₦airaland Forum

senatordave1:
How far

i see that you're familiar with Edo state, let's say for example you were asked to make a template on the governorship candidate campaigning in ovia south west and also a template on how I win the election in ovia south west.

Do you know how to do it

senatordave1 I've been trying to reach you, there's something very important we need to discuss concerning the coming Edo state election

Senatordave1

senatordave1 I think this thread is perfect. Are you currently in Edo state?

senatordave1:
Mayor massaged her yesterday

hello sir can we talk in a more private place?

senatordave1:
Obaseki that threatened to burn down Edo is what? Is shuaibu contesting for anything to warrant desperation? Please reason before speaking

how do you see Edo central? Pdp boys on twitter has been making mouth on now pdp will clear all LGA there.
I don't really have information concerning there, how do you see the voting dynamics there?

senatordave1:
Cases plenty against him.almost all the 9 aspirants took him to court.shuaibu has two cases against him,anslem ojezua has a case and then there's the case by the delegates led by kelvin Mohammed which dis qualified him.the case am talking about was instituted by Ojezua

what about the one the federal high court disqualified him? Is it this case ? Because I remembered pdp said they are going to appeal it

senatordave1:
My brother,you are a senior man here.you should read the political handwriting na,look at the momentum and moves.apc wants to take back Edo,there's little pdp or the voters can do...
By the way,I heard Asue is losing at the appeal court.its just rumours oh.dont take it serious.

which other appeal court? I thought this is the final one

senatordave1:
I want it for record purposes...

okay because this one today is just one of the issues Phillip brought to court, the real one that dismissed asue still holds, not until the appeal court throw it out

senatordave1:
I agree,Edo elections usually witness a turnout of 500-600 k.this one should be within but obi ahead of 2027 wants to add another governor to otti so turnout might be high...

I still don't understand why you're arguing with these pdp people on the thread, Asue is still out of the ballot since the case that dismissed him is in the appeal court

press9jatv:
you will still come back and rant as usual. The federal high court kangaroo judgement on party issues(pre election matters cases will never stand). Read 2022 amended electoral acts ok

do you hear yourself? Which one be pre election matters, dem do don election?

press9jatv:
Appeal court will set aside the kangaroo of a case of pre election matters.

you mumu sha, aren't we in pre election? Go and find out what happened to APC in 2019 in zamfara and river state, heaven didn't fall. The same thing will happen to asue he's a goner

southsouthking:
Internet keyboard warrior.
Well-done

yeye, keep misbehaving like say you be the only Edo man online

southsouthking:
Lols e clear bro, maybe for your side.
I nor know watin dey give you mind.
Las Las your mind go dey, then you go understand the game fully regarding Edo matters.
If e sure for you, mount.
Bring along those long APC tag for neck make we fit differentiate between APC and PDP agent.
Mind you, it's not going to be business as usual.
No cap.
I'd loved to meet you bro, what do you think?

stfu bro, I'm Benin born and bred and you've been ranting since. Does pdp even have a candidate? Even with federal might in 2019, court disqualified APC candidate from contesting in river state and zamfara and heaven did not fall, so asue is a goner and he won't be the first or last.

Or you think labour party can withstand APC in the coming election? Lol

OredoPikin:
Election nor far again.
Lets wait and see

e go shock you.. this will be a walkover for APC

Where will pdp see those votes in akoko Edo and owan LGAs?? Lol it's too high.

And APC percentage in ikpoba okha and oredo should be higher.

In Edo central I feel like pdp will win igueben

OredoPikin:
Let me break it down for you.
Edo central
Votes will be shared btw APC and PDP and PDP will win.
Why?
Edo central has always been loyal to PDP until 2023 general election when dey decided to try APC. Now that PDP has given them what they ever wanted, it is natural for them to return to their first love.
Again, dont forget oshiomole never wanted Okpebholo.
LP will get little vote there.

Edo North
Edo North will be a battle ground btw the 3 parties but either LP or APC will carry the votes there
Why?
LP: this is the only party representing Edo North in the race among the top 3 and for the first time, a Muslim is considered to be worthy of Osadebe Avenue
The Muslim in Edo North who are in the majority will vote LP. Tribe will also play to their advantage because he is the only sure person from Edo North contesting. Again i heard he is related to the otaru of Auchi.

APC: Oshiomole and Shaibu factor

PDP: PDP will get enough votes from Edo North especially from akoko Edo.

