₦airaland Forum

The person that defeated him in the primaries na yoruba man?

highsurge:
Is that politicians don't have a creed code?
U don't display or disclose your next move to your opponent..keep them wondering and confuse...

That is because what he is saying is actually the creed code.

He got you and others

He is trying to mess with the gullible followers mind, when he knows they cannot win... just using Obi to prepare and gather momentum for 2031

LagosOrigin:
Lobatan

65% of Yoruba sons and daughters are solidly behind Peter Obi and they will vote for him in 2027

They did it in 2023 and will do even more in 2027 especially now that everyone has confirmed tinubu government to be a complete disaster and a monumental disgrace.

Nigerians are getting wiser now, the era of divide and rule is gone.

The same people una go still insult their entire ethnic group if any of them changes their mind.


Imagine if the situations is flipped. Imagine "Beautiful igbo girls support Tinubu"

This does not even make sense.

His immediately party was not APC. How come he still has APC flag?

He left APC was NNPP and ADC before joining NDC

aariwa:
Wetin concern a serious president with Desmond Elliot? Shows the level of mindset he has that plunged Nigeria into present mess, cluelessness to present problems in the country and what is happening around him…smh

If e reach your turn no put your house in order like Atiku. You can see what is happening in Adamawa right?.

Atiku is even better than Obi... Obi does not have what we call political home. Obi has no political root in Anambra at all.

harsysky:
Have you considered the multitude of Nigerians that will be out of Job when something happen to these companies?

Out of job? Who is sacking them? Or you don't know the meaning of Nationalisation?

A must read


https://www.thecable.ng/the-kings-calculus-why-tinubu-cant-afford-to-choose-fubara-over-wike-in-2027/

The King’s Calculus: Why Tinubu Cannot Afford to Choose Fubara Over Wike in 2027

In the merciless arithmetic of Nigerian power politics, loyalty is the only currency that never devalues. As the country hurtles toward the 2027 general elections, the political battlefield of Rivers State crackles once more with dangerous electricity. At its center stands a triangle that would have given Machiavelli pause: President Bola Ahmed Tinubu; Nyesom Wike, Federal Capital Territory Minister; and Siminalayi Fubara, the sitting governor of Rivers State.

The question setting political circles ablaze is deceptively simple: heading into 2027, how useful is Fubara to Tinubu? Examined through the cold, unforgiving lens of power politics, the answer is unambiguous.

The Making and Breaking of a Protégé


Before Nyesom Wike handpicked him, Siminalayi Fubara was a political unknown—a competent, quiet technocrat rising through the civil service to become Accountant General. Completing his second term as governor in 2023, Wike needed a successor he could trust—and control. He did not merely endorse Fubara; he engineered his entire political existence.

But what godfathers often forget is that you cannot hand a man power without also giving him the instinct to use it.

The peace lasted barely four months. By October 2023, a bitter feud erupted over the control of the state’s political machinery. In the chaotic months that followed, we saw the bombing of the House of Assembly complex, the defection of 27 pro-Wike lawmakers to the APC, and even a temporary, federally declared state of emergency. Although Fubara was reinstated, he remains institutionally weakened, staring down the barrel of 2027.

The Ghost of Amaechi

To understand Fubara’s utility to Tinubu, one must ask: has a sitting Rivers State governor ever survived going against a more powerful federal adversary backed by Abuja?

The answer arrived a decade ago. In 2015, Rotimi Amaechi was arguably the most powerful governor in Nigeria, serving as Chairman of the Governors’ Forum and boasting deep state resources. He defected to the APC and went all out for Muhammadu Buhari.

Against him stood Nyesom Wike—then merely a junior Minister of State for Education, without gubernatorial immunity. Armed with federal backing and a consolidated local network, Wike delivered an absolute electoral massacre: 1,029,102 votes to the APC candidate’s 124,896. An 87% obliteration.

If Wike, as a junior minister in 2015, could reduce a sitting governor’s structure to rubble, the arithmetic of what a fully empowered Wike can do as a senior cabinet member in 2027 is clear. Fubara should study that history. More importantly, Tinubu already has.

