₦airaland Forum

ItisHi:
na lie. You can't compare lockdown votes to today's current votes. E far. Lockdown fit get like 10 billion total votes, this one no fit smell 3 billion sef 🤣

How much was dollar in 2029.m..how much is it now?

How much was dstv subscription in 2020?..how much is it now?

davodyguy:
I am guessing you're a Christian.

Why is it hard for you people to stop hating?

What kind of life is this?

Let me guess.

You also dislike BAT as president right?

U get wahala o ..walahi ...loool

O raye...

zero8zero:
What's your favorite brand 🍾

Smirnoff Ice...Black

OG316:
Bandwagon win

Bandwagon to get 80m cash...omo I like that kind bandwagon ...lol

Beorn:
No, he wouldn't surpass Koyin or Dede votes, but his votes would be significant to put some dent on Imisi's final % votes

You be shocked that Imisi’s % may not even change...are you forgetting that if his votes are added...the total no of votes will also increase ...so if his actual votes weren't significant , effect on the other % will be insignificant.

2nd person had 15% ...doesn't that sink in ...imisi's vote was almost triple that of the 2nd person...no way he could pull more votes that dede and koyin and even sultana sef...

But the fu results will be out soon..we would have real data to work with...and that will help logical projections

ThierryJay:
Check my last response to you. Your statement about 5 man line up is also a projection which you cannot arrive at without projecting that 4 of the current final contestants would be removed to get a 5 man line up.

I need kudos instead lol

How can oy be a protection...how many housemates were on the voting ballot for lockdown ? Weren't they 5 ? How is that a projection? That's real data...

Uncle ...wo , let's leave this talk ...u clearly don't get it ...

Beorn:
You've said it all. Nothing else to add.

He didn't say anything .....going by his logic , then you can't compare year on year data...for instance you can compare inflation rate between years...even if its a 20 year gap...why can we do that? Isn't it because of % and ratios? Do we compare actual values? You can't compare actual values cos variables would always differ year on year ...


It is the 2 of u that his post is referring to ...lol...not shading but I had yo throw it in

ThierryJay:
You still don't get it Ma'am. This is not probability.

You already have the actual numbers for Imisi's eight competitors in a 9 man line up- so this is not guess work.

Question is if the line up were reduced to 5, what would have been Imisi's highest possible percentage?

Since there are no additional external variables, the logic is that in a 5 man line up, the 6th to 9th contestants would have been evicted before the final.

Since the 2nd (Dede) to 5th (Kola) contestant would still be on the final line up, it is logical to conclude that their voting percentages would not change from what it is now. So that's constant.

Now assuming generously that all the actual votes of the 6th to 9th contestant were to go to Imisi that's 12% of existing total votes in total (since we now know the actual numbers in hindsight)

If their voters all vote for Imisi, then she gets additional 12% to the 42%, making her attain 56% at the.maximum in a 5 man final line up.

This is the logic and its completely accurate.

All the bolded is why I told u we are not doing probabilities or projecting ....all your thesis is using assumptions....

If you are measuring actual performance...you calculate based on existing data...no ifs...no assumptions...

ThierryJay:
The variables are the contestants and they are all represented in the 9 man line up. Remove the ones that would have been evicted to make a 5 man line up and add them to Imisi's numbers to get the ceiling of her voting percentage. In reality, her actual numbers would be lower than that in a 5 man line up.

U can't remove them na..

They are all included in the race...removing them is like assuming they were evicted in a different voting week..which isnt so...we are not calcating probabilties neither are we doing projections ...we are evlauating existing data in its present form.. u need cane o ...loool

Beorn:
But you're not factoring in the fact that when Laycon got his, no votes or % were excluded from the final week, but in Imisi's case, Faith's votes were deducted from the final collation due to has disqualification giving her a higher %.

Beorn ...u be OG for this street..u really think faith would surpass dede , koyin and Sultana?

Faith wey dey missing for the 1st 6 weeks of the show? Lol....

Reason I said a 9man line up...faith has been discounted...

ThierryJay:
Wrong. Check my response to Scondy.

Imisi's highest in a 5 man line up would have been 56% if all the votes of the 6th to 9th contestants went to her.

And i replied you and faulted your reasoning

zero8zero:
Few people would understand, you may have sounded too technical.

There is no way to say it without being technical...I am a corporate indigene....na so I know o...make them manage am ...lol

ToyinDipo:
if it's about comparative strength, we can yet only assume the possible outcome of adding Ozo, Prince, KidWaya, and TrikyTee to the finally lineup, but what is certain is that, Laycon, Dora, Nengi's... vote percentage will drop, but by how much?
There are many factors to this for instance, Laycon stood alone, but Dora had votes from some evicted HMs fans

U r now moving to probabilities...and that's not what we are doing...we are dealing with real data ...5 man line up...9 man line up ...as it stands..imisi's performance in relation to her line up is better .....