Edo South
Edo South will be shared between LP and PDP majorly. APC will come distant 3rd in Edo south
Why?
PDP: presently, osarodion ogie is the biggest grassroot politician in Edo south and he is the PDP deputy candidate, ikpoba okha his local govt is sure. And LP will have enough votes there.
Oredo will be a battle ground between LP and Obaseki because that is obaseki LGA.
PDP will win orhiomwon(forget about ize iyamu or odubu influence)
Egor will also be between PDP and LP.

LP: certainly the 2 Ovias is going for Olumide akpata. There is no how they will leave their son contesting for number one seat and go and settle for a number 2.
Again, Akpata even appease their sentiments especially those close to Ondo. He carries their names
I dont see APC winning any LGA in the south.
They might come second in ovia.

My verdict
Aside rigging, APC has no chance of winning that election
PDP will win but LP will challenge them well if they play their card well

you're clearly bias and your sentiments is showing towards pdp, see your analysis on Edo central, very childish.

Do you know your esan pdp candidate has never done anything for esan central? He can't even speak his language and has been in Lagos ever since.

Go ask for okpebholo, he defeated a very strong pdp man even without backing, that means his people love him and he has been overworking ever since he got into office. Unlike 2020 when pdp narrowing won Edo central, I see APC winning it.. PDP just dey in disarray, they aren't even sure if they will be in ballot, people are leaving the party daily.. Omo I'll advise you not to put all hope in your party cause things aren't looking good for them

OredoPikin:
Let me break it down for you.
Edo central
Votes will be shared btw APC and PDP and PDP will win.
Why?
Edo central has always been loyal to PDP until 2023 general election when dey decided to try APC. Now that PDP has given them what they ever wanted, it is natural for them to return to their first love.
Again, dont forget oshiomole never wanted Okpebholo.
LP will get little vote there.

Edo North
Edo North will be a battle ground btw the 3 parties but either LP or APC will carry the votes there
Why?
LP: this is the only party representing Edo North in the race among the top 3 and for the first time, a Muslim is considered to be worthy of Osadebe Avenue
The Muslim in Edo North who are in the majority will vote LP. Tribe will also play to their advantage because he is the only sure person from Edo North contesting. Again i heard he is related to the otaru of Auchi.

APC: Oshiomole and Shaibu factor

PDP: PDP will get enough votes from Edo North especially from akoko Edo.

Edo South
Edo South will be shared between LP and PDP majorly. APC will come distant 3rd in Edo south
Why?
PDP: presently, osarodion ogie is the biggest grassroot politician in Edo south and he is the PDP deputy candidate, ikpoba okha his local govt is sure. And LP will have enough votes there.
Oredo will be a battle ground between LP and Obaseki because that is obaseki LGA.
PDP will win orhiomwon(forget about ize iyamu or odubu influence)
Egor will also be between PDP and LP.

LP: certainly the 2 Ovias is going for Olumide akpata. There is no how they will leave their son contesting for number one seat and go and settle for a number 2.
Again, Akpata even appease their sentiments especially those close to Ondo. He carries their names
I dont see APC winning any LGA in the south.
They might come second in ovia.

My verdict
Aside rigging, APC has no chance of winning that election
PDP will win but LP will challenge them well if they play their card well

you analyse things like ipob .. imagine saying LP will win Edo north because of the king son, lmao that means you've never left your house.

I will be the one to tell you this, the only block votes from this election will come from Edo North and the margin will be the biggest margin in the history of Edo state election.

Pdp literally has no structure, nobody that can withstand the tsunami and the only person capable of standing for them was shaibu, but now he's seriously against them even donating buses to APC.. you see how pdp came distant last in the last year election after all that campaign? This year will be worst. There's no need for analysing here...

I see APC winning this LGA without rigging or votes buying seff with over 70k-90k votes, pdp will come distant second and LP will get third

OredoPikin:
Let me break it down for you.
Edo central
Votes will be shared btw APC and PDP and PDP will win.
Why?
Edo central has always been loyal to PDP until 2023 general election when dey decided to try APC. Now that PDP has given them what they ever wanted, it is natural for them to return to their first love.
Again, dont forget oshiomole never wanted Okpebholo.
LP will get little vote there.

Edo North
Edo North will be a battle ground btw the 3 parties but either LP or APC will carry the votes there
Why?
LP: this is the only party representing Edo North in the race among the top 3 and for the first time, a Muslim is considered to be worthy of Osadebe Avenue
The Muslim in Edo North who are in the majority will vote LP. Tribe will also play to their advantage because he is the only sure person from Edo North contesting. Again i heard he is related to the otaru of Auchi.