The Jagaban’s Calculation

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu did not build a political empire by making emotional decisions. He is a political chess master who identifies allies, rewards loyalty, and cuts loose those whose utility has expired.

When observers argue that Tinubu “needs Fubara” simply because a sitting governor can mobilize state resources, they are counting assets without looking at liabilities. A governor whose assembly is split, whose local elections have been contested, and whose party structure is in shambles is not an asset. He is a liability wearing an asset’s clothing.

In 2015, Amaechi went all out for Buhari, yet Rivers State still voted overwhelmingly for Goodluck Jonathan. If a deeply entrenched Amaechi could not deliver the state, what can an embattled Fubara deliver? Considerably less than nothing—especially if backing him means alienating the godfather who actually commands the grassroots.

Wike brings organizational muscle, a cross-party coalition, and something money cannot buy: proven loyalty at a moment when loyalty cost him dearly. In 2023, Wike risked his entire political career, crossed his party, and absorbed the fury of his colleagues to back Tinubu. In politics, debts flow upward, and Tinubu owes Wike a moral and political debt.

The Ultimate Political Sin

Fubara has recently been seen at APC screening exercises in Abuja, attempting to thread the impossible needle of seeking re-election under the very party Wike heavily influences. But the political mathematics is resolving itself in real time.

To choose Fubara over Wike would be to reward betrayal with protection. It would signal to every ally across Nigeria that loyalty carries no guaranteed return. No leader can afford to send that message.

Fubara received everything from his godfather, and when the bill came, he refused to pay. There is no political sin greater than betrayal. Dante placed betrayers in the lowest circle of hell; Julius Caesar’s last words were directed at a betraying friend. In Nigerian politics, where the memory of grudges outlasts the memory of favors, betrayal is never forgotten.

The useful man is not always the man with the title. The useful man is the one who, when the river runs dry, finds water.

Nyesom Wike has always found water.


Babatunde Lasisi is a Socio-Political Analyst based in Abuja.
blasisi554@gmail.com


https://www.thecable.ng/the-kings-calculus-why-tinubu-cant-afford-to-choose-fubara-over-wike-in-2027/

Hemanwel:
Because of Peter Obi, they now want to shift their focus to NDC.

Obi left LP, all of a sudden their is calm in LP. Lamidi Apapa is no longer raring his ugly head.

Obi has left the ADC, watch how the government of the day will drop all its litigation against the party in order to have a three-horse race election in 2027.

Now, they want to shift their focus to NDC!

Gbajabiamila, the Chief of Staff to the president, confirmed my assertion in his saying: "we will scatter them"

Na Tinubu scatter APGA we make Obi run from there?

Bluna:
I disagree that INEC forgot to update the details on their portal since last year. They deliberately allowed the same name to appear twice with two different political parties. They did it on purpose. INEC is too biased and compromised.

The resignation letter is not valid. That letter was backdated.

VenExchangee:
That's the highest denomination in your country, just imagine your type of defense... Will you say that with there highest denomination?

Una need education.

If it is about highest single denomination, it doesn't take anything to make N100,000 single note.

We have the most useless set of. Opposition in the world.

Imagine this una line of argument all in the name of Opposition. How do you convince sensible people? You una come dey wonder why Elumelu, Otedola, Dangote etc dey support government? Cos only if una get 1/10 of the sense they have

There is nothing wrong with borrowing

The truth is Tinubu wouldn't be making the stupid mistakes the ADC is making.

He wouldn't have had a quack as legal adviser that would go to appeal a case that wasn't needed in the first place.

He would have assembled a strong legal team to go into battle

Go and ask how he won OYO, Osun, Edo etc for ACN

Okay let me explain it to you...

When statements like this are made, it is in reference to the prevailing prices and other variables at that time.

No one will stand up in 2011 and say that by 2026 i want petrol to be sold at N70.

They were talking in refrence to that very time of 2011 or whatever the year was

timota:
Why are people so bias against Trump,so u all want non citizens to be voting in us elections,so that illegal immigrants and terrorist will vote against the good people of united states'.
I stand with Trump on this one, operation show ur ID before voting

Shu..t up

The voting system has been there for over 120yrs, it was the same voting system that brought him to power twice.

