₦airaland Forum

Let atiku just keep ignoring him

This thing go make am run mad

Highest you support tinubu and be disgraced by rivers people like atiku did to you

colorsofrainbow:
Tears of consolation

I no console myself

Na so revolution wan happen, una go say na small small

But we knew the magnitude of the revolution we saw onground in 2015

Town hall meeting yet e no still full with Doyin in attendance, na empty seat full up

And this is supposed to be the woke state LP is expecting votes

Tinubu is senile

He thought muslim Muslim would make all Muslim vote him in defense

Till tomorrow it has backfired, northern Muslim refused the bait like it was nothing

Northern Muslims are still voting Fulani Muslim

Yet tinubu have driven 95% christians from him to get nothing

Goodday90:
A vote for Atiku is a vote for Apc
He was part of the people shouting “APC,change Jonathan”

A vote for obi is a vote for atiku

KMJY:
Before Obidients start throwing jabs at me, I'll urge that they go through my points dispassionately to see reason. I am from the middle belt. I have family members supporting Obi. Obidients should therefore know that that I have nothing personal against him.

I stay in the north, north west to be precise. Of all the political discourse, I haven't heard northerners lending their support to an Obi's candidacy. As a matter of fact, most of them aren't buying Tinubu's candidacy either. I have heard many of them saying "APC ends with Buhari. Never again will it happen to them." If you want to hear political discourse in the north, go to Mai shayi's (Tea Vendor) joints. These guys are more informed than an average southerner as far as politics is concerned.

Back to the topic. This is why a vote for an Obi is a vote for Tinubu:

1. Majority of Peter Obi's supporters were once Atiku's fans. As a matter of fact, most of them voted for Atiku in 2019. Now that they have brokert camp, they have rather reduced Atiku's votes – a move which Tinubu is well pleased with. Of course Tinubu knows that only an Atiku poses threat to his presidential ambition.

2. In as much as an Obi's candidacy is gaining a lot of waves in the social media, the train is rather coming late. If this ambition is anything to go by, it should have started since 2019. By now, the campaign train must have penetrated the core north where chunks of votes come. But as it is, Obi will only have to wait for 2027 to leave an imprint.

3. Labour Party's logo isn't design in such a way that a common man can identify with. Except for educated fellows, most people, especially the elderly, can't identify with it on the ballot. Unlike PDP and APC logos where you could easily tell an illiterate to check the box bearing umbrella or broom, that of labour party isn't realistic, and so Peter Obi will loose significant number of votes due to this factor.

4. The constitution provides that for a candidate to emerge winner, he must win at least 25% of the total vote cast, or 1/3 of the votes in 2/3 states of the Federation including FCT which is 24 states. To the Obidients, can they honestly say Obi will meet this requirement? If yes, which states?

5. Based on previous elections, the south eastern votes are often not as expected. This is not to say that the region can't produce significant number of votes, I for one believe that this is going to change with an Obi on the ballot, but the fact is that votes from Katsina or Kano often cover that of 3 or 4 states in the east. See, elections aren't won by
mere emotions, ethnic or primordial sentiments, they are won through empirical study, critical analysis and due diligence. If by any chance no significant votes do come from the east, you can see reason why Atiku is so confident of winning. It is because he knows majority of votes comes from his region. Whether you like it or not, regional politics is back and is now steering us in the face.

6. Structure is key to winning elections. I have heard many Obidients debating over this, but there's no two ways about it, you need concrete structure to win election in Nigeria. Maybe you don't understand what we mean by structure, let me break it down for you. If you have governors, senators and members of the federal house of reps contesting under your platform, you've got a structure. Even so, a party that has this structure in government before now has an edge. This is because they must have had a hold on their followers and can determine where the votes go. Whether we like it or not, PDP and APC have this on ground and may edge LP in that regard. Note that even in the south east, if Peter Obi wins, it means the state governors decided to work against PDP which I don't see them doing so. Working against PDP means ruining their chances. I give you a simple example, in 2015, many PDP parliamentarians from the north asked their followers to vote out Goodluck Jonathan. They taught only Jonathan will be affected but they too were voted out and a lot of them did not return to the national assembly. This is what will happen if PDP gubernatorial candidates/parliamentarians from the south east choose to work against PDP.