APC: Oshiomole and Shaibu factor

PDP: PDP will get enough votes from Edo North especially from akoko Edo.

Edo South
Edo South will be shared between LP and PDP majorly. APC will come distant 3rd in Edo south
Why?
PDP: presently, osarodion ogie is the biggest grassroot politician in Edo south and he is the PDP deputy candidate, ikpoba okha his local govt is sure. And LP will have enough votes there.
Oredo will be a battle ground between LP and Obaseki because that is obaseki LGA.
PDP will win orhiomwon(forget about ize iyamu or odubu influence)
Egor will also be between PDP and LP.

LP: certainly the 2 Ovias is going for Olumide akpata. There is no how they will leave their son contesting for number one seat and go and settle for a number 2.
Again, Akpata even appease their sentiments especially those close to Ondo. He carries their names
I dont see APC winning any LGA in the south.
They might come second in ovia.

My verdict
Aside rigging, APC has no chance of winning that election
PDP will win but LP will challenge them well if they play their card well

see analysis oo, Jesus.. what is this?

Let's start from my senatorial district, I'm from Edo south. Benin born and bred. Edo south is a battle ground, nobody will get block votes from here unlike before. Let me give you a reason.

In 2020 obaseki won here with huge margin, why? They used pity votes and godfather factor.. that factor is no longer in place.

In ikpoba okha, pdp won here with thousands of votes in 2020 trust me when I said whoever wins here between APC , pdp or labour party won't be more down 5k votes and I'm leaning towards labour party because of the growing popularity of akpata among the Benins and pdp factor of been excluded.

Oredo made obaseki governor but here will be his downfall, he lost here last year including loosing his pooling unit and ward. With the help of ihama and other bigwigs now supporting APC, Omo the battle will be tight and I see either APC or LP wining with little margin.

In orihowon local government, ize iyamu lost out but trust me this ain't 2020, the leakage has been closed and many big wigs has join APC, the former senator for example, even odubu that worked against APC in 2020 is now on ground, I can't even see anybody from those villages that can stand for pdp tho the votes will be small as usual.

So those two ovia LGA, forget am na APC get am, pdp and LP will b fighting for 2nd, there's no need analysing here because na who dey ground fit help and explain to you.

Egor and uhwunde will also be a battle ground and the margin of winning won't be more than 4k votes from here.

In Edo south I see APC winning here with slight margin. I analyse this with free and fair mind but we all know APC will outrig pdp in this election and pdp already lost out when there primary was disqualified, you've no idea the damage it caused.

There's no pity votes for asue unlike 2020, you think Benins will vote for pdp after doing that nonsense to the palace??.

There are so many factors that will be at play here, pdp don't even have a candidate, who will put their basket there?

senatordave1:
Ok,I'll email you

have you emailed me yet?

senatordave1:
Ok,I'll email you

send it to alienhubx@gmail.com

senatordave1:
How? Family abi friends

anyone, I want to buy something online but the buyer is saying I should make half payment before he can waybill it,, he's at river state

senatordave1:
I dey vehicle but still in rivers

omo chai, do you have anybody in river state?

senatordave1:
Yes but am about leaving for Edo

if you're currently in river state please give me your contact

senatordave1:
Yes but am about leaving for Edo

have you left yet?

senatordave1:
Obaseki won here by over 40,000 and obi won here by almost 100,000.during the assembly polls,pdp also won here...obaseki is putting all his efforts here and most APC members are complaining of harassment in these areas...I think APC might win Egor sha

are you currently in river state?

MasterJayJay:
Simple question and you are scared to answer. Nawa!

What is the phobia of refusing to answer if one can support the daughter to be a prostitute?

so you will kill your daughter if she decides to engage in that? Mumu don't go abroad oo because you still have the mentality you've right over a full grown adult, their body is their choice

senatordave1:
Don't you think PDP will win Oredo and ikpoba

Widely contested between the 3 parties.. if any party are to win, i predict the maegin won't be more than 3000 votes

senatordave1:
How will you rate each party's chances

labour 20%
Pdp 30%
Apc 50%

bbally:
i need a battery for Acer aspire V5 laptop

good evening, are you still using the laptop?

senatordave1:
He can.where in Edo are you in

Benin city

senatordave1:
Yes for now

meaning he will return?