₦airaland Forum

descarado:
Who is leading please?
My friend started campaigning for the vp since last yr. If he don't get it, she will end up in hospital.
Kenyans said they have suffered worst than Nigerians under oligarchs.

The race is too tight 50/50

rvp20182:
Kenya Election Update:
With an 1 hr and 30mins to go; and with rigging/voter suppression largely having failed; Biometric has been used in 99.9% of stations so far;

Azimio next straw is Low Mt Kenya Turnout.

Let see if tallying and transmission will be free and fair like the voting has been.

From 5pm - polling station will transform into Final Tallying Center - the only rigging that can happen there is for agents of opponent to be kicked out and POS to be compromised.

I think voter turn out might be less than 65% in Central.
...and the rigging might have already done, I've seen several complaints about one voter being given ten ballot papers

rvp20182:
This was my 2017 re-run. I predicted Uhuru would get 97, Raila who had boycotted 2%, and Turkana boy 1%. The turnout was off because NASA unleashed violence on the election day.

This time turn out will be approx 70%.....Mt Kenya 65%.
And that will be the last nail of Ruto's quest coffin

Shma2022:
I tortured him. I spoilt his career in the platform. I don't think he will ever heal. Any new moniker is always shma.

Seems like he's still in pain

Shma2022:
My final prediction.

AZIMIO - 52%
KENYA KWISHA - 45%
THE ROOTS. - 2%
MWAURE. - 1%

This is so sure.

52% is on the lower side

Shma2022:
Some people are a special case of nuts.

that nigg is obsessed with you

He asked for it, and he was given

[quote author=NTSA post=115476500][/quote]Hmmm I thought SportPesa is owned by Ronald Karauri

rvp20182:
The most corrupt remain Jomo , Moi, Uhuru, Ndegwa, Raila Odinga....Ruto wont even make top 20. Of course you're entitled to you own opinion but we are 24hrs from voting - and results will be announced - and we will find out how a perennial loser Raila backed by a drunkard Uhuru can take on the greatest political player in kenya history...and prevail. That will be something.

If you ask anyone what has Raila stole they'll tell you old hear-say stories about Molases....
... Ruto has countless that even the courts have confirmed but because of impunity he's still holding some of the public properties

In other news almost All Ruto MPs and Gubernatorial candidates from Central are right now complaining that they're being rigged out...that is one of signs of becoming opposition.

(We're waiting for president's address, those of us who understand Hebrew)

rvp20182:
When all of them are thieves or politicians you look for redeeming characters.For example Kenya is corrupt and very tribal but it's still miles ahead of Tanzania... meaning there are redeeming attributes that Kenyans have.You can be less tribal and corrupt but if you're lazy as Tanzanian you're going nowhere still...Kenyans we want someone who can deliver inspite and despite corruption & tribalism

William Ruto is the most corrupt person ever existed in Kenya, you can even ask Google....I can bet with you he won't be president this time...Maybe after 20years

Anyway, I wonder how can a Tanzanian have guts to try to correct Kenya's politics when they've never even tried to have a fair elections, even if a madman will get a CCM ticket 90% of them will still vote for him

rvp20182:
Unless the rigging become brazen - meaning forcefully kidnapping ROS like in 2007 and forcing them to change forms at gunpoint - sparking war it cannot happen.

Counter-intelligence/vigilance is enough to disrupt any rigging plans. Already those in Kiambu are scared and running to police.

What helps Ruto-Rigathi is first hand experience in these kind of games - both having served in Harambee hse - Moi era and in 2013-2017

Ruto has survived this long - the last 5yrs - because he runs a parrallel NIS - counter-intelligence - that inform him of everything happening - so he can devise a counter-plan.

Raila failed because he was BLIND - apart from 2007 when Ruto help him set up basic counter-intelligence - 2013/2017 - he knew nothing - he was just expecting victory

Ruto or anyone as an individual can't beat the system whether they have experience or not, what matters is who has influence to the authorities.... system runs from President,DCI,IG,Tycoons,international community,Chiefs,Judiciary....many individuals who worked for Moi

rvp20182:
Raila rigged too. Stronghold rigging always happen - this why digital register/biometrics are critical. Remote rigging in NEP/Northern Kenya also happen but numbers are few.

To successfully rig - you need total collusion - this can only happen in this election in Luo Nyanza and Kalenjin land - because POS/Agents are hired from local community - and in those areas almost everyone is working to maximize the voters. This is top up rigging that shows up in turnout of 90% - which are improbable.

Now Uhuru trying to pull rigging it Mt kenya is laughable - he wont succeed - because like Kuria post shows - everyone is vigilant. He wont be able to move without being nabbed.

Now when I do my modelling - I factor rigging. The rigging in 2013/2017/2007 in Mt Kenya shows up in unusually high turnout - similar to Luo Nyanza. Mt kenya turnout this time will be low....because apart from lack of enthusiasm - top up rigging wont be there. But Kalenjin will have enthusiasm and top up rigging...and so will Luos.