Finally, Obidients should note that a vote for an Obi will give an edge to Tinubu because it will reduce Atiku's chances. By not supporting PDP, Obidients are unconsciously brightening Tinubu's chances since the odds are obviously against Peter Obi. Tinubu is having a fill day seeing the crumbling of Atiku's support base. And if he can, he will support the Obidients so as to further meander Atiku's chances so he can emerge winner. Obi was Atiku's VP in 2019, what stop him from being his running mate yet again? An Igbo presidency is better achieved with a PDP than with an APC. Obidients, please shine your eyes!

my brother their is no cause for alarm

Atiku can get at least 40% in all region that is the game changer

Whether they split votes from him in SS/SE he is still going to balance it in the south west by going 40%

Infact it's not like obi would win all states in SS/SE, atiku would win more than him in SS that have a VP in PDP

Obi can not cross SS/SE they are talking of middle belt as if all parties won't share it

Whatever deficit we get from SS/SE sharing states equally or beating apc in NW would give us edge

EndsarsReloaded:
Sense you no get. This is the same North Tinubu is hoping to get 100 million votes. Even his planned Kano 2 million march was abandoned.

Obi wasn't planning to win North, he only needs to win South and parts of middle belt.

na the three parties go share middle belt

Xerxes2088:
Mr. Obi supporter, what has Obi done wrongly?....you are basing your so called support withdrawal on lies that never came from Obi directly, so if i create a monica with 'Nnamdi" and scream death to all yoruba that don't vote peter Obi you'lll pick offence towards Obidients even though i could be a yoruba guy from somewhere in Osun ding this to discredit Obidient movements

na advise I give o

E no concern me

Minime10:
Not surprise at their mobbing
That was the same way they mobbed Buhari in 2014 & 2019 but today so many of them have committed suicide because of hardship. Some drank sewage water for buhari & later died from it. And the one that treked, got leg infection and is today suffering in his house in silence. No matter what happen to some numskulls, there will always be a million other idiots who are destined to die suffering

when obi was following atiku to these gathering as side chick in 2019, he was also enjoying almajiri mobbing

As you have said atiku don inherit those mobbing buhari join his own

seunloveporn:
Aboki

Weeding
Mob

See people when wan make una dey continue dey run we country

Dem no get book but Dem get votes

SmartPolician:
The key politicians in this presidential election are popular where they all come from. However, who will win the election is someone who has the national appeal to win elections in neutral regions. This is where structure comes in.

Although my vote goes to Peter Obi, I think the odds favour Atiku Abubukar the most because he's the most popular among the four major contenders. But then, I don't foresee a landslide victory for him. It's going to end in a runoff.

win is win

Atiku is the only candidate that is guaranteed 40% in every region

He no get home and away, everywhere na him home

That is what wins presidency in an election of three majority tribes, better average

NgeneUkwenu:
Oh you thought, it was about good governance for them?

you tinubu supporters are guilty of same thing

Only that obi supporters paint it like they are selling clean bottle water

They won't explain how obi was in bed with atiku in 2019 as VP

And still was the only presidential candidate to be in bed with another candidate this year

Xerxes2088:
really, you ought to know better that his opponents are using different means and tactic to discredit his movement, including posting fake news to Obi's credit only for it to be later debunked all just to make him look like a liar , also they create false supporters wanting to make this an Igbo affair vs other ethnics.

this is another problem with obi supporters

Anything not in favour of obi or done wrongly by obi is pushed to tinubu supporters

They never take any blame, they evade everything whether the prayer mat goof etc

I have been one of the biggest supporter of igbo in the forum

I am indifferent about obi

But as the day goes by I begin to see more and more igbos really taking this thing personal

Look at all the social media accounts with names it's always majority igbos

Same with tinubu as Yoruba taking it personal

It's only Atiku you have blend, infact the reason why they are saying atiku is quite is because on social media is because igbos and yorubas that are the social media majority have split into supporting Yoruba and Igbo candidate

Leaving Atiku with different mixes of people which doesn't affect his popularity and arrangements on ground

Hope some people dey learn wetin be politics

One politician went to osun on political mission he no see him supporters

Prince111111:
just ask yourself why Atiku would pay for those crowd when this isn't his first time of going to a function?

na for south Dem dey rent crowd with Abuja

Core north you have followers you no need rent them

Malory:
Paid crowd.

stop crying

The core north don suffer pass for apc maladministration

PDP is the only alternative they see without been paid

Campaign never start o, na just wedding yet everyone for the wedding na atiku supporter

This one pass town hall meeting

Buhari cult votes and support is flying atiku way

The message is loud in the North East

Outside kanuri Borno yobe the entire north east is in the cooler for atiku

Kwanwaso would join us lock North West for Atiku

specialmati:
so now after all this ranting. You now want us to vote for atiku to recover bribed money abi. At least we now have Peter Obi who won't want to recover bribed money first before working. Ist that APC has reduced the way people with brain should think with the way they have managed the country

you no answer my question why obi been dey find vp with a man that want to thief in 2019

And supported a man that want to thief in 2023

Only birds of a feather flock together

Felimax:
I am waiting for you guys when proper campaign will start.

