₦airaland Forum

AMINDA:
There are several pathways to the market. In politics, there's what is known as agenda setting. You all are so desperate to see protest from the North on Elrufai but that is a pleasure the North will never render to the Southwest. When the tables turn in a few months from now, we hope you will be at the forefront protesting?

i thought "the north never forget"

Tinubu go show una who be the real master. By 2031, the old guards of the north would be retired for the new guards under Tinubu's watch and guidiance. una never see anything

AMINDA:
2027 is still inevitable whether or not Tinubu releases Mallam. If I made you president after publicly begging me to and then vowed to unmake you and you quickly moved to use the power I bequeathed you to incarcerate me without bail, what does that make you? A master strategist or a car-ward? That is the story between Tinubu and Elrufai.

I can bet you, opposition no go see draw or near Tinubu. Una no know who Tinubu be. Just watch.
even El-Rufai son Bello no go make am back to national Assembly.
The El-rufais are don Politically. once you pick personal political fight with Tinubu be ready and very strong if not you are done.

Elrufai's influence in Kaduna reach the Saraki's influence in Kwara? go and ask Bukola now say how far?... he has traced his steps. working underground for Tinubu. have you heard Saraki spoken against Tinubu again? there was a time, he was the darling of opposition urging him on to disrespect Tinubu

TheStoriesOfMan:
You think prison walls reduces the activities of a mafia boss?

Try another line bro.

mafia dey prison for how many months now? no single protest in his local govt, state or the north. everybody don move on except some ADC people like this guy trying to do politics as usual.

the joke is on you

TheStoriesOfMan:
Every political educated person knows that is nothing but the truth.

Yiu don't need a soothsayer.

Yes, Tinubu is afraid him but know this and know peace El-rufai is not going to be released.. so what next?

i am sure Tinubu and Ribadu are somewhere laughing at this joke

Useless Dangote and him people. There was no meeting for them to increase price but all of sudden meeting upon meeting to reduce price

Imindmybusiness:
It's not just money. A woman who has invested time, emotions, missed opportunities, sacrificed personal goals, friends and family for a relationship will not move on very easy. She will fight to see that the relationship she invested all that in do not sink and if it finally does, she will not move on so easily because doing so will be a repeat of all that. Go for a woman who may not have money to invest in a relation but who is willing to invest the alternatives because money can be recovered but not time and sacrifices. Finding such a woman now needs special grace of God.

exactly, women who have sacrificed time and invested emotionally, turned down advances, stay through thick and thin are more likely to fight harder than even those that invested money. money can easily be recovered and if she gets a suitor that is far more capable to give her the good life and more than the money she spent, she will move on so easily. But you cant buy back emotional and time sacrifice.

Samantha125:
Why would you want a bitter ex that'll be dragging the breakup for months, if not years?

My husband's ex didn't invest anything financially in his life, but she dragged their breakup for years... I got beaten, poisoned, and even once found myself behind bars because of her, my husband also nearly got into trouble all thanks to her... That lady really properly dealt with us, she taught me a lesson I'll never forget...

The OP narrowed the investment to monetary, which is not totally correct.

The investment can vary, it can be financial or emotional or any other form of investment.

your your husband's ex case could be that she was more and heavily invested in the relationship emotionally

franchasofficia:
Tinubu knows he has lost Northern support and votes, so he is desperately looking for ways to consolidate his votes in the whole South and Northcentral to makeup for the votes he won't be getting from the North.


That is why he suddenly remembers that Southeast matters.


Before 2015, the regions that determined who wins the President of Nigeria are:


North and Southeast. Go and check your records


Southwest has always been in opposition until Tinubu backstabbed SouthSouth President Goodluck to align with Buhari so Buhari can help him become President. So before you start making unnecessary noise and bragging, go back and study your history.



Since Nigeria had independence, it has always been North and Igbos that determined who became President of Nigeria.

This means, since Independence, Igbos have always been slaves to the North. how can you join North to produce President since independence and you have not produce Igbo president in the alliance? meanwhile, South-West that came for alliance not too long has produce Presidents, VP, Speakers, consistently in the alliance.... now tell me who the real slaves to North are?

AMINDA:
In 2023, APC won Lagos, Edo, Ebonyi, Imo, Cross Rivers, Kaduna, Katsina, Yobe, Sokoto, Kebbi, Nassarawa, etc in the gubernatorial elections but Tinubu did not win those states. Is Tinubu synonymous to APC? Where was Tinubu barely 3 years ago? Let him test his popularity at the polls and stop attempting to be on the only candidate on the ballot.

