Goodday90:
A vote for Atiku is a vote for Apc
He was part of the people shouting “APC,change Jonathan”

A vote for obi is a vote for atiku

No,a vote for Obi is a vote for IPOB.

A vote for politicians is a vote for politicians /APC

A vote for tinubu is a vote for a drug baron

Bonesbreaker:
Wike mentioning peter obi will be a serious lock down for him in Rivers like never seen before OBI needs to pay WIKE another visit, WIKE should help his brother for once and become a godfather in Labor party

Wike doesn't need to move to labour party to help Obi. Let him stay in PDP and help Obi by causing more chaos

The fact is most actively shouting obi are tinubu's proxy

Just to distract political fencesitters


The end result of the campaign will be it's better we vote southern president, after they have finished obi stipend

Alas let's vote tinubu

A vote for Atiku is a vote for Tinubu/APC.A vote for Atiku is a vote for Tinubu/APC....

It's the reality of today

KMJY:
Before Obidients start throwing jabs at me, I'll urge that they go through my points dispassionately to see reason. I am from the middle belt. I have family members supporting Obi. Obidients should therefore know that that I have nothing personal against him.

I stay in the north, north west to be precise. Of all the political discourse, I haven't heard northerners lending their support to an Obi's candidacy. As a matter of fact, most of them aren't buying Tinubu's candidacy either. I have heard many of them saying "APC ends with Buhari. Never again will it happen to them." If you want to hear political discourse in the north, go to Mai shayi's (Tea Vendor) joints. These guys are more informed than an average southerner as far as politics is concerned.

Back to the topic. This is why a vote for an Obi is a vote for Tinubu:

1. Majority of Peter Obi's supporters were once Atiku's fans. As a matter of fact, most of them voted for Atiku in 2019. Now that they have brokert camp, they have rather reduced Atiku's votes – a move which Tinubu is well pleased with. Of course Tinubu knows that only an Atiku poses threat to his presidential ambition.

2. In as much as an Obi's candidacy is gaining a lot of waves in the social media, the train is rather coming late. If this ambition is anything to go by, it should have started since 2019. By now, the campaign train must have penetrated the core north where chunks of votes come. But as it is, Obi will only have to wait for 2027 to leave an imprint.

3. Labour Party's logo isn't design in such a way that a common man can identify with. Except for educated fellows, most people, especially the elderly, can't identify with it on the ballot. Unlike PDP and APC logos where you could easily tell an illiterate to check the box bearing umbrella or broom, that of labour party isn't realistic, and so Peter Obi will loose significant number of votes due to this factor.

4. The constitution provides that for a candidate to emerge winner, he must win at least 25% of the total vote cast, or 1/3 of the votes in 2/3 states of the Federation including FCT which is 24 states. To the Obidients, can they honestly say Obi will meet this requirement? If yes, which states?

5. Based on previous elections, the south eastern votes are often not as expected. This is not to say that the region can't produce significant number of votes, I for one believe that this is going to change with an Obi on the ballot, but the fact is that votes from Katsina or Kano often cover that of 3 or 4 states in the east. See, elections aren't won by
mere emotions, ethnic or primordial sentiments, they are won through empirical study, critical analysis and due diligence. If by any chance no significant votes do come from the east, you can see reason why Atiku is so confident of winning. It is because he knows majority of votes comes from his region. Whether you like it or not, regional politics is back and is now steering us in the face.

6. Structure is key to winning elections. I have heard many Obidients debating over this, but there's no two ways about it, you need concrete structure to win election in Nigeria. Maybe you don't understand what we mean by structure, let me break it down for you. If you have governors, senators and members of the federal house of reps contesting under your platform, you've got a structure. Even so, a party that has this structure in government before now has an edge. This is because they must have had a hold on their followers and can determine where the votes go. Whether we like it or not, PDP and APC have this on ground and may edge LP in that regard. Note that even in the south east, if Peter Obi wins, it means the state governors decided to work against PDP which I don't see them doing so. Working against PDP means ruining their chances. I give you a simple example, in 2015, many PDP parliamentarians from the north asked their followers to vote out Goodluck Jonathan. They taught only Jonathan will be affected but they too were voted out and a lot of them did not return to the national assembly. This is what will happen if PDP gubernatorial candidates/parliamentarians from the south east choose to work against PDP.

Finally, Obidients should note that a vote for an Obi will give an edge to Tinubu because it will reduce Atiku's chances. By not supporting PDP, Obidients are unconsciously brightening Tinubu's chances since the odds are obviously against Peter Obi. Tinubu is having a fill day seeing the crumbling of Atiku's support base. And if he can, he will support the Obidients so as to further meander Atiku's chances so he can emerge winner. Obi was Atiku's VP in 2019, what stop him from being his running mate yet again? An Igbo presidency is better achieved with a PDP than with an APC. Obidients, please shine your eyes!