Lol, you go begin hear excuses when his campaign go empty like we are waiting for the real day to vote, we can't stand under the sun to listen to obi

4reala:
Let him declare first before I know what to say

labour Party the Messiah party is begging a convict with ticket

If the guy refuses na him even get integrity pass the criminal party

Lol

So much for been different from apc PDP

Is obi not even PDP sef, I now know how some people dey reason sef

I expect obi to cum campaign for him again like he did for lasun the thief

https://www.thecable.ng/group-wants-yusuf-lasun-probed-n1-1bn-water-scam/amp

specialmati:
Atiku a man that had been bribing delegates since 1999 you must be a lover of corruption. So you want Atiku to win so that he will recover all the money he has been spending. Are you sure you eyes clear like this

Shebi obi no get shame when he agreed to be VP to a man that bribe delegates

Shebi obi no know say his boss would be recouping his money spent

Shebi obi was dumb when he was the only presidential candidate to attend another presidential declaration

You can't attack atiku either as obi or tinubu supporter without sounding stupid

Felimax:
Except something otherwise happens. I know the drove that will follow the campaigns. I only hope PDP like in 1999 will be able to fix our emergency situations.

Today, in virtually all levels of government the transformations we are enjoying today where almost all initiated by the PDP.

Nothing otherwise would happen, apc have failed woefully and the masses want to kick them out

We are the only option for the north to do that, and we still get our roots very strong in the south that always rep us

Parachoko:
Nah so you dey shout around like a small pikin say Tinubu will be disgrace at the APC primary, your heart must have been so broken on that night he won the APC ticket

I just so love Asiwaju, una fit dey talk anything online, nah una sabi.

Asiwaju will win while you wail and wallow in your bitterness.

On Asiwaju Ahmed Bola Tinubu Mandate I Stand Gidigba

na who win presidency win election

You fit go put that win apc primaries for tinubu CV, na there he win reach

Na una dey cry that time say don't give osinbajo apc flag atiku would beat him like small pikin, say na only tinubu fit match atiku

Una don meet superior Muslim now, atiku na your mate

Parachoko:
Nah because of people wey dey reason like you I stop talking about the parties zoning to the South.

Tinubu is not scared of anybody.

Nah because of una hate for ASIWAJU una dey support Atiku. Before the APC primary, I can remember how you are jubilating the Cabals picked the senate President as the choosen one. You're so happy ASIWAJU have been sideline, but he humbled all of una.

You will all be humble again in 2023 by ASIWAJU.

On Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu Mandate I Stand Gidigba

Tinubu humbled himself not me

Dem only set am up for premium disgrace since he no give north chance

Dem go watch atiku drill his hole, shebi no be wamako dey correct wike about criticizing unnecessarily since na northernern win am

North go teach una lesson

Felimax:
That is the reality bro!

no lies, NE in the cooler

Obi can not go beyond SE/SS even there is PDP stronghold so we would share it at worst

Tinubu cannot go beyond SW/NW even there we would share it almost equally

North Central we all share it, we go share the Christian middle belt side with LP and still share the Muslim middle belt side with APC

Parachoko:
I was also rooting for power shift to the South too. But Igbos on Nairaland have made it seem as if one is asking for it so that Tinubu will have an easy ride. So they will vote Atiku because of their hatred for Tinubu.

you only want the easy way out just as una been route for crackhead wike to win PDP presidency and then mock him

Now you want obi to beat

jaxxy:
Peter obi will win shockingly and convincingly.

nobody uses shock to win anything presidency

It takes a cordinated approach, the last revolution we had in 2015 the youths where also involved like now

But the majority zones spareheaded the movement North and SW

Na only igbos and online few town hall labour Party members dey support obi

jaxxy:
The real question is why is every southerner not supporting Peter Obi?

Tinubu is a southern yes bt running a disastrous muslim/muslim ticket. Aswell as health and integrity issues. Southerners have a right to reject that.

Atiku is a Northerner bt running a balanced ticket. His only issue is its time for the South to produce the president and major integrity issues.

If we analyse fairly, honestly and correctly only Peter ticks All the boxes and categories. Atleast 98%

tinubu brought us where we are assembling apc to destroy the power shift formula

Atiku is the only option we need to heal this country, we have shifted from one nigeria because of buhari

Before you begin mention obi, he is promising major shift in structure and it's not possible to do so immediately with the trust issues everywhere

North won't support such, it was better obi was VP gain the trust of northernerns under atiku and run his own

Muslims been muslims

For Yoruba fake muslim to be president we rather fulani real muslim

The election is between the incumbent party and the established opposition, we no get time for gbogbenta

Supporters of the drug lord are the ones hoping we deplete the most viable hindrance to tinubu