TINUBU doesn't have to win these states outrightly. he needs to just lose the states by minimal difference and covering up in other places. 2023 proved that already. you dont need to win outrightly. gather enough votes in those states and its enough

in what capacity is the endorsement? is she a member of the bar? is she a lawyer?

oyichi:
did you read the post at all, the pmp has no legal right to that logo because they did not apply to be registered as a party in 2015 and does not exist as a registered group in anyway or form, whatever they are claiming in that court does not exist legally

is that why you have to steal their logo?

Better

Ushame:
u know d Nigerian legal system more than the san in NDC and senators abi ?

Were there no SANs in Labour and Obi's camp that claimed and advised Obi that he won the 2023 election? How exactly take end for court?

Tenses:
When you have a binding business agreement, is it on behalf of the Senate and executive?

Chris Ngige and Chris Uba.

Any predatory contracts that usurp constitutional powers/provision is null and void.

The court has ruled on that already

FRANCE 🇫🇷
PORTUGAL 🇵🇹
SPAIN 🇪🇸
BRAZIL 🇧🇷

robosky02:
9

Sabi if na me Finidi George now
Osimhen for blu bla bala blue


So why the different approach hwre

If elder respect himself, they will respect him.

Chelle is also an African by the way

Trump escaped another assassination

Okay, make yourself president

So,?

But Peter Obi doesn't need persuasion to greet Atiku or El Rufai?

Litigation go follow such move especially if the person wins with another party.

The court would have to interpret what participation in primaries means.

Withdrawing at the last minute after buying form and attending screen exercise does negate participation to me. You have participated.

The person that defeated him in the primaries na yoruba man?

highsurge:
Is that politicians don't have a creed code?
U don't display or disclose your next move to your opponent..keep them wondering and confuse...

That is because what he is saying is actually the creed code.

He got you and others

He is trying to mess with the gullible followers mind, when he knows they cannot win... just using Obi to prepare and gather momentum for 2031

LagosOrigin:
Lobatan

65% of Yoruba sons and daughters are solidly behind Peter Obi and they will vote for him in 2027

They did it in 2023 and will do even more in 2027 especially now that everyone has confirmed tinubu government to be a complete disaster and a monumental disgrace.

Nigerians are getting wiser now, the era of divide and rule is gone.

The same people una go still insult their entire ethnic group if any of them changes their mind.


Imagine if the situations is flipped. Imagine "Beautiful igbo girls support Tinubu"

This does not even make sense.

His immediately party was not APC. How come he still has APC flag?

He left APC was NNPP and ADC before joining NDC

aariwa:
Wetin concern a serious president with Desmond Elliot? Shows the level of mindset he has that plunged Nigeria into present mess, cluelessness to present problems in the country and what is happening around him…smh

If e reach your turn no put your house in order like Atiku. You can see what is happening in Adamawa right?.

Atiku is even better than Obi... Obi does not have what we call political home. Obi has no political root in Anambra at all.

harsysky:
Have you considered the multitude of Nigerians that will be out of Job when something happen to these companies?

Out of job? Who is sacking them? Or you don't know the meaning of Nationalisation?

A must read


https://www.thecable.ng/the-kings-calculus-why-tinubu-cant-afford-to-choose-fubara-over-wike-in-2027/

The King’s Calculus: Why Tinubu Cannot Afford to Choose Fubara Over Wike in 2027

In the merciless arithmetic of Nigerian power politics, loyalty is the only currency that never devalues. As the country hurtles toward the 2027 general elections, the political battlefield of Rivers State crackles once more with dangerous electricity. At its center stands a triangle that would have given Machiavelli pause: President Bola Ahmed Tinubu; Nyesom Wike, Federal Capital Territory Minister; and Siminalayi Fubara, the sitting governor of Rivers State.

The question setting political circles ablaze is deceptively simple: heading into 2027, how useful is Fubara to Tinubu? Examined through the cold, unforgiving lens of power politics, the answer is unambiguous.

The Making and Breaking of a Protégé


Before Nyesom Wike handpicked him, Siminalayi Fubara was a political unknown—a competent, quiet technocrat rising through the civil service to become Accountant General. Completing his second term as governor in 2023, Wike needed a successor he could trust—and control. He did not merely endorse Fubara; he engineered his entire political existence.

But what godfathers often forget is that you cannot hand a man power without also giving him the instinct to use it.