All that is factored...and come Tuesday night - Ruto team will win big by 55-57%, win parliament by 60%, senate/governors by 57%.

2017 IEBC announced the final results even before they received all form 34Bs that come from the polling statios...that means election was not rigged at the polling level but on the final one (is it 34A or?) ...the same reason they refused to open the server

rvp20182:
Raila rigged too. Stronghold rigging always happen - this why digital register/biometrics are critical. Remote rigging in NEP/Northern Kenya also happen but numbers are few.

To successfully rig - you need total collusion - this can only happen in this election in Luo Nyanza and Kalenjin land - because POS/Agents are hired from local community - and in those areas almost everyone is working to maximize the voters. This is top up rigging that shows up in turnout of 90% - which are improbable.

Now Uhuru trying to pull rigging it Mt kenya is laughable - he wont succeed - because like Kuria post shows - everyone is vigilant. He wont be able to move without being nabbed.

Now when I do my modelling - I factor rigging. The rigging in 2013/2017/2007 in Mt Kenya shows up in unusually high turnout - similar to Luo Nyanza. Mt kenya turnout this time will be low....because apart from lack of enthusiasm - top up rigging wont be there. But Kalenjin will have enthusiasm and top up rigging...and so will Luos.

All that is factored...and come Tuesday night - Ruto team will win big by 55-57%, win parliament by 60%, senate/governors by 57%.

It's not easy to beat the state even as Kuria has wrote you can tell vigilance is not enough without the authorities support...whatever the government has planned will still go through....the only thing the public can do is shouting/demonstrate

rvp20182:
Moi won - fairly - it quite easy to predict kenya election - it's a tribal census. This is what Chesoni told opposition in 1990s. It was only in 2002 when they woke up and united - did they defeat KANU.

The same with Tuesday election - get an excel - of tribal composition in each county - and in 20 minutes you can predict the winner.

This is simple tribal census that will be happening - play with percentages a little - and you have the answer.

You always base your arguments to Uhuruto tyranny of numbers.....then why did UhuRuto have to rig

rvp20182:
Few listen to a drunkard who has killed the economy.He cut a very lonely figure in Nyeri. It was like when I saw Moi after he had left power. He is trembling.

Uhuru own Member of Parliament has summarized. Even in his own village - Uhuru is seen as failure. This what happens when you allow shenagians and intrigues to mess your entire 5yrs.

You've tagged what a drunkard madman called Kuria said...its sure bet he won't be elected ever again in
his life....let's see which percentage he's going to get, he used to thrive by insulting Raila

rvp20182:
Azimio folks you cant beat this man. Ruto got out Nyayo, drove to wilson airport, is here running on the runway to his helicopter, to fly to Kiambu. Final dash for final rally before deadline.
https://www.facebook.com/1485050332/videos/1342265452966565

And final rally symbolically Uhuru's home county - a kick on his teeth.
https://www.facebook.com/watch/live/?ref=notif&v=1014155622604805&notif_id=1659775320350107&notif_t=live_video

Ask a kikuyu translate this to you....
This election is done already, even Ruto knows that

Shma2022:
Low IQ is a disease. You can't even read and analyze the new monikers, before branding it with your usual "OFF" guessmathics, SMH!.

I used to think that dude is wise until politics exposed him...
My moniker is new but I'm not new here

samorobo:
Lol how do you know the guy I am talking about since you only just arrived here.

You know what,now that I think about it, I think I know who you really are. You are that stevoh18 guy I molested and body shamed some years back(about 3 years now). I mean what are the odds,I remember the guy used to be extremely obsessed about Nairobi skyline just as you are and basically add nothing to this thread except skyscraper discussion. He disappeared into oblivion the day his hideous picture surface on this thread and I made a mockery of his looks,only for you to show up about the same time with a new account Shma. I remember when we had an argument and I said to your shma account that you only just arrived to this thread and you know nothing,you went ahead to tell me ,you have been on this thread longer than I could think of and you’ve always been here before me.


You dirty insecure coward, have a long standing history of deactivating your account when bullied then pop up like a sissy with an entirely new different account to try to act up. The similarity in the Stevoh18 and stivoH2022 moniker sold you out and revealed who your are to me even more clearly. Ugly big headed pig that sat on a rickety car year back with is cheap shirt and miserable life screaming for rescue out of that picture.