Trump just wants a law that will disenfranchise the poor and the blacks cos majority of them dont have the id that he is talking about

dfrost:
Iran can't make enemies of their 'brothers'. It should be calming down. The Gulf states are not standing with you on this. One needs allies no matter what.

Iran, think it through.

When my brothers allow my enemies to use their house to lunch an attack on me, then those are no longer brothers

Bobloco:
If Tinubu hadn’t become president, we’d still be hearing how the ‘man who built Lagos and tamed the Atlantic ocean' would have turned Nigeria into the best country on earth.

Well, destiny ensured he grabbed it , snatched it and run away with it and he became president and now Nigerians can see the reality for themselves: worsening insecurity, a failing economy, and citizens displaced in their own country, as if we’re at war.

If Peter Obi had not become Anambra state governor we would have been hearing what again?


Una too mumu

BluntCrazeMan:
SOME EXPECTED OUTCOMES WITH THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE NEWLY INCLUDED “ELECTRONIC TRANSMISSION” INSIDE THE NEWLY ENACTED “ELECTORAL ACT 2026”.

1. Most of the Presiding Officers would transmit the results from the Polling-Units with the BVAS Machines as usual; but then, THE TRANSMITTED RESULTS WOULD MOST-DEFINITELY NOT BE VISIBLE ON THE IREV PORTAL IMMEDIATELY.
This is just exactly the way it had always been happening in all those past elections where there was no direct provision for the “Electronic Transmission” inside the Electoral Act --- But now, according to the requirements of the new Electoral Act 2026, “the Presiding Officer shall ELECTRONICALLY TRANSMIT the results from each polling unit to IREV Portal”.
This means that there is not supposed to be much delays between the time when the transmission was done and the time when the transmitted results appear on the IREV Portal --- except of course if (and only “if”) there is “communication failure”, then that would be the only “excuse” why the transmitted results may not appear immediately on the IREV Portal.

2. Some of the Presiding Officers wouldn't even do any transmission of any results in the first place --- and they will quickly declare that “THERE IS COMMUNICATION FAILURE”; and that the “transmission” itself even refused to work from the BVAS Machines.

3. Some of the Presiding Officers would genuinely try the transmission of the results many times, BUT THE TRANSMISSION FROM THE BVAS MACHINES WOULD ACTUALLY REFUSE TO WORK, not to talk of the results appearing on the IREV Portal. And then, the INEC would end up Not providing the reasons or excuse for such failures which were not as a result of “Communication Failure” of any sort.

4. Due to some sharp games which might be played by the INEC Officials at the different levels of the results management, there might end up being up to five different versions of THE SAME Polling-Unit Results..
a) the INEC’s version which are provided in the CTCs
b) the BVAS version which were captured and stored inside the BVAS Machines
c) the IREV version which were successfully transmitted to the IREV-Portal.
d) the PARTIES Duplicate version which were the duplicate copies that were given to the PARTIES.
e) the POLICE Duplicate version which were the duplicate copies that were given to the POLICE.
All these five versions of the results are fully supported by the Electoral Act, and they are all supposed to be the same thing all through.
If at any point, there are discrepancies between any two or all of the five versions of the same results, then it becomes a clear case of “Institutional Manipulation of Results.

5. All of the above-mentioned scenarios would definitely happen on the Election Day, and still nobody would say (or do) anything about them, and FINAL RESULTS would still be announced --- (even when the discrepancies in the various versions of THE SAME RESULTS are very clearly visible to everyone).

The writter does not know the difference between Cabon Copy and version.

The copies with the Police, Agents, INEC and others are Cabon copies not versions.

Switruth:
All Nigerians have seen that these idiots are just for their pockets.

There'll be revolution.... Silent or violent...

The people should know who they voted now.

Mad people everywhere

Including Peter Obi

What the so called idiots are doing is what Peter Obi has done and he just did not long ago

But she is right. Immediately you pick the nuzzle, the whole metre will reset.

