profit.
Example: Cleveland vs Chicago
We calculate the implied probability of each
outcome and add them together just as we
previously did.
Cleveland at odds of 1.20
implied probability = 1 / 1.20
= 0.833 = 83.3%
Chicago at odds of 8.00
implied probability = 1 / 8.00
= 0.125 = 12.5%
Market Total
= 83.3% + 12.5% = 95.8%
Now we calculate how much to bet on each
outcome by dividing the implied probability of
each outcome by the total market probability.
Cleveland
= 83.3% / 95.8%
= 86.952%
Chicago
= 12.5% / 95.8%
= 13.048%
So in this example, if we wanted to arb a total
of £1,000, we would place 86.952% of our
£1,000 on Cleveland at odds of 1.20 and
13.048% of our £1,000 on Chicago at odds of
8.00. Now we will win the same amount no
matter who wins the game, Cleveland or
Chicago.
Let's walk it through:
We want to stake £1,000 in our arbitrage bet.
£1,000 * 86.95% = £869.52 on Cleveland at
odds of 1.20
£1,000 * 13.05% = £130.48 on Chicago at
odds of 8.00
So now, no matter who wins, we are
guaranteed a profit of roughly £44.
If Cleveland wins, we collect (£869.52 * 1.20
=) £1043.42. After we deduct our £1,000
stake, we come away with our £43.42
guaranteed profit.
If Chicago wins, we collect (£130.48 * 8.00) =
£1043.84. After we deduct our £1,000 stake,
we come away with our £43.84 guaranteed
profit.
Applying Our Calculation To Other Markets
We have only considered betting markets with
just two outcomes, team A wins or team B wins.
But what about a football 1X2 market or even a
horse race featuring 12 runners? Well the
principles remain the same.
#1 - Calculate the implied probabilities of all
possible market outcomes
#2 - Calculate the sum of the probabilities of all
possible market outcomes
#3 – Divide the implied probability of each
individual outcome by the sum of all probabilitie
Let's say we have an upcoming Premier
League match between Manchester City and
Arsenal. We are looking here at the 1X2
betting market. We have three possible
outcomes:
Manchester City win, at odds of 2.80
Drawn match, at odds of 3.60
Arsenal win, at odds of 3.20
Let's see if we have an arbitrage opportunity.
As we did in our previous examples, we
calculate the implied probability for each
individual outcome.
Manchester City at odds of 2.80
implied probability = 1 / 2.80
= 0.3571 = 35.71%
Drawn match at odds of 3.60
implied probability = 1 / 3.60
= 0.2778 = 27.78%
Arsenal win at odds of 3.20
implied probability = 1 / 3.20
= 0.3125 = 31.25%
We then add each probability to come up with
our market total.
= 35.71% + 27.78% + 31.25%
= 94.74%
Great news! As the market total is below 100%,
we have identified an opportunity to make a
guaranteed profit. We now need to work out
how much to stake on each outcome to
guarantee the same profit no matter the
outcome. Let's say we want to stake a total of
£500.
Manchester City at odds of 2.80
= 35.71% / 94.74%
= 37.693%
So we will stake 37.693% of £500, a total of
£188.47 on Manchester City to win.
Drawn match at odds of 3.60
= 27.78% / 94.74%
= 29.323%
So we will stake 29.323% of £500, a total of
£146.62 on the Drawn match.
Arsenal at odds of 3.20
= 31.25% / 94.74%
= 32.984%
So we will stake 32.984% of £500, a total of
£164.91 on Arsenal to win.
If we bet each of these amounts, we will be
guaranteed a profit on the match of roughly
£28 no matter what happens.
Arbitrage Excel Surebet Calculator
We've made calculating arbitrage bets all the
easier with our arbitrage excel calculator. The
bettingexpert arbitrage calculator in Excel will
not only tell you if a certain betting market is
offering you the chance to make a guaranteed
profit, but will likewise tell you exactly how
much to bet on each outcome to guarantee
yourself that profit. Here's how:

na wao .. some people get time sha

everton4life:
ITS ALSO PART OF THE REASON SOME OF THE BEST PUNTERS LEFT!!! THINK ABOUT IT!! THIS THREAD IS DETERIORATING SLOWLY!!

how do u identify a good punter my friend? We all are nothing but just a fortune seeker .. you can play rubbish and green will still fall on you.

wiconse:
And how is it your fucking business to quote me. Hypocrites everywhere

hypocrisy kee you there stupid

wiconse:
Ok. I have sat down. How much do you stake?

you just keep asking how much he staked and how on earth is that part of your bizz man ... stop poking ur filthy nose in someone else's bizz.