Total rubbish...I didn't even read the acre of rubbish you just posted.....I had two monikers years back but the crap you associate me with are false.

rvp20182:
Ruto is on his 3rd rally today having done Maa mahiu, suswa, now nyayo and will complete with kirigiti in kiambu..how can you compete with the guy who has visited every village and Hamlet in Kenya

Campaign needs strategy....otherwise he has wasted allot of energy with zero results

Nyayo stadium, Ruto has arrived already in a stadium that is 24% full

rvp20182:
This didn't help Raila in 2013 and he was prime minister in charge of procurement with iebc secretariat headed by his village mate Oswago.Your man is hopeless...my new maths tells me Ruto likely to win by 57 percent with Raila at 41 percent..this 2 percent up from 56 percent.We are 2 days to the d-day

We're in 2022....the message there is about peace.

In other news Kasarani stadium is full to the brim....more than full with 70k attending

May this message get to that one frustrated Kalenjin dude


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGW9mYAJ7G8

samorobo:
Hahaha this is shma, you can’t tell me nothing.
Shame on you dirty pig, I knew you would be back.

I'm not that guy...I don't want to insult you

obaaderemi:
Just be careful. This election will be violent like the previous two before it. I think he is trying to warn you. He's obviously privy to some dark secrets you don't seem to be aware of.

Hahaa there's no secret, I have my cousins in those parts of Rift Valley and they can't hide anything from me.

Fact is that there might some isolated insecurity in Kalenjinland esp if/when Raila will be declared winner.

But where I'm/Nairobi, we've never had such a peaceful electioneering period like this one

obaaderemi:
It's unlike him. He has thrown all decorum out the window. That can't be rvp my boy. I think he has been talking under the influence of alcohol or something for days now. Whatever he is using, it is very strong and doesn't agree with his system. Even his eternal pal, Kikuyu1 has kept his distance.
Plus the way he has been mangling his words. I hope he wakes up tomorrow with a clear head.

We all remember how violent Kenya's elections have been over the years. For a learned man to be glorifying violence this way is not understandable.

It's like Ruto followers are high on something for the last few days....and it started from their leader, the guy is extremely bitter

rvp20182:
I am one few kalenjin who are brave enough to out fellow kalenjin. I learnt this from my father - only man who supported kibaki. Kalenjin are most secretive people you will find. This is something you learn growing up. Kalenjin can plan your funeral and you're there. I know our people. Try to stay ahead. Because kalenjin are taken through a process that totally remove any emotions of pain or happines...they become plain..you cant tell tell nothing.

This is what you're bragging about, this where you went to train to be half ape half human ...and you're proud that your culture is primitive.

Anyway, from Ruto all down to you, all of you are full anger right now, ...you're sensing defeat from Raila....be careful because some of you might commit suicide when the results will be announced

rvp20182:
Edited of course. I dont. If I want to hack into your life...I would.

You have a serious tribal issue..........and BTW there's no pride in being a kalenjin...actually sometimes esp in Nairobi you keep it as secret

rvp20182:
Embrace your luo self; low self esteem slowpoke. Luos were a proud tribe until Odingas happened. In next three months; Luos will be back to being themselves.

Luos produced Tom Mboya. They produced Obama.

Odinga is a big mistake

See I told you'll shocked on 9th night, you won't believe the numbers that will streaming for Raila from Kenya

...Do you want me to post my voter's details

[quote author=rvp20182 post=115421511]He is always half luo half kikuyu half kalenjin - he is street urchin in kenya - a chokora. Definitely a luo - whom odingas have totally wasted - and turn into huge wasteland. Ruto next assignment is to save him. To make him realize that human being is born free.....

See I told you'll shocked on 9th night, you won't believe the numbers that will streaming for Raila from Kenya

...Do you want me to post my voter's details

[quote author=ProblemChild1 post=115421452]Tshma ma bro. What happened to your other moniker [/quote

Not him I ....I was here but decided to give it break since 2021

rvp20182:
We dont need all. Moi use to win with one single Kikuyu vote from Kamotho. He still got 40 percent without single Kikuyu or Luo or name it vote - kenya is big - just learn to navigate it. Please keep these tribal nonsense away and let discuss politics. You cannot win.

Apart from small period btw 2005-2007 - Kalenjin have been in or near power for so many years - there is almost nothing you can do that they have never seen.

This not the usual Raila

You're the one who talks about tribalism in bad way, war.

Going by what you've been saying I can tell you know how election were conducted in the 90s....Did you expect anyone else to be declared winner apart from Moi.

I'm telling you Ruto is where Raila has been, the problem with Ruto is that his die-hard supporters are in villages and they can't give the system/deep state any pressure...

rvp20182:
Once Ruto win - we will hive off huge part of Karura forest and Nairobi National Park - and bring so many kalenjin - you'll never feel lonely ever again. But first we have Uhuru's 11,000 acres that we will give Chinese to build 500,000 units - bring kalejin to own units - and avoid living in slums.We should never allow people to live in Slums.

very funny hahaha

MzeeMwenyewe1:
The mistake you make is to think am Luo, My name is Kanyi and we are from NYERI.

Ruto followers esp Kales have been made to believe all kikuyu support Ruto...they'll be shocked to death next week