Go and find out or google it

Walai:
I don't understand how comprehension became a problem in this country. The man is literally saying, you benefit from this Hormuz straight for your trades, come let's open it up. I don't see anything wrong with it. They are all waiting for America to do the work of opening up the strait but this time Trump is saying I can't do all these things for you alone.

Sense is far from you.

Imaging a road used by all, you went to attack the gatekeeper of that road without getting other road users involved, knowing fully well that the road keepers will retaliate by closing the road. You now turn around to ask other road users to come and join you open the road. How sensible and logical is that?

SMerchant:
Yet 4 will still qualify from the 6

Just two will qualify

Liverpool and Arsenal.

The rest otilor

fuckboys:
So how do you go about people owing us money the right way?

This is why you should get people to sign agreement before borrowing them money or collect collateral from them.

The agreement they signed can now be used to take legal action against them.

Losers mentality.

Instead of saying you would win the next election, he is saying he would contest.

So, his primary aim is just to contest? He has been mentally defeated.

He is just wasting the time of the deluded youth that thought he was a messiah.

JackDaAlienz:
This is called Political Ashaworisim
You knack here. You knack there
Anyway kpekus face politicians..Tuehh

Like Peter Obi has been Knack here and knacking there.... APGA, PDP, LP and ADC

No body knack reach Obi

osuofia2:
See the problem of Obedients, na this woman.
The money she chop 2023 election too sweet her, she wan chop again

Anything to make these Obidients feel good is allowed.

Lost to who? Peter Obi?

They are trying so hard to revive the lost and dead momentum.

Peter Obi has lost the fire and support, Nigerians can see clearly now that he is a desperate and directionless individual, who would dine with the same people he called structures of criminality at any given time. El rufai, Atiku, Amaechi, David Mark, Aregbesola, Malami are all good people now... according to Obi.

The serial losses he got from recent elections in Anambra, Edo and Abuja had shown clearly that the vapour and support is dead and gone

UzorIyke:
Primary healthcare center, wow. Alex Otti don't need to campaign to win against Benjamin kalu before 12noon of the election, whether free and fair or not, he will win.

Primary health centre is under the purview of Local govt.

Mediocrity at it peak

Macphenson:
Isn't Wale Edun supposed to be removed as well? He is incharge of the Ministry of Finance, he came for that budget defence so he should have been axed too because he has shown high level of incompetence.

I am not holding brief for Wale Edun cos I dont like him and I want him removed as well. Even this Taiwo Oloyedele would be worse... the guy has been hustling for govt appointment for long.

But, in every Ministry, the Mimister and the Minister for state is not a boss and subordinate thing. The MDAs under the Ministry is shared to each. Everyone handles his or her own MDA or schedule of work independently and cooperatively

dederocs:
You must be dreaming, Russia have no idealogical affinity with Iran, China does not, they only use Iran when suitable, both nations don't like extremists Islam, they don't tolerate it in their nation. Those nations demolished mosques. They only have economic interests with Iran not defence pact.

And when your economic interest is threatened? You f8ght for survival

LegendHero:
He will become Atiku vice. Even Obi himself together with his Obidient know that it is impossible for Obi to get the ADC ticket.

Whether direct, indirect, consensus, or even if it’s monarchical, Obi no go fit see am.

Obi is the only that knows he would be Vice to Atiku right now. For some reasons, majority of those Obidients believe Atiku will miraculously step down and support Obi 😅

kolafolabi:
The PDP G5 have successfully dealt a heavy blow to the party. Though it is not yet completely buried, thank God the G5 themselves are no longer on the best of terms. All thanks to the brilliant maneuvering from the President, the political genius at work. But seriously, if I were Waziri, I would consider stepping down for PO, at least for the sake of the new platform, the ADC, and to give the new party a stronger footing. Sometimes personal ambitions must give way to strategic moves for the greater political good. This is exactly the kind of moment where vision matters more than titles.

What you said is the ideal thing to do.

Atiku should just step down for Obi even if it is for cosmetic.

I think this is what will final happen. The North will make it look like... it is a southern affair and turn but they will not put body for Obi. Most of them will quite and some loudly work for Tinubu. They will just skip and wait for 4 yrs instead of Obi they are not sure of 8yrs