The peace lasted barely four months. By October 2023, a bitter feud erupted over the control of the state’s political machinery. In the chaotic months that followed, we saw the bombing of the House of Assembly complex, the defection of 27 pro-Wike lawmakers to the APC, and even a temporary, federally declared state of emergency. Although Fubara was reinstated, he remains institutionally weakened, staring down the barrel of 2027.

The Ghost of Amaechi

To understand Fubara’s utility to Tinubu, one must ask: has a sitting Rivers State governor ever survived going against a more powerful federal adversary backed by Abuja?

The answer arrived a decade ago. In 2015, Rotimi Amaechi was arguably the most powerful governor in Nigeria, serving as Chairman of the Governors’ Forum and boasting deep state resources. He defected to the APC and went all out for Muhammadu Buhari.

Against him stood Nyesom Wike—then merely a junior Minister of State for Education, without gubernatorial immunity. Armed with federal backing and a consolidated local network, Wike delivered an absolute electoral massacre: 1,029,102 votes to the APC candidate’s 124,896. An 87% obliteration.

If Wike, as a junior minister in 2015, could reduce a sitting governor’s structure to rubble, the arithmetic of what a fully empowered Wike can do as a senior cabinet member in 2027 is clear. Fubara should study that history. More importantly, Tinubu already has.

The Jagaban’s Calculation

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu did not build a political empire by making emotional decisions. He is a political chess master who identifies allies, rewards loyalty, and cuts loose those whose utility has expired.

When observers argue that Tinubu “needs Fubara” simply because a sitting governor can mobilize state resources, they are counting assets without looking at liabilities. A governor whose assembly is split, whose local elections have been contested, and whose party structure is in shambles is not an asset. He is a liability wearing an asset’s clothing.

In 2015, Amaechi went all out for Buhari, yet Rivers State still voted overwhelmingly for Goodluck Jonathan. If a deeply entrenched Amaechi could not deliver the state, what can an embattled Fubara deliver? Considerably less than nothing—especially if backing him means alienating the godfather who actually commands the grassroots.

Wike brings organizational muscle, a cross-party coalition, and something money cannot buy: proven loyalty at a moment when loyalty cost him dearly. In 2023, Wike risked his entire political career, crossed his party, and absorbed the fury of his colleagues to back Tinubu. In politics, debts flow upward, and Tinubu owes Wike a moral and political debt.

The Ultimate Political Sin

Fubara has recently been seen at APC screening exercises in Abuja, attempting to thread the impossible needle of seeking re-election under the very party Wike heavily influences. But the political mathematics is resolving itself in real time.

To choose Fubara over Wike would be to reward betrayal with protection. It would signal to every ally across Nigeria that loyalty carries no guaranteed return. No leader can afford to send that message.

Fubara received everything from his godfather, and when the bill came, he refused to pay. There is no political sin greater than betrayal. Dante placed betrayers in the lowest circle of hell; Julius Caesar’s last words were directed at a betraying friend. In Nigerian politics, where the memory of grudges outlasts the memory of favors, betrayal is never forgotten.

The useful man is not always the man with the title. The useful man is the one who, when the river runs dry, finds water.

Nyesom Wike has always found water.


Babatunde Lasisi is a Socio-Political Analyst based in Abuja.
blasisi554@gmail.com


https://www.thecable.ng/the-kings-calculus-why-tinubu-cant-afford-to-choose-fubara-over-wike-in-2027/

Hemanwel:
Because of Peter Obi, they now want to shift their focus to NDC.

Obi left LP, all of a sudden their is calm in LP. Lamidi Apapa is no longer raring his ugly head.

Obi has left the ADC, watch how the government of the day will drop all its litigation against the party in order to have a three-horse race election in 2027.

Now, they want to shift their focus to NDC!

Gbajabiamila, the Chief of Staff to the president, confirmed my assertion in his saying: "we will scatter them"

Na Tinubu scatter APGA we make Obi run from there?

Bluna:
I disagree that INEC forgot to update the details on their portal since last year. They deliberately allowed the same name to appear twice with two different political parties. They did it on purpose. INEC is too biased and compromised.

The resignation letter is not valid. That letter was backdated.

VenExchangee:
That's the highest denomination in your country, just imagine your type of defense... Will you say that with there highest denomination?

Una need education.

If it is about highest single denomination, it doesn't take anything to make N100,000 single note.

We have the most useless set of. Opposition in the world.

Imagine this una line of argument all in the name of Opposition. How do you convince sensible people? You una come dey wonder why Elumelu, Otedola, Dangote etc dey support government? Cos only if una get 1/10 of the sense they have

There is nothing wrong with borrowing