And the way this season went sef...all the top contenders were on the line up....

ThierryJay:
No she didn't beat Laycons record.

To confirm, let's assume all the votes of the 6th (Jason J) to 9th contestant (Kaybobo) are for Imisi (which is even an exaggeration). That's 12% additional votes for Imisi.

Add 12% to Imisi's 42%, you'd have 56% for her in a 5 man line up.

56% is the best she can get and that's not possible cos all the other 4 contestants votes cannot go to Imisi in reality.

Laycon remains the Goat.

This is my first comment on this thread all season.

What kind of calculation are you doing...looool...u obviously don't know a thing about statistics...lool

We r not doing probabilities...we are dealing with outcomes...5 man line up...9 man line up...

U can't combine 4 from the 9man line up to reduce it to 5 na..uncle ..loool

Skrrrrrrr:
I told beorn this.
Dede was the chosen winner by week 2.
Imisi just emerged like a tornado

Yinmu....imisi wey don win when.she commot wig on day 1 , then sealed it with her agbero fight with rooboy in week 1 ...

Beorn:
True. It's not that definitive.

It's definitive...we are not comparing votes per season...we are comparing winners performance in relation to other contestants...

ToyinDipo:
It's not that definitive, what if Dora's votes alone could have been equivalent of Dede, Koyin and Sutana's

Seasons are different...the comparison isn't about which season had more votes...its about performance of the winners against their line up...so you can't compare with number of votes rather with % .

Just like PBT in financials...you can't just compare the value YoY...you will rather compare the margins, because what u r measuring is the profit in relative to the revenue for that year..

Same way what we are comparing here is the winners winning margin over other contestants..

Hope the above gave you clarity

Samueltemi337:
And you are still getting it wrong

I am not getting it wrong...except u want to say total votes during lock down surpasses that of this season...but them we don't have the figures of both seasons..

And even statistically, that wouldn't be a fair comparison..because they are diferent reasons why the number of votes may differe per season....reason why the % will be a better way to compare...60% out of 5 ...and 42% out of 9...its not rocket science uncle...

Samueltemi337:
She didn't

She did o ...9 man line up...was even 10 before ...

Dannyxy:
Omoh una see wetin we talk, Dede machinery on Friday gave her the second…

Koyin was always second, na people like me wey no vote cause am…

Koyin I am sorry…

I just thought it was enough on Friday….

Koyin did well...that ship did him in a lil bit

carammel:
The poll was a smash
I can even say Imisi did better than Laycon.
42% in a poll having 10 people is a lot.

Gangups had nothing on Imisi.
I’m just so happy 😀😀😀.

U cannot gang up against popularity votes...ko possible...we keep telling them....faith would have finished maybe 5th or 6th sef with all the noise ...if dede and koyin landed on 15% and they have been strong from day 1 ..how much more faith that became relevant in week 6

Tifay:
Results don show. Now I believe na Machinery help Dede lol.

Omo see gap from winner

Can all the naysayers rest finally ...it was always Imisi’s win ...

carammel:
This is what being on the winning team feels like 😀.
💃🏼 💃🏼 💃🏼 💃🏼

Hahaha....u dared to be different this year ...u went for cra.....zy


Lol

Can people see that babe is just herself....

Imisi baby ....well deserved...

carammel:
The claim that there was huge vote buying for Dede in the final week is so true.

.

Dede had huge clout from week 1...her socials always had good engagement...people loved the fact that she was shenyang those guys...dont know why pple r surprised...

Inisi iiiiiii o...she no change the crocs o

Tifay:
Finally a shocker and surprise. I knew people werent feeling Koyin this last voting week.

I'll need to see the full season votes before I blame that abomination ship with Isabella

Yeah..seems his fans didn't dig that ship...same way Jason 's shenanigans dropped him to 6th ...

Beorn:
Dannyxy, fall out. So your Koyin no make top 2 after your bragging? 😂😂🤣🤣🤣

As in the bragging too much...he even said he would have won if not for imisi...loool

Biggie crazy o...dey showed all

A top 2 female season...

After all koyin ended 3rd...

Danny ...oya rest easy ...lol

hayzed19:
Kola really work hard for this top 5 sha and he deserve am paa... Atleast he don break the curse among his gee not reaching finale... Sheggz, Shaun

He Was humble....wasn't condescending despite being a top guy