Date ~ 07.09.2019
TURKEY - ANDORRA 1ST HALF +1,5 GOLS (1.89)

Iceland – Moldova 1 - 1.30
Corinthians – Ceara Under 3.5 - 1.20
G.A. Eagles – Excelsior Over 1.5 - 1.22

Serbia - Portugal X2 - 1.27
France - Albania over 2.5 - 1.47
Lithuania - Ukraine over 1.5 - 1.31
Fleetwood - Oxford Utd home win - 2.11
Aberystwyth - Airbus - 1.57
Frydek - Slovacko B home win - 1.65


BC3A57DQ 38.95 ODD


GOOD LUCK AND PLS STAKE WISELY 500# OR BELOW

wellsaid:
Join Us @betnet144 on Telegram for more profits to the bank !!

t . me / betnet144

lol.. make I tell you guy. People wey dey here wise pass you just follow the trend and see there reaction. And by the way just gather all the tips you saw here and play and I assure you, you will win something better carry that ur nonsense telegram thing commot for this forum asap before dey kick you out .. mumu

BC39P58T

5+ odds on sporty enjoy and show love after winning

Newport County AFC vs West HamU21 over 1.5 HT
1.6 INPLAY

psalmurai:
Tomorrow tips
RW Rankweil – Altach U21

Bet: Over 3.5 goals

Odds: 2.37



Lavish ur funds on this and get maximum cash cashout

I told you guys it's a Boom.... another one is dropping soon for tomorrow tip

Successimpactld:
show us your ticket

make thunder fire you there. 4 ur information that pick is coming from a reliable source if you like play or dont. These are games that I played daily to meet my 2k daily contribution

Tomorrow tips
RW Rankweil – Altach U21

Bet: Over 3.5 goals

Odds: 2.37



Lavish ur funds on this and get maximum cash cashout

puskin:
Buhahhahahha.

Wia you see this scam ticket?

I wonder .. person carry correct score for new castle against Tottenham.. the mumu boy come dey post rubbish for here

roll over till Saturday

Couponchecker:
Corners: PSG 10-0 @40mins

10 corners 0 goal ... nonsense team

charlesELIKIBA:
one more win for the night.....this one pass una winchy

okay .. we don see ur apple

Jagaban880:
If i post games plenty people play am and e cast ..e dey pain/weak me wella


i prefer to bear de pains alone bro.......
i hardly post diz days bro.

this is gambling man you dont need to worry ur head about the outcome, the best thing is to remix after playing the original game and who knows... whatever might happen

Goodbloke:
bros abeg drop the bet9ja code please

sister please �

emperorblog21:
Chelsea


1-2

no joy ... that team is going down and it's more like championship against championship teams

1 FC Vysocina Jihlava - SK Lisen over 2.5

Dortmund over 1.5

Isloch over 1.5

Reid 1

Total odd 3.2


Enjoy

Afiahomes:
I like you

you dey like person for this faceless forum abi? .. okay nah

Remijuice:
Pls teach me this x or over 2.5

How do I find it

check the markets to the bottom and click on chance mix you see it there

Do the needful and play if u like.

EtihadAirways:
Finally I can now comment here... Waoh such a wonderful place. I have been following this thread for a long time as a visitor but decided to join.

Lihmeet
Chiefheywhy
Chewbacca
Bakayoko

I greet una

hmm I pitty you

AZ is a banker Aje. From reliable source is either they win or crash out

michealewela:
Alkmaar match could go both ways...

Greenland ascertain